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Hidden Multibagger Stocks by Devendra (RA: INH000026488)
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Disclaimer: I am a SEBI Registered Research Analyst (RA: INH000026488). All stocks, market updates, and investment-related information shared in this channel are strictly for educational and informational purposes only.
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Please watch my latest YouTube video, where I explain the risks associated with the global financial crisis. In this video, I discuss why I consistently advise investing only 30% of your capital in the current market.
If you understand the global economy, you will realize why our market is not recovering. This analysis is based on historical data, which will help you make informed investment decisions.
If you rely solely on technical charts for your investment decisions, you may face significant losses in this market, as charts do not provide a future market outlook.👇
Use any market recovery as an opportunity to exit your positions. A sustained recovery is unlikely in the near future. If you are holding any stocks in profit, it is advisable to exit and keep cash on hand. Avoid taking high exposure in the current market, as it is significantly different from what you experienced in 2021. Your top priority should be capital protection. Do not make the mistake of investing all your funds in this market, as it could lead to disastrous consequences. Instead, limit your investments to 30% of your capital and proceed with caution.
💥The Real Reason Behind FII Selling & When They Will Return 💥
Coming Saturday, I will be releasing a new YouTube video where I will explain why FIIs have been continuously selling in the Indian market and when they are expected to return. You won’t find this information on any other platform—this is 100% accurate data-driven analysis.
Understanding why FIIs are selling and when they will come back is crucial for making informed investment decisions. Without this knowledge, you are exposing yourself to significant risk in the stock market.
This video will be an eye-opener, providing valuable insights into what’s next for our market and the precautions investors should take. Our analysis is entirely based on data, ensuring a high level of accuracy. Our approach helps investors avoid being misled or trapped in this bear market.
If you don’t understand global economic trends and their impact on our market, you won’t be able to determine the right time to invest, exit, or allocate your capital effectively.
Today, DII buying absorbed FII selling, leading to a sharp recovery by the end of the session. However, FIIs have been selling continuously for the past five months, which is unusual. This situation requires a different perspective.
Watch my latest YouTube video, where I explain why FIIs are selling in our market, how the current market conditions differ from previous cycles, and the connection between the Fed rate cut cycle and market crashes in 2008 and 2020.
Understanding the global market economy is essential for interpreting FII flows. Relying solely on technical charts is not enough to comprehend market movements. Our analysis is data-driven, and while some of our predictions may seem negative, taking appropriate action at the right time can be beneficial. Ignoring these warnings, however, could lead to significant losses.
I have repeatedly advised booking profits on all stocks that surged in 2023-24. Additionally, I recommend investing only 30% of your capital at this stage. Avoid averaging down or making new purchases, as the market could decline further. My understanding of FII psychology, particularly in relation to the Fed rate cut cycle, has guided this outlook.
The outcome of the Fed meeting on March 19 is a crucial event. If the Fed cuts interest rates, inflation could rise again. Conversely, if the Fed delays too long, the U.S. could slip into a recession.
I do not expect FIIs to return until there is clarity on the U.S. recession outlook. Historically, every time the Fed has started cutting rates, the U.S. economy has entered a recession. As a precaution, FIIs are shifting their capital from the Indian market to U.S. bond yields.
Only on our channel will you find real, fact-based analysis of FII selling and its impact on the market.
The Fed’s Dilemma :
The Fed Chair Jerome Powell in a difficult position:
➡️ Cut rates too soon? Inflation could surge again.
➡️ Wait too long? The slowdown could deepen into a full-blown .
The correction in small and midcap stocks is not yet over. If you are fully invested, use every pullback as an opportunity to exit your positions, as there is a possibility of further declines after minor recoveries. In the current market, protecting your capital is more important.
I have warned on our channel to be prepared for any consequences if the U.S. slips into a recession. If that happens, the market will experience a sharp decline, leaving no opportunity to exit. This is why I ask to keep only 30% of your capital invested, given the uncertainty surrounding the U.S. economy.
Please watch this latest YouTube video to understand why the U.S. could enter a recession and why FIIs are continuously selling. This market decline is not a normal correction—there are serious issues related to the U.S. economy. Even if the market pulls back, it may not sustain its gains.
The current situation is similar to the 2008 and 2020 crises. In this video, I explain the key indicators that signal whether the U.S. is heading toward a recession.👇
Dear Members,
Since November 2024, I have been continuously guiding you on how to navigate this bear phase. I advised investing only 30% of your capital while keeping 70% in cash. I also repeatedly cautioned against buying, as the market was expected to decline further during this phase.
FIIs recognized as early as September 2024 that when the Federal Reserve started cutting interest rates, conditions similar to 2008 and 2020 would emerge, leading the U.S. economy into a recession. This is why FIIs began selling in the Indian market and moved their funds into safe-haven U.S. bonds.
Why would they return if they foresee a U.S. recession, which could trigger a downturn in all global markets?
We provide data-driven analysis to protect our members. Without data, you cannot predict future market trends. This is not a market for aggressive buying—it is a market where you should focus on protecting your capital and staying cautious.
If the market continues to decline, it will resemble the 2008 global financial crisis. FIIs are not willing to buy in the Indian market, a clear indication that they are shifting capital from equities to bonds due to recession fears.
When a global crisis occurs, market recovery takes time, and your capital could remain trapped for an extended period. The best strategy is to stay on the sidelines, maintain only 30% investment, and keep 70% in cash to avoid unnecessary risks.
