Actuary J's GOLD Trade Group
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Gold Analysis:
4-Hour Chart: Resistance: 4660; Support: 4510.
1-Hour Chart: Resistance: 4620; Support: 4560.
Technical Analysis: Over the past two weeks, gold has been consolidating within the 4560-4660 range, with the trading range continuously narrowing. This "calm before the storm" often foreshadows a major market move. If the NFP employment data is lower than expected, expectations of an interest rate cut will quickly intensify, and gold may break through the 4660 resistance level, targeting 4710 or even 4830. If the data is higher than expected, gold may break below the 4560 support level, testing 4510 or even 4400. In summary, gold is in a consolidation pattern with "support below and resistance above": the 4560-4510 area provides support for gold prices due to central bank gold purchases and physical demand, while the 4660-4710 area is suppressed by high interest rate expectations.
On the hourly chart, the Bollinger Bands are severely narrowing, the RSI is hovering around the 50 neutral line, and the MACD lines are converging, indicating an unclear direction. If spot gold holds above 4620, the short-term bias is bullish; if it breaks below 4560, the price may test 4540 or even 4510. During the NY session, key resistance levels to watch are $4628/$4660, and key support levels are $4557/$4513.
Gold Trading Recommendations:
BUY: 4515–4521 | SL: 4500 | TP: 4545–4580
SELL: 4607–4613 | SL: 4528 | TP: 4575–4550
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Gold Analysis:
4-Hour Chart: Resistance: 4612; Support: 4510.
1-Hour Chart: Resistance: 4585; Support: 4540.
During the previous trading session, the U.S. Dollar Index surged once again, creating bearish pressure on gold. In the Asian session, gold rose to the vicinity of $4610 before beginning a decline. This bearish trend continued through the European and U.S. sessions; during the New York trading hours, gold dropped to around $4510, where it bottomed out and staged a rebound. The daily decline amounted to nearly $100, with gold closing near $4543. As of now, the daily chart shows gold having fallen for three consecutive trading days; moving averages are trending downward, the TRIX trend indicator has formed a "death cross," and the bearish momentum bars on the MACD indicator are increasing in size. Consequently, the daily outlook remains dominated by bearish forces.
On the hourly chart, gold reached a high of approximately $4582. The TRIX trend indicator has formed a "golden cross," and while the MACD fast and slow lines are currently operating below the zero axis, their spread is widening upward, and bullish momentum bars are increasing. Thus, the short-term outlook leans bullish. However, given that the daily chart has shown consecutive days of decline—accompanied by continuously increasing bearish momentum—the recommended intraday strategy for gold is primarily to "buy on dips" (entering long positions at support levels), with short-term selling opportunities serving as a secondary strategy. On the upside, attention should be focused on resistance levels at $4585 and yesterday's high of $4610; on the downside, observe whether the low of $4540 is breached.
Trading Strategy:
SELL: 4585–4590 | SL: 4600 | TP: 4550–4540
For buying opportunities, wait for the emergence of real-time signals indicating that the price decline has halted.
Gold Analysis:
4-Hour Chart: Resistance: 4660; Support: 4550.
1-Hour Chart: Resistance: 4610; Support: 4576.
Yesterday, gold rose to $4701 in the Asian session before turning bearish. It fell sharply in the European session, and in the NY market, gold bottomed out at $4557 before rebounding to close at $4596. The daily chart closed lower and broke below the Bollinger Band's middle line. The 5-day and 10-day moving averages are trending downwards, the KDJ indicator has formed a death cross, indicating severe oversold conditions, and the MACD indicator's fast and slow lines are running below the zero line, with a downward crossover and a slight increase in the downward momentum bars. The daily trend is bearish.
On the hourly chart, gold fell to $4576 in the Asian session before rising. After being severely oversold, the KDJ indicator has turned into a golden cross at a low level, and the accompanying indicators are turning upwards. The MACD indicator's downward momentum bars are decreasing, indicating a short-term bullish trend. Given the bearish daily chart trend, intraday trading for gold is recommended to focus on selling at resistance levels. Key resistance levels to watch are the Asian session high of $4610 and $4630, while key support is around yesterday's low of $4550.
Trading Recommendations:
SELL: 4620–4625 | SL: 4635 | TP: 4590–4570
From a technical perspective, gold's daily chart remains under pressure at high levels, with the overall trend decisively turning bearish and downward momentum becoming increasingly evident. The key resistance level is around $4700, which has repeatedly acted as a resistance barrier, indicating strong selling pressure. The key support level is $4600; a break below this level could trigger a significant pullback. Momentum indicators show weakening bullish momentum, officially ushering in a bearish cycle.
On the 4-hour chart, the short-term trend exhibits a downward oscillation, with gold prices moving along a descending channel. The RSI indicator has steadily fallen into neutral territory, reflecting increasingly cautious market sentiment. If gold prices decisively break below the $4600 support, they are likely to test lower levels; conversely, if they can reclaim the $4700 level, a return to an upward trend is possible. During the NY session, key resistance levels to watch are $4650/$4690, while support levels are $4587/$4555. The short-term pivot point is around $4587.
Trading Recommendations:
BUY: 4555~4561,
SELL: 4655~4649
Gold prices fell from 4730 to 4716. If you followed suit and sold, please protect your profits!💥
Gold Analysis:
4-Hour Chart: Resistance at 4770; Support at 4670.
1-Hour Chart: Resistance at 4730; Support at 4700.
