Fundamental Analysis (Long term)
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https://t.me/+Rn8RmYm0XMZTagXs I'm not a SEBI registered advisor,the information provided by me is for educational purposes only.You are responsible for all investment decisions,plz note that I dont provide any tips/stock suggestion.
Mostrar más📈 Análisis del canal de Telegram Fundamental Analysis (Long term)
El canal Fundamental Analysis (Long term) (@fundamental3) en el segmento lingüístico de Inglés es un actor destacado. Actualmente la comunidad reúne a 45 299 suscriptores, ocupando la posición 2 531 en la categoría Economía y Finanzas y el puesto 8 383 en la región India.
📊 Métricas de audiencia y dinámica
Desde su creación el невідомо, el proyecto ha mostrado un crecimiento acelerado, reuniendo a 45 299 suscriptores.
Según los últimos datos del 26 julio, 2026, el canal mantiene una actividad estable. En los últimos 30 días la variación de miembros fue de -49, y en las últimas 24 horas de -14, conservando un alto alcance.
- Estado de verificación: No verificado
- Tasa de interacción (ER): El promedio de interacción de la audiencia es 7.64%. Durante las primeras 24 horas tras publicar, el contenido suele obtener 5.10% de reacciones respecto al total de suscriptores.
- Alcance de las publicaciones: Cada publicación recibe en promedio 3 461 visualizaciones. En el primer día suele acumular 2 311 visualizaciones.
- Reacciones e interacción: La audiencia responde de forma activa: el promedio de reacciones por publicación es 6.
- Intereses temáticos: El contenido se centra en temas clave como margin, revenue, capacity, expansion, fy27.
📝 Descripción y política de contenido
El autor describe el recurso como un espacio para expresar opiniones subjetivas:
“https://t.me/+Rn8RmYm0XMZTagXs
I'm not a SEBI registered advisor,the information provided by me is for educational purposes only.You are responsible for all investment decisions,plz note that I dont provide any tips/stock suggestion.”
Gracias a la alta frecuencia de actualizaciones (últimos datos recibidos el 27 julio, 2026), el canal mantiene la vigencia y un amplio alcance. La analítica demuestra que la audiencia interactúa activamente con el contenido, lo que lo convierte en un punto de referencia dentro de la categoría Economía y Finanzas.
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| Fecha | Crecimiento de Suscriptores | Menciones | Canales | |
| 27 julio | 0 | |||
| 26 julio | 0 | |||
| 25 julio | +2 | |||
| 24 julio | +9 | |||
| 23 julio | +2 | |||
| 22 julio | 0 | |||
| 21 julio | 0 | |||
| 20 julio | 0 | |||
| 19 julio | 0 | |||
| 18 julio | +1 | |||
| 17 julio | +3 | |||
| 16 julio | +4 | |||
| 15 julio | 0 | |||
| 14 julio | +28 | |||
| 13 julio | +6 | |||
| 12 julio | +15 | |||
| 11 julio | +2 | |||
| 10 julio | +3 | |||
| 09 julio | +40 | |||
| 08 julio | 0 | |||
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| 05 julio | +13 | |||
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| 01 julio | +6 |
Publicaciones del Canal
SBI LIFE Says Expect VNB Margin To Be On The Upper End Of 26-28% For FY27
| 2 | KFIN TECH Q1 CONCALL
Revenue Growth To Continue At 18-20% CAGR
Targeting EBITDA Margin Of 40-45% Incl Ascent By FY27-end
Ascent Will Be EBITDA Accretive By FY27-end | 903 |
| 3 |  +1Neogen Chemicals: three decades of bromine, one bet on lithium
Neogen has made bromine and lithium specialty chemicals since 1989, out of Mahape, Vadodara, Dahej and Patancheru. Pharma and agro intermediates, flavours, electronic chemicals, and lithium compounds for cooling systems. 258 products, 30% exports, a 125-strong R&D team with 9 PhDs.
