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This is one of the biggest misconceptions in the market. Net buying by FIIs and DIIs does not mean the market must go up.
Here’s what likely happened:
1. Both FIIs & DIIs were net buyers in the cash market…
FIIs: +₹1,963 Cr
DIIs: +₹790 Cr
Net: +₹2,753 Cr
But these figures represent only the cash/equity segment.
2. Then who sold?
Several participants could have been selling:
Retail investors booking profits or panicking.
High Net-worth Individuals (HNIs) and proprietary traders.
Foreign hedge funds selling aggressively in the F&O (derivatives) market, which can drag down spot prices.
Algorithmic traders triggering sell orders after support levels broke.
Promoters or large shareholders (if there were block deals).
3. Derivatives have a much bigger impact
A large short position in Nifty Futures or Bank Nifty Futures can create heavy selling pressure even when FIIs are buying selected cash stocks.
Many times FIIs simultaneously:
Buy quality stocks in cash.
Hedge by selling index futures.
This makes the headline “FII buying” look bullish while the index falls.
4. Market breadth matters
Suppose FIIs bought:
HDFC Bank
Reliance
ICICI Bank
But the remaining 400+ stocks witnessed broad-based selling. The index can still decline sharply if heavyweight stocks also weaken intraday or if selling is concentrated in key sectors.
5. Price always comes first
Institutional flow is supporting evidence, not the trading signal.
Price > Volume > Institutional Data
If price breaks support, institutions may simply be accumulating slowly while the market continues correcting
Third Eye Research
- Seeing beyond the obvious
#NIFTY
The first support has given way—something I expected would hold. But that’s the beauty of the market… it humbles everyone.
A trader doesn’t need to be right every time. A trader needs to accept when they’re wrong.
Now, all eyes are on the 23800–23850 zone. This is a crucial support. If buyers step in here, the broader bullish structure can still remain intact.
Don’t predict. Wait for confirmation.
In the market, patience often pays better than prediction.
💬 TER Discussion Group – Your Space to Interact!
Many members have expressed that they often want to ask questions, share their views, or post something related to the market. Since this channel is kept one-way to avoid clutter, we had created a dedicated TER Discussion Group exclusively for our members.
This is the place where you can:
Ask your market-related queries.
Share your profit screenshots and trading experiences.
Discuss stock ideas and market views.
Learn from fellow members—many have already shared some amazing trades and valuable insights there.
Healthy discussions help everyone grow. So don’t be a silent spectator—be an active part of the TER community!
Join the Discussion Group here: TER Discussion Group
📈 SEEING BEYOND THE OBVIOUS 🔱
-Third Eye Research
🕰️ The time has come.
Nifty stands at the threshold — the old walls of resistance are crumbling behind us. 🧱💥 We sit near 24,4000 today, and above us now, the sky is nearly clear. Only one summit remains: our all-time high of 26,373 🏔️, and we march toward it with our eyes fixed on December 2026.
👀 The crowd will keep pointing at 24,400–24,450 and call it "the resistance." That's the noise everyone can see.
But the real wall — the one that matters — stands quietly at 24,700–24,750. 🎯 And this is where conviction is born: the market is set to fly above this level. 🚀
I've already drawn the manifestation candle above that zone. 🕯️📊 What the mind conceives with discipline, the chart eventually reveals.
The next six months will not be ordinary. They will be the defining chapter of 2026 📖⚡ — a season where fortune touches nearly every stock, every sector, every portfolio brave enough to hold its ground.
But hear this, and hear it well 👂🔥:
Everyone will see profit glow on their screen. 💻✨ Very few will carry it home to their bank account. 🏦This is the great illusion of every bull run — the market giveth, and greed 🐍 taketh away. Numbers on a screen are just ink until you lock them in. So, traders — as the tide rises 🌊, rise with discipline, not just desire: ✅ Book profits like a ritual, not an afterthought ✅ Protect what the market has already blessed you with ✅ Let conviction guide you — not euphoria 🎯 The target is the peak. The discipline is the path. 🎯 Third Eye Research — Seeing Beyond The Obvious 🔱📊
Oriental Hotel.... Dekhna hai visualisation candle banta hai ya nahi.... CMP 139 keeping a small SL of 5 points
📊 STAGE ANALYSIS | NIFTY IT INDEX (Weekly) — For Learning Purposes
Textbook Wyckoff/Weinstein stage cycle playing out beautifully on the IT Index — a great live case study for anyone learning technical structure.
Stage 1 — Accumulation (2022): Extended sideways base after the 2021 top. Smart money quietly building positions while retail lost interest. Classic range-bound consolidation.
Stage 2 — Advancement (2022–2024): Breakout from the base led to a strong, sustained markup. Higher highs, higher lows — the "easy money" trend phase.
Stage 3 — Distribution (2024): Rally attempted a fresh breakout but failed right into RSI resistance near 70 — a classic momentum ceiling. Price churned at the top while strength quietly drained out. Distribution, not continuation.
Stage 4 — Decline (2024–2026): Breakdown from distribution led to a prolonged markdown, culminating in a panic breakdown below major support — the emotional capitulation that typically marks stage 4 exhaustion.
Where we stand now — the interesting part:
Price is testing multi-year support with a visible RSI bullish divergence — price making a marginal low while RSI holds higher. That's often the fingerprint of selling pressure fading before price confirms it.
What to watch next 1–2 weeks:
If we get a decisive reversal off this support zone, it would suggest Stage 4 exhaustion → Stage 1 basing beginning. A confirmed Stage 1 → Stage 2 transition later would be the "massive move" setup stage-cycle traders live for.
Key discipline point: Divergence is an early warning, not a buy signal. Stage 1 needs to actually form (base-building, volume dry-up, RSI reclaiming 40–50 zone) before Stage 2 can be assumed. Don't front-run the base.
Third Eye Research
-Seeing beyond the obvious
🚀 LONG-TERM WEALTH CREATION ALERT! 🚀
Dear TER Family, 👋
While everyone is chasing the next hot stock, smart investors quietly build wealth through SIPs and strategic accumulation. 📈
Here are my personal long-term picks:
💻 Technology Mutual Funds
The IT sector has underperformed for quite some time. In my view, this is precisely when patient investors should start accumulating.
✅ Franklin India Technology Fund
✅ ICICI Prudential Technology Fund
A monthly SIP or even a one-time investment can be considered with a 3-5 year perspective. ⏳
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🥈 Silver – The Silent Wealth Creator
I also believe Silver deserves a place in every long-term portfolio.
📌 Current Levels:
🌍 International Silver: ~US$58
🇮🇳 Domestic Silver: ~₹2.20 Lakh/kg
For ETF investors, you may consider:
✅ Nippon India Silver ETF (Silver BeES)
✅ ICICI Prudential Silver ETF
✅ HDFC Silver ETF
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💡 Remember:
“The best time to invest is when a sector is ignored, not when it is making headlines.”
📌 Disclaimer: These are purely my personal investment preferences based on my market study and long-term outlook. This is not investment advice, and the list is not exhaustive. Please do your own research before investing.
🌱 Invest with patience.
📊 Stay disciplined.
💰 Let compounding do the magic.
Happy Investing!
Third Eye Research
Seeing Beyond the Obvious 🔍
Glimpse of #TERCatalyst….. check the candle it has made today…. Power of visualisation candle #thirdeyeresearch
