Technical My Tips

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🅰🔠🔡🆎 ➡➡ Yen's next move depends on these key levels—details below USDJPY is trading around 162.35–162.46, close to four-decade highs for the dollar and lows for the yen. Intervention risk is rising as the pair nears extreme territory. Here's how you could trade this pair in such uncertain times 💙 🪙 Key takeaways

• Events. The pair has risen for several sessions in a row, supported by strong dollar demand and continued yen weakness. As long as USDJPY holds above 161.960, the short-term structure remains positive, but 162.800 is the next major test. • Background. The main pressure on the yen comes from the wide U.S.–Japan rate gap. The Bank of Japan's rate is at 1%, while the Federal Reserve (Fed) range is 3.5–3.75%. This gap supports carry trades against the yen. Geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz are also helping the dollar, as oil supply risks could raise inflation expectations 💲 • Possible outcome. Traders will watch the Fed minutes, China inflation data, Japanese policy signals, and possible intervention. A further rise may increase pressure on Japanese authorities to act, while softer Fed signals could ease dollar strength.

🪙 Tip for traders The buy scenario might hold while USDJPY stays above 161.960, with 162.800 in focus. A break above 162.800 could extend gains but raise intervention risk. The sell scenario strengthens if USDJPY rejects 162.800 or falls below 161.960, bringing 160.650 into focus. Sign Up Now 💥 https://bit.ly/attocta

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These are the biggest events to watch this week: Following the pivotal US jobs report, attention shifts to the US ISM Services PMI, Japanese earnings data, Chinese CPI and PPI figures, and the potentially market-moving Fed and ECB meeting minutes. One central bank meeting this week, with the RBNZ setting policy on Wednesday. Sign Up Now ➡️ https://tlt.ink/xmbro

🅰🔠🔡🆎 ➡🥇➡ Gold near $4,200: trading scenarios for the next move XAUUSD is holding around $4,160 after recovering from local lows, with a weekly gain of more than 2%. Still, the price has not yet consolidated above the $4,175–$4,200 zone. Here's our analysis on how you could trade next. 🪙 Key takeaways

• Events. Gold remains supported by weak U.S. labour market data 🥇 The nonfarm payroll report came in at 57,000, well below the 110,000 forecast. Previous months were revised lower. The data reduced expectations of a September rate hike to around 50–55%. • Background. Lower rate-hike expectations can support gold because it does not pay interest. However, the upside is limited by a strong U.S. dollar and the risk that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might remain pro-hike amid persistent inflation. The Fed meeting minutes, due Wednesday, are now in focus and could increase volatility 🚀 • Possible outcome. The key support level is $4,080. A buy scenario could become relevant if XAUUSD consolidates above $4,175–$4,200, with $4,300 and $4,450 as the next levels to watch.

🪙 Tip for traders A sell scenario might play out if the price rejects $4,200 or breaks below $4,080, with $4,000 and $3,700 as the next targets.