That is the business that exists. The one being built is different: Neogen Ionics, making lithium electrolyte and electrolyte salts for battery cells, with Japanese technology from Morita.
Q1 FY27, consolidated:
Revenue ₹250.3 cr, +34%
EBITDA ₹48.2 cr, margin 19.3%, +260 bps
PAT ₹17.1 cr, +67%
Organic ₹194 cr (+18%), inorganic ₹57 cr (+158%)
Neogen Ionics ₹19 cr, against ₹36 cr for all of FY26
Genuinely good, and achieved with the Dahej plant still down after the March 2025 fire, output run through toll manufacturing.
Where it goes
Interest was ₹20.8 cr, up 64%, eating 43% of EBITDA. Add ₹8.2 cr depreciation and 60% of operating profit is gone before tax.
That is the whole story of the last five years. Revenue has gone from ₹336 cr in FY21 to ₹862 cr in FY26. PAT has gone from ₹31 cr to ₹29 cr. Margin from 9.3% to 3.3%. The company has grown; the shareholder has not, yet.
Net debt is ₹1,295 cr against ₹816 cr of net worth and ₹137 cr of FY26 EBITDA. That is 9.5x.
Management
Founder Dr. Haridas Kanani, IIT Bombay, built India's first indigenous bromine plant and grew Neogen roughly 750x across 35 years. Now Chairman Emeritus at 80. His son Dr. Harin Kanani, IIT Bombay and a PhD from Maryland, is MD.
Governance reads well. Chairman and MD separated, with a non-promoter as Non-Executive Chairman. Promoters put in ₹161 cr themselves this year.
The FY27 plan
Standalone base business ₹875 to 950 cr. Q1 did ₹252 cr, and H2 is seasonally stronger, so the guidance looks beatable.
Battery ₹300 cr plus, mostly H2. Q1 was ₹19 cr. That needs roughly ₹250 cr across two quarters from a plant still in trial runs.
Then FY28 battery of ₹1,000 to 1,400 cr, and FY29 consolidated of ₹3,700 to 4,200 cr against ₹862 cr today.
The demand case is not imaginary. US tax credit rules push cell makers off Chinese supply by 2027, and Neogen has provisional approval from 4 international customers plus completed site audits at 3 US electrolyte makers. India has 220+ GWh of announced cell capacity against 3.53 GWh installed.
What changed this quarter
On the Q4 call, management said no additional funding was needed in FY27. The board has now approved a ₹600 cr QIP.
At current prices that is roughly 10% dilution. It is also, at some level, prudent: ₹497 cr of the ₹1,795 cr project spend remains, and ₹186 cr of insurance is still uncollected.
Track these, in order
Neogen Ionics quarterly revenue against the ₹300 cr mark
Dahej commercial start, slipped from June to Q2
Interest cost after commissioning, since project interest is capitalised until then and steps into the P&L after
Net debt, and QIP pricing
The ₹186 cr insurance receivable
Conversion of those provisional approvals into supply contracts
The catch
At ₹2,063 the market cap is ₹5,648 cr against ₹29 cr of FY26 profit.
Nothing in that price is about the current business. It is entirely about two plants that are not commercial yet, selling into customers who have not signed yet.
Both halves of the fixed charge, interest and depreciation, land in FY27 in full. Revenue has to arrive in the same year, or the P&L gets worse before it gets better.
Swing trading | Positional Trading
@Wealthcreator7 | 382 |
| 4 |  Ramkrishna Forgings | Q1 FY27 Concall Highlights
Financial Performance
- Revenue: ₹1,217 crore (+19.8% YoY).
- EBITDA margin: 17.96% (+332 bps YoY).
- PAT nearly tripled YoY.
- EPS stood at ₹2.58.
- Operating leverage becoming visible.
Operational Highlights
- Capacity utilization around 68%.
- Significant growth headroom available.
- No major capex planned until FY28.
- Focus on maximizing existing assets.
