Data's Inner Circle π (WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST)
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https://x.com/TheCryptoData The Inner Circle is where I share my thought process on the overall market, including technical analysis, altcoins, and narrative rotations π Nothing shared is financial/investment advice and should not be taken as such.
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π Market Update | September 22nd
Fear and Greed has climbed to 78 from 70, into extreme greed, and the crypto market held Monday's breakout. WTI crude fell to $89.16, its lowest since September 4th, after Trump said at the UN he believes a deal with Iran comes "right after the election". Cheaper oil eases inflation, which helps risk assets.
π° Key News Events
β’ US prosecutors are investigating whether Binance knowingly let users bypass Iran sanctions (per Bloomberg). No charges yet.
β’ Binance bought a $100 million stake in Circle and signed a five-year deal to promote USDC.
β’ X now lets US users tap a cashtag like $BTC and hit Trade.
β’ Europe's central banks want the MiCA stablecoin yield ban extended to lending and staking.
βοΈ Summary
I am moving from cautious to bullish, as Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana all closed Monday above resistance. I won't chase highs and will bid pullbacks at major support.
Trade on Blofin: https://partner.blofin.com/d/CryptoData
Considering the strong impulse move higher we had today, feel free to take a little profits here (20-30%) on ETH π
Iβm still holding a majority for lower if we get it. Congrats to everyone that got in on the short π΅
π Sign up for a Blofin account (NON KYC) and deposit USDT to receive a free bonus and percentage off of fees π - https://partner.blofin.com/d/CryptoData
π¨ Weekly Market Overview Is Live!
Bitcoin finally broke $82K after six rejections, pushed to $86K, and reclaimed the 50-week EMA.
Inside:
π Why the four-year cycle bear thesis may be invalidated
βΏ BTC, ETH, SOL, HYPE, UNI, LTC, TAO & NEAR
π° ETF flows + Fear & Greed
π S&P, gold, oil & DXY
π§ Fibonacci, USDT dominance & the bull-market confirmation setup
The trend has shifted. Now the focus is managing pullbacks, respecting resistance, and watching $90K.
πΊ Watch the full breakdown now: https://youtu.be/KgfxQhQQJ90?is=xfK0ya7Qe5QyE1Q2
π Market Update | September 21st
Fear and Greed is 70, still in greed, as the crypto market squeezed hard overnight. Brent crude fell for a fourth straight session on diplomatic efforts between Washington and Tehran, and the stock market joined in with the Nasdaq 100 up 2%.
π° Key News Events
β’ The ECB launched Pontes to settle tokenized assets in central bank money.
β’ Strategy bought 950 Bitcoin for $75.7 million and Bitmine added 27,562 ETH, passing 4.9% of Ethereum's supply.
β’ Fairshake, the crypto PAC, committed $30 million against Sherrod Brown's Ohio Senate bid.
β’ Apple and Google posted senior crypto roles, which points to stablecoin and tokenization products at both.
βοΈ Summary
I am moving from neutral to cautious. Bitcoin and Ethereum are overbought and pressing into resistance, while Solana has the most volume behind its move. I will bid only at major support on the daily and weekly charts.
Trade on Blofin: https://partner.blofin.com/d/CryptoData
Our hedge ETH short is close to getting hit. Get ready β
Trade here - https://blofin.com/futures/ETH-USDT
π Sign up for a Blofin account (NON KYC) and deposit USDT to receive a free bonus π - https://partner.blofin.com/d/CryptoData
Ogle just aped Wangchai (massive whale). Everyone here should be up 70-100% from the call π΅
Iβve been posting my thesis multiple times on FOMO with massive conviction. If you guys arenβt following me or havenβt signed up, do so below, you wonβt regret it π
https://fomo.family/r/TheCryptoData
βοΈ Altcoin Trade βοΈ
WANGCHAI - Binance Smart Chain
Reason: WANGCHAI is seen as the Chinese Doge and has one of the cleaner cultural meme narratives on BSC. It takes the globally proven Doge/Shiba archetype and combines it with the βζΊζ΄β dog meme that is already deeply recognizable across Chinese internet culture.
