Data's Inner Circle 👑 (WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST)

📊 Market Update 📊 Most of the market sold off yesterday. The Fear & Greed Index remains in single digits, the lowest reading since the FTX collapse in 2022. AI stocks haven't helped as most were hammered (Cisco down 12%, Apple down 5%, all Mag 7 red) and that risk-off sentiment bled straight into crypto. The DHS shutdown is now hours away with no deal in sight, and we also have CPI data this morning. That number will set the tone for everything. We also have the Iran tensions which aren't helping either. I'm not forcing anything here. Let the data come, let the dust settle, and then execute: Key News Events - DHS shutdown now hours away, House hearing confirms it has gone "from a distinct possibility to a probability" - Schumer calls White House counterproposal "incomplete and insufficient" - United States signs trade deal with Taiwan, cutting tariffs to 15%. In return, Taiwan will remove "99%" of trade barriers on US and purchase $84 billion worth of American goods. - Coinbase buys $39M worth of Bitcoin in Q4, 2025. - Binance buys another $305M worth of Bitcoin for its 'SAFU' fund. Upcoming Events - Feb 13th - January CPI Report (8:30am EST) - Feb 13th - DHS funding expires at midnight (partial shutdown all but certain, affects TSA, FEMA, CISA, Coast Guard) Summary ✍️ Today was a true "sell everything" day. Stocks, gold, silver, and crypto all dropped together as most de-risked ahead of todays' CPI print and the DHS shutdown deadline. When gold drops 3% alongside risk assets, that tells you this is about positioning and liquidity, not fundamentals. Everyone is raising cash and waiting for clarity. The Fear & Greed Index being in single digits for an extended period of time is hard to overstate. Historically, readings this extreme have marked generational buying opportunities, but timing them requires a catalyst, and we haven't gotten one yet. CPI this morning is that potential catalyst. If it comes in tame, the market can breathe and we get a relief rally across risk assets. If it comes in hot, we're looking at "higher for longer" getting cemented and another leg down is very much on the table. The DHS shutdown will add some noise but not panic since ICE is funded through reconciliation and most immigration enforcement continues regardless. The real risk from the shutdown is headline fatigue and sentiment drag on an already fragile market. I want to be aggressive at these levels, the fear readings are screaming opportunity, but I need to see the CPI number first. Patience over prediction. 📊 BTC Analysis 📊 BTC couldn't hold its major support above 67k as we have the uncertainty from the CPI and DHS headlines. The StochRSI is also nearing overbought territory which will cause more volatility ahead of the weekend, although the RSI remains above the signal line which is technically bullish. This is where patience remains paramount in waiting for confirmation as the market chooses a clear direction. Major support remains 60k, 55k, and 48k while major resistance remains 67k, 71.8k, 74.6k, 78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, 88.2k, 90k, 92k (50D EMA), and 94.6k (50W EMA). 📊 ETH Analysis 📊 ETH remains below major resistance of 2010-2120. Although its RSI and StochRSI still look bullish which could be enough for higher if the daily can close above 2010. Currently I'm remaining patient, but will be watching closely for confirmation. Major support remains 1830, 1730, and 1530, while major resistance remains 2010, 2120, 2190, 2370, 2560, 2680, 2750, 2820, 2900-2930, 3050, and 3170 (50D EMA)⁨. Quote of the day ✍️ “High performers remove friction. Amateurs create excuses.” If you want real-time guidance during volatility (not after), join us: 1-Month Access — Data’s Alpha Circle 🔗 https://whop.com/datas-alpha-circle/gain-access-now/ ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

📊 Market Update 📊 The market continues to chop sideways as BTC hovers around $67k following today's stronger-than-expected January NFP report (130k jobs added vs 70k expected, unemployment down to 4.3%). The market remained mostly neutral throughout the day. We did see ASTER outperform which shows liquidity remains within the space. I'm staying patient as Friday's CPI report will be the defining catalyst this week, and the DHS shutdown uncertainty needs to resolve before I feel confident for more upside: Key News Events - January NFP comes in at +130k (well above 70k consensus), unemployment drops to 4.3%, its strongest month since Dec 2024 - 2025 benchmark revisions confirm hiring recession: only 181k total jobs added (15k/month avg), worst outside of recession since 2023 - Average hourly earnings +0.4% MoM / 3.7% YoY, slightly hot, reinforcing "higher for longer" Fed narrative - BlockFills ($60B volume institutional crypto lender) halts all client withdrawals, drawing 2022 Celsius/BlockFi comparisons - Clarity Act stalled in Congress as banks push to ban stablecoin yield - DHS shutdown essentially a certainty as negotiations stalled, and Democrats refuse CR without ICE reforms. The deadline is Feb 13th - 10-Year Treasury yield up 3bps to 4.18%, 2-Year up 6bps to 3.52% which means rate cut expectations are pushed back Upcoming Events - Feb 12th - Senate DHS funding negotiations continue (vote expected today) - Feb 13th - Jan CPI Data - Feb 13th - DHS funding expires at midnight (partial shutdown looking highly probable, affects TSA, FEMA, CISA, Coast Guard, but ICE funded via reconciliation) Summary ✍️ Today's NFP was a mixed bag as the economy remains in its stagflationary period. Gold continues to outperform most as uncertainty rises with the DHS shutdown now less than 36 hours away with zero progress on negotiations, and the Iran situation continuing to simmer with Trump/Netanyahu unable to agree on a strategy. Friday's CPI report is the make-or-break catalyst imo. A soft reading would reignite rate cut hopes and likely spark a relief rally across risk assets whereas a hot reading would cement the "higher for longer" narrative and could send us retesting lows. The BlockFills withdrawal halt is also a red flag worth monitoring. While there's no evidence of insolvency, institutional crypto lending firms halting withdrawals in a bear market is exactly how 2022 started. With that said, I'm sizing positions conservatively and keeping dry powder ready. The Fear & Greed Index maintaining single-digit territory is historically a generational buying zone, but timing the turn requires confirmation. I would let the CPI data and DHS resolution provide that confirmation before sizing up. 📊 BTC Analysis 📊 BTC is struggling to hold its 67k level as uncertainty continues in the geopolitical landscape. Its daily RSI is still above its signal line and its StochRSI is maintaining an uptrend which could mean a rally higher in the near future if 67k holds. Major support remains 67k, 60k, and 55k, while major resistance remains 71.8k, 74.6k, 78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, 88.2k, 90k, 92k (50D EMA), and 94.6k (50W EMA). 📊 ETH Analysis 📊 ETH is now below major resistance of 2010-2120. Although its RSI and StochRSI do look bullish which could be enough for higher if the daily can close above 2010. Currently I'm remaining patient, but will be watching closely for confirmation. Major support remains 1830, 1730, and 1530, while major resistance remains 2010, 2120, 2190, 2370, 2560, 2680, 2750, 2820, 2900-2930, 3050, and 3170 (50D EMA)⁨. Quote of the day ✍️ “Clarity creates confidence. Confidence improves execution.” ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