- Q1 margins considered sustainable.
Growth Drivers
- FY29 revenue target: ₹8,000 crore.
- Implies ~23% CAGR (FY27–FY29).
- Exports targeted at 35% of revenue.
- Export business expected to grow 20%+.
- Rail wheel JV to ramp up from Q3 FY27.
- Mexico plant scaling from Q3 FY27.
- Aerospace opportunity remains long term.
Margin & Profitability
- Higher utilization to lift margins.
- EBITDA margin expected to improve sequentially.
- Steel cost largely pass-through.
- Energy and freight remain key variables.
- ROCE guided to improve towards 20% in FY28.
Balance Sheet
- Net debt targeted to decline.
- Debt: ₹1,900 Cr → ₹1,500 Cr by FY27-end.
- Lower finance cost to aid earnings.
- Healthy cash flows support deleveraging.
- Low capex intensity ahead.
Valuation
- FY27E P/E around 38x.
- FY28E P/E around 21x.
- Earnings growth expected to accelerate.
- Valuation supported by operating leverage.
Key Risks
- Steel pass-through timing lag.
- Energy and freight cost volatility.
- Export demand fluctuations.
- Execution of overseas ramp-up.
- Aerospace orders yet to materialize.
Impact
- Positive.
- Strong operating leverage.
- Significant utilization headroom.
- Improving margins and ROCE.
- Debt reduction strengthens profitability.
- Multi-year earnings growth visibility.
Key Takeaway
- Ramkrishna Forgings appears to be entering a strong operating leverage cycle, supported by underutilized capacity, improving margins, falling debt and limited near-term capex. If management delivers on higher asset utilization, export growth and margin expansion, earnings could compound meaningfully over the next few years, making it a structural manufacturing growth story.
Daily Live Quarterly Result Updates
@Stockupdate9 | 616 |
| 5 | CONCOR Mgmt To CNBC-TV18:
Raises FY27 EXIM volume growth guidance to 15% from 8%
Domestic volume growth guidance increased to 25% from 15%
FY27 total vol growth guidance increased to 18% from 9.5% | 744 |
| 6 | LODHA GROUP, SUSHIL KUMAR MODI
We Are Sitting On 2 Lk Cr Of Inventory, Don't Need To Add Projects Every Quarter
Consciously Did Not Launch Projects In Q1
Opted Not To Launch Any Significant Inventory In This Qtr Due To Geopolitical Issues
More Dependent On Sustenance Sales Than On New Launches | 1 287 |
| 7 |  CARYSIL LTD GROWTH TRIGGERS | 1 023 |
| 8 | MATT ORTON
RAYMOND JAMES INVST
Al Adoption Has Been Increasing Rapidly Over The Past Quarter
Cos Have Been Resilient Despite Oil Prices Crossing $120/bbl
Inflation Will Likely Be Determined By Iran-US Talks & Any Geopolitical Escalations
Despite Headwinds, Indian Cos Have Been Posting A Good Set Of Earnings
Foreign Investors Are Less Hesitant In Investing In India Post Recent Earnings | 1 207 |
| 9 | BANK OF INDIA :
NIM guidance cut by 15 bps to 2.55%-2.6% | 1 036 |
| 10 | HIND ZINC says
Will Look At Demerging Hindustan Zinc At An Appropriate Time
Work On 2,50,000 T Expansion Has Started, Will Be Commissioned In FY28
Expect Zinc Prices To Hover In A Similar Range With A $100/tonne Swing
Hedged A Small Portion Of Sales Volume
As Volume Moves Towards 2.80 Lk Tonnes/Qtr, The Cost Of Production Will Reduce | 1 050 |
| 11 | ARUN MISRA HINDUSTAN ZINC
Expect Zinc Prices To Hover In A Similar Range With A $100/tonne Swing
Hedged A Small Portion Of Sales Volume
As Volume Moves Towards 2.80 Lk Tonnes/Qtr, The Cost Of Production Will Reduce
Work On 2,50,000 T Expansion Has Started, Will Be Commissioned In FY28
Will Look At Demerging Hindustan Zinc At An Appropriate Time | 1 042 |
| 12 |  Sin texto... | 1 606 |
| 13 | A Business Built on Trust
Management remained confident despite new entrants in the cables and wires industry. According to the company, setting up a factory is only one part of the business. Winning orders from utilities and large infrastructure projects requires years of product approvals, certifications and customer relationships, making it difficult for new entrants to compete overnight.
