PS trade_eng

CLARITY shook the market. Today the Fed will show who is actually strong 👀 Yesterday, crypto took its first major hit of the week after the CLARITY Act failed to clear the Senate’s procedural vote, 49–50. #BTC dropped to around $74.9K and has since recovered to roughly $75.9K. At the same time, #BTC dominance (BTC.D) is near 59.5%, while #USDT dominance (USDT.D) is around 7.15%. That combination still shows a cautious market: capital is concentrated either in #BTC or in stablecoins, while most altcoins are recovering more slowly. 🔎 But this is exactly when relative strength becomes visible. #HYPE dropped to around $75.1 and has already recovered to roughly $79 — more than a 5% bounce from the low. #ARB looks even more interesting. It dropped into the $0.131–0.132 area yesterday and is now trading near $0.166. That’s roughly a 26% recovery from the local low. And this matters even more because our previous #ARB idea highlighted the $0.12–0.133 zone as the key area that needed to hold. Price returned directly into that zone — and so far, buyers have responded aggressively. 💡 This is why market corrections are useful. The strongest assets often reveal themselves not during a broad rally, but when the whole market is under pressure. Who falls less? Who recovers first? Who finds buyers faster than #BTC and the rest of the market? Those are the coins worth moving higher on the watchlist. Today brings the next major test: the Fed rate decision. Markets are currently pricing roughly a 93% probability of a 25 bp hike, so the hike itself may already be largely priced in. The bigger question is what the Fed signals about the path ahead. 🎯 If the Fed hikes and stays hawkish, risk assets could come under pressure again. A further rise in #BTC dominance and #USDT dominance would be a difficult combination for altcoins. If the Fed hikes but the message is softer than expected, the reaction could be completely different. A decline in #USDT dominance and a slowdown in #BTC dominance would give altcoins much more room to recover. And if the Fed doesn’t hike at all, that would be a genuine surprise. The first reaction could be strongly positive, but the explanation would matter: a real pause and a delayed hike are two very different scenarios. 🔥 So today we’re not watching #BTC alone. We’re watching #BTC, #BTC dominance, #USDT dominance — and the altcoins already showing relative strength, especially #HYPE and #ARB. The Fed may give the whole market a new impulse. But the more interesting question is: which assets will use that impulse better than everyone else? 🧠 #DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud.