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پست‌های کانال
U.S. CONSIDERS USING “MOTHER OF ALL BOMBS” AGAINST IRAN The Pentagon has reportedly developed new strike plans targeting Iranian energy infrastructure and nuclear facilities, potentially involving the GBU-43/B MOAB, America's largest non-nuclear bomb. According to CNN, the plans could be considered before or after the U.S. midterm elections, if President Trump authorizes renewed military operations. However, officials reportedly question whether the weapon could destroy deeply buried Iranian nuclear facilities, while warning of significant civilian casualty risks. No strike has been authorized or announced. The White House says Trump is keeping all options available. Source: CNN Exclusive

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September PPI Inflation unexpectedly rises to 6.3%, above expectations of 5.3%. Core PPI Inflation rose to 5.0%, above expectations of 4.4% PPI inflation is now at its second highest level since November 2022. The odds of rate hikes are rising sharply on the news.
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September CPI inflation rises to 3.7%, above expectations of 3.6% Core CPI inflation rises to 2.6%, also above expectations of 2.5%. This officially marks the third highest US inflation reading since September 2023. Rate hike expectations are rising on the news.
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Odds the Fed "hikes" interest rates this month have doubled to 40%
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CPI data is negative for #gold prices
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BITCOIN WHALES RESUME ACCUMULATION AS MARKET ENTERS EARLY BULL PHASE Large Bitcoin holders are buying again after more than a year of selling, according to CryptoQuant. Whales now hold 3.03 million BTC, their highest holdings since November 2025. CryptoQuant says the shift toward accumulation signals an “early bull phase” and improving investor sentiment. Bitcoin ($BTC ) is trading near $83,300
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IRAN WARNS U.S. COULD LAUNCH NEW STRIKES BEFORE MIDTERMS IRGC spokesman Hossein Mohebbi warns Washington could restart attacks on Iran ahead of the November 3 elections, despite Trump's pledge not to strike. Iran says it has developed more advanced weapons and threatens a stronger response to renewed U.S. attacks. The warning comes amid escalating attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.
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FED'S WILLIAMS SEES ONE MORE RATE HIKE IN 2026, NONE IN 2027 New York Fed President John Williams says one additional rate hike may be appropriate this year, but he currently sees no need for further increases in 2027. Williams expects inflation to move closer to the Fed's 2% target next year as tariff and energy shocks fade. He acknowledged AI-driven inflation pressures but said the broader economy is not overheating. Markets currently price in a December hike and two more in 2027, making Williams' outlook notably less hawkish.
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TRUMP WARNS HOUTHIS OVER ATTACKS ON SAUDI ARABIA AND RISING OIL PRICES President Trump accused Yemen's Houthis of attacking Saudi Arabia and deliberately trying to drive up oil prices ahead of U.S. elections. He suggested Iran may be behind the renewed attacks, while recalling previous U.S. strikes against the group. Trump issued a direct warning to the Houthis: “I'll be there after the Elections, and I will never forget!” The remarks signal a potential escalation in U.S.-Houthi tensions.
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INVESTORS PILE INTO LONG-TERM U.S. TREASURIES AHEAD OF CPI AND FED DECISION Investors are favoring longer-term Treasuries, pushing long-term yields lower faster than short-term rates, according to BMO. Markets increasingly expect the Fed to hold rates steady in October, followed by a 25-basis-point hike in December. Recent Fed commentary suggests a gradual tightening path, reducing expectations of an October rate increase. Wednesday's CPI report is the next major catalyst for bond markets.
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IRAN WARNS U.S. OF MILITARY CONSEQUENCES AS OIL PRICES RISE Iranian officials have issued fresh warnings against U.S. military action, adding to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister warned that another U.S. military operation would have consequences extending beyond the region. Meanwhile, a senior IRGC commander declared that Iran is ready to respond to any new military aggression. Crude oil prices are moving higher amid the escalating rhetoric.
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US STOCKS PARE LOSSES AFTER TRUMP SAYS US WILL NOT ATTACK IRAN BEFORE US ELECTIONS IN NOVEMBER
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TRUMP: WE ARE HAVING PRODUCTIVE DISCUSSIONS WITH ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF IRAN
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TRUMP RULES OUT STRIKES ON IRAN BEFORE NOVEMBER 3 ELECTIONS President Trump says the U.S. will not attack Iran before the November 3 midterm elections, citing productive discussions with Tehran. However, he insists the blockade of Iran will remain fully enforced, claiming 22 million barrels of oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz overnight, with none entering or leaving Iran. Trump reiterated that Iran will not be allowed to obtain a nuclear weapon.
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REPORTS OF ONGOING MISSILE ATTACKS ON SAUDI ARABIA Reports indicate continued missile fire targeting Saudi Arabia, with some infrastructure reportedly hit. Saudi air defenses are said to have intercepted multiple ballistic missiles. The extent of the damage and the reported interceptions remain unverified.
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Gold at 4126 Gold has resistance at 4135-40 and 4150-55, until hold below will remain under pressure Only break above will push for 4175-80 Key Support at 4100-03, Only break below will push for further downside towards 4090-80 and 4065-70 Trend is flat to weak
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Brent crude oil prices rise above $105/barrel on reports that President Trump is considering resuming “major combat operations” in Iran.
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Global central banks acquired +39 tonnes of gold in August, marking their 5th consecutive monthly purchase. This follows +23 tonnes in July and +52 tonnes in June. China again led demand, adding +20 tonnes and bringing its year-to-date purchases to +80 tonnes. China’s official gold reserves have now risen to a record 2,387 tonnes, or 9% of its total FX reserves. Furthermore, Poland bought +8 tonnes, lifting its year-to-date purchases to +98 tonnes and total gold reserves to a record 648 tonnes. So far in 2026, central banks have acquired +170 tonnes of gold. Central banks continue to aggressively accumulate gold.
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FED MEETING MINUTES: MOST OFFICIALS SEE ANOTHER RATE HIKE BY YEAR-END All Fed participants backed September’s 25bp rate hike, while most judged another increase would likely be appropriate by year-end, minutes show. Almost all saw inflation risks tilted to the upside, with some warning the AI investment boom could push demand beyond supply and add inflation pressure. Officials generally viewed the labor market as near full employment, while financial conditions remained supportive despite higher Treasury yields.
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