Gold closed lower on the weekly chart; the 5-day Moving Average (MA) is trending downward, and the bearish momentum bars on the MACD indicator are increasing, indicating that bears currently hold the advantage in the weekly trend. On the daily chart, during Friday's New York session, Gold rose to $4740 before beginning a decline, ultimately closing at $4708. Both the 5-day and 10-day MAs are trending downward; the KDJ indicator has formed a "Death Cross" (bearish crossover), and the MACD indicator lines have turned downward. With the MACD fast and slow lines hovering near the zero axis—showing signs of forming a bearish crossover—and bullish momentum bars diminishing, the daily outlook remains bearish.
On the hourly chart, Gold fell to $4672 shortly after the market opened before bottoming out and rebounding. The price has since climbed above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands; the KDJ indicator has formed a "Golden Cross" (bullish crossover), and the MACD lines have turned upward. With the MACD fast and slow lines crossing bullishly near the zero axis and bearish momentum bars shrinking, the short-term outlook appears bullish. However, given the prevailing bearish trend on the daily chart, the recommended intraday strategy for Gold is primarily to "sell on rallies"—selling when the price rises to resistance levels. Key levels to watch include the 4-hour chart's middle band resistance at $4730 on the upside, and the Asian session low of $4670 as support on the downside.
Gold Trading Recommendation:
SELL: 4730–4735 | SL: 4745 | TP : 4710–4690
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Gold Analysis:
4-Hour Chart: Resistance at 4750; Support at 4650.
1-Hour Chart: Resistance at 4711; Support at 4660.
During the previous trading session, Gold rose to $4752 during the Asian session before pulling back. Following the release of U.S. economic data, Gold climbed to $4743 but subsequently declined again, closing the day at $4704. On the daily chart, the session closed lower; the 5-day and 10-day moving averages are trending downward, the KDJ indicator has formed a bearish crossover (Death Cross), and the auxiliary indicators continue to point lower. Furthermore, the bullish momentum bars on the MACD indicator are steadily diminishing, suggesting a bearish bias in the daily trend.
On the hourly chart, gold rose to $4711 in the Asian session before falling. The price is currently trading around $4680. The 5-day and 10-day moving averages are also trending downwards. The TRIX trend indicator has formed a death cross, and the MACD indicator's fast and slow lines are running below the zero axis with the crossover opening downwards. The downward momentum bars are expanding, indicating that the short-term trend is dominated by bears. Based on the daily chart, the intraday trading strategy for gold is to sell at resistance levels. The key resistance level to watch is $4711 (the Asian session high), while the key support level is $4650.
Trading Recommendations:
SELL: 4698~4705, SL: 4712, TP: 4670-4650
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The sell strategy shared yesterday hit its Take Profit target. A perfect profit!💥
During the previous trading session, the U.S. Dollar Index surged significantly, creating a relatively bearish environment for gold. After initially rising to the vicinity of $4,833, gold reversed course and began to decline. It remained in a phase of volatile consolidation during the European session; however, during the U.S. session, gold plummeted sharply, hitting a low of $4,668.4 before bottoming out and rebounding. The metal recorded a daily loss of $154, closing at $4,719. On the daily chart, the trend is downward; the KDJ indicator has formed a "death cross," and the bullish momentum bars on the MACD indicator have visibly contracted, suggesting a bearish bias for the daily outlook.
On the hourly chart, gold has been rising continuously today and is currently trading near $4,770. The 5-day and 10-day moving averages are trending upward, the TRIX trend indicator has formed a "golden cross," and the fast and slow lines of the MACD indicator have crossed below the zero axis, accompanied by increasing bullish momentum bars. Consequently, the short-term trend appears bullish. However, given yesterday's sharp decline on the daily chart—which resulted in a significant contraction of bullish momentum—the recommended intraday strategy for gold is primarily to initiate short positions upon rallies toward resistance levels. Key resistance to watch lies at $4,780, while key support is located at $4,700.
Trading Strategy:
1. SELL: Near $4,770, SL: $4,780, TP: $4,730–$4,710
2. If the price rises to $4,780, initiate a short position on a rebound near $4,785–$4,790.
SELL: $4,785–$4,790 , SL: $4,800 , TP: $4,750–$4,730
On the previous trading day, gold fell to $4780 in the European session before rebounding, then rose to $4827.8 before falling back, closing near $4822. The KDJ indicator showed a death cross, while the MACD indicator's upward momentum bars continued to expand. Given the bearish weekly and monthly charts, the recent daily chart suggests a sell bias.
On the hourly chart, gold rose to $4832.8 in the Asian session before falling back. The KDJ indicator, after being overbought, has turned into a death cross, and the MACD indicator's upward momentum bars are shrinking. Intraday trading for gold is recommended to focus on selling at resistance levels, paying attention to whether the Asian session high of $4833 is broken.
Trading Strategy:
SELL: $4820~$4825, SL: $4835, TP: $4800-$4780
If it breaks through $4835, watch for a sell reaction in the $4845~$4850 resistance area.
SELL: $4845~$4850, SL: $4860, TP: $4820-$4800
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Gold Analysis:
4-hour chart resistance: 4830, support: 4700.
1-hour chart resistance: 4814, support: 4740.
From the weekly chart, last week saw a rise supported by the Bollinger Band middle line. The TRIX trend indicator showed a death cross, and the MACD indicator's downward momentum bars continued to expand, indicating a relatively bearish weekly trend. Today, gold opened lower, falling to $4737 before rebounding, and is currently trading around $4796. The KDJ indicator showed a death cross, and the daily trend leans towards bearish.
On the hourly chart, gold rebounded after testing the lows, reaching around $4814 before falling back. The KDJ indicator turned into a death cross after being overbought. The MACD indicator's fast and slow lines are running above the zero line, but the crossover is pointing downwards, and the downward momentum bars are expanding, indicating a