Macro Alerts

Tomorrow is another major macro day: US PCE inflation data, followed by the ECB's monetary policy statement and press conference. The ECB can only ignore the European bond market crisis for so long. Any signal that intervention is becoming more likely would be extremely bullish for crypto. ICYDK: French bond yields are now at their highest levels since 2002. Even at the height of the European sovereign debt crisis, French bonds were performing significantly better.

Warsh has ended his press conference. This is a dovish hold. A December hike is far from a done deal. If the Iran war is resolved and oil prices decline, markets will start pricing in rate cuts. Pamp it

Warsh: there has been a stable correlation between oil prices and interest rates; If oil prices were to move down due to geopolitical events, Fed will have to take note. Pamp it

Warsh's presser starting now. Pamp it

European gas prices seem to be surging on fears of renewed strikes on Iran following the midterms. Trump will TACO. The threats are just FUD designed to help Netanyahu win the Israeli election.

European gas hits €99.9 for the first time since 2022, up 142% since Ukraine's attacks on Russian refineries began in June. No clear winner in Israel is bullish for European gas. It adds more jet fuel into crypto as EU asset owners dump the EUR for USD denominated inflation hedges.

ICYDK: MORPHO holders can flip the fee switch any time through a governance vote.

Ethena Pay just announced and launched Earn+ targeting 12% yield Ethena Pay acts as a major retail distribution wrapper for Morpho's underlying infrastructure. Mobile users tapping "Earn+" are interacting with Morpho in the back end. Bullish ENA and even more bullish MORPHO. We hold both. Because of inflation, passive high yield strategies are one of the big meta of this cycle. Think macro, trade micro 🫡

Considering widespread unrest around Europe before the crisis has even started, EUR debasement with YCC is the only option forward. Smart eur money has been frontrunning this trade since August. EUR/USD has been dumping non stop since diesel prices started going up this summer.

Italian PPI jumps to 17.4% YoY in September from 13.5% in August PPI is a leading indicator for CPI because margins get squeezed and producers have to pass at least some of this to consumers. Welcome to Eurozuela, second round effects of diesel inflation are about to hit Europoors like a truck. Bullish DXY, ultra bullish crypto.

Today is FOMC day. We're expecting a dovish hold. Reminder: Crypto doesn't need rate cuts, QE or YCC to send in Q4 2026. The liquidity is already out there. Trillions were printed through QE over the last 2 decades. We're going much higher regardless of how events this week unfold. Dovish surprises would add some jet fuel to the rally.

Surprise twist in Israel's election. Netanyahu, "the lion" to his supporters, is now projected to hold on to power.

Trump: the US has profited significantly from the situation in the Middle East. He's not wrong. The war makes sure US Treasuries is the only investable hard asset in 2027. Everyone else will have to debase.

The Russell 2000 is reversing, another major tailwind for altcoins. RUT up → BTC.D down

Polymarket currently puts his chances of remaining prime minister at just 27%.

Final hour of voting underway in Israel's general election. If Netanyahu loses: oil down, crypto up.

Bitcoin Hashrate is back too and near ATH atm

Most of the alts in our portfolio are showing a similar setup. After putting in a local top in early October, they now appear to be reversing higher. Trillions are headed our way in the next few months as smart money rotates out of metals and semis. We love altcoins because nothing offers more upside than altcoins. Think macro, trade micro 🫡️️️️️️

Arcium's October correction appears to be complete, with price finding support at $0.20 and reversing higher. This is a great level for a spot position if still sidelined. Our target remains $10. Disclaimer: This channel is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing posted here constitutes financial or investment advice. Always do your own research.

US new home sales fell 0.6% in September to an annualized pace of 676,000, beating economists' expectations of 651,000. The median new home price fell 3.9% year over year to $400,400, with prices declining in seven of the first nine months of 2026. Weaker demand and unaffordable mortgages despite lower prices. Main street is being squeezed by Wall Street.