HM Intelligence Updates

Happy ANZAC day to everyone from New Zealand and Australia 🫡 I spent the last 2 days visiting Gallipoli, seeing the key locations and staying overnight in ANZAC cove. It was a truly wonderful experience and something I'd definitely recommend. But apologies for the lack of post, this is the end of my trip so things should be getting back to normal in the next few days. Thank you for all the support as always 🤙 Daniel #HM #HMIntelligence

On April 22, 2025, a deadly militant attack in Baisaran Valley near Pahalgam, Jammu and Kashmir, claimed the lives of at least 28 tourists and injured over 20 others, with the assailants—linked to a Pakistan-based group—allegedly targeting victims based on religion. The incident, which ended a period of calm in the region, led to strong diplomatic fallout as India blamed Pakistan for supporting terrorism and took retaliatory actions, including suspending treaties and expelling diplomats. Pakistan denied involvement and responded by closing its airspace and escalating diplomatic tensions. So what While there is always a significant risk of nuclear confrontation between these two countries, it is still unlikely at this stage. However, it is possible that this could lead to low level skirmishes, which if it results in causalities, could continue to increase tensions. It is highly unlikely that Pakistan will help India in apprehension of the terrorists which means tensions remain high.

A North Korean KN-23 ballistic missile struck a residential building in Kyiv last night, killing 12 people. The attack highlights the continued supply of missiles from North Korea to Russia, contrasting with Ukraine's depleted stock of Western-supplied long-range weapons like the U.S. ATACMS and British/French Storm Shadows. #HM #HMIntelligence

Awesome footage captures a Ukrainian MiG-29 conducting an airstrike on a Russian target using French AASM Hammer guided bombs, flying at low altitude before climbing to release the munitions. #HM #HMIntelligence

Constable P. K. Singh of India’s Border Security Force (BSF) was apprehended by the Pakistani Punjab Rangers after being found inside Pakistani territory. He was captured in possession of a weapon, ammunition, and other military equipment, and is currently being held in Pakistani military custody. #HM #HMIntelligence

Russia has formally declined a request made in January by the new Syrian Government to extradite former Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, who faces allegations of war crimes and human rights violations. #HM #HMIntelligence

In response to the recent terror attack, India has taken several significant measures, including suspending all visa services for Pakistani nationals and declaring Pakistani military advisors in India persona non grata, requiring them to leave the country immediately. Indian diplomatic staff have been recalled from Pakistan, and the Wagah-Attari border crossing has been closed. Additionally, the Indian government is likely to convene an all-party meeting to discuss the evolving situation. #HM #HMIntelligence

The death toll from last night’s Russian missile and drone strike on Ukraine’s capital, Kyiv, has climbed to 10, with more than 60 people injured. Authorities expect these figures to rise as search-and-rescue efforts continue throughout Thursday. #HM #HMIntelligence

A Ukrainian drone evaded interception by a Russian Pantsir-S1 air defense system in Tatarstan, near the city of Naberezhnye Chelny, approximately 1,000 kilometers from the Ukrainian border. Check out our recent YouTube video on how Ukraine is using long range drones to great effect 🤙 just search "That Intel Guy" on YouTube. #HM #HMIntelligence

Ukrainian soldier of the Police Rifle Battalion eliminates invaders in a close range in the Toretsk direction, Donetsk region. #HM #HMIntelligence

New lesson alert! 😉 https://youtu.be/k2qpgZ_Z_uw?si=o1Y0Gh7USNfa_1OH

A 6.2 magnitude earthquake struck Istanbul, with its epicenter in the Sea of Marmara. The tremor was strongly felt across the city, though, as of now, there are no reported casualties or significant damage. #HM #HMIntelligence

In March, Russian President Vladimir Putin gifted Donald Trump a portrait depicting him following the attempted assassination in Butler, Pennsylvania. The artwork, created by prominent Russian artist Nikas Safronov, was delivered by Trump associate Steve Witkoff, who praised it as a "beautiful portrait" during an appearance on the Tucker Carlson podcast. #HM #HMIntelligence

In complete contradiction to what was reported by FT According to Axios sources, former President Trump's proposed "final offer" for peace in Ukraine would require Kyiv to accept Russian occupation of certain territories. The deal would grant Russia U.S. recognition of its control over Crimea and de facto acknowledgment of its presence in parts of Luhansk, Donetsk, Kherson, and Zaporizhia. Ukraine would also be barred from joining NATO, while Russia would benefit from lifted sanctions and expanded economic ties with the U.S. In return, Ukraine would receive vague security guarantees from European and other partner nations (excluding the U.S.), limited territorial restitution in the Kharkiv region, Dnieper River access, unspecified reconstruction aid, and shared control of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant, with electricity supplied to both nations. The White House is reportedly prepared to exit negotiations if no agreement is reached soon. Who knows what to believe at this point, let's just wait and see. #HM #HMIntelligence

At least 27 Hindu tourists were brutally killed in Kashmir during an Islamist terror attack carried out by Pakistani militants. The attackers reportedly verified the victims' religious identity by checking IDs or forcing male individuals to pull down their pants before executing them, ensuring they were targeting Hindus. #HM #HMIntelligence

Had a long chat with Brodie from Analyze and Educate 🤙 https://open.spotify.com/episode/68s8b571HYMDxAhjbCB8zF?si=MTTj-H2FTKWL76gieVKtBQ

According to the Financial Times, Russian President Vladimir Putin has expressed willingness to halt the war along the current front lines as part of a potential peace deal with Donald Trump. In exchange, Putin is reportedly prepared to concede full control of the four contested Ukrainian regions—Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhia—if the United States agrees to recognize Russia's annexation of Crimea and commit to blocking Ukraine from joining NATO. #HM #HMIntelligence

Just a quick one today, turns out our current location doesn't like VPNs or certain news websites 😑 https://open.spotify.com/episode/436o788L4M9Zr2k2sJ354g?si=InidjR2MTaesKjlHxtq4VA

A significant explosion has occurred at Russia's 51st GRAU arsenal in Vladimir Oblast, which reportedly stores over 100,000 tons of munitions, including artillery shells, MLRS rockets, air defense systems, and Tochka-U tactical missiles. According to the Russian Ministry of Defense, there have been no reported casualties, and the fire was initially attributed to a "safety violation." #HM #HMIntelligence

After the passing of Pope Francis at the age of 88, Polymarket's betting platform has turned its focus to predicting the next leader of the Holy See. Among the frontrunners are several prominent religious figures, with Cardinal Secretary of State Pietro Parolin currently leading the predictions at 37%. He is closely followed by Filipino Cardinal-Bishop Luis Antonio Tagle, who serves as Pro-Prefect for the Section of First Evangelization. #HM #HMIntelligence