Big Dog IntelπΎ
ΠΡΠΊΡΡΡΡ Π² Telegram
Unique betting intel across all major leagues π More value than a thousand cappers can offer π§ π° The degentlemen's club: https://cappersintel.com/ Owner: @realdeal666 Main channel: https://t.me/+xc7F6JCrEKQ2NmUy
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| 17 ΠΈΡΠ½Ρ | +2 | |||
| 16 ΠΈΡΠ½Ρ | +38 | |||
| 15 ΠΈΡΠ½Ρ | +12 | |||
| 14 ΠΈΡΠ½Ρ | +42 | |||
| 13 ΠΈΡΠ½Ρ | +3 | |||
| 12 ΠΈΡΠ½Ρ | +1 | |||
| 11 ΠΈΡΠ½Ρ | +7 | |||
| 10 ΠΈΡΠ½Ρ | +1 | |||
| 09 ΠΈΡΠ½Ρ | +3 | |||
| 08 ΠΈΡΠ½Ρ | 0 | |||
| 07 ΠΈΡΠ½Ρ | +3 | |||
| 06 ΠΈΡΠ½Ρ | +15 | |||
| 05 ΠΈΡΠ½Ρ | +4 | |||
| 04 ΠΈΡΠ½Ρ | +3 | |||
| 03 ΠΈΡΠ½Ρ | +2 | |||
| 02 ΠΈΡΠ½Ρ | +4 | |||
| 01 ΠΈΡΠ½Ρ | +6 |
ΠΠΎΡΡΡ ΠΊΠ°Π½Π°Π»Π°
AI trend of the day
4-8 since I started posting them
OVERS are ok
Bounce back today? π / π ?
| 2 | No supermax bullshit
No dogshit AI generated pictures
No 90% off lifetime dubclub memberships
Always trying to find new ways to make $ from betting instead of "just selling picks"
I've failed many times, but I've never given up
I love this game. I live this game | 636 |
| 3 | New EV model (15-3 so far)
Will also post the picks in this channel moving on: https://t.me/ev_intel
#EVmodel tag for convenience | 646 |
| 4 | Big Dog Intel for the people π | 734 |
| 5 | AI trend of the day
4-7 since I started posting them but OVERS are doing quite well
What we thinking? π / π ? | 765 |
| 6 | New EV model (11-2 so far)
Will also post it in this channel moving on: https://t.me/ev_intel
#EVmodel tag for convenience | 827 |
| 7 | These picks went 4-1. Ok we can work with that.
Who's ready for today's batch of picks from this model? | 820 |
| 8 | Yeeeah I definitely did not expect all four draws to hit and now my tweet has nearly 200k views
GUYS IM FAMOUS π€£
https://x.com/bigdogintel/status/2066531047353839815?s=46&t=nrsKRo7DV0s-QtnP38u_2Q | 776 |
| 9 | Poker π | 305 |
| 10 | How the fuck am I so good?
I am the sharpest soccer analyst!
Spain / Cape Verde DRAW +1100 β
Belgium / Egypt DRAW +325 β
Saudi Arabia / Uruguay DRAW +315
Last game on the board.
WIN WITH ME OR WATCH ME WIN π€£π€£π€£ or whatever cappers say | 845 |
| 11 | My sharp darling hasn't been doing as well as Valkyries did last season when they entered the league
I still hope they can make me a few more pizzas
They're priced around +700 today so I can't pass at such odds π | 776 |
| 12 | All jokes and fades aside, Iβm testing something new.
Mixed sports (MLB & WNBA mostly for now).
1-5U SCALE
Trying to attack mispriced angles early in the day. Some of these lines have moved already.
SMALL SAMPLE BUT SO FAR SO GOOD:
6/13: 4-1
6/14: 3-0 | 746 |
| 13 | ai trend of the day (record: 3-7)
Not fading nor tailing today. just posting for tracking
Overs perform better than unders:
MLB TOTAL TREND BACKTEST
Raw Trend of the Day
74 plays | 36-33-5 | 52.2%
Profit: -0.24u | ROI -0.3%
OVER Trends
56 plays | 31-24-1 | 56.4%
Profit: +4.21u | ROI +7.5%
UNDER Trends
18 plays | 5-9-4 | 35.7%
Profit: -4.45u | ROI -24.7%
Best Filter
OVER only + no Saturday
45 plays | 29-16 | 64.4%
Profit: +10.39u | ROI +23.1%
Conclusion:
UNDER trends are the problem.