The thesis isnβt that people need to learn a new meme, the meme already exists. WANGCHAI is simply tokenizing that existing recognition and positioning itself as a potential flagship Chinese Doge.
The name itself also works extremely well for speculation: βWangchaiβ is associated with the Chinese ζΊθ΄’ wordplay around prosperity and wealth, giving the token an immediately understandable identity beyond just another random animal coin. I think this could do numbers and go much higher.
Look to DCA between 800k-1mil. As always, manage risk accordingly and only invest what you can afford to lose.
π° This is the first public token I've bought on FOMO as well. See my thesis here: https://fomo.family/profile/TheCryptoData?tradeId=ef3707ea-24c9-40ff-82ea-ef8f1bdb4041
π Trade with me on FOMO and receive a discount on fees: https://fomo.family/r/TheCryptoData
β
Buy the token here/Bridge on the Binance Smart Chain using the BasedBot: https://t.me/based_eth_bot?start=r_CryptoData_b_0x14f6a94909c407854390aa2d2462a3095d317777
- Set buy/sell slippage to 5%
CA:
0x14f6a94909c407854390aa2d2462a3095d317777
β BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! βπ Market Update | September 20th
Fear and Greed is unchanged at 71, in greed, as the crypto market gives back part of last week's move. The SEC's Innovation Exemption, published Thursday the 17th, lets tokenized US stocks trade on blockchains for five years if they keep dividend and voting rights.
π° Key News Events
β’ Kalshi filed Friday to list stock futures with no expiry on Apple, Tesla and Nvidia from November 2nd.
β’ Visa is ending the credit card rewards Robinhood Wallet and Fomo users earned on memecoin buys next week.
β’ Fraudsters tried to take $10 million off Polymarket's US platform in February with stolen debit cards.
β’ Gemini's stock is down 80% from its IPO, reviving takeover talk over its licenses.
βοΈ Summary
I am moving from bullish to neutral. Bitcoin and Ethereum are still inside yesterday's ranges, but Solana lost its low. I will bid major support on the daily and weekly charts and wait.
Trade on Blofin: https://partner.blofin.com/d/CryptoData
π Market Update | September 19th
Fear and Greed has jumped to 71 from 56 yesterday, in greed. The crypto market kept pushing higher into the weekend as the inflation scare after the Fed hike cooled, with the 10-year Treasury yield back under 5% (lower yields make crypto cheaper to hold).
π° Key News Events
β’ Coinbase filed with the CFTC to list perpetual futures on US stocks like Apple, Tesla and Nvidia.
β’ Solana cut its block time from 300 to 250 milliseconds, so blocks arrive nearly 17% faster.
β’ Bastion won conditional OCC approval for a national trust bank charter to hold and issue stablecoins.
β’ Grayscale's Zcash ETF is splitting its shares three ways after pulling in over $233 million in under a month.
βοΈ Summary
I remain bullish, with Bitcoin and Ethereum extending yesterday's breakout. The retest I expected has not come yet, so I'll bid pullbacks at major support rather than chase green candles.
Trade on Blofin: https://partner.blofin.com/d/CryptoData
π Market Update | September 18th
Fear and Greed has moved up to 56, into greed from neutral yesterday. The crypto market ripped higher today on a short squeeze, even as the Bank of Japan raised rates a quarter point to 1.25% (its highest level in 31 years).
π° Key News Events
β’ The CFTC sent a crypto market proposal to the White House after the CLARITY Act stalled in the Senate.
β’ The US Treasury sanctioned BitBank, a Tehran exchange it says moved Bitcoin to the Revolutionary Guards.
β’ The WSJ reported ECB President Christine Lagarde intervened to block Binance's MiCA license in Greece.
β’ Haruko, a London risk software firm for crypto funds, was hacked this week and some client funds were stolen.
