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📊 Trump's proposed policies continue to weigh down on euro The euro (EUR) declined on Wednesday, reflecting the decline in European stock prices. The drop happened due to U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff plans and the cautious approach of Federal Reserve (Fed) officials, which dampened investor sentiment. 👉 Possible effects for traders On Tuesday, President Trump announced that tariffs on pharmaceuticals and semiconductor chips would be 25% or higher, with the possibility of further increases during a year. He also intends to impose similar tariffs on automobiles as early as 2 April. These actions, along with other threats, have intensified fears of a widespread trade war, causing investors to become anxious. However, some analysts view Trump's moves as a means of negotiation. Meanwhile, Trump's proposals raised concerns among Fed officials about accelerating inflation. According to the Fed's January meeting minutes, companies informed the central bank that they would increase prices to account for the cost of import tariffs. 'Trump's policies have undoubtedly added complexity to the Fed's task of balancing inflation and employment, forcing policymakers to adopt a cautious approach', said Yeap Jun Rong, a market strategist at IG. However, given that market expectations for a rate hold at the next two FOMC meetings were already well established, the minutes only confirmed existing sentiment. The EURUSD exchange rate declined as market uncertainty increased due to geopolitical concerns following Trump's criticism of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and calling him a 'dictator'. EURUSD moved sideways during Asian and early European trading hours. Today, the U.S. Initial Jobless Claims report will come out at 1:30 p.m. UTC and may add to the market's volatility. Higher-than-expected data may support EURUSD, while lower-than-expected numbers may trigger bearish momentum in the pair. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 GBP declines despite strong U.K. inflation data The British pound (GBP) declined on Wednesday due to the potential impact of trade tariffs imposed by U.S. President Donald Trump and ongoing worries about the progress of the Ukraine peace talks. 👉 Possible effects for traders President Trump of the United States labelled Urkaine President Volodymyr Zelenskiy a 'dictator without elections' following Zelenskiy's earlier statement on Wednesday accusing Trump of being trapped in a 'disinformation bubble'. The U.S. dollar (USD) value was further bolstered by rising energy prices, with natural gas reaching its highest level since December 2022. Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury yields remained unchanged just before the release of the Federal Reserve's January meeting minutes. This week, several Fed officials will give speeches on Thursday. The risk sentiment briefly improved following a report in The New York Times that President Trump was considering a more comprehensive trade agreement with China. A stronger-than-anticipated U.K. inflation report pushed GBPUSD towards a local peak, but then the British pound declined against the U.S. dollar. The increase in the U.K. Consumer Price Index towards a 10-month high of 3% in January indicates that the Bank of England (BOE) will likely maintain its interest rates unchanged next month. The 3% inflation was higher than the forecasted 2.8% and a full percentage point above the BOE's target level. The good news for those favouring a more cautious approach was the lower-than-expected U.K. services CPI, standing at 5%, below the expected. This suggests that the regulator may still be considering a rate cut in May, as it would continue the cycle of quarterly cuts initiated in August. GBPUSD grew during Asian and early European trading hours, trying to recover some of yesterday's losses. Today, the U.S. Initial Jobless Claims report comes out at 1:30 p.m. UTC. Higher-than-expected data may support GBPUSD. Otherwise, lower-than-expected data will exacerbate the downtrend in the pair. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

#economic_calendar These events may affect the market on 20 February. 🔥 Don't forget to get a 100% deposit bonus!