Dear members ,
Remember, for the past three months, I have consistently advised investing only 30% of your capital in this market while keeping 70% in cash. We are facing market conditions similar to the 2008 and 2020 crashes, so it is crucial not to take excessive positions.
A market recovery will be very difficult because we are entering a phase where the U.S. economy is at risk of slipping into a recession, just as it did in 2008 and 2020. In both instances, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates, and U.S. bond yields uninverted—both of which have already happened this time as well.
Due to recession fears, FIIs are pulling money out of the overvalued and highly risky Indian market and shifting it into U.S. bonds, which are considered the safest asset in the world. Historically, during global crises, capital flows from equities to bonds as investors seek stability.
Additionally, the U.S. market remains highly volatile, reacting sharply to economic data, making the overall market environment even more uncertain.
Staying on the sidelines is the best strategy in this market.
👉Those who watch my YouTube video will understand what is happening in the global market, why FIIs are selling, and why the U.S. economy could slip into a recession.
This market is similar to 2008 and 2020, where major corrections took place. Our analysis is data-driven, focusing on macroeconomic trends rather than relying solely on technical charts, which do not provide insights into global market movements.
Use every market pullback as an opportunity to exit your positions and hold cash. If the U.S. economy enters a recession, global markets could experience further declines.
US economy on track for negative GDP in Trump’s first quarter back
https://www.mitrade.com/insights/news/live-news/article-3-669811-20250302
🚨 New YouTube Video Coming Soon: Global Crisis & US Recession Alert! 🚨
🔍 What’s Inside the Video?
📉 Is the US Economy Heading for a Recession?
Key indicators signaling a potential economic downturn.
How to identify when the US economy is officially in recession.
📊 Market Parallels: 2008 vs. 2020 vs. Now
Similarities between the current market conditions and past major crashes.
Lessons from the 2008 financial crisis and 2020 pandemic crash.
💡 Your Approach in This Market
How to navigate market volatility and avoid common mistakes.
🎯 Don’t Miss It! Subscribe Now & Stay Updated!
https://youtube.com/@stockmarket-devendra?si=SqAptbMau6-pMY2z
💥Major Market Correction Ahead? Why FIIs Are Selling Heavily💥
A global market crash typically occurs when the following three conditions related to the U.S. economy are met:
👉Balance in the Reverse Repo (RRP) Facility reaches zero – Currently, the balance stands at $182 billion, meaning this condition will likely be met soon.
👉The Federal Reserve has started cutting interest rates – This condition has already been met.
👉The yield curve (spread between the 10-year and 3-month U.S. bond yields) has uninverted – This condition has also been satisfied.
Out of these three conditions, two have already been met. If the RRP balance drops to zero, it could signal that the U.S. economy is heading toward a recession. However, a recession does not occur immediately after all three conditions are fulfilled—it takes time. That said, the stock market tends to react in advance, often before a recession officially begins.
The heavy selling by FIIs on Friday is a strong indication that they are already aware of the looming recession in the U.S. If the U.S. enters a recession, we could see a significant crash in global markets.
Given the latest U.S. economic data, my previous prediction of the market reaching the 22,000 level has changed. We are likely to see a deeper correction.
Before the bear phase began, I recommended exiting all stocks that had rallied in 2023–24 during Nov–Dec 2024 to accumulate cash. This cash should be deployed when the market crashes due to a global crisis.
Investment Strategy in the Current Market:
👉Invest only 30% of your capital in this market.Keep 70% of your capital in cash and invest it only when a confirmed bull market begins.
👉Avoid investing in new stocks until the market stabilizes, as it has been forming lower lows for the past five months, indicating a downward trend.
👉Investing all your capital in the current market conditions could be a disastrous decision. Invest only 30% capital which i explained in my youtube video.
I will be making a new YouTube video on this topic, where I will explain why the current market situation closely resembles the 2008 financial crisis. Stay tuned!
https://t.me/marketinsightswith_Devendra
💥Why FII selling increased suddenly: due to US Yield Curve Inversion: A Recession Warning Signal?💥
The yield curve represents the relationship between bond yields and their maturity periods. Typically, 10 year bonds have higher yields than 3 month bonds due to the risks associated with holding them for extended periods. However, when the yield curve inverts, short-term yields surpass long-term yields, signaling potential economic instability.
Current State of the Yield Curve
The yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds has fallen to 4.254% annually, decreasing by 0.04 percentage points from the previous day.
The yield on 3-month Treasury bonds has risen by 0.008 percentage points to 4.3% annually.
This results in an inverted yield curve, where short-term borrowing costs are higher than long-term borrowing costs.
Yield curve inversion is widely regarded as an early signal of a potential recession.
When short-term yields exceed long-term yields, it reflects market expectations of slower economic growth or a downturn.
a situation where the economy experiences high inflation and low growth, is another major concern.
Although not all yield curve inversions lead to recessions, many past recessions have been preceded by this phenomenon. Some notable instances include:
2000-2001: Yield curve inversion signaled the dot-com bubble burst and subsequent recession.
2007-2008: The inversion before the global financial crisis warned of economic trouble ahead.
2019-2020: A brief yield curve inversion occurred before the COVID-19 pandemic-induced recession.
GDP Q3 FY25 Data Updates:
India’s economic growth accelerated to 6.2% in the third quarter of FY25, up from 5.4% in the previous quarter, It is a rebound from the 5.4 per cent in the previous quarter (Q2), driven by improved rural consumption due to a favorable monsoon and increased government expenditure.