βοΈ Summary
I'm bullish, up from tentatively bullish yesterday, with Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana all above yesterday's highs. A squeeze this size usually retests, so I'll bid pullbacks at major support.
Trade on Blofin: https://partner.blofin.com/d/CryptoData
π’ LIMIT LONG - UNI
π’ PRICE - 7.30-7.45
π’ LEVERAGE - 5-10x
TP1 - 7.65
TP2 - 8.30
TP3 - 9.30
Stop Loss - Daily close below 7.20
Reason: UNI has been a serious outperformer lately, and due to good reason. The SEC recently approved Innovation Exemption for Tokenized U.S. Stocks to Trade via Onchain AMMs. This is huge for Uniswap. For example:
- The existing tokenized stocks on Robinhood aren't the "permissioned" versions that are coming. They likely could be composable though.
- Every single official tokenized stock will trade via a "permissioned pool" onchain.
- Uniswap Permissioned Pools is the obvious choice for every tokenized stock that will be traded on Robinhood
This means that not only will Uniswap be making a ton off of fees and liquidity, but its name will be everywhere. Most aren't grasping how big this is for UNI, and imo, a massive repricing is imminent. The RSI is overbought though and price is up against resistance, so I'm waiting for a pullback to get an even better entry. As always, manage your risk, DCA accordingly, and only invest what you can afford to lose.
Trade here - https://blofin.com/futures/UNI-USDT
π Sign up for a Blofin account (NON KYC) and deposit USDT to receive a bonus - https://partner.blofin.com/d/CryptoData
π Market Update | September 17th
Fear and Greed sits at 50 (neutral). The crypto market held up through the Fed's first rate hike since July 2023, and 94 of the CoinDesk 100 traded higher afterwards, so the hike looks already priced in.
π° Key News Events
β’ The SEC will let blockchain venues trade tokenized stocks for five years without registering as an exchange, a way around the failed CLARITY Act.
β’ Zcash rose as much as 23% to a record after Paradigm disclosed it owns ZEC.
β’ S&P Global agreed to buy OpenZeppelin, the smart contract security firm.
β’ A House committee advanced a bill to write the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve into law. It still needs full House and Senate votes.
βοΈ Summary
I was neutral until Warsh spoke. With Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana all above yesterday's highs, I'm tentatively bullish again. Goldman expects another hike in October, so I'll bid pullbacks at major support, not chase.
Trade on Blofin: https://partner.blofin.com/d/CryptoData
π Market Update | September 16th
Fear and Greed dropped to 51 (neutral) from 69 after the CLARITY Act failed in the Senate on Tuesday, 49 to 50, 11 short of the 60 it needed. The Fed decides at 2pm ET, with CME FedWatch pricing a 92% chance of a quarter point hike, which raises borrowing costs and often weighs on crypto.
π° Key News Events
β’ Senator Thom Tillis moved to reconsider the bill, so it can get another vote.
β’ Circle launched its Arc blockchain with BlackRock and Visa among its validators, bringing big finance onchain.
β’ Payward plans US perpetual futures on Hyperliquid via its regulated Bitnomial exchange, pending approval.
β’ Deutsche Bank plans Bitcoin, Ethereum and stablecoin custody for European institutions this year.
βοΈ Summary
I remain neutral. Bitcoin and Solana are oversold on support while Ethereum sees real selling, so I'll wait for Warsh's 2:30pm ET press conference before bidding.
Trade on Blofin: https://partner.blofin.com/d/CryptoData
Time for another leverage trade π°
π’ LIMIT LONG - ETH
π’ PRICE - 2240-2290
π’ LEVERAGE - 5-10x
TP1 - 2330
TP2 - 2370
TP3 - 2415
Stop Loss - Daily close below 2220
Reason: We have a big week coming up with the Clarity Act (today), FOMC, Japan Interest rate decision, and more, so I'm expecting volatility to be at an all-time high. With that said, if there's any unexpected negative news, then I could see a flush below support on ETH and am placing limit longs way lower accordingly (2240-2290). I still believe ETH will be an outperformer this cycle but the weekly remains overbought and we still haven't had a flush lower after the impulse move higher. As always, manage your risk, DCA accordingly, and only invest what you can afford to lose.
