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+150 pips move on Gold right from the exact KEY LEVEL we marked. Pure SNIPER 💸🔥
GOLD BELOW $4,000. FED WEEK. STAY SHARP. 🟡
🔻 Support: 3,963 / 3,946 / 3,890
🔺 Resistance: 4,015 / 4,075 / 4,130
What to watch:
- Fed decision, Wed 28 Oct ~11:30 PM IST
- Core PCE + GDP, Thu 29 Oct ~6:00 PM IST
Plan: don’t chase the drop. Wait for a liquidity sweep + confirmation. Max 1% risk. Stay out around news.
Want to learn how I read these levels? Join the free Sunday Zoom (link in channel) or DM @Umesh_hedau for mentorship.
Trading involves risk. Educational purpose only.
Gold is still just under $4,000, close to its lowest level in three months. Reuters had spot at $3,987.45, down 0.2%
Main driver: On Saturday the Houthis said they attacked Saudi oil sites, though the damage isn’t confirmed. US oil rose to its highest level in over five months. That raised inflation worries and bets that the Fed will hike rates, which is weighing on gold.
Fed pricing: Markets see about a 91% chance the Fed holds rates this week and about a 79% chance of a hike in December.
Today: No major US data and no Fed speakers. German Ifo is at about 2:30 PM IST, which is its usual time; the sources didn’t confirm it.
This week: The Fed decision is Wednesday at 11:30 PM IST, and US Q3 GDP and inflation (PCE) data come out Thursday at 6:00 PM IST.
🔥
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GOLD (XAUUSD) – Evening Update | Fri 23 Oct | 6 PM IST
Gold is holding just above $4,000 after this morning’s 3-month low. High oil and Fed rate-hike fears are still weighing on it.
Price: $4,023.70 spot, flat on the day (Kitco, 5:53 PM IST)
Earlier low: ~$3,987 in Asian trade, the first move below $4,000 since July
What’s new since midday:
• London session was quiet. Gold held $4,000–4,025 but has not bounced.
• Oil kept climbing (Brent ~$114.9, WTI above $101) after more Houthi attacks on Saudi targets. Higher oil → inflation fears → pressure on gold.
• Fed meets 27–28 Oct and is expected to hold. Markets price ~80% odds of a December hike.
• ING says gold failed to gain from the stock sell-off and lower yields because oil and inflation fears are in charge.
Tonight’s US data (IST):
7:15 PM – S&P Global flash PMIs (Mfg fcst 55.5, Services fcst 58.0)
7:30 PM – UMich sentiment (fcst 46.3) + 1-yr inflation expectations (fcst 4.7%) – KEY for gold
10:30 PM – Baker Hughes rig count
No Fed speakers today (pre-meeting blackout)
Next week: Fed decision Wed 28 Oct (~11:30 PM IST), PCE inflation Thu 29 Oct
Analyst view: Monte Safieddine says $4,000 is the level speculators are defending. Societe Generale sees near-term downside to $3,940–3,960.
For information only. Not trading advice.
Sources: Kitco, FXStreet, Business Recorder, The National, Investing.com
