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Hidden Multibagger Stocks by Devendra (RA: INH000026488)
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Disclaimer: I am a SEBI Registered Research Analyst (RA: INH000026488). All stocks, market updates, and investment-related information shared in this channel are strictly for educational and informational purposes only.
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"Interarch Building Products " Diwali Muhurat Multibagger stock strong recovery .🚀🚀
We cannot expect a significant pullback rally in the market unless the US 10-year bond yield decreases and FIIs resume buying. Until then, the market will remain under strong selling pressure.
In a bear phase, the market does not form a bottom easily—it is a prolonged process. Investors who are eager to average their stocks must understand that we are not currently in a bull market phase. It is better to wait and watch until the market stabilizes.
The strategy of averaging stocks or "buying on dips" is not effective in this bear market environment. I have already explained this in detail in my YouTube video. The best approach in this phase is to remain patient, avoid any trading activities, and closely monitor market movements and FII activity.
The bear market is like a tsunami, wiping out everything in its path. I understand the pain it brings, but this time, the intensity of the tsunami was exceptionally high. Now that everything has been washed away, it's time to rebuild from scratch and restart with new strategies for a fresh portfolio.
I have repeatedly emphasized that a bear market is extremely painful because it is unpredictable which stocks will crash. Both good and bad stocks tend to fall during this phase. This is why I always advise booking profits at the very beginning of a bear market to protect your capital.
Those who initially planned to hold multibagger stocks for the long term (2-3 years) often start to panic as the bear phase unfolds. Such is the power of a bear market—it induces widespread panic selling.
The best strategy is to clear your portfolio before the onset of a bear phase, as no one can predict which stocks will fall or by how much. It’s simply panic-driven selling that impacts the entire market.
I have given an exit call for all multibagger stocks that outperformed in 2023-24, as they are unlikely to perform going forward. It’s time to focus on creating a new portfolio with fresh stocks and emerging sectors. At the end of every bull market and the start of a bear phase, we often see the end of rallies in stocks that previously outperformed. In the next bull run, new stocks and sectors will take the lead and drive the market.
The correction in small and midcap stocks is not yet over. In the coming days, we may witness further declines. Therefore, those who are currently holding profitable positions should use small pullbacks as an opportunity to book profits. It’s time to create a new portfolio with fresh stocks, as the momentum for many of the stocks that performed well in 2024 has ended.
" Updater services ltd " posted good Q3 result..
" Key Insights and Strategies"
Remember, in a bear phase, recovery is typically very slow. If you are expecting a sharp recovery in the market, it is highly unlikely during this period. I have been emphasizing this point for the past two months.
Retail investors who are stuck in stocks at higher levels often try to exit whenever the market begins to recover, leading to a “sell on rise” scenario in the coming days. In a bear phase, if you are trapped in stocks, it becomes very difficult to exit immediately. You need to adopt a minimum six-month outlook. Therefore, it is crucial to make exit decisions before begins the bear phase .
It is essential to let go of the bull market mindset, as clinging to it can result in significant mistakes. The bear phase operates differently and requires a different strategy. Carefully observe market movements in the coming days before making any decisions. Remember, bottom formation during a bear phase is a slow and prolonged process, often taking several months. Patience and strategic planning are critical.
Do not rush into buying, assuming the market has bottomed out. Many retail investors have suffered significant losses over the last 10 days by investing during every dip, mistakenly believing the market had formed a bottom. Accept the reality of the bear market, analyze the situation thoroughly, and plan your approach to recover losses carefully.
To better understand the dynamics of the bear market, watch my YouTube videos and follow my posts on the Telegram channel. Making excuses, such as not having enough time, can lead to substantial losses. Understanding the nuances of a bear market will help you take timely decisions, including when to exit.
" Kaynes Technology " Posted very good Q3 result...Feeling sad that the market has punished even fundamentally strong stocks. This happens in every bear phase..
" Yatharth Hospital " Posted good Q3 result..
" Epigral ltd " posted good Q3 result..
FII selling was absorbed by DII today. In my latest YouTube video, I explained why the small and midcap indices are falling and how the market has now entered a bearish phase. Those who have watched the video can better understand why small and midcap stocks crashed today. FIIs will likely continue selling as long as U.S. 10-year bond yields remain elevated. I highlighted this two months ago, giving a clear warning to be cautious in the market, as the bond yields were expected to stay high for an extended period.
My predictions about the bear market following the bull market have been proven accurate. Now, several YouTubers are attempting to explain the reasons behind this decline. However, the truth is there is no specific reason—this is simply a bear phase, characterized by time and price corrections.