That is what makes Dynamic Cables interesting today. While its core business continues to grow, the company is also preparing for opportunities in areas like the US market, HTLS conductors, data centres and specialised cables. Rather than changing its business, it is gradually building on what it already does well. | 2 932 |
| 14 |  Positioning for Future Demand
Management spoke about two opportunities that could become important in the coming years.
The first is HTLS conductors, which can carry 2-3 times more power using existing transmission lines, reducing the need to build new towers. They believe that if even 20-30% of the grid shifts to this technology over time, it could create a large opportunity for the industry.
The second is data centres. Dynamic Cables plans to supply power cables for these projects, while communication cables remain outside its product portfolio. Although the Indian data centre market is still at an early stage, the company has already started working with customers to prepare for future demand. | 2 638 |
| 15 |  Growth Beyond Capacity
The new manufacturing facility, expected to start operations in September 2026, is not just about increasing production. It will also introduce E-beam technology, allowing Dynamic Cables to manufacture specialised cables that it does not make today. Management expects the plant to gradually ramp up and reach 80-85% utilisation by the end of FY28.
The company has also entered the US market after spending nearly 15-18 months securing the required approvals. This gives Dynamic Cables access to a new market with long-term growth potential.
Another new initiative is the Building Wires segment. However, the company will continue to focus only on B2B customers and has no plans to enter the highly competitive retail market. | 2 266 |
| 16 |  A Strong Core, Ready for the Next Step
Dynamic Cables continues to benefit from India's growing investments in transmission, distribution and renewable energy. The company currently has an order book of ₹811 crore, while its existing plants are already operating at around 85% capacity utilisation.
With most of its existing capacity already in use, the focus is now on the next phase of growth. Instead of moving into unrelated businesses, the company is adding products and capabilities that fit naturally with its existing business. | 2 022 |
| 17 | Dynamic Cables: More Than Just Another Cable Company
Dynamic Cables manufactures power cables and conductors for transmission, distribution and industrial infrastructure projects. As India's power network expands, the company continues to strengthen its position in the B2B cable market.
The latest earnings call suggests there's a bigger story unfolding.
Here's why Dynamic Cables could become much more than just another cable company. | 1 929 |
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| 19 |  CUMI is also streamlining its global portfolio by exiting two loss-making overseas subsidiaries:
• Awuko (Germany): FY26 loss of ~₹75 Cr
• Foskor Zirconia (South Africa): FY26 loss of ~₹58 Cr
Once these exits are completed, these recurring losses should no longer drag consolidated earnings.
The core abrasives business continues to provide stability, while the next phase of growth will be driven by scaling higher-value segments such as advanced materials, technical ceramics and defence applications.
Disc: No Buy or Sell Reco.
Credit: Kumar Saurabh
Source: https://x.com/suru27/status/2080903381330341900?s=20 | 2 652 |
| 20 |  CUMI is building a portfolio of advanced energy materials, including ceramic powders for SOFCs/SOECs, high-purity Silicon Carbide (HPSiC), nitrides and graphene. While currently a negligible revenue contributor, management targets ~10% of revenue from these products by 2030.
Building on its advanced materials strategy, CUMI has also commissioned a ₹49 crore facility to manufacture advanced ceramics for ballistic protection in the aerospace and defence sector, expanding the application of its technical ceramics beyond traditional industrial markets. | 2 344 |