Trade here - https://blofin.com/futures/ETH-USDT
π Make sure you sign up for a Blofin account (NON KYC) and deposit USDT to receive a bonus - https://partner.blofin.com/d/CryptoData
π Market Update | September 15th
Fear and Greed rose to 69 from 57 (greed), but the crypto market gave back Monday's bounce as the US 10-year yield climbed above 5%, its highest since 2007, pulling money from risk assets.
π° Key News Events
β’ CLARITY Act odds on Polymarket fell from around 30% to 14% after Republicans rejected the Democrats' counteroffer. It needs 60 Senate votes this afternoon.
β’ CoinEx is shutting down after 9 years, with withdrawals open until December 22nd.
β’ A House crypto tax bill would end the sell and rebuy tax write-off, with markup Wednesday.
β’ An attacker drained about $7.8 million of rsETH through a flawed helper contract.
βοΈ Summary
Monday's bounce did not hold and Ethereum shows real selling, so I've moved from tentatively bullish to neutral until the Senate vote and Wednesday's expected Fed hike. Bitcoin and Solana are oversold on support, where I'd bid once both clear.
Trade on Blofin: https://partner.blofin.com/d/CryptoData
π¨ Weekly Market Overview Is Live
Bitcoin is pressing $79K heading into a massive catalyst week.
Inside:
π Clarity Act, FOMC + Japan rate decision
βΏ BTC / ETH / SOL / HYPE setups
π° ETF flows + Fear & Greed
π― My BTC levels: $80.2K upside / $77K key support
β οΈ Why Japan could be the real wildcard
Iβm still long from $75.6K with stops at breakeven.
πΊ Watch the full breakdown now: https://youtu.be/1RQJa9BZnZQ?is=Oa-jrBEx31-IIXKr
π Market Update | September 14th
Fear and Greed is 57 (greed), down from 61. The crypto market rose Monday as stocks fell on Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei's call to slow AI development. The 10-year Treasury yield hit 5%, highest since 2023, pulling money from risk assets.
π° Key News Events
β’ Trump agreed to tougher CLARITY Act ethics rules. Tuesday's Senate vote needs 60, so at least 7 Democrats must cross over.
β’ State attorneys general led by New York's Letitia James urged senators to reject it.
β’ Brent topped $108 after Saudi Arabia shut its East-West pipeline, reviving inflation fears before Wednesday's expected Fed hike.
β’ Bitmine added 27,180 ETH last week, holding 4.9% of Ethereum's supply.
βοΈ Summary
Bitcoin, Solana and HYPE bounced from oversold readings while Ethereum holds its range, so I remain tentatively bullish, bidding only major support on the daily and weekly timeframes into Wednesday.
Trade on Blofin: https://partner.blofin.com/d/CryptoData
π¨ MASSIVE WEEK AHEAD β EXPECT VOLATILITY π¨
Everyone needs to be paying VERY close attention to the market this week.
We have a major macro/policy catalyst essentially every single day, and when you stack this many important events together, you can get some extremely aggressive moves across Bitcoin, Ethereum, alts, equities, bonds, the dollar, and global risk markets.
This is NOT the type of week where you want to be blindly overleveraged or ignoring the calendar.
Hereβs what weβre watching:
π¨π³ MONDAY β CHINA MONETARY ANNOUNCEMENT
China kicks off the week.
Any major shift in liquidity, stimulus, rates, or broader monetary policy can immediately impact global risk sentiment.
Crypto trades 24/7, so if China surprises the market, we could see volatility hit before the U.S. trading session even gets going.
ποΈ TUESDAY β U.S. CLARITY ACT VOTE
This could be a major day specifically for the crypto market.