Importance of Protecting Capital
Investors who followed our strategy to book profits at the beginning of this bear phase are among the few in India who have successfully protected their capital. I consistently emphasized the importance of protecting capital over chasing profits, as I anticipated a significant downturn—a "bloodbath" in the market. This warning was repeatedly shared on my Telegram and YouTube channels.
Panic selling by retail investors has added to the damage in the market. While it is impossible to predict the full extent of this behavior, I have explained in my videos how panic selling can severely harm portfolios. My primary goal in posting weekly videos on bull and bear market cycles was to educate investors about how challenging and relentless a bear phase can be. Unfortunately, many investors remained stuck in a bull-market mindset, failed to adapt, and suffered significant losses despite my repeated warnings.
What’s Next?
In a bear phase, sharp recoveries are unlikely. Every pullback will likely be met with further selling, particularly by panic-driven retail investors. This “sell-on-rise” behavior indicates that the market has not yet formed a bottom. In bear markets, it takes time for a stable bottom to emerge.
The next potential trigger for a minor recovery could be positive news during the budget session. However, as long as U.S. 10-year bond yields remain high, FIIs are expected to continue selling.
Recovery Strategy
To recover losses, investors should:
1. Invest in fundamentally strong stocks: Focus on new opportunities that have the potential for quick returns.
2. Reshuffle portfolios: Remove weak stocks that may take years to recover.
I have consistently stressed the importance of adopting a completely new strategy—one that pivots entirely when transitioning from a bull market to a bear market.
Current Approach
For now, the best approach is to “wait and watch.” However, we will continue to identify and share stocks that have the potential to recover strongly even during this bear phase. These opportunities can offer quick gains, and our stock selection process is not dependent on technical charts. This should result in a higher success rate, even in challenging market conditions.
Lessons Learned
Investors who booked profits at the start of the bear phase, as per our guidance, are now in a position to deploy their capital into carefully selected opportunities. Unfortunately, many new retail investors ignored repeated warnings, invested heavily during every decline, and are now stuck with little to no capital remaining.
Those who listened to our advice and let go of their bull-market mindset have successfully protected their wealth during this downturn. Moving forward, it is critical to remain cautious and patient, adapting to current market conditions to navigate this bear phase effectively.
In my old youtube video from March 2023, I clearly explained the bull and bear phases and how to approach them effectively. Unfortunately, only 600 people watched that video. This shows that, despite my consistent efforts to educate investors on dealing with both phases, many retail investors remain focused solely on technical chart analysis, which cannot predict the future market outlook.
Now, within just 20 days, many have lost all the gains made in 2023-24. This was not surprising to me, as I had already experienced similar situations in 2018-19 and 2022.👆👆
A message from one of our members confirms that the bull and bear market strategy I have been explaining over the past year has worked perfectly.
Watch my latest YouTube video, where I explain why the "buy on dips" strategy doesn’t work during a bear phase. I also cover why retail investors tend to make profits in a bull market but incur losses during a bear market, and why averaging doesn’t work effectively in such conditions. Additionally, I discuss why the strategy of buying bottomed-out stocks often fails in a bear phase.
In my video, I shed light on several important aspects:
Why stocks fall in a bear phase even after posting strong results.
Why the market falls rapidly but recovers very slowly.
Why FIIs tend to sell heavily during a bear phase.
Why small-cap stocks crash in panic due to retail investors.
Understanding the dynamics of bull and bear phases is crucial to navigating the market effectively and avoiding heavy losses. I also explain why overconfident investors in a bull market often lose everything during a bear market.
On our channel, we focus on educating retail investors about the realities of bull and bear markets to help them avoid significant losses. Those who ignore our guidelines during a bear phase and neglect our advice are often the ones who suffer the most.
Remember, our confidence in market predictions comes from data-driven analysis, not chart patterns. Watch the video to gain insights and prepare yourself for future market cycles.👇
Please remember, the market undergoes a 360-degree turn when it shifts from a bull market to a bear market. I have emphasized many times that a cautious approach is essential during the bear phase. Now, stocks and sectors that surged in 2023-24 may not recover. Those who bought stocks based on social media influence at higher levels may find it impossible to sell them in the coming years, as these stocks may never return to their original buying levels. I already explained this in my bull and bear market video. For example, IT, chemical, textile, and pharma stocks bought in 2021 at higher prices couldn't be sold for the next 2 to 3 years. We may see a similar pattern in the sectors and stocks that ran up in 2023-24. This is the reason I kept advising to exit from all stocks that surged in 2024.
