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Major Sector Benefits in Union Budget 2025 1. Agriculture & Rural Development • Missions launched for pulses & cotton production to boost farming output. • Increased subsidies & credit guarantees for farmers and SMEs. • Investment in irrigation & rural infrastructure projects. 2. Manufacturing & MSMEs • National Manufacturing Mission to support “Make in India.” • Enhanced credit guarantees for MSMEs to ease financing. • New fund for start-ups to boost entrepreneurship. 3. Infrastructure & Transport • ₹1.5 trillion interest-free loans for state infrastructure projects. • Maritime Development Fund for port modernization. • Regional air connectivity initiatives to improve accessibility. • Increased investment in railways, highways & urban mobility. 4. Real Estate & Housing • Boost to affordable housing projects with additional subsidies. • Expansion of Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana (PMAY). 5. Digital & Technology • Support for AI, fintech, and semiconductor industries. • Expansion of digital skilling programs. 6. Healthcare & Pharma • Increased funding for public healthcare infrastructure. • Expansion of Ayushman Bharat scheme for better coverage. 7. Energy & Renewable Sector • Incentives for solar & green hydrogen projects. • Focus on EV charging infrastructure & clean energy. This budget aims to accelerate economic growth, support key industries, and improve infrastructure development.

Union Budget 2025 Highlights 1. Income Tax Reforms • Tax exemption limit raised to ₹12 lakh under the new tax regime. 2. Agriculture & Manufacturing • Missions for pulses & cotton production launched. • Enhanced credit guarantees for SMEs. • National Manufacturing Mission to boost “Make in India.” • New fund for start-ups announced. 3. Infrastructure Development • ₹1.5 trillion allocated for state infrastructure. • Maritime Development Fund & Urban Challenge Fund introduced. • Boost to regional air connectivity. 4. Social Welfare Initiatives • Focus on poor, youth, farmers, and women welfare programs. 5. Fiscal Targets • Fiscal deficit target reduced to 4.4% of GDP (from 4.8%). This budget focuses on economic growth, infrastructure, and middle-class relief.

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*Finding Silver Lines Amidst the Clouds of Uncertainty* Where are we today? 1. Nifty 50, Nifty Midcap 50 & Nifty Smallcap 50 are down 12.63%, 15.97% and 19.53% respectively from their 52-week highs as of yesterday. 2. While indices do not show the real pain, many companies including some sectors are down anywhere between 20 – 50%. ~60% stocks are down more than 30%. Why are we here? ❌ Slowdown in earnings – Q3 results have been below expectations with India Inc reporting a revenue growth of only 5.3% till now. ❌ Unsustainable valuations, ridiculous number of QIPs and frothy IPOs. ❌Falling Rupee – Dollar Index since October is up ~7% even after recent consolidation. ❌ FII Selling – No surprises; FIIs have sold worth ~INR 79,016 crores in the secondary markets till yesterday, their 3rd highest selling in a single month. Highest was only in Oct'24. ❌ Trump tariff policies – Trump 2.0 is here and so are tariffs. Markets across the globe are weighing the economic possibilities & repercussions ❌ Budget – Slowing economy with sliding rupee is a double whammy. Populist budget can lead to strain in fiscal deficit. What to expect in 2025? 1. RBI’s late evening move on Monday will grant the economy some much needed liquidity. RBI meet later next week might see some rates cut. 2. With no elections due in the next 10 months, government capex should make a comeback. Data shows Q4 is a good month with ~40% of the expenditure witnessed in these months. 3. While indeed this is not the worst of the corrections (most recent being June 2022 when Nifty Smallcap fell ~34% over the course), it is the speed with no counter rallies in between which is affecting the portfolios. But .. ✅ If January ends on a negative note, this will be the 1st time in 24 years, where Nifty 50 has closed negative for the 4th consecutive month. If history is to go by – markets have rallied anywhere between 10 – 25% in subsequent 12-month periods once they have fallen by more than 10% for 3-consecutive months. ✅ India’s weight to World Market Capitalization is up from 2.2% in Mar’20 to ~4.2% in Dec’24 based on secular economic growth and high RoE the companies have. ✅ Nifty 1-year forward P/E is ~18x, which certainly is not expensive. ✅ Going slow, not falling to stories and respecting valuations should do well going forward. _*Disclaimer – All data taken from various publicly available sources – NSE, Morgan Stanley, WOC AMC, Capitalmind, and Trendlyne. Strictly for private circulation.*_

