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Publicaciones del Canal
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🚨THE FED'S MAIN PROBLEM NOW IS TARIFFS + OIL + INFLATION + BOND YIELD Trump threatened to halt trade with countries with which the US has a trade deficit unless the Fed cuts rates. (Reuters) 📌In essence, the White House is increasing pressure on the Fed through the threat of a new trade escalation. But here a paradox arises. Tariffs could further accelerate inflation. Tariffs make imports more expensive, prices rise, inflation rises, and the Fed gets even more reasons to keep rates high. And the situation is already dire: 🛢 Oil above $100 📈 10-year Treasury yield near 5% 📌Inflation remains above the Fed's target 📌The market expects a 0.25% rate hike at the current meeting. (Reuters) It's a real conflict: Trump demands cheap money. Tariffs are fueling inflation. Inflation is forcing the Fed to tighten. 📌 The market is expecting a rate cut. The Fed, on the contrary, is preparing to raise rates. And the more the White House puts pressure on the Fed, the more important the issue of the American central bank's independence becomes. This is also a critical moment for BTC. 📌If the Fed signals further tightening, pressure on risk assets could intensify. And if the hike is a one-off and the Fed hints at a pause, the market could experience a powerful relief rally. Now the battle is no longer just over the rate. There is a struggle over the direction of liquidity.
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🚨LAWS DON'T BUY BITCOIN. 📌 (MiCA is an analog of the Clarity Act in Europe) Any asset grows when new capital flows into it. MiCA didn't print money, didn't lower interest rates, or force funds to buy Bitcoin. It merely created clearer rules for crypto companies in Europe. 📌 Regulation ≠ new capital. As for whales. Large funds, ETFs, and early investors did indeed begin accumulating positions well before the current price of 53k. Therefore, it's important to understand their motivations. When an asset has already risen significantly, a major player doesn't necessarily need to buy from the crowd at a high price. Sometimes, it's much more profitable to sell to them against the backdrop of extremely positive expectations. This is why experienced traders are wary of headlines like: "BTC at $92,000" 🚀 (400k😁) "the bottom has already been formed" ⚠️ A loud narrative doesn't necessarily mean an influx of new capital. After the implementation of MiCA, the market saw a redistribution of activity among licensed players rather than a guaranteed explosive influx of new money into crypto assets. Yes, some institutional capital continues to enter. But claiming that the largest players are only just starting to buy Bitcoin would be overly simplistic. 📌Therefore, the main question for the market isn't: "What law was passed?" But: "How much new capital is actually entering the market, and who are the buyers now?" Because ultimately, it's not laws and headlines that move the market—it's money that moves the market.
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Speculators who bought Bitcoin in the $78,000–$82,000 range may face a serious test of their mettle. After a rapid rise, the market appears overheated, and the correction could drag on longer than many expect.
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