DW Bets (Free Channel) ⚽️📈

Both winners, if only they were all that easy!

0.25u A few other selections that hold value that make a little 5/1 shot.

1.25u, Looks very solid on the data. Nygren is a good fouler averaging 1.44p90 for Sweden. De Jong and Gravenberch centrall who are good foul winners, also Nygren can find himself covering the right flank a lot where theres also Gakpo a solid foul winner, so plenty of opportunity. In general the free kick line is too high for Netherlands, going under easily in 14 of their last 15 games and 27 of their last 30 averaging under 13 per game.

Only 6 spaces left

I have opened another 20 spots in the group. First come first served. Prices have been holding very well. Bet365 + Flutter (betfair sky or paddy) required. There isnt bets for EVERY game, we are selective. Its been a great start to the World Cup, 88 games to go... https://sublaunch.com/deanwoodward

Some start to the World Cup! Flagged Mbokazi as 35 yard bandit in my World Cup analysis. Can’t expect them every day, or even every week, but it’s nice to land a chunky one on game #1

Outright bets went out to members today. Will share a few here over the next two days. With a 7 day free trial + 1 month you’ll be covered for the whole World Cup, including all outrights. 104 matches, 48 teams, it’s been a slog! Are you ready? 👀🏆

My UCL final punt

Cucucucurellaaaaaa 🎉

Cucurella 4/1 for an offside 😳 4 in his last 6 games. 2 against Liverpool last week in a similar more advanced role. Against a crazy high City back line who concede the 2nd most offsides in the league at 3 per game. Not tipped it to members due to It being on Stakemate app. But a huge price nonetheless.

Small stake (0.25u) card longshot Two of the bigger prices which doesnt make sense, both regular carders and good match ups v Azeez and Ballo. Giles careded 5 times since November with only 13 starts, Coyle booked 6 times in his last 13 matches. Both full backs too so could potentially see timewasting at throws.

Not rocket science here, but both Barcelona and PSG are the much better sides. Barcelona have beat Atletico 3-0 and 3-1 in their last 2 meetings at Barcelona. Theyve won 19 straight home matches. Liverpool have been really poor, whalloped by City at the weekend, lost 4 of their last 5 away games. PSG are in fine form. Looks a nice win double at the odds.

My crazy punt for the cup final. Could be a boring one, if it is, who knows what will happen late on. Seems huge at over 400/1.

Cheltenhams over. Most people have done their bollox. Betting isnt easy, although social media gives the perception that it is. Busy weekend of football to get stuck into, followed by Champions League again midweek. Will look to share one or two across the weekend with you guys, so make sure notifcations are on (theyll come late as members get priority)

Some good value on the flutter books here (Sky Paddy Betfair) Cuenca has made 11 fouls in 11 games, 9 of his last 11 hitting 1+. Larin is a great foul winner and naturally drifts to the right side slightly so should be around Cuenca. He draws 1.56p90 across his last 50 apperances and drawn 1+ in 15/17. Against Prem opposition today so will have more of a job holding the ball up against a high Fulham back line. Fulham average over 5 corners per game which increases a fraction at home. Theyve hit 4+ in 8 straight games and Southampton concede over 5 per game in the Championship.

This double looks good value for the 3pm game between Burnley and Brentford. Available on the flutter books (Sky Betfair PaddyPower) Worrall has made a foul in 10 straight games for Burnley and will be in some tough battles with Thiago who leads the line for Brentford. He has been winning good fouls recently. Hes won 11 in 10 games, with 1+ in 8 of his last 10. Good chance they can tangle. Good luck with your 3pm bets guys.

Small stake of 0.5u. Bruno has been relishing his attacking role, being instrumental in Uniteds recent lease of life. His assists are honestly crazy and theres some lovely value in the price. 13 assists in 17 games, 6 in his last 7 games. Adding under 7 goals pushes it from 4/1 to 9/2 and gives some accounts the 25% boost on top of that.

If any of you in here have used the Free Trial in the past to my group and fancy giving it another shot, drop me a DM on Twitter and il reset that for you ready for tomorrow. Good luck with your bets 🙏

Small stake here (0.5u) Dont fancy getting too involved in this game either as it could be stinky. Team lines all look pretty fair so not much value floating about there. Combining a few player angles which hold a bit of value, for a small stake. Jones fouls have been fairly good with 1+ in 6 of his last 8, with 8 in total. Kostoulas v Konate could be a good battle as the Greek does put himself about a lot with 2.07p90 for Brighton. Konate has been buying tonnes of fouls lately with 1+ in 12 of his last 14 with 18 in total. Dunk tackles have seen a huge increase lately with 1+ in 9 of his last 11 with 16 in total. LCBs hit good numbers v Liverpool (2,1,1,3,3,2,2)

Easy winner ✅ Nothing fancy, boring odds, but boring pays off.