Hidden Multibagger Stocks by Devendra (RA: INH000026488)
رفتن به کانال در Telegram
Disclaimer: I am a SEBI Registered Research Analyst (RA: INH000026488). All stocks, market updates, and investment-related information shared in this channel are strictly for educational and informational purposes only.
نمایش بیشتر9 862
مشترکین
+324 ساعت
+377 روز
+5530 روز
آرشیو پست ها
The Nifty Midcap 150 PE ratio surged to 45.7 on September 24, coinciding with heavy selling by FIIs. Our Midcap 150 median PE stands at 27.5, and after more than four months of correction, the current PE has come down to 35.5. This indicates that the midcap index was highly overvalued in September 2024, and the ongoing correction is a natural adjustment.
Despite the correction so far, we are still significantly above the median PE of 27.5. In the coming months, we may see further corrections in the midcap index, interspersed with short pullback rallies. This is a typical bear phase, where valuations adjust to more reasonable levels.
New investors in the stock market should understand this fundamental principle—markets do not remain in a bull phase indefinitely. It is essential to grasp the logic behind both bull and bear markets rather than expecting continuous upward movements.
I advised everyone to exit all old stocks from 2023-24 in November-December 2024. However, many people did not exit, as they were planning for long-term investment. Now, I am receiving numerous messages asking whether to exit or not.
Remember, decisions should always be made at the beginning of a bear phase. Once a bear phase starts, your portfolio can suffer significant damage, leaving you with no option but to sell at a loss. I also advised exiting in January-25 also , but many ignored the warning.
Making the right decision at the right time is crucial in the stock market. Now that the "tsunami" has already hit and wiped out everything, there is no point in exiting stocks— the damage has already been done.
I know many people took my bear phase warning lightly. This is why I made a YouTube video to convey my message clearly, rather than just posting in the group.
Price and time correction are normal phenomena during a bear phase. This has nothing to do with comments from Trump or Naren (ICICI Mutual Fund Head).
Whenever the market reaches an all-time high during a bull market, the PE ratio of midcap and smallcap indices also rises significantly. During a bear phase, this high PE gradually adjusts as stocks correct steadily over several months.
This pattern occurred in 2022 and is expected to repeat in 2025. New investors should understand that market declines during a bear phase are a normal process. After sufficient time and price correction, when the PE ratio of small and midcap stocks returns to normal levels, a new bull run begins.
This is why we have been warning everyone since November 2024 to remain cautious during the bear phase. It is the most painful period, but those who endure it patiently will reap the rewards in the next bull market, where significant wealth can be generated.
Price and time correction is currently underway in small and midcap stocks. It is best to wait and observe until this process is complete. During a bear phase, bottom formation takes a long time.
Please watch my video on December 7, 2024, where I accurately predicted the market crash. No other market expert, not even the biggest names, provided any hint of this market crash..
Please watch my YouTube video on December 7, 2024, where I predicted a market crash in February 2025 after the Budget and after Trump comes to power. This video has only 800 views.
This is why I encourage you to watch our YouTube videos to better understand market trends.👇👇
" Techno Electric " Last Diwali muhurat stock posted good Q3 result...
Q3 Result on 12th Feb :
Standard glass
PN Gadgil
Gala precision
Entero healthcare
Network people
Marine electrical
Jash engineering
Suven pharma
Aartech solonics
RVNL
SMS lifescience
Sandhar technology
HPL Electric
MIC electrinics
ITD cementation
Premier explosive
Roto pumps
Mazda ltd
WPIL
RCF
Kirloskar brothers
Stovec industries
Jubilant foodwork
Finolex cable
GE power
Q3 Result on 13th Feb :
Laxmi dental
Concord enviro
Afcons infra
Concord biotech
Senco gold
Venus pipes
Macpower CNC
Sunflag
Fedders holding
Ashima ltd
SJVN
KNR construction
Kellton technology
Titagarh rail
IG petro
Deepak nitrites
FII selling is expected to continue as the US 10-year bond yield raised to 4.5% again today. With little likelihood of the bond yield decreasing, FII selling may persist throughout the month. In such a scenario, the best approach is to wait and watch, as market recovery will take time.
It is advisable to book regular profits in stocks that yield quick returns, as a long-term strategy may not be effective in the current market conditions. When the market moved from 23,000 to 23,700, I clearly stated that it would fall again—and over the last two days, it has returned to the 23,000 level.
Do not get excited by small pullbacks in this bear market, as the market cannot sustain itself while FIIs continue selling.
In a bear phase, the market tends to remain within the same range for months. Therefore, I urge everyone to be patient during this period and not to expect a significant rally in the near term.
We will provide updates on when to deploy capital based on FII activity and their return to the market.
" "Transrail Lighting" is the only stock in green during this market crash, demonstrating its strength.🚀🚀
A similar market decline occurred during the bear phase in 2022, leaving my portfolio deep in the red. However, when the bull run began in 2023, my portfolio turned green within just three months of the bull cycle.
This experience made me more cautious this time, which is why I withdrew 60% of my capital from the market and alerted my followers in advance. This proves that if you have at least a one-year investment horizon, you can generate significant profits once the bull cycle begins. While short-term pain is inevitable, long-term investors can achieve substantial gains—provided their stock selection is strong.
