MLB INTEL LAB ⚾️
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Посты канала
Repost from Big Dog Intel🐾
Some MLB trends
Away dogs: 55-61 (+8.2% ROI)
Dogs with O/U 8-8.5: 20-20 (+16.4% ROI)
Dogs off 1 favorite win: 23-19 (+23.2% ROI)
| 2 |  COVERS CONSENSUS PICKS
NHL
SENATORS / CAPITALS UNDER 6 -123 (0.5U)
NBA
HAWKS +8 -115 (0.5U)
OKC / HAWKS UNDER 238.5 -115 (0.5U)
MLB
BLUE JAYS ML +130 (1U) | 0 |
| 3 |  Was in a rush to post these and didn't notice the Penguins play tomorrow. New NHL play:
Jets ML ML -132 (1U)
The rest are the same:
NBA
SPURS -3.5 -115 (0.5U)
MLB
LAD / TOR OVER 7.5 -120 (0.5U) | 0 |
| 4 | NHL
PENGUINS ML -130 (1U)
NBA
SPURS -3.5 -115 (0.5U)
MLB
LAD / TOR OVER 7.5 -120 (0.5U) | 0 |
| 5 |  Don't tell me this is not sick. Tailing only the "rare" angles of my trends would result in... 19 wins 5 losses / +51.8% ROI / +12.4U since June when I started posting them.
And I have two of them today. Already posted 👆😎 | 0 |
| 6 | NHL trends: 9-5 to start the season
CFB & UFC trends no good yesterday
👉 Maple Leafs / Red Wings OVER 6 (-113) ✅
👉 Lightning / Devils OVER 6 (-115) ✅
👉 Rangers ML (-140) ✅
👉 Rangers / Penguins UNDER 6 (-104) ❌
👉 Stars / Avalanche UNDER 6 (+100) ❌
👉 Seattle / Vegas UNDER 6 (-101) ✅
👉 Hawaii / Utah State under 57.5 (-110) ❌
👉 Gamrot ML (-110) ❌
NFL trends already posted since Wednesday. Grab them here 👉 https://whop.com/big-dog-intel/intel-trends/ | 0 |
| 7 | - One MLB VIP trend - posted ✅ (Cubs / Brewers game)
- One NHL VIP trend - posted ✅ (Rangers / Penguins game — goes tomorrow)
👉 Get them here: https://whop.com/big-dog-intel/intel-trends/ | 0 |
| 8 |  +1MLB PLAYOFFS PREVIEW
Alright so yesterday I made the right calls (Yankees OVER & Mariners ML). Hopefully underdogs will keep barking. Let's see:
Sides:
Dogs are 7-4 SU on Mondays since 2022. Obviously I'd play both dogs here but IF I HAD TO CHOOSE ONE, it'd be the Cubs (away dogs are 49-52 / +10.7% ROI)
Totals:
Unders are 9-6 so far since the wild card round. Monday unders are 7-5. Leaning Dodgers / Phllies UNDER here because unders are 18-14 in games with away favs | 0 |
| 9 |  +1Let's try to break down today's MLB games.
I'll start with underdogs (screenshot 1):
1. Reds is a no go because dogs priced +165 or longer are 1-3 SU (since 2022)
2. Red Sox are +155ish — they qualify for the 13-17 angle (+135 to +165 priced dogs)
3. Cubs / Padres is pretty much even
That leaves us with one underodg:
Tigers are +115 to +120 on most books and that's the same angle as Red Sox yesterday. So I think Tigers ML is the move today.
Onto totals (screenshot 2):
1. Wednesday UNDERs are 13-8
2. Best UNDERs are in the 6-7.5 range so I'm not looking into Dodgers/Reds UNDER. I'd also refrain from taking Yankees unders bc you never know when their bats get hot
So that leaves us with two games. What I would do here is wait to see if the under hits in Tigers/Guardians. If it does not hit, I'd go with Cubs/Padres UNDER. Or if Padres close as favorites, I'd go with the under in that game regardless bc away favs = unders prevail.
Just sharing thought process. Not betting anything yet. I'll wait for now. | 0 |
| 10 |  +1Now about MLB LAB channel specifically
MLB regular season is over so let's recap it. I don't have many playoffs trends but if I find something I'll lyk of course
As you remember, I track 10 teams and make picks based off their stats. Conclusions that I can draw:
1. UNDERs. Most of the teams that I track are low scoring.
The UNDERs that I was posting here actually performed really well: 221-178 (55.4% win rate) for +23 units and +5.85% ROI across 399 picks.
2. ML picks. Not great. But I came up with the kelly criterion system and gave a new life to underdog picks. Home dogs also been doing great all season. So will work in improving content in this channel: might only leave unders, might add spreads, might add parlays.
Lots of ideas on improvement, stay tuned for the next season 👀 And join other channels:
Main channel: https://t.me/bigdogintel
Free cappers plays & detailed stats: https://t.me/betting_intel
Kelly criterion plays: https://t.me/kelly_betting
Covers.com consensus trends: https://t.me/coversconsensus
Soccer plays based off trends I track: https://t.me/soccer_lab
Football plays based off trends I track: https://t.me/intel_football_lab
Basketball plays based off trends I track: https://t.me/intel_ball_lab
NHL plays based off trends I track: https://t.me/nhl_lab | 0 |
| 11 |  Naturally, favorites also win, so I started looking for what could be done there —and I found that JUICED FAVORITES (-200 or shorter) are doing well with covering the -1.5 spreads:
195-150 for +4.8% ROI and +16.9 units | 0 |
| 12 |  Knowing that underdogs were strong, I took a closer look, and the best way to bet underdogs was to bet the home underdogs. As a result, they were very profitable:
379-423 for +4.24% ROI and +34 units. | 0 |
| 13 |  +1I want to start with the overall charts of favorites and underdogs. Favorites were strong at the beginning of the season — in April — then the dominance completely changed, and dogs kept pushing forward without stopping. | 0 |
| 14 |  Team with most OVERs since 2023:
Dodgers: 261-217, +20.5U | 0 |
| 15 |  Team with most OVERs this season:
Tigers 83-74
Lots of red here = unders prevailed | 0 |
| 16 |  Most profitable team since 2023:
🥇 Orioles: 267-219, +16.5U | 0 |
| 17 |  Most profitable team out of the 10 teams I track:
🥇 Guardians: 89-73, +13U | 0 |
| 18 | TIME TO RECAP MLB '25 | 0 |
| 19 |  +1MLB LAB 9/28
ORIOLES ML +160
REDS UN 7.5 -115
GUARDIANS UN 8 -115
ASTROS UN 9.5 -115
PADRES UN 8 -105 | 0 |
| 20 |  +2Personal plays based off trends : 5-0 ☺️
1-0 on soccer with one soccer game today
2-0 on MLB
2-0 on college football
Still not a capper tho. Just finding trends worth betting
👉 https://cappersintel.com | 0 |