📊 Market Update 📊 The market continues to chop during this week of uncertainty as we have delayed Jan NFP dropping Wednesday + US-Israel nuclear talks for Iran, and CPI + DHS funding deadline both hit on Feb 13th. I'm staying patient here as the macro catalysts this week will dictate direction, and will only trade high probability extremes at major support/resistance levels: Key News Events - Trump says the US economy can grow at 15% if Kevin Warsh does his job right as Fed Chair - House Democrats seek to overturn Trump's tariffs on Canada - Tom Lee's 'BitMine' buys $82 million worth of ETH - DHS funding extends only through Feb 13th via short-term CR with risk of another partial shutdown if ICE reform negotiations stall - Tether invests $150M in Gold.com (~12% stake), expanding its tokenized gold strategy - BTC mining difficulty drops the most since 2021 as miners capitulate which historically signals bottoming process Upcoming Events - Feb 11th- Trump & Netanyahu meeting in D.C to discuss Iran - Feb 11th - Nonfarm Payrolls Data - Feb 13th - Jan CPI Data - Feb 13th - DHS funding deadline (another potential gov't shutdown) - March 18th - Next FOMC Meeting - May 15th - Powell's term expires, Warsh confirmation process ongoing Summary ✍️ This is a patience market, plain and simple. Despite sentiment being at all-time lows and billions of liquidations happening every week, the thing to understand is nothing is broken. There's no systemic failure, no hidden leverage time bomb, no exchange collapsing. This is a pure liquidity and confidence crisis in an environment where macro uncertainty (tariffs, shutdown risk, rate path) is compressing risk appetite across all assets, not just crypto. Gold is acting as the safe haven while BTC lags. This is the reality of where we are in the BTC maturation cycle. NFP on Wednesday will tell us if the labor market is cracking (bullish for rate cuts) or holding firm (keeps Fed on hold longer). CPI on Friday is the other issue. If both come in soft, it could be the catalyst that shifts the Fed narrative toward earlier cuts and gives risk assets the green light. Until then, I'm respecting the indicators and not forcing trades. We've seen these extreme fear readings resolve with powerful rallies before, but they can also persist longer than you'd expect. Size appropriately, keep stops tight, and let the data guide you this week. 📊 BTC Analysis 📊 Nothing has changed with BTC. It continues to float between its 67-72k support zone. If it continues to hold this range, the probability of a tradeable bounce toward 75-80k increases significantly. But if we lose 67k, then I would look for 55-60k as the next demand zone. Its weekly RSI and StochRSI are both oversold which should as a nice springboard if we can get a bullish daily close (yet to happen). Major support remains 67k, 60k, and 55k, while major resistance remains 71.8k, 74.6k, 78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, 88.2k, 90k, 92k (50D EMA), and 94.6k (50W EMA). 📊 ETH Analysis 📊 ETH is in a similar position as well. It remains in its support zone between 2010-2120. Its weekly RSI is slightly curling while its StochRSI is extremely oversold and potentially forming a bottom. Right now I'm being patient and looking for a weekly close above 2120 for a bullish reversal or waiting to see if 2000 can hold, otherwise I would look to long again near the trendline support if we get there. Major support remains 2010, 1830, 1730, and 1530, while major resistance remains 2120, 2190, 2370, 2560, 2680, 2750, 2820, 2900-2930, 3050, and 3170 (50D EMA)⁨. Quote of the day ✍️ “Focus is saying no to good things so you can say yes to great ones.” ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

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📊 Market Update 📊 We're seeing a relief bounce across the board after one of the most brutal weeks in crypto since FTX. Stocks also rebounded Friday with the Dow hitting 50,000 for the first time in history and the S&P climbing back into the green for 2026. The key question now is whether this was capitulation or just a dead cat bounce. A good sign is the F&G index reaching 5 and the weekly RSI being oversold (which likely marks a local bottom), but we still have upcoming US/Iran talks and the DHS funding deadline on Feb 13th, which means we could easily retest lows. I'm remaining patient and defensive here until we see clearer signs of stabilization, but this is exactly the type of environment where our having S/R confluence with indicators is paramount: Key News Events - US-Iran indirect nuclear talks in Oman concluded Feb 6th, described by Trump as "a good start" with more talks planned next week - Jim Cramer says he was told President Trump is buying Bitcoin for the US strategic reserve during the crash this week - "I heard at $60k he's gonna fill the Bitcoin Reserve." - Trump officially signs order allowing US to impose additional 25% tariff on any country doing business with Iran. - Trump predicts the US stock market will double by the end of his term. - Partial government shutdown ended Feb 3rd after Trump signed spending bill. DHS funding only through Feb 13th (second potential shutdown) - January jobs report (NFP) delayed due to government shutdown, no rescheduled date yet Upcoming Events - Feb 10-11th — Next round of US-Iran nuclear talks expected (location TBD, likely Oman) - Feb 13th - January CPI Report / DHS Funding Deadline (before another gov't shutdown) - Feb 14th — Monthly Deribit BTC/ETH options expiry - Jan NFP report — TBD once BLS resumes operations post-shutdown - March 18th - Next FOMC Meeting - May 15th - Powell's term expires, Warsh confirmation process ongoing Summary ✍️ So far the market is holding up relatively well. The F&G index at 5-8 puts us in historically rare territory, only last seen in the 2022 bear market (FTX, Terra, Celsius, 3AC). Sentiment extremes like this are where longer-term bottoms tend to form. The key is patience. Don't try to catch the exact bottom. Wait for confirmation signals on the weekly/monthly and let your indicators guide entries. The DHS deadline on Feb 13th, CPI data next week, and US/Iran talks are the next catalysts to watch. If any of those turn out negative, it could cause us to have another flush. I'm playing everything level by level and still taking profits accordingly. 📊 BTC Analysis 📊 BTC bounced perfectly off of the 200W SMA just above 58k. This also coincided with an oversold weekly RSI and StochRSI + horizontal support, which is exactly the confluence you want to see. Now BTC is holding just above the 200W EMA which could also act as a springboard if we can close above it. Patience remains paramount here, but if we can continue to make higher lows and form bullish structure, I'll start to look for more longs. Major support remains 67k, 60k, and 55k, while major resistance remains 71.5k, 74.6k, 78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, 88.2k, 90k, 92k (50D EMA), and 94.6k (50W EMA). 📊 ETH Analysis 📊 ETH respected our trendline support, bouncing nicely at 1750 before approaching its next resistance area below 2120. Its weekly RSI is not quite oversold yet but is currently at the lows we saw April 2025. Although its StochRSI is oversold and potentially forming a bullish divergence on the weekly which could send us much higher if played out. Right now I'm being patient and looking for a weekly close above 2120 for a bullish reversal, otherwise I would look to long again near the trendline support if we get there. Major support remains 2080, 2010, 1830, 1730, and 1530, while major resistance remains 2120, 2190, 2370, 2560, 2680, 2750, 2820, 2900-2930, 3050, and 3170 (50D EMA)⁨. Quote of the day ✍️ “Your habits decide your future long before your intentions do.” ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

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Crypto Market Update - Feb, 5th 2026 Hope you all enjoy 🤝

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📊 Market Update 📊 Another brutal day in the markets as BTC crashed to yearly lows of $73K before bouncing back to $76K. Yesterday's relief rally completely failed as the broader tech selloff dragged us lower. In saying that, the government shutdown is now over after Trump signed the funding bill this afternoon, which is one less uncertainty to worry about, though DHS only received 2 weeks of funding so we'll be back at it by Feb 13th. The big wildcard now is US-Iran tensions after the Navy shot down an Iranian drone approaching the USS Abraham Lincoln, adding geopolitical risk premium across markets. I'm remaining extremely cautious until we see clear confirmation of a reversal, but these extreme fear readings historically mark excellent long-term entry points: Key News Events - Government shutdown ends after House passes funding bill 217-214, Trump signs into law - US Navy F-35 shoots down Iranian Shahed-139 drone approaching USS Abraham Lincoln - IRGC boats harass US tanker in Strait of Hormuz – USS McFaul intervenes - Bitwise CIO declares "full-bore, 2022-like crypto winter" in official note - Crypto Fear & Greed Index reach 14 (Extreme Fear) Upcoming Events - Feb 5th - Strategy (MSTR) earnings - Feb 7th - US-Iran talks will either be held in Oman or Turkey (TBD) / US jobs report (delayed) - Feb 13th - New DHS funding deadline after 2-week extension - March 18th - Next FOMC Meeting - May 15th - Powell's term expires, Warsh confirmation process ongoing Summary ✍️ With sentiment this low, and various high timeframe indicators reaching oversold, we're in capitulation territory. BTC briefly broke below Strategy's $76K cost basis, ETF holders are underwater at $84-88K average, and a major asset manager just called this a crypto winter. However, 3-day negative funding rates, deeply oversold RSI readings, and returning ETF inflows suggest smart money is quietly accumulating. The shutdown resolution removes one overhang, but Iran tensions and delayed economic data keep uncertainty elevated. Precious metals rebounding strongly shows the "hard asset" thesis is intact, and is just experiencing a positioning reset after getting too crowded. Patience remains paramount here, along with only take trades with your indicators + S/R lines are in confluence. 📊 BTC Analysis 📊 Today was a full rejection of Monday's bounce attempt. We rallied to $79k overnight only to get slammed back to $73k during the US session, the lowest level in over a year. Currently we're hovering around $75.5-76k, fighting to stay above Strategy's cost basis of $76,052. The RSI at 27 is deeply oversold (historically a buy zone), and funding rates have been negative for 3 consecutive days, a setup that often precedes relief rallies. However, we need to see $78K reclaimed before getting constructive. I'm watching for confirmation that $76K holds as a higher low before adding risk. If we lose $70k, the 200-week SMA at $58k becomes the next major target. Major support remains 74.6k, 71.6k, 67k, and 60k, while major resistance remains 78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, 88.2k, 90k, 92k (50D EMA), and 94.6k (50W EMA). 📊 ETH Analysis 📊 ETH rejected from 2370 as expected and bounced perfect from our support zone between 2120-2190. The RSI is oversold and starting to form bullish divergence while the StochRSI looks very good as well, crossing from oversold above its signal line. If ETH can close convincingly above 2370, I'll feel strongly that we get a push to 2560. Major support remains 2190, 2010, 1830, 1730, and 1530, while major resistance remains 2370, 2560, 2680, 2750, 2820, 2900-2930, 3050, and 3170 (50D EMA)⁨. 👑 If you would like to join my private group, see the pinned message or the link below: Data’s Alpha Circle — 1-Month Access Available 🔗 https://whop.com/datas-alpha-circle/gain-access-now/ Quote of the day ✍️ “You will never fear failure as much as you will fear realizing you never tried.” ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

📊 Market Update 📊 There's a relief rally underway but sentiment still remains fragile. HYPE was the main outperformer, surging 20% amid continued interest/volume from their HIP-3 update, giving access to precious metals. Meanwhile, gold and silver have had nice recoveries, up 6% and 13% respectively. As things start to look tentatively bullish, it's important to manage your risk accordingly and not chase these rallies, but instead, let price come to you. Key News Events - Government shutdown Day 3 - House Rules Committee advanced funding package Monday evening. Vote expected today. - US-Iran talks Friday in Istanbul - Witkoff and Araghchi expected to meet. Iran's Pezeshkian ordered diplomats to seek "fair and equitable negotiations." - US Jobs Report Delayed - BLS won't release January employment data Friday due to shutdown. - US-Iran tensions continue to be a talking point with the geopolitical instability Upcoming Events - Feb 3rd - House vote on funding package (shutdown resolution) - Feb 5th - Strategy (MSTR) earnings - Feb 7th - US-Iran talks in Istanbul / US jobs report (delayed) - Feb 13th - New DHS funding deadline after 2-week extension - March 18th - Next FOMC Meeting - May 15th - Powell's term expires, Warsh confirmation process ongoing Summary ✍️ The market is recovering nicely as most are looking forward to a shutdown resolution later today, along with US/Iran tensions easing by the end of this week. The Fear & Greed index at 17 (extreme fear) historically represents optimal entry points, but still practice patience, and only enter at major support levels on the daily/weekly timeframes while your indicators are in confluence. 📊 BTC Analysis 📊 BTC is still struggling to stay above its 78k resistance. Although its RSI and StochRSI are oversold which does give it room for higher. This will be dependent on BTC reclaiming the weekly above 78k which should happen if the government reopens today and/or US/Iran resolve their tensions Friday. Major support remains 78k, 74.6k, 71.6k, 67k, and 60k, while major resistance remains 84.5k, 86.7k, 88.2k, 90k, 92k (50D EMA), and 94.6k (50W EMA). 📊 ETH Analysis 📊 ETH is currently rejecting from its resistance at 2370 which is exactly why you never want to long into resistance. Although it's daily RSI and StochRSI is also oversold, so a close above 2370 should send us to 2560, otherwise I would wait to bid lower. Major support remains 2190, 2010, 1830, 1730, and 1530, while major resistance remains 2370, 2560, 2680, 2750, 2820, 2900-2930, 3050, and 3170 (50D EMA)⁨. 👑 If you would like to join my private group, see the pinned message or the link below: Data’s Alpha Circle — 1-Month Access Available 🔗 https://whop.com/datas-alpha-circle/gain-access-now/ Quote of the day ✍️ “Comfort is the most expensive drug on earth, and most people are already addicted.” ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

📊 Market Update 📊 The weekend has been brutal as longs were squeezed with uncertainty mounting as the House returns today to vote on the Senate funding package to to re-open the government (currently closed for 2 days). Speaker Johnson is "confident" it ends by Tuesday. The F&G index is in Extreme Fear at 15 which should provide some great DCA opportunities this week as long as macro events don't escalate: Key News Events - $4.02 trillion wiped out from gold and silver's market cap yesterday - Chinese President Xi Jinping calls for the yuan to become a global reserve currency. - Kevin Warsh nominated as Fed Chair by Trump which triggered a massive repricing as he's seen as more hawkish vs Powell in terms of monetary policy. - US-Iran tensions continue to be a talking point with the geopolitical instability Upcoming Events - Feb 2nd - House vote on funding package (could end shutdown) - Feb 5th - Strategy (MSTR) earnings - Feb 13th - New DHS funding deadline after 2-week extension - March 18th - Next FOMC Meeting - May 15th - Powell's term expires, Warsh confirmation process ongoing Summary ✍️ The Kevin Warsh nomination acted as the trigger for a massive unwind of the "debasement trade" as gold and silver crashed from record highs and markets priced in a more hawkish Fed that won't be as lenient towards QE. It's important to maintain patience here, wait for the dust to settle, let the House vote pass Monday, and see if BTC can hold $75k before considering any entries. If you are trading leverage, keep it very low, and only when you have confluence with your higher timeframes and indicators. 📊 BTC Analysis 📊 BTC closed the weekly below its support of 78k (bearish). It's now approaching its next major support zone between 67-72k (coincident with its 200W EMA at 69k). Its StochRSI is oversold and its RSI is nearly oversold which does give an argument for a bounce within the next few weeks. This will be dependent on BTC reclaiming the weekly above 78k and/or we get some resolution with the US gov't reopening or tensions resolve between US/Iran. Major support remains 71.6k, 67k, and 60k, while major resistance remains 78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, 88.2k, 90k, 92k (50D EMA), and 94.6k (50W EMA). 📊 ETH Analysis 📊 ETH is currently at its major support zone between 2010-2190. Its weekly StochRSI is also oversold while its RSI is nearing oversold. This makes for a good argument for ETH to outperform in the near future, especially if we receive some positive macro news this week. As always, make sure you're using low leverage when DCAing into these support zones, especially during periods when we have cascading liquidations. Major support remains 2190, 2010, 1830, 1730, and 1530, while major resistance remains 2370, 2560, 2680, 2750, 2820, 2900-2930, 3050, and 3170 (50D EMA) ⁨⁨ 👑 If you would like to join my private group, see the pinned message or the link below: Data’s Alpha Circle — 1-Month Access Available 🔗 https://whop.com/datas-alpha-circle/gain-access-now/ Quote of the day ✍️ “Nobody sabotages your future more efficiently than the version of you that avoids discomfort.” ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

📊 Market Update 📊 We're witnessing an extreme liquidation cascade across all asset classes. The Kevin Warsh nomination for Fed Chair triggered risk-off positioning with Gold posting its biggest single-day crash since the 1980s (-11%) and Silver recording a record intraday decline of 36%. We saw crypto follow suit with BTC hitting new 2026 lows near $75k and ETH collapsing to $2237 with over $2.5B in liquidations. The government partially shut down at midnight but should be brief as the House votes Monday. We also have US-Iran tensions continuing to escalate with Trump's "massive armada" positioning and Iran warning it's ready for war or diplomacy. This is a capitulation event but the best move is to wait until the dust settles. You can start to DCA into positions, but keep those stops close: Key News Events - Trump nominates Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair to replace Powell, although the markets view him as hawkish (even though he's pro-BTC), while the dollar shifts to bullish - Trump says he passed on appointing Kevin Hassett as Fed Chair because he "didn't want to let him go" from his administration - Government partial shutdown begins at midnight as Senate passed funding deal 71-29, but House votes Monday - US-Iran tensions escalate as Trump sends more warships, Iran says "fingers on the trigger" - Strategy (MSTR) BTC holdings fell slightly below their avg cost basis at $76,038 for a brief period - BTC saw over $800B in outflows on Friday Upcoming Events - Feb 1st - Full Moon (historically bullish) - Feb 2nd - House vote on funding package (could end shutdown) - Feb 13th - New DHS funding deadline after 2-week extension - March 17-18th - Next FOMC Meeting - May 15th - Powell's term expires, Warsh confirmation process ongoing Summary ✍️ This is the most violent market day in months. The Warsh nomination completely reversed the precious metals "debasement trade" with the gold and silver crash. Markets are repricing everything on expectations that Warsh will be a hawkish inflation-fighter who won't bend to Trump's demands for aggressive rate cuts. The dollar surged, crushing gold/silver longs who were massively crowded, and crypto got caught in the crossfire. The liquidation cascade suggests we're in capitulation territory, but with US-Iran tensions escalating (Trump considering strikes on Iranian officials/nuclear sites) and a government shutdown over the weekend, there's no rush to catch this falling knife. Maintain patience here, wait for the dust to settle, let the House vote pass Monday, and see if BTC can hold $75k before considering any entries. 📊 BTC Analysis 📊 BTC continues lower after breaking down from its bearish flag but looks to be holding support at 78k for now. Its RSI and StochRSI are now oversold which should provide some relief within the next few days when combined with the $2.5B of liquidations. If we can close the daily above 78k, and consolidate for a few days, I will turn bullish. Major support remains 78k, 71.6k, and 67k, while major resistance remains 84.5k, 86.7k, 88.2k, 90k, 92k (50D EMA), 94.6k, and 97k (50W EMA). 📊 ETH Analysis 📊 ETH nearly hit its major weekly support of 2190 before reversing. Its weekly RSI and StochRSI are approaching oversold while daily is already there. This is a similar story to BTC and tells me we should see more relief within a few days as long as we can have some resolution with the government shutdown Monday. I would expect the next move higher to take us to 2560 before rejecting. Major support remains 2190, 2080, and 1830, while major resistance remains 2560, 2680, 2750, 2820, 2900-2930, 3050, and 3170 (50D EMA) ⁨ 👑 If you would like to join my private group, see the pinned message or the link below: Data’s Alpha Circle — 1-Month Access Available 🔗 https://whop.com/datas-alpha-circle/gain-access-now/ Quote of the day ✍️ “Most regret comes from decisions postponed, not decisions made.” ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

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📊 Market Update 📊 The market had a big crash yesterday as BTC dropped to a 2-month low of $81k while stocks also saw weakness. The selloff was triggered by a reversal in gold's massive rally (gold hit ATH at $5,626 before pulling back sharply to $5,150) and Microsoft's 11% plunge on earnings, which dragged the Nasdaq down 1.6%. Despite the dollar hitting 4-year lows at $96 on the DXY, Bitcoin failed to catch a bid, with capital clearly favoring precious metals (which we were also early to). The big news was the Senate reached a spending deal to avoid a US government shutdown, and Trump announced a new Fed Chair. Both of these cleared the air of uncertainty so I imagine we should be due for a relief bounce within the next few days. Today's $9B options expiry on Deribit with max pain at ~$88k could also add volatility. I'm remaining defensive until we clear this options expiry and get confirmation BTC can reclaim $85k as support: Key News Events - Trump officially selects Kevin Warsh as new Federal Reserve Chair - Senate reaches spending deal to avoid US government shutdown. - The U.S. Senate Ag Committee passed its portion of the crypto market structure bill, with the next steps being the full Senate vote, House coordination ,and President Trump’s signature, which he has already agreed to. - Bitcoin ETFs record $1.1B+ in weekly outflows - Total 24h liquidations reach over $1B Upcoming Events - Jan 30th - $9B BTC/ETH options expiry (max pain $88k) - Feb 1st - Full Moon (historically bullish) Summary ✍️ This selloff has been brutal but not unexpected given the confluence of events this week. Capital rotation into precious metals has been the dominant theme. Gold is up over 20% for January alone, its best month since the 1980s. Meanwhile, BTC ETFs continue bleeding (~$1.1B weekly outflows) as institutional money seeks safer havens amid geopolitical and policy uncertainty. On the bright side, the worst of the uncertainty should resolve over the next 48 hours (options expiry + no more government shutdown), and the dollar weakness should eventually translate to crypto strength once positioning stabilizes. We also had over $1B of liquidations which historically marks a local bottom within 1-3 days, along with the Full Moon coming up Feb 1st. Stay patient, take profits on bounces, and don't over-leverage into this volatility. 📊 BTC Analysis 📊 Our trendline resistance held at 90k before dropping crashing throughout the day. We're getting very close to a bottom as the RSI is nearly oversold and the StochRSI is also forming a bullish divergence. I would remain patient until we get a confirmed reversal, but I expect by next week we will. Although it needs to close above 84.5k for me to get bullish again here. Major support remains 80k, 78k, and 71.6k, while major resistance remains 84.5k, 86.7k, 88.2k, 90k, 92k (50D EMA), 94.6k, and 97k (50W EMA). 📊 ETH Analysis 📊 ETH bounced perfectly off our 2680 support and looks to be holding above its trendline support of 2750. Although the RSI and StochRSI are still curving to the downside so I'll remain patient for the daily close. If we can close above trendline support, I'll turn bullish. Major support remains 2750, 2680, and 2560, while major resistance remains 2820, 2900-2930, 3050, 3170 (50D EMA), 3270 (coincident with the 100D EMA/50W EMA), and 3500-3600. 📊 SOL Analysis 📊 SOL bounced perfectly off of our 112 support as the RSI gets closer to oversold and the StochRSI waits to form a bullish divergence. If SOL can close the daily above 118, I'll turn bullish again. Major support remains 112 and 103, while major resistance is 117, 125, 131, 138, 145, 155, and 167. 👑 If you would like to join my private group, see the pinned message or the link below: Data’s Alpha Circle — 1-Month Access Available 🔗 https://whop.com/datas-alpha-circle/gain-access-now/ Quote of the day ✍️ “You can’t optimize what you refuse to measure.” ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

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📊 Market Update 📊 We're seeing a big rally in the market as precious metals continue higher and stocks and BTC finally catch up. The FOMC meeting kicks off tomorrow with rates expected to remain unchanged, but everyone will be focused on Powell's commentary and any signals about the Fed Chair succession. The government shutdown risk continues to be a probably threat (at 78% via Polymarket), so we may see another dip as we approach Jan 31st. Trump also added more tariff uncertainty by raising levies on South Korea from 15% to 25%, while the EU and India responded by sealing their own trade deal in a direct rebuff to U.S. tariff policy. I'm remaining patient until we get clarity on both the Fed decision and the shutdown situation but will still take trades that align with our S/R levels and indicators: Key News Events - S&P 500 closes at new ATH of 6,978 - Gold reaches ATHs at 5,150 - US dollar reaches lowest level in 4 years - $2 trillion Morgan Stanley hires Head of Digital Assets Strategy - Jan 30th options expiry totals $8.5B on Deribit with max pain at $90k - Odds of a government shutdown remain at 79% (via Polymarket) amid Senate Democrats threatening to block spending package - Steak 'n Shake buys 5M worth of BTC for its SBR Upcoming Events - Jan 28th - FOMC Meeting (2pm EST Decision, 230pm EST Conference) - Jan 29th - US Senate to vote on crypto market structure legislation - Jan 30th - $8.5B BTC/ETH options expiry - Jan 31st - Government shutdown deadline (if no resolution) - Feb 1st - Full Moon (historically bullish) Summary ✍️ As we continue higher, it's imperative that you still take profits along the way. There's is still plenty of opportunity on the daily timeframe, but considering the number of events we have this week (Big tech earnings, FOMC, government shutdown concerns, and options expiry), it's imperative that you manage risk accordingly. I'm still very bullish for next week (Full Moon + most uncertainty will be resolved, pending gov't shutdown concerns), so it's just surviving until then that remains paramount. All of our indicators are playing out perfectly which is great to see, even in periods of high uncertainty. This is why it pays to focus on technicals and leave emotions aside. 📊 BTC Analysis 📊 Our BTC analysis yesterday played out perfectly from the bullish divergence confirming, along with the momentum waves clipping to the upside after confirming a buy signal. Now we're approaching our major resistance of 90k (trendline resistance + horizontal). There's still a ton of room left on the daily to go higher but I would wait until indicators reset on the 4h if you're sidelined. Major support remains 88.2k, 86.7k, 80k, and 78k, while major resistance remains 90k, 92k (50D EMA), 94.6k, 97k (50W EMA), 100k, and 104k. 📊 ETH Analysis 📊 ETH is also confirming our bullish thesis from yesterday after closing the daily back inside its upward channel while its momentum waves clip to the upside, giving plenty of room higher. If we can close the daily above 3050, I'll start targeting 3270 at the very least. The RSI is also close to crossing above its signal line which will help with the bullish momentum. Major support remains 2900-2930, 2820, 2750, and 2680, while major resistance remains 3050, 3170 (50D EMA), 3270 (coincident with the 100D EMA/50W EMA), and 3500-3600. 👑 If you would like to join my private group, see the pinned message or the link below: Data's Alpha Circle - https://whop.com/datas-alpha-circle/upgrade-elite-access/ Quote of the day ✍️ "If you’re serious about what you want, you will always find a way. If you aren’t serious, you will always find an excuse." ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

