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Red card and penalty kills it. So dumb from Huijsen.

Very generous double here. Simeone shithouse with Cucurella and Vini both down his flank. Bellingham also drifts to that side often.

Today’s banker. Armstrong fouls are crazy and plenty of foul winners around him. Everton free kick line seems way too high considering they’re averaging less than 11 across their 4 games so far. Good luck 💪

Min odds 0.8/1 Sky Betfair Paddy Solomon has drawn a foul in 17 of his last 18 matches, 2+ in 11 of those 18. Averages just shy of 2 per game. Castellanos shots are crazy, with a SOT in 9 straight games (2,2,4,1,1,1,2,3,2).

A Baena shot short of winning the 11/1 damnnnn

Both winners, if only they were all that easy!

0.25u A few other selections that hold value that make a little 5/1 shot.

1.25u, Looks very solid on the data. Nygren is a good fouler averaging 1.44p90 for Sweden. De Jong and Gravenberch centrall who are good foul winners, also Nygren can find himself covering the right flank a lot where theres also Gakpo a solid foul winner, so plenty of opportunity. In general the free kick line is too high for Netherlands, going under easily in 14 of their last 15 games and 27 of their last 30 averaging under 13 per game.

Only 6 spaces left

I have opened another 20 spots in the group. First come first served. Prices have been holding very well. Bet365 + Flutter (betfair sky or paddy) required. There isnt bets for EVERY game, we are selective. Its been a great start to the World Cup, 88 games to go... https://sublaunch.com/deanwoodward

Some start to the World Cup! Flagged Mbokazi as 35 yard bandit in my World Cup analysis. Can’t expect them every day, or even every week, but it’s nice to land a chunky one on game #1

Outright bets went out to members today. Will share a few here over the next two days. With a 7 day free trial + 1 month you’ll be covered for the whole World Cup, including all outrights. 104 matches, 48 teams, it’s been a slog! Are you ready? 👀🏆

My UCL final punt

Cucucucurellaaaaaa 🎉

Cucurella 4/1 for an offside 😳 4 in his last 6 games. 2 against Liverpool last week in a similar more advanced role. Against a crazy high City back line who concede the 2nd most offsides in the league at 3 per game. Not tipped it to members due to It being on Stakemate app. But a huge price nonetheless.

Small stake (0.25u) card longshot Two of the bigger prices which doesnt make sense, both regular carders and good match ups v Azeez and Ballo. Giles careded 5 times since November with only 13 starts, Coyle booked 6 times in his last 13 matches. Both full backs too so could potentially see timewasting at throws.

Not rocket science here, but both Barcelona and PSG are the much better sides. Barcelona have beat Atletico 3-0 and 3-1 in their last 2 meetings at Barcelona. Theyve won 19 straight home matches. Liverpool have been really poor, whalloped by City at the weekend, lost 4 of their last 5 away games. PSG are in fine form. Looks a nice win double at the odds.

My crazy punt for the cup final. Could be a boring one, if it is, who knows what will happen late on. Seems huge at over 400/1.