Additionally, if you have capital available, it should be deployed during a bull market. That’s why I always emphasize protecting your capital first. If our stock selection is solid, we can expect a swift recovery in our portfolio once the market rebounds.
Do not be disheartened by this market crash. Think of your investment as a fixed deposit and be prepared to wait at least a year. When the next bull run begins, our stocks will be the first to surge, leading to a rapid recovery.
Avoid buying or averaging stocks at this stage. Let the market settle after the panic selling. There will be significant opportunities ahead to make substantial profits.
The market is experiencing a sharp decline, with Nifty falling below the 23,000 level and panic selling taking place among retail investors in the small and midcap indices. At this stage, the best approach is to simply hold your stocks.
Currently, 100% of investors are facing losses due to this market downturn. Portfolio recovery will begin once the market reaches its bottom and a rebound starts. We will provide updates when the bottom is formed. However, I believe this is the final phase of selling in the small and midcap indices.
Message from one of our members: Please remember that in the stock market, we are among the few who provide insights into what may happen during a bear phase. However, the decision to act on this information is entirely up to you.
Predicting market movements is never easy, but our forecast about the bear phase has proven to be accurate. Even top analysts in the stock market were unable to predict it correctly.
💥Understanding Bear & Bull phase.💥.
In a bear phase, you will never get a perfect opportunity to exit stocks. It is crucial to make quick decisions when a bull market ends and a bear market begins—typically within 2 to 3 months. If you fail to exit stocks at a good profit during this period, you may find yourself forced to exit in panic later, as stocks continue to decline throughout the bear phase. Those who did not book profits will have to wait a long time to recover their losses, as recovery is only possible once the next bull run begins.
A bull run presents an opportunity to multiply wealth in the stock market by strategically investing capital in multibagger stocks. In contrast, a bear phase is solely about protecting capital. In a bear market, a long-term approach does not work effectively, as stocks tend to decline again after every small pullback rally. Instead, it is essential to book regular profits. However, in a bull market, a long-term approach is the best strategy for generating significant wealth by investing substantial capital in high-growth stocks.
We have repeatedly emphasized that a bear phase is the most challenging period in the market, often resembling slow poison. Many new investors entered the market with overconfidence, having only experienced a one-way rally and never considering the possibility of a downturn. However, our channel has consistently warned about the risks of a bear phase since November 2024.
Some members left our channel due to our continuous caution and bearish outlook. These individuals refused to accept market realities, believing that stocks only go up. As a result, they are now trapped, investing large amounts of capital into every market bounce, hoping for a quick bull run. Many self-proclaimed experts have prematurely declared market bottoms, but we have not mentioned a bull run in the past three months. Our stance has remained negative, based on our experience with previous bear markets in 2018–19 and 2022–23.
My goal has always been to educate all members about the risks of a bear market, which is why I created multiple YouTube videos over the past 3 to 4 months, warning about the dangers involved. Even large mutual fund houses and seasoned market experts failed to alert retail investors about this bear market in advance. Now, after most of the damage has already been done, these experts are finally issuing warnings.
Many believe that no one can predict market tops and bottoms. While 100% accuracy is impossible, understanding bull and bear market cycles allows us to estimate turning points to some extent. This helps in making informed entry and exit decisions. Data-driven market predictions are far more reliable than relying solely on chart patterns.
We will once again predict when the next bull market will begin. However, at this moment, the market is undergoing a price and time correction phase. During this period, the best strategy is to wait and observe.
Market outlook
Many people have repeatedly claimed that the market bottom has been formed at various stages over the past two months. However, We have consistently stated that in a bear phase, bottom formation is a long process that takes several months.
Investors who booked profits in November–December 2024, following our repeated reminders, are now in a strong position to deploy capital when the actual bull run begins. In a bear phase, only 30–40% of capital should be invested, and only in fundamentally strong stocks that did not participate in the previous bull run.
At this point, we still cannot say for certain that the market will recover, as the major pain is concentrated in small and midcap stocks, where valuations remain high. I have always emphasized that during a bear phase, one must completely change their strategy 360 degree—exit all stocks before the downturn, hold cash, wait patiently, and deploy only 30–40% of capital into stocks that missed the last bull run. While these stocks may still decline during the bear phase, they have the potential to recover quickly when the market rebounds.
Avoid the temptation to call a bottom at every stage, as it is often a trap in a bear market. The market will not recover unless FIIs return, and currently, DIIs are not buying aggressively, while retail investors are in panic-selling mode. This is the defining characteristic of a bear market.
" Transrail lighting " Strong move in weak market after very good Q3 result..🚀
Every rise and every small pullback in a bear market is a trap for retail investors. For the past three months, we have consistently advised investors to simply wait and watch. On February 6th, I mentioned that the market would decline from the 23,700 level, and yesterday’s sudden drop confirmed this prediction.
The small and midcap indices are overvalued, and further correction is expected.
In a bear phase, both price and time corrections are normal occurrences. This has nothing to do with Trump's tariffs or any other negative news.
Index-wise drawdown in the market .This is a bear market, as we predicted in November 2024.
اکنون در دسترس! پژوهش تلگرام ۲۰۲۵ — مهمترین بینشهای سال 