Regulatory clarity in the U.S. remains one of the biggest catalysts hanging over this industry, and traders will be watching both the outcome AND the language surrounding the vote.
Expect headlines to potentially move individual sectors and the broader crypto market very quickly.
πΊπΈ WEDNESDAY β FOMC INTEREST RATE DECISION
This is arguably the biggest macro event of the week.
The market will be watching:
β’ The interest-rate decision
β’ The Fedβs language
β’ Inflation commentary
β’ Economic-growth expectations
β’ Future rate-cut expectations
β’ Powellβs press conference
Remember: sometimes the initial move immediately after FOMC is NOT the real move.
BTC can pump, dump, reverse, liquidate both sides and then establish the actual direction after Powell starts speaking.
Be extremely careful with leverage around this window.
π―π΅ THURSDAY β JAPAN INTEREST RATE DECISION
Do NOT underestimate this one.
Japanβs monetary policy has become increasingly important to global markets because of the yen, Japanese bond yields and the massive amount of capital tied to global carry trades.
Unexpected hawkish or dovish policy can create volatility far outside of Japan.
Crypto will absolutely be watching.
πΊπΈ FRIDAY β FED ANNOUNCEMENT
And we finish the week with another Fed catalyst.
By Friday, the market will already have absorbed several potentially market-moving events, which means positioning could be extremely sensitive.
If the Fed gives the market something unexpected, we could see another major repricing heading into the weekend.
β οΈ THE BIG PICTURE
This is one of those weeks where the market could change character VERY quickly.
A setup that looks perfect technically can get completely invalidated by a single headline.
We could see:
β’ Large BTC swings
β’ Altcoin volatility increase dramatically
β’ Sudden liquidation cascades
β’ Fake breakouts in both directions
β’ Rapid shifts in BTC dominance
β’ Large moves in the dollar and yields
β’ Increased correlation between crypto and equities
β’ Opportunities created by overreactions
The biggest mistake this week would be getting complacent.
Manage leverage. Keep dry powder. Know exactly when these announcements are happening. Use stops. Donβt chase massive candles.
There will likely be plenty of opportunity, but surviving the volatility is more important than trying to catch every single move.
Iβll be watching the price action, liquidity levels, news and positioning throughout the week and updating everyone as these events unfold π
βοΈ Altcoin Trade βοΈ
COIN - Robinhood Chain
Reason: COIN recently launched with a thesis similar to USELESS (except on RH): Create a token with no immediate value but the token itself. Itβs a recognized ticker and is supposedly run by a good team thatβs starting marketing soon. As with anything, manage risk accordingly, DCA along the way, and only invest what you can afford to lose.
β
Buy/Bridge on the Robinhood chain using the BasedBot: https://t.me/based_eth_bot?start=r_CryptoData_b_0x6292521dda4240b585b9bfe5ee587f4f5d33e256
- Set buy/sell slippage to 5%
CA:
0x6292521dDa4240B585b9BFE5ee587f4f5D33E256
β BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! βπ Market Update | September 13th
Fear and Greed is 61 (greed), down from 63, and the crypto market is quiet ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision. Goldman Sachs, the last major bank to switch, now expects a 25 basis point hike, priced above 86%.
π° Key News Events
β’ Chainflip lost 736,442 USDT to replayed TRON transactions. The network is paused and users will be repaid.
β’ The Senate's CLARITY Act test vote is Tuesday the 15th, but 7 Democrats still want changes, so passage is uncertain.
β’ Circle's $400 million Tazapay deal pushes USDC into emerging economies, where Tether leads.
β’ TRM Labs found most of the $52.7 million paid over x402 is not from AI agents, so real agent use is small.
βοΈ Summary
Bitcoin and Solana are oversold on major support while Ethereum is weakest, so I remain tentatively bullish. I am not adding size before the Fed and will bid major support on the daily and weekly timeframes.
Trade on Blofin: https://partner.blofin.com/d/CryptoData