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📊 Gold continues rising on geopolitical uncertainties Gold (XAU) grew by 1.24% on Wednesday, fuelled by uncertainties about Donald Trump's tariff plans and the outcome of the first round of U.S.-Russian negotiations. The U.S. and Russia agreed to hold more talks on ending the war in Ukraine for now. 👉 Possible effects for traders The potential for gold to rise remains limited, as the first round of negotiations between the U.S. and Russia regarding a potential peace in Ukraine has concluded without a clear agreement. According to the director of Kedia Commodities, Ajay Kedia, if both parties do come to a solid plan, it could negatively impact gold. 'There should be a technical profit booking, as the war premium is expected to decline slightly. The potential for gold to rise is capped around $2,970 as resistance and $2,890 as support', Kedia said. On Tuesday, the Trump administration announced it had agreed to hold further talks with Russia following the conclusion of the initial Russia-Ukraine peace talks without the participation of Ukraine or Europe. 'The Trump administration's presidency is creating macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties that are likely to prompt investors to diversify into gold', analysts at ANZ said. They added that investment demand for gold would benefit from macroeconomic, geopolitical, trade, and fiscal risks. XAUUSD moved sideways during the Asian and early European trading sessions. The market is now looking forward to the release of the Federal Reserve's January meeting minutes today at 7:00 p.m. UTC. The report could provide insights into the central bank's plans for this year's interest rate path. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 Possible tariffs and geopolitical uncertainty pressure the euro The euro (EUR) declined by 0.36% on Tuesday, driven by worries about trade tariffs and ongoing discussions between the U.S. and Russia about a treaty. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) remained stable, hovering around the 107.000 mark. 👉 Possible effects for traders Investors assessed the latest development in U.S. trade tariffs and the ensuing uncertainty following the initial peace talks between the U.S. and Russia, with Ukraine and Europe not present. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy stated that no peace agreement could be reached without his involvement. He cancelled his planned visit to Saudi Arabia on Wednesday, citing the need to avoid giving the U.S.-Russia talks any legitimacy. Russia remained steadfast in its demands, particularly insisting that it would not tolerate NATO's granting of membership to Ukraine. On Tuesday, the Donald Trump administration announced its agreement to hold further talks with Russia aimed at ending the conflict in Ukraine. According to Sean Callow, senior foreign exchange analyst at InTouch Capital Markets, the euro is experiencing turbulence due to the clear disagreement between the U.S. and Europe regarding the conflict in Ukraine. Moreover, Trump announced his intention to impose tariffs on auto of around 25% and similar duties on imports of semiconductors and pharmaceuticals. According to Callow, as long as Trump is seen as the one who keeps making empty threats about tariffs, investors may start to sell their long positions in the U.S. dollar. Since taking office, Trump has been imposing a series of taxes and threatening to impose more, creating domestic and international uncertainty. EURUSD moved sideways during Asian and early European trading hours. Traders will be closely monitoring the release of the FOMC minutes today at 7:00 p.m. UTC. The majority of economists anticipate another 50-basis-point reduction in interest rates in April, and the release may support or disprove this stance on U.S. interest rates. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 Hawkish BOJ stance supports JPY despite bleak economic data The USDJPY exchange rate climbed towards 152.000 on Tuesday in response to weaker-than-anticipated Japan's economic indicators. 👉 Possible effects for traders On Monday, the release of Japan's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report for Q4 and recent inflation figures reinforced the anticipation of interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BOJ). The core machinery orders in Japan, a crucial indicator of capital expenditures, unexpectedly declined in December. Moreover, Japan reported a larger-than-expected trade deficit for January, with imports exceeding exports. Despite the weak data, the Japanese yen (JPY) is supported by the expectation that the BOJ will continue to raise interest rates this year. However, there is still uncertainty about whether the regulator will implement another rate increase in March. The prospects for a rate hike at the July meeting are growing, but there are still questions about the pace and extent of further tightening measures. From an external perspective, the Japanese yen has been under pressure due to the strengthening U.S. dollar (USD). Recent threats of trade tariffs from U.S. President Donald Trump compounded the situation, with the president announcing plans to impose tariffs of approximately 25% on automobiles, imported semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals. USDJPY rebounded from the 152.000 level and continued to decline during Asian and early European trading hours. This week's main events are a speech by BOJ board member Hajime Takata on Wednesday and Japan's Consumer Price Index data release on Friday. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

#economic_calendar These events may affect the market on 19 February. 🔥 Don't forget to get a 100% deposit bonus!

When you realize it's Monday, and the market is open

Stay informed and trade in the Octa app 📅 The event On Wednesday, 19 February, 7:00 a.m. UTC, the UK Office for National Statistics will release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, providing insight into the changes in prices for consumer goods and services. The market will depend heavily on the core inflation rate, which excludes volatile food and energy prices. 🔹 December 2024 CPI data: Headline inflation decreased to 2.5% Core inflation slowed to 3.2% This upcoming CPI release will be critical for GBPUSD, influencing potential expectations for Bank of England monetary policy and shaping broader market sentiment. 💡 Trading idea GBPUSD has shown solid growth recently, but with the CPI report in play, a sharp move in either direction is expected. 🔹 Buy-limit: if the CPI report exceeds expectations and shows a rise in core inflation, this could fuel further GBPUSD appreciation. 🔹 sell-limit: conversely, if the inflation rate falls short of market expectations, a correction in GBPUSD could follow. 📊 Key levels to monitor 🔹 Support: 1.26000, 1.25700, 1.25500 🔹 Resistance: 1.26500, 1.27000, 1.27200 A break below 1.26000 could open a path towards 1.25500, offering a potential buying opportunity. A break above 1.26500 could trigger a bullish push towards 1.27200, which might signal a sell opportunity.