📊 Market Update 📊 Gold continued higher today which reflects a structural repricing of dollar-denominated risk amid converging fiscal, monetary, and geopolitical dislocations. This is reflected from the DXY's underperformance amid fears mounting following the New York Fed's rate check on USD/JPY while we also have the threat of a government shutdown Jan 31st (81% via Polymarket). We also have big tech earnings this week which is another reason for the continued chop in BTC (along with negative ETF flows for the 6th day in a row). Despite this, there still remains hope that Trump will announce BlackRock's Rick Rieder as Fed Chair this week, who has expressed interest in yield curve control tactics: Key News Events - Trump announces 25% tariffs on South Korean cars, pharmaceuticals, and lumber for delaying trade deal. - Trump warns of "major retaliation" if Europe sells US Securities - Jan 30th options expiry totals $8.5B on Deribit with max pain at $90k - Odds of a government shutdown rise to 81% (via Polymarket) amid Senate Democrats threatening to block spending package - Odds of BlackRock's Rick Rieder becoming next Fed Chair reaches 47% - Tucker Carlson suggests Bitcoin could replace the US dollar as the global reserve currency. - Michael Saylor's 'Strategy' buys 2,932 Bitcoin worth $257 million - Tom Lee's 'BitMine' buys 40,302 $ETH worth $117 million - The Fed is expected to hold rates steady at the Jan 28th FOMC meeting (99% chance via Polymarket) Upcoming Events - Jan 28th - FOMC Meeting (2pm EST Decision, 230pm EST Conference) - Jan 30th - $8.5B BTC/ETH options expiry - Jan 31st - Government shutdown deadline (if no resolution) - Feb 1st - Full Moon (historically bullish) Summary ✍️ Everyone's waiting for BTC to start outperforming again as the "digital gold" narrative resurfaces from Gold's outperformance this year. There are a ton of unknowns this week stemming from big tech earnings, FOMC, government shutdown concerns, and options expiry. This is when it pays to remain patient and keep your risk tight. As these events unfold, the uncertainty should dissipate and we should see a nice bounce by next week (pending negative news). We have a Full Moon Feb 1st which has historically been bullish 70% of the time, so if the stars align macro-wise, I will look to play it. 📊 BTC Analysis 📊 BTC looks good so far as it confirmed its bullish divergence on the daily StochRSI and has regained above its previous 88.2k resistance, although a second daily close above would confirm the reversal. The RSI is still curbing to the upside as BTC approaches its next major resistance of 90k. This also coincides with "max pain" for the futures options expiry this Friday. Major support remains 88.2k, 86.7, 80k, and 78k, while major resistance remains 90k, 92k (50D EMA), 94.6k, 97k (50W EMA), 100k, and 104k. 📊 ETH Analysis 📊 ETH is starting to look very bullish as it closed back into its upward channel and attempts to break above resistance of 2930. The StochRSI is also curving back to the upside with the RIS is also showing positive momentum, along with our momentum waves printing bullish signals. As long as we can close the daily within the upward channel, I remain bullish. Major support remains 2900, 2820, 2750, and 2680, while major resistance remains 2930, 3050, 3170 (50D EMA), 3270 (coincident with the 100D EMA/50W EMA), and 3500-3600. 👑 If you would like to join my private group, see the pinned message or the link below: Data's Alpha Circle - https://whop.com/datas-alpha-circle/upgrade-elite-access/ Quote of the day ✍️ “Waiting for motivation is a subtle form of procrastination.” ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

📊 Market Update 📊 The weekend chop has been very rough amid thin liquidity ahead of multiple macro events. The crypto market continues to underperform vs precious metals as gold climbs above 5k and silver reaches $105. Markets are still positioning ahead of the FOMC meeting Wednesday and a heavy slate of Mag7 earnings (for stocks). We also have a potential government shutdown looming after Senate Democrats announced they would block the spending package unless DHS funding is removed. On top of this, Japan's PM Takaichi warned against "abnormal" yen moves, adding another layer of uncertainty. This is when it pays to be patient and only bid when the R/R is on your side: Key News Events - Canada says it has no plans to sign a "free trade deal" with China after President Trump threatens 100% tariffs - Odds of a government shutdown rise to 75% (via Polymarket) amid Senate Democrats threatening to block spending package - Japan PM Takaichi warns against "abnormal" yen market moves - Shanghai silver premiums surge to +17/oz, pushing local prices as high as $125/oz following China export ban - Federal government offices in D.C. closed Monday (Jan 26) due to inclement weather - The Fed is expected to hold rates steady at the Jan 28th FOMC meeting (97% chance via Polymarket) - Gold and Silver reach ATHs again above $5k and $105 respectively - Michael Saylor hints at buying more Bitcoin Upcoming Events - Jan 26th - Federal offices closed (D.C. weather); Big Tech earnings begin - Jan 28th - FOMC Meeting - Jan 31st - Supreme Court decision on Trump's tariffs (tentative) - Jan 31st - Government shutdown deadline (if no resolution) - Feb 1st - Full Moon (historically bullish) Summary ✍️ It's a pivotal week ahead with the Fed meeting, Big Tech earnings, and potential government shutdown all converging. This weekend price action has been very weak with thin liquidity amplifying moves to the downside. Precious metals continue to outperform as the "safe haven" trade remains in full force. The Fed is widely expected to hold rates steady, but all eyes will be on Powell's tone and any commentary on Fed independence amid Trump's continued pressure for lower rates. With so much uncertainty (shutdown risk, Fed, earnings, Japan), I'm remaining patient and waiting for clearer direction. Don't force trades in this environment. Wait for the dust to settle and for your indicators to be in confluence with major S/R lines. 📊 BTC Analysis 📊 BTC has held above its 86.7k support while the RSI is curving back to the upside and momentum waves are bottoming out. The StochRSI is also showing signs of reversing if Monday's stock market opens green. We have a lot of uncertainty this week so make sure to take profits quickly both ways as there will undoubtedly be volatility. Major support remains 86.7, 80k, and 78k, while major resistance remains 88.2k, 92k (50D EMA), 94.6k, 97k (50W EMA), 100k, and 104k. 📊 ETH Analysis 📊 ETH is having a nice bounce above its major trendline support at 2750. The RSI and StochRSI are curving to the upside, while momentum waves look to be bottoming out. If it can close back into its upwards channel above 2930, it'll be very bullish. Major support remains 2820, 2750, and 2680, while major resistance remains 2930, 3050, 3170 (50D EMA), 3270 (coincident with the 100D EMA/50W EMA), and 3500-3600. 👑 If you would like to join my private group, see the pinned message or the link below: Data's Alpha Circle - https://whop.com/datas-alpha-circle/upgrade-elite-access/ Quote of the day ✍️ “Most doors look locked until you try the handle.” ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