CG power in intraday has strike rate of 75% track this as well

Algo signal has been generated for Bajajcon keep tracking for target of 195+

Banking stocks gain after RBI announces $5-bn forex swap, OMOs and VRR to inject liquidity - 10-Year G-Sec Yield fell to 2-year Low ahead of RBI rate cut…Expect positive for Banks …HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, SBI, Kotak Bank · Banking stocks are witnessing smart rally today and Bank Nifty rose 2% after the RBI announced to conduct a $5 billion worth of USD/INR buy/sell swap on January 31, which is likely to infuse Rs 43,000 crore of liquidity into the banking system. · The regulator also announced open market operation (OMO) purchase auctions aggregating to RS 60,000 crore and a 56-day variable rate repo (VRR) auction in February. · All the three measures are aimed at easing tightness in liquidity condition which is running into a deficit of over Rs 3 lakh crore. · 10-year G-Sec Yield fell to 2-year low 6.65% on expectation of RBI to cut interest rate on 7th Feb policy meeting · Expect positive for SBI as benefit of falling G-Sec Yield to 2-year low at 6.65%

Top large cap stocks which are down by more than 30% :- 1) Tata motors : down by 37% 2) Asian Paint : down by 33% 3 ) Hero morto corp : down by 32% 4) Hal : down by 30% 5) ABB : down by 30% Above stocks can be considered for investment in this fall

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Will be posting some good stocks to add in this fall in our whatapp group

During Covid Nifty had crashed by 30% from the top. Currently nifty is down almost 10% in last 4 month. During this kindly fall there is one thing we need to remember. “Stronger the fall stronger will be the recovery “

Indian stock markets experienced a significant decline today. The BSE Sensex dropped by 1,048.90 points (1.36%) to close at 76,330.01, and the NSE Nifty fell by 345.55 points (1.47%) to settle at 23,085.95.  Several factors contributed to this downturn: • Global Market Sell-off: A strong U.S. jobs report has led to concerns that the Federal Reserve may implement fewer rate cuts than previously anticipated, strengthening the dollar and increasing U.S. bond yields. This development has made emerging markets like India less attractive to investors.  • Rising Crude Oil Prices: International crude prices have spiked, raising concerns about increased domestic inflation and potential delays in rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI).  • Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) Outflows: There has been a continuous outflow of foreign funds from Indian equities, further pressuring the markets.  • Sectoral Losses: All sectoral indices ended in the red, with significant declines in the realty, oil & gas, power, PSU, metal, and media sectors. The Nifty Midcap and Smallcap indices each fell by 4%, marking their biggest single-day declines in several months.  These combined factors have led to a cautious approach among investors, resulting in today’s market decline.

Tech Firms See Over Rs 22,000 Crore Of Open Interest Build Up Ahead Of TCS Q3 Results – Media report · Technology companies will start announcing their third quarter financial earnings with Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. announcing its results after market hours on Jan. 9, 2025. · The markets have build up positions in the technology sector, with foreign investors net investing $1.70 billion in November and December. · This has also led to a surge in open interest in the technology companies since November-end. · The Futures Open Interest in the nine technology stocks stood at over Rs 22,200 crore on Jan. 8. The maximum open interest is seen in Infosys Ltd., which carried open interest of Rs 8,344 crore in the futures segment. It was followed up by TCS, which had a futures open interest of Rs 4,533 crore ahead of its earnings.

ITC Hotel Shares Likely To Trade In The Rs 150–175 Range –media report · The demerger of ITC Hotels Ltd. from its parent ITC Ltd. came into effect on Jan. 1, 2025, opening the way for its listing on exchanges. · ITC's share price to adjust by Rs 18–25 per share on the ex-date, reflecting ITC's 40% stake in ITC Hotels with a 20% holding discount. · Initial market expectations place ITC Hotels' shares in the Rs 150–175 range upon listing. · The initial valuation of ITC Hotels will hinge on the differential between ITC's closing price on Jan. 3, 2025, and its opening price during the special pre-open session on 6th Jan, 2025

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Conducting a webinar on technical and volumes analysis today at 4pm. Registration link to be shared In what app channel. https://chat.whatsapp.com/D5IclWvt9l7JLTIMTh9Vzp