Saturday is the worst day.
OVER-only filter looks playable. | 793 |
| 14 | I am the sharpest soccer analyst!
Spain / Cape Verde DRAW +1100 β
Belgium / Egypt DRAW +325 β
Get my next soccer pick for only $499 (crypto or cash only)
@realdeal666 | 779 |
| 15 | π€
Nice way to start the day with the draw | 795 |
| 16 | GM
That UFC card was fucking awesome π₯ Every fight finished by KO/TKO. And a huge underdog win as a cherry on top. Nice.
UFC model went 1-2. The only winner was a +170 pick. Almost broke even. The shittiest part: after I refreshed the odds, the model switched the main play (Gane/Pereira O3.5) from Gane ML to the over. But I'm not the guy to talk about what ifs, fuck that. 1-2 is a fact.
AI fade of the day was no good. I ran a backtest (should've done this sooner - my fault) and turns out that fading MLB unders is a good move (especially if you but the hook - there's 4 pushes), but not the overs. However the sample is still not huge (2026 only):
MLB TOTAL TREND BACKTEST
Raw Trend of the Day
74 plays | 36-33-5 | 52.2%
Profit: -0.24u | ROI -0.3%
OVER Trends
56 plays | 31-24-1 | 56.4%
Profit: +4.21u | ROI +7.5%
UNDER Trends
18 plays | 5-9-4 | 35.7%
Profit: -4.45u | ROI -24.7%
Best Filter
OVER only + no Saturday
45 plays | 29-16 | 64.4%
Profit: +10.39u | ROI +23.1%
Conclusion:
UNDER trends are the problem.
Saturday is the worst day.
OVER-only filter looks playable.
Hurricanes. Easy win and easy under. Just like the trends suggested. I only took Hurricanes because of a few cappers who are doing really well this month. And overall cappers delivered a bunch of wins for me yesterday.
____
Late action today: MLB and WNBA. Not sure if we'll have anything interesting. Yes, there's soccer WC games. I'm still betting draws in every game and it's been ok. Current record if you bet only draws: 4-8 (+4.85 π units) | 881 |
| 17 | NHL Finals trend:
Games with ROAD FAVORITES are 6-2 to the UNDER since 2022
Applies to today's game π Hurricanes @ Knights UNDER 6 (-120)
ALSO
My long time subscriber shared this trend early in the playoffs and it's been sustainable:
when the series is tied 2-2, the winner of game 5 goes on to win the series. This trend is 5-0 on the Playoffs this year. Canes won game 5. Which means you can take Canes today and double on them in game 7 [if you believe in this trend of course. I'm just sharing the info π€] | 902 |
| 18 | UFC 250
Time to give my UFC model a go!
Pereira vs Gane OVER 3.5 (-105)
Steve Garcia ML (+117)
Hokit vs Lewis OVER 1.5 (+170)
GL if tailing π | 876 |
| 19 | Two picks to get the juiced flowing
https://t.me/kelly_betting/1468
Did half unit on each | 833 |
| 20 | Finally I created a model for UFC. Time to give her a go today!
The model combines line movement analysis, weigh-in results and historical trends (1000+ fights tracked)
Will have 3 picks that according to the model have edge over implied odds
Stay tuned π | 802 |
Π£ΠΆΠ΅ Π΄ΠΎΡΡΡΠΏΠ½ΠΎ! ΠΡΡΠ»Π΅Π΄ΠΎΠ²Π°Π½ΠΈΠ΅ Telegram 2025 β ΠΊΠ»ΡΡΠ΅Π²ΡΠ΅ ΠΈΠ½ΡΠ°ΠΉΡΡ Π³ΠΎΠ΄Π° 
