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3 271
In which rally is your portfolio?🤔😂
Bull rally 👍
Bear rally 👎
Keeps changing rally 😭
3 271
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3 271
📊 U.S. Elections: Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump by almost 7%
Despite Kamala Harris leading over Donald Trump, the election race is far from over. The key battlegrounds will likely be in seven states where recent polls indicated a tight race. Polls conducted by the New York Times and Siena College found Trump leading in three of these states—Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina—by a slim margin. When asked who would best address issues such as the economy, unemployment, and jobs, 43% of voters chose Donald Trump, while only 41% selected Kamala Harris. At present, there is no clear frontrunner in the presidential race, and markets are responding accordingly.
👉 Possible effects for traders
Gold (XAU) has been waiting for further developments and has remained relatively stable but has retreated from historical highs. XAUUSD may continue to grow if the current U.S. policy, promoted by Kamala Harris, is maintained. If the market receives a signal that Harris will receive a majority of votes in the swing states, then the pair will likely continue rising towards new highs.
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3 271
🚀 Bitcoin reached $65,000 on macroeconomic trends and institutional demand
Bitcoin (BTC) gained 3.14% on Thursday, fueled by an increased risk appetite among investors following the third estimate of U.S. gross domestic product growth for Q2, rising by the annual 3%.
👉 Possible effects for traders
Bitcoin's surge beyond $65,000 is fueled by positive macroeconomic conditions, growing institutional interest, and renewed momentum in the tech sector. Significant inflows into Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) indicate a shift in investors' sentiment. Fears of a stock market bubble have diminished as U.S. economic data showed signs of economic growth, coupled with housing prices hitting a record high.
Also, China's newly announced economic stimulus measures triggered the largest weekly surge in the CSI 300 stock index in over a decade, which sparked optimism across many other financial assets, including Bitcoin. However, the most impactful recent event driving Bitcoin's price was a $242 million inflow into spot Bitcoin ETFs over just two days. This changed investors' sentiment, as scepticism had lingered about institutional demand, especially after BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF saw only $5 million in inflows since its launch on 27 August, according to Farside Investors data.
BTCUSD moved sideways during the Asian trading hours. Today, the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index will be released at 12:30 p.m. UTC. Higher-than-expected figures could strengthen the U.S. dollar and push BTCUSD lower as the chances for a 50-basis-point U.S. rate cut in November will decrease. Meanwhile, lower-than-expected data may boost BTCUSD. Overall, this key inflation report will likely increase volatility in the market.
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3 271
📊 Gold slows down as traders closely monitor the U.S. reports
Gold (XAU) showed the first signs of slowing down on Thursday, as the recent U.S. reports were better than expected.
👉 Possible effects for traders
The U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth report showed a growth of 3% annually for Q2. Jobless claims unexpectedly decreased, and durable goods orders were higher than expected. Although this data is supposed to question the possibility of future aggressive rate cuts, the market still awaits another 50-basis-point (bps) reduction in November by the Federal Reserve (Fed). According to the CME FedWatch tool, there is now a 50.2% probability of a large rate decrease.
Another positive factor for gold is that China's central bank unveiled its biggest stimulus this week since the COVID-19 pandemic and is expected to cut its seven-day reverse repo rate. ‘This stimulus is giving industrial metals a boost, and gold won't be an exception’, said Wang Tao, Reuters analyst. Also, the tensions in the Middle East persist, and they usually act in favour of the precious metal.
Gold has been correcting downwards during Asian and early European trading hours. According to Wang Tao: ‘Spot gold may retest support at $2,654 per ounce. A break below could open the way towards the $2,633 to $2,641 range’. Market participants will be waiting for the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index report, coming out today at 12:30 p.m. UTC. Stronger-than-expected data may further diminish expectations for a large rate cut by the Fed, pushing XAUUSD lower. Otherwise, gold will likely continue rising.
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3 271
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3 271
GBPJPY, 15-minute timeframe chart
GBPJPY retested the support level of 191.000
👉General outlook
GBPJPY has been trading in a bearish trend within the last day. The pair moved down to the support level of 191.000.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 191.550.
