Macro Alerts

European gas prices seem to be surging on fears of renewed strikes on Iran following the midterms. Trump will TACO. The threats are just FUD designed to help Netanyahu win the Israeli election.

European gas hits €99.9 for the first time since 2022, up 142% since Ukraine's attacks on Russian refineries began in June. No clear winner in Israel is bullish for European gas. It adds more jet fuel into crypto as EU asset owners dump the EUR for USD denominated inflation hedges.

ICYDK: MORPHO holders can flip the fee switch any time through a governance vote.

Ethena Pay just announced and launched Earn+ targeting 12% yield Ethena Pay acts as a major retail distribution wrapper for Morpho's underlying infrastructure. Mobile users tapping "Earn+" are interacting with Morpho in the back end. Bullish ENA and even more bullish MORPHO. We hold both. Because of inflation, passive high yield strategies are one of the big meta of this cycle. Think macro, trade micro 🫡

Considering widespread unrest around Europe before the crisis has even started, EUR debasement with YCC is the only option forward. Smart eur money has been frontrunning this trade since August. EUR/USD has been dumping non stop since diesel prices started going up this summer.

Italian PPI jumps to 17.4% YoY in September from 13.5% in August PPI is a leading indicator for CPI because margins get squeezed and producers have to pass at least some of this to consumers. Welcome to Eurozuela, second round effects of diesel inflation are about to hit Europoors like a truck. Bullish DXY, ultra bullish crypto.

Today is FOMC day. We're expecting a dovish hold. Reminder: Crypto doesn't need rate cuts, QE or YCC to send in Q4 2026. The liquidity is already out there. Trillions were printed through QE over the last 2 decades. We're going much higher regardless of how events this week unfold. Dovish surprises would add some jet fuel to the rally.

Surprise twist in Israel's election. Netanyahu, "the lion" to his supporters, is now projected to hold on to power.

Trump: the US has profited significantly from the situation in the Middle East. He's not wrong. The war makes sure US Treasuries is the only investable hard asset in 2027. Everyone else will have to debase.

The Russell 2000 is reversing, another major tailwind for altcoins. RUT up → BTC.D down

Polymarket currently puts his chances of remaining prime minister at just 27%.

Final hour of voting underway in Israel's general election. If Netanyahu loses: oil down, crypto up.

Bitcoin Hashrate is back too and near ATH atm

Most of the alts in our portfolio are showing a similar setup. After putting in a local top in early October, they now appear to be reversing higher. Trillions are headed our way in the next few months as smart money rotates out of metals and semis. We love altcoins because nothing offers more upside than altcoins. Think macro, trade micro 🫡️️️️️️

Arcium's October correction appears to be complete, with price finding support at $0.20 and reversing higher. This is a great level for a spot position if still sidelined. Our target remains $10. Disclaimer: This channel is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing posted here constitutes financial or investment advice. Always do your own research.

US new home sales fell 0.6% in September to an annualized pace of 676,000, beating economists' expectations of 651,000. The median new home price fell 3.9% year over year to $400,400, with prices declining in seven of the first nine months of 2026. Weaker demand and unaffordable mortgages despite lower prices. Main street is being squeezed by Wall Street.

globa inflation = global debasement = the fed doesn't have to print if everyone else starts printing The current move up in crypto start with Bessent's announcement over increased size of buybacks on August 19. An ECB intervention to cap the yield of French bonds would be 100x bigger than that.

JPM Hawk-Dove Score: Fed talk is the most hawkish despite much softer fuel driven inflation. The other central banks are caught between high oil driven inflation and weak growth. Debasement is inevitable, or they will face more protests. DXY is headed much higher. In the near term, USD inflows will add jet fuel to crypto's blow off top over the coming months.

ICYMI: Global inflation is ultra bullish crypto because BTC feeds on the inflation hedge narrative and everything else has topped. Inflation aware liquidity from every corner of the globe will eventually flow into crypto until the cycle completes with a massive blow off top

Because of inflation, EUR asset holders will start liquidating and moving capital into the safehaven USD or higher yielding AI bonds. Lagarde should be warning them about the systemic risks linked to the AI credit crisis. But she won't do it. As our quant put it, her job as a US ally is to close an eye for now and help US trillionaires milk more exit liquidity from AI. EUR/USD will keep dumping. Moar printing is needed in Europe.