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🔥 #macro Latest US data:
US Michigan 1y Inflation Expectations
4.0% (expected 4.2%/previous 4.2%)
US Michigan 5y Inflation Expectations
3.3% (expected 3.4%/previous 3.2%)
US Michigan Consumer Expectations
57.0 (expected 55.0/previous 54.6)
US Michigan Consumer Sentiment
56.4 (expected 54.0/previous 52.9)
US Michigan Current Conditions
55.4 (expected 52.4/previous 50.4)
🦄Unicorn Hype
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🔥 Bloomberg: Banking giant UBS plans to offer clients the ability to trade cryptocurrency.
💸 UBS manages assets worth over $4,700,000,000,000.
🦄Unicorn Hype
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#FX #EURUSD
The price reacted to the 1D FVG, thus synchronizing the HTF with the LTF, continuing the short narrative.
Today, I expect the long narrative to continue through nearby liquidity pools.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/2EY3KOX2/
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👔 The SEC will hold a joint event with the CFTC "on harmonization and U.S. financial leadership in the crypto era."
☝️The event will be held at the CFTC headquarters and will be livestreamed on the SEC's official website.
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🇺🇲 According to the FT, Ledger is working with Goldman Sachs, Jefferies and Barclays on a potential IPO in the US, possibly as early as this year, which could value the company at >$4 billion.
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📊 #ETH The number of daily active addresses on the Ethereum mainnet exceeds all L2 networks. cointelegraph
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📊 #BTC #ETH #ETF Yesterday, total net outflow from spot BTC ETFs was ~$32.2 million.
📉 Total net outflow from spot ETH ETFs was ~$42 million.
🦄Unicorn Hype
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🇺🇲 US Macro Data:
▪️ GDP (q/q) (Q3)
ACTUAL: 4.4%
FORECAST: 4.3%
PREV: 3.8%
▪️ GDP Deflator (q/q) (Q3)
ACTUAL: 3.7%
FORECAST: 3.7%
PREV: 2.1%
▪️ Initial Jobless Claims
ACTUAL: 200K
FORECAST: 209K
PREV: 199K
🦄Unicorn Hype
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🔥 US Macro Data: ▪️ GDP (q/q) (Q3) ACTUAL: 4.4% FORECAST: 4.3% PREV: 3.8% ▪️ GDP Deflator (q/q) (Q3) ACTUAL: 3.7% FORECAST: 3.7% PREV: 2.1% ▪️ Initial Jobless Claims ACTUAL: 200K FORECAST: 209K PREV: 199K
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📊 #BTC #ETH #ETF Yesterday, total net outflow from spot BTC ETFs was ~$708.7 million.
📉 Total net outflow from spot ETH ETFs was ~$287 million.
🦄Unicorn Hype
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#FX #EURUSD
Yesterday, the price allowed me to open long positions until the next fractals.
At the moment, a short narrative has formed with delivery in 1D FVG. Since the price is at the HTF POI, I'll be paying more attention to the price action and awaiting more information. Today, I'd like to see at least one more local breakout, with the Asian low lifted.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/YaPxfxT2/
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📊 In its "Big Ideas 2026" report, Ark Invest predicts the digital asset market will grow to $28 trillion by 2030, with Bitcoin accounting for $16 trillion.
☝️Today, these figures are between $3.05 trillion and $1.8 trillion.
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📊 Santiment: According to data from social media platforms such as X, Reddit, Telegram and other platforms, tariff discussion (FUD) has reached a three-month high.
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📊 CryptoQuant analysts warn of increasing selling pressure as investors massively deposit BTC onto exchanges.
☝️ The situation is exacerbated by data from the Binance futures market, which shows that Net Taker Volume has been predominantly negative since mid-January, indicating aggressive market selling.
❌ Coinglass: $138,000,000+ in long positions liquidated in 1 hour. Bitcoin < $88,000.
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🇧🇹 The Kingdom of Bhutan will launch a Sei network validator in the first quarter of 2026.
🦄Unicorn Hype
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👔💬 Bloomberg: A key arbitrage strategy in the crypto derivatives market is falling apart.
The "cash-and-carry trade," where Wall Street institutions bought BTC on the spot market and sold it on the futures market to profit from price differences, saw spreads tighten sharply due to large influxes of funds.
Annual returns have fallen from approximately 17% a year ago to approximately 4.7% currently, barely covering the cost of capital. This largely reflects the strategic divestment of large US accounts, such as hedge funds.
The maturation of the market has given institutions more tools to express their directional views, resulting in narrowing spreads between exchanges, naturally compressing the arbitrage space. Market participants believe the era of near-risk-free high returns may be over.
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🪙#BTC < $90,000
🔽For the remaining 60 minutes, a position worth $190 million was liquidated from the crypto market.
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