Set your stop loss at 190.600 below the previous low ($6.63 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 192.500 ($6.63 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
Some traders may close their positions on Friday, which can add more pressure to the market.
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3 271
🚀 USDCAD rebounds on the possibility of more cautious U.S. rate cuts
USDCAD rebounded and retested the 1.34850 resistance level on Wednesday. The pair experienced a 0.4% increase after U.S. data indicated that the sales of new single-family homes declined less than anticipated in August.
👉 Possible effects for traders
Sales of new single-family homes declined by 4.7% in August, reaching a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 716,000. While this drop partially offset the revised 10.3% surge from the previous month, it still slightly exceeded market forecasts of 700,000. This drop may influence the Federal Reserve's (Fed) plans regarding the U.S. monetary policy. Still, according to the CME FedWatch tool, there is a 60.5% possibility that the Fed will cut the rate by another 50 basis points (bps) in November.
Overall, investors seem to have taken a more cautious approach to the U.S. interest rate reduction, pushing the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) higher. This week, Fed officials didn't give a unified view of where they think rates will go. On Wednesday, Fed governor Adriana Kugler said she supports the decision to cut rates by 50 bps in November, but she didn't say her preferred path for future cuts. Earlier this week, Austen Goolsbee from the Chicago Fed said policymakers shouldn't lag behind in making sure the economy transitions smoothly. Raphael Bostic from the Atlanta Fed also stressed the importance of not cutting rates too quickly. Overall, there is no clear consensus on the U.S. interest rate path.
USDCAD has been declining during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the U.S. Jobless Claims report will be published at 12:30 p.m. UTC. These updates on the state of the U.S. labour market will provide further insight into the pace of interest rate reduction. Additionally, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will deliver a speech at the U.S. Treasury Market Conference in New York at 1:20 p.m. UTC today. His comments may affect the U.S. dollar and related pairs, including USDCAD.
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3 271
🚀 USDCAD rebounds on the possibility of more cautious U.S. rate cuts
USDCAD rebounded and retested the 1.34850 resistance level on Wednesday. The pair experienced a 0.4% increase after U.S. data indicated that the sales of new single-family homes declined less than anticipated in August.
👉 Possible effects for traders
Sales of new single-family homes declined by 4.7% in August, reaching a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 716,000. While this drop partially offset the revised 10.3% surge from the previous month, it still slightly exceeded market forecasts of 700,000. This drop may influence the Federal Reserve's (Fed) plans regarding the U.S. monetary policy. Still, according to the CME FedWatch tool, there is a 60.5% possibility that the Fed will cut the rate by another 50 basis points (bps) in November.
Overall, investors seem to have taken a more cautious approach to the U.S. interest rate reduction, pushing the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) higher. This week, Fed officials didn't give a unified view of where they think rates will go. On Wednesday, Fed governor Adriana Kugler said she supports the decision to cut rates by 50 bps in November, but she didn't say her preferred path for future cuts. Earlier this week, Austen Goolsbee from the Chicago Fed said policymakers shouldn't lag behind in making sure the economy transitions smoothly. Raphael Bostic from the Atlanta Fed also stressed the importance of not cutting rates too quickly. Overall, there is no clear consensus on the U.S. interest rate path.
USDCAD has been declining during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the U.S. Jobless Claims report will be published at 12:30 p.m. UTC. These updates on the state of the U.S. labour market will provide further insight into the pace of interest rate reduction. Additionally, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will deliver a speech at the U.S. Treasury Market Conference in New York at 1:20 p.m. UTC today. His comments may affect the U.S. dollar and related pairs, including USDCAD.
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3 271
Gold (XAU/USD) continues its bullish run, fueled by positive ETF flows, China’s stimulus measures, and geopolitical uncertainties.
With prices nearing $2,650, will gold break through to new highs? Stay informed with the latest market insights. 🌍💰
#GoldPrices #MarketUpdate #Investing
3 271
Recent policy easing by major central banks like China’s PBoC, which announced significant stimulus measures including a 50-basis-point cut in reserve requirements, alongside the Fed’s recent rate cuts, has sparked market optimism.
How do you think these moves will impact Bitcoin and the broader crypto market? Share your thoughts! 🌍📈
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #CentralBanks
3 271
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