📊 Market Update 📊 The markets continue to digest macro and geopolitical pressures as precious metals outperform while crypto still struggles. Gold is very close to reaching $5,000 and silver broke through $100 for the first time in history, both hitting new ATHs. The weak dollar, Japan's hawkish BOJ stance, and fading confidence in US assets continue to drive the safe-haven demand. Trump's Davos speech and subsequent "framework" deal on Greenland eased some immediate tariff concerns, but uncertainty remains with the FOMC meeting next week. In saying that, we've still had outperformance from a few memecoins, mainly PENGUIN (above 150mil in 1 week), which shows that retail is willing to invest despite the uncertainty: Key News Events - Senate Democrats to shut down US government if DHS & ICE funding is included, following fatal shooting in Minneapolis. - BOJ left rates unchanged but struck hawkish tone, boosting yen and pressuring risk assets - SEC and CFTC to hold joint event to discuss making the US the "crypto capital of the world." - Binance Founder CZ predicts Bitcoin will enter a supercycle this year. - President Trump threatens to impose 100% tariffs on Canada if they make a deal with China. Upcoming Events - Jan 28th - FOMC Meeting - Jan 31st - Supreme Court decision on Trump's tariffs (tentative) Summary ✍️ The big story this week was Trump's Davos speech where he backed off military force threats for Greenland and withdrew tariff threats after reaching a "framework" with NATO. The markets initially rallied on the de-escalation but remain cautious. Until then, I will continue to place very strategic trades only when the R/R is favorable across S/R lines and indicators. The Fed is widely expected to hold rates steady next week (97% probability via Polymarket), but markets are still pricing in two cuts later this year. With rising Japanese yields pressuring carry trades and geopolitical uncertainty remaining elevated, I'm staying patient and waiting for cleaner setups. Remember, it's still the weekend, so volatility will be at an ATH. Never force a trade during uncertain macro environments, wait for confluence + confirmation from your indicators. 📊 BTC Analysis 📊 BTC has been range-bound between $88k-$91k this week after the Jan 20-21st liquidation flush. The bounce from $88k held, which aligns with the prior CME gap fill level. The StochRSI is attempting to curve higher from oversold territory but is already losing momentum. The Sharpe ratio has turned negative (levels last seen in 2018-19 and 2022 bear markets), which historically has marked bottoming zones but requires patience for confirmation. Major support remains 88.2k (CME Gap), 86.7k, and 80k, while major resistance remains 92k (50D EMA), 94.6k, 97k (50W EMA), 100k, and 104k. 📊 ETH Analysis 📊 ETH remains in its upward channel which is technically more bullish than BTC, especially considering the momentum waves are starting to clip to the upside, but we still need a daily close for confirmation. The StochRSI is oversold which means we should see some positive PA within the next few days if we can hold major support levels. As long as we remain within the channel, and preferably close above 2930, I remain bullish. Major support remains 2930, and 2820, while major resistance remains 3050, 3170 (50D EMA), 3270 (coincident with the 100D EMA/50W EMA), and 3500-3600. 👑 If you would like to join my private group, see the pinned message or the link below: Data's Alpha Circle - https://whop.com/datas-alpha-circle/upgrade-elite-access/ Quote of the day ✍️ “You don’t need a sign. You need a decision.” ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

📊 Market Update 📊 The market continues to chop amid ongoing macro uncertainty, with the dollar under pressure and precious metals extending their rallies to ATHs (silver crossed above $100). Trump's recent Davos address emphasized America's economic strength, tariffs, and commitment to making the US the crypto capital of the world (including pushing for crypto market structure legislation), which provided some supportive tone but hasn't fully offset risk-off sentiment from tariffs and global tensions. We saw notable liquidations above $1B recently, often a capitulation signal (and marks a bottom within 1-3 days), but volatility remains high, and patience is key until a clearer direction emerges: Key News Events - Trump delivers bullish "America First" speech at Davos, touts US economy as global engine, pushes tariffs, and reaffirms making America the crypto capital (hopes to sign crypto market structure legislation soon) - Binance Founder CZ predicts Bitcoin will enter a supercycle this year. - $6.9 trillion UBS to offer Bitcoin & crypto trading to clients. - Trump says mortgage rates just hit a three year low despite Fed Chair Jerome Powell being "wrong all along." - Kansas introduces bill to create a Bitcoin & crypto Strategic Reserve. - Gold and silver reach ATHs amid safe-haven demand - Bitmine adds over $100M in ETH holdings Upcoming Events - Jan 28th - FOMC Meeting - Jan 31st - Supreme Court decision on Trump's tariffs (tentative) Summary ✍️ The markets digested Trump's Davos remarks positively in parts, highlighting economic miracles, tariff strategies, and pro-crypto stance, but broader risk-off flows from macro volatility, tariff escalations, and geopolitical noise is contributing to the chop. I remain tentatively bullish as we're still holding major support levels, but am waiting until the macro uncertainties clear to go full "risk-on." Until then, I will continue to place very strategic trades only when the R/R is favorable across S/R lines and indicators. 📊 BTC Analysis 📊 BTC's bearish divergence on the daily StochRSI fully played out and now both indicators are reset. Its support between 88.2-88.5k continues to hold and it's back within its upward channel so I'll reman bullish as long as we can maintain a closure above. Major support remains 88.2k (CME Gap), 86.7k, and 80k, while major resistance remains 92k (50D EMA), 94.6k, 97k (50W EMA), 100k, and 104k. 📊 ETH Analysis 📊 ETH continues to bounce off of its upward channel (very bullish), and the bearish divergence in the StochRSI fully played out which gives room for higher. The StochRSI is also oversold so as long as it can close within its upward channel, I remain bullish. Major support remains 2930, and 2820, while major resistance remains 3050, 3170 (50D EMA), 3270 (coincident with the 100D EMA/50W EMA), and 3500-3600. 👑 If you would like to join my private group, see the pinned message or the link below: Data's Alpha Circle - https://whop.com/datas-alpha-circle/upgrade-elite-access/ Quote of the day ✍️ “Most people aren’t lost; they’re just aggressively walking in the wrong direction.” ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