📊 Gold continues rising on economic and geopolitical uncertainty The price of gold (XAU) rose slightly on Monday as uncertainty surrounding President Trump's trade tariffs continued to influence sentiment. The uncertainty further strengthened the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset amid concerns about the potential global trade war. 👉 Possible effects for traders On Monday, Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Michelle Bowman stated officials need a stronger conviction that inflation would decline further before lowering interest rates again. The central bank needs more data, particularly in light of the uncertainty surrounding the impact of the Donald Trump administration's new trade and other policies. Since taking office, President Trump has imposed a 10% tariff on imports from China, announced 25% tariffs on goods from Mexico and Canada, set a date for 25% tariffs on steel and aluminium, and considered reciprocal tariffs on all countries that tax U.S. imports. Goldman Sachs has revised its gold price forecast for the end of 2025, raising it from $2,890 to $3,100, citing the structural increase in central banks' demand as a factor. In terms of geopolitics, European leaders gathered in Paris on Monday and unanimously agreed they were prepared to provide Ukraine with security assurances. However, an official from the E.U. cautioned that it would be risky to establish a ceasefire without a concurrent peace agreement. Meanwhile, Russian and American officials will discuss peace terms in Saudi Arabia this week. During Asian and early European trading hours, XAUUSD continued its short-term rally, which started on Monday. There are no significant economic releases planned for today, but geopolitical events could add to the market volatility. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 The euro receives mixed signals The euro (EUR) oscillated within a confined range of 1.04700 to 1.05050 yesterday. The market remained tranquil on Monday due to the observance of President's Day in the U.S. and the relative lack of news before today's U.S.-Russia summit on Ukraine in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. 👉 Possible effects for traders A resolution to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine could lead to positive economic outcomes for Europe. According to Bruno Schneller, managing director of Erlen Capital Management, this could include increased consumer confidence, lower energy costs, and improved financial conditions. Following the suggestion that Europe wouldn't be involved in negotiations this week aimed at finding a resolution to the crisis in Saudi Arabia, French President Emmanuel Macron hosted an emergency summit on Ukraine on Monday. The U.K. has expressed willingness to send peacekeepers if an agreement is reached, while Russian and American officials will meet for peace talks in Saudi Arabia today. Meanwhile, the potential for retaliatory U.S. trade tariffs has been temporarily deferred until April. However, the risk of additional tariffs based on value-added taxes in other countries continues to be a significant concern. According to the Financial Times, the European Commission indicated it may impose severe import restrictions on certain food products that fail to meet standards to protect its farmers. This decision is in line with President Trump's reciprocal trade policies. EURUSD declined during Asian and early European trading hours, approaching the major support level of 1.04500. This week, many important economic indicators will be released, including preliminary data on business activity across the globe in February. Markets in Europe will also closely monitor the outcome of the German elections this weekend. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 USDCAD grows amid trade tariffs uncertainty On Monday, USDCAD increased slightly in the absence of news regarding potential tariffs imposed by the U.S. on Canada. This week, investors will closely monitor developments in the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine and the prospects for a potential peace agreement. 👉 Possible effects for traders Markets were anticipating what U.S. President Donald Trump referred to as 'the major development' regarding reciprocal tariff measures. However, the announcement was ambiguous and postponed until early April, after the completion of studies, stated senior market analyst at Convera Canada ULC Michael Goshko. This has become a recurring pattern, with Trump's threats of tariffs often leading to an increase in stocks, bonds, and currency values. On Thursday, a directive issued by the president didn't impose additional tariffs but rather a process that may take weeks or months to examine duties imposed on American products by other trading partners and devise a response. Meanwhile, the price of oil, a major export for Canada, fell towards $74 per barrel as investors considered that the potential peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine could boost global energy supplies. USDCAD rose during Asian and early European trading hours. Today, the Canadian Inflation Rate (CPI) report comes out at 1:30 p.m. UTC. A higher-than-expected number may put bearish pressure on the pair, while a lower-than-expected figure will be bullish for USDCAD. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

AUDUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart AUDUSD pulled back from the resistance level of 0.63640 👉General outlook AUDUSD has been trading in a bullish trend for the last couple of hours. The pair rose to the resistance level of 0.63640. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 0.63547. Set your stop loss at 0.63758 above the previous high ($2.11 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 0.63336 ($2.11 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH