Technical My Tips

New Video Out 🔥🔥 Must Watch 🔥🔥🔥 🎞🎞🎞🎞🎞🎞🎞🎞

📊 Gold plunged after the Fed rate cut and officials' comments Gold (XAU) dropped by 2.3% on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve (Fed) cut the interest rates and decided to pause reductions next year due to high inflation pressure. 👉 Possible effects for traders The U.S. dollar (USD) surged against major currencies as the Fed cut the base rate as expected, also signalling a slowdown in its monetary easing approach. The Fed now projects it will implement only two 25-basis-point (bps) rate cuts by the end of 2025. 'I believe we are in a favourable position, but I think we are entering a new phase, and we will proceed with caution regarding further reductions', Powell stated during a press conference. 'The Fed was more aggressive than we expected, but today's shift in policy guidance aligns with our view of a prolonged pause by the Fed at the beginning of 2025', Prashant Newnaha, a senior Asia-Pacific rates strategist at TD Securities, commented. 'The most significant surprises were concentrated in the inflation projections. They reinforce the idea that higher inflation will persist for an extended period', he added. XAUUSD was rising during Asian and early European trading hours, regaining 1.2% after yesterday's losses. Technically and fundamentally, the asset still remains in a bearish trend. Today, the U.S. Initial Jobless Claims report may significantly influence the dynamics of the precious metal. Higher-than-anticipated data may trigger bullish momentum in XAUUSD, while softer data will ignite further downward correction. ➡️Sign Up Now ➡️ https://octa.click/iRAl5bCodpM Partner Code ➡️ 3788810

📊 Fed signals a pause in rate cuts, driving EURUSD lower The euro (EUR) plunged by 1.31% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve (Fed) announced an expected interest rate cut but signalled a slower pace of future easing. 👉 Possible effects for traders The Fed lowered its benchmark policy rate by 25 basis points (bps) towards the 4.25–4.5% range, with officials signalling that they would likely pause future rate cuts next year given a stable labour market and sticky inflation. The yield of U.S. 10-year Treasuries rose towards 4.446%, hitting a four-week high and pulling the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) above the 108.000 mark. 'The Fed increased its core inflation forecast and adjusted dot plot, so rate cuts are being priced out, and I think we have one more rate cut priced in for next year, and that's less than it was before', said Axel Merk, president and chief investment officer at Merk Hard Currency Fund. A strong bearish trend in EURUSD has reemerged with an even stronger momentum. Bears are now targeting 1.02950, and even a parity level seems possible in the midterm. Investors expect the Fed to lower its base rate towards the 4–4.25% range by mid-June 2025, while the European Central Bank (ECB) will likely cut its rate by more than 50 bps over the same period. This divergence in monetary policy expectations between the ECB and the Fed continues to act as a major bearish factor for EURUSD. EURUSD was rising slightly during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the main focus is on the number of U.S. macroeconomic releases. Weekly Jobless Claims and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) final estimates are due at 1:30 p.m. UTC. Stronger-than-expected figures may push EURUSD below 1.03315. Worse-than-expected numbers may have a disproportionately stronger impact on EURUSD and push it above 1.04500, as the greenback seems overbought and overvalued in the short term. ➡️Sign Up Now ➡️ https://octa.click/iRAl5bCodpM Partner Code ➡️ 3788810

📊 USDCAD renewed the March 2020 high On Wednesday, the Canadian dollar (CAD) fell towards a near-five-year low against the U.S. dollar (USD) as the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish guidance boosted the greenback. 👉 Possible effects for traders The U.S. dollar surged against major currencies after the Fed announced the anticipated rate cut and indicated a slowdown in its monetary policy easing. The Fed's projection for interest rates suggests a median funds rate of 3.875% at the end of 2025, up from the previous projection of 3.375%, indicating only two 25 basis point rate cuts next year. 'We believe this decision marks the beginning of a prolonged pause by the FOMC, although it may be too early to state this explicitly', said Nick Rees, a senior analyst for Monex Europe's foreign exchange market. 'We now anticipate that U.S. rates will remain unchanged, at least until the first half of 2025. If this is the case, a shift in market expectations should support the dollar's upward trajectory in the coming months', he added Domestic political instability has affected the Canadian dollar, adding to the challenges posed by U.S. trade tariffs and the Bank of Canada's aggressive interest rate cuts. 'The demand for protection against a decline in the value of the Canadian dollar has skyrocketed', said Karl Schamotta, chief market strategist at Corpay. The implied volatility of options contracts for buying or selling the Canadian dollar against the U.S. dollar in the next three months has reached its highest since April 2023—approximately 6.6, up from 4.5 in July. The currency reached a low of 1.46670, last seen in March 2020. Canadian bond yields have increased across the curve, mirroring the movements in U.S. Treasury yields. The 10-year yield has risen by 8.2 basis points, reaching 3.224%. USDCAD declined towards the 1.44300 support level during Asian and early European trading hours, retracing some upward movement from yesterday. Today, the U.S. Jobless Claims report comes out at 1:30 p.m. UTC and may affect the pair. Stronger-than-expected data may put some pressure on USDCAD, while soft data may support a further rally. ➡️Sign Up Now ➡️ https://octa.click/iRAl5bCodpM Partner Code ➡️ 3788810

🆘 Free Gift 15$ 😀 👑My All Exness User 👑 🆘Follow Term and Condition🆘 1.📣Join From The Link Given Below  ➡️🔗 Link: https://tlt.ink/exness Partner Code:  14582571 2. After Registration Complete Full Process Of Account Verification. 3. After Verification DM ➡️ @TLTtrader And Get Your Gift 🌟 NOTE: IF YOU ARE ALREADY REGISTERED THRU MY LINK WITH VERIFIED ACCOUNT THEN DM ➡️ @TLTtrader ⭐️⭐️AND GET YOUR GIFT 🌟 🔄 SPECIAL DHAMAKA OFFER 🔄

Open Account In Exness For Forex Trading & P2P Transaction👇 Link: https://tlt.ink/exness Partner Code:  14582571

The countdown is on! Join Octa’s festive raffle and be part of something special this December. The raffle happens on 26 December. Set a reminder and get ready to join the excitement. You still have time to join and win! Don’t miss your chance to participate in this event. Click the 🔗 ➡️Sign Up Now ➡️ https://tlt.ink/octa to learn more and join the event. #tradeincomfort #tradesmart #newyear2025 #forexpromo #lowspreads

Here’s a closer look at the top 10 economies, ranked by their GDP adjusted for purchasing power parity (PPP). PPP takes into account the relative cost of living and the inflation rates of countries, giving a more accurate comparison of economic strength. Invest Now: https://bit.ly/attexpertoption

#economic_calendar These events may affect the market on 19 December.

#economic_calendar These events may affect the market on 19 December.

📊 Gold dips as investors anticipate gradual rate cuts by the Fed Gold (XAU) price dropped by 1.23% on Tuesday due to the strengthening U.S. dollar (USD) and rising Treasury yields as investors increasingly expect only gradual rate cuts in 2025. 👉 Possible effects for traders The U.S. Retail Sales report released yesterday added some bearish pressure on XAUUSD. The report showed that retail sales rose by 0.7% in November amid an acceleration in motor vehicle purchases, signalling that inflation may remain elevated. Thus, data suggested that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could pause rate cuts in January. XAUUSD was relatively unchanged during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Fed will announce its interest rate decision today at 7:00 p.m. UTC. Traders expect the central bank to cut its base interest rate by 25 basis points (bps). However, the main focus will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's commentary as market participants try to get more clues on the U.S. monetary policy path for 2025, especially in the light of President-elect Donald Trump's tariff plan, which economists say would stoke further inflation. The Fed will also release its latest economic projections and the dot plot, providing valuable insights into the central bank's future policy direction. Typically, the market moves not because of the decision itself but because of the new details revealed in the FOMC Statement and during the press conference, due at 7:30 p.m. UTC. If the Fed downgrades its economic forecast and Jerome Powell hints that more rate cuts are coming, XAUUSD will rise. If the FOMC Statement includes better economic assessments and Jerome Powell makes hawkish statements or sounds less dovish than the market expects, XAUUSD may drop significantly. ‘Spot gold may retest support at $2,633 per ounce; a break could trigger a drop into the $2,613 to $2,623 range’, said Reuters analyst Wang Tao. ➡️Sign Up Now ➡️ https://octa.click/iRAl5bCodpM Partner Code ➡️ 3788810

📊 The U.S. economy's strength pressures the euro The euro (EUR) lost 0.2% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Tuesday as the greenback strengthened against most major currencies following better-than-expected retail sales data. 👉 Possible effects for traders Yesterday's U.S. Retail Sales report indicated that the underlying economic momentum in the U.S. is resilient, defying expectations of a slowdown. Strong economic data, coupled with expectations of potentially rising inflation from Donald Trump policies, leads investors to expect fewer rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed) in 2025. At the same time, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is already just 1% below a two-year high, meaning that many bullish factors are already priced in. 'The market is trying to debate whether it's time to fade the dollar, which has had an incredible run this year. But it seems hard to really push back against U.S. exceptionalism and a stronger dollar going into the new administration, whether we're talking about a Fed that will probably not seem as dovish as did in September or the challenges that keep popping up in the emerging and developed markets that make the dollar a safe haven', said Marvin Loh, senior global market strategist at State Street. At the same time, the European Central Bank (ECB) has explicitly stated that more rate cuts are highly likely. 'If the incoming data continue to confirm our baseline, the direction of travel is clear, and we expect to lower interest rates further', Christine Lagarde, the ECB President, said in a speech in Vilnius. By mid-2025, investors expect U.S. interest rates to be in the 4–4.25% range and anticipate the ECB to reduce borrowing costs towards just 2% over the same period. This divergence in monetary policy expectations between two central banks continues to exert a bearish pressure on EURUSD. EURUSD was rising slightly during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the main focus is on the Fed's interest rate decision due at 7:00 p.m. UTC. Attention is also on the Fed's updated economic projections and the dot plot, which could shift expectations for the rate trajectory through 2025 and 2026. If the FOMC statement adds hawkish details, EURUSD will likely fall below the important 1.04500 level. Conversely, dovish rhetoric by Jerome Powell may temporarily pull the pair towards 1.05770. ➡️Sign Up Now ➡️ https://octa.click/iRAl5bCodpM Partner Code ➡️ 3788810

📊 USDJPY declines ahead of two central banks' interest rate decisions USDJPY declined by 0.043% ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) interest rate decisions. 👉 Possible effects for traders The BOJ is expected to maintain its policy rate of 0.25% at its meeting this week while focusing on domestic wage and price dynamics in light of uncertainties surrounding U.S. economic policies. However, the central bank can't exclude a possible rate increase if the Japanese yen (JPY) weakens significantly, as the USDJPY exchange rate is currently hovering just below the 154.000 level. During the meeting, the BOJ will also review its past monetary policy decisions and assess its strengths and weaknesses. Additionally, the bank may announce plans to begin reducing its exchange-traded fund (ETF) holdings in 2026. As indicated by the December Tankan Survey, positive signs in the labour market support expectations for wage increases in 2025. If wage-price dynamics continue, the BOJ could raise interest rates in January, reaching 1% by the end of 2025. Meanwhile, the Fed is anticipated to lower interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) with a 97% chance, bringing it to the 4.25–4.5% range, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Market participants will pay close attention to how the Fed expects to reduce rates further in 2025, given recent strong inflation and economic activity data. The regulator may indicate a more moderate path by adjusting its projections, expecting only three rate reductions in 2025 instead of four, according to a report by IG market analyst Tony Sycamore. If the forecast shows only two reductions, it could be considered a more hawkish move, aligning with current market expectations but also indicating a more cautious approach. Tuesday's data indicated a robust U.S. economy, with retail sales exceeding expectations. With the incoming Trump administration promising tariffs and tax cuts, investors are considering their implications for the U.S. monetary policy outlook. USDJPY was declining during Asian and early European trading hours. The BOJ and the Fed interest rate decisions are the most important events today. The U.S. central bank will announce its decision at 7:00 p.m. UTC today, and the BOJ will deliver a decision at 3:00 a.m. UTC on Thursday. ➡️Sign Up Now ➡️ https://octa.click/iRAl5bCodpM Partner Code ➡️ 3788810

EURUSD, 30-minute timeframe chart EURUSD broke the resistance level of 1.05070 👉Level explanation EURUSD has been under buying pressure within the last couple of hours. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 1.05100. Set your stop loss at 1.04950 below the previous low ($1.50 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.05300 ($2.00 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.33. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. ➡️Sign Up Now ➡️ https://tlt.ink/octa Partner Code ➡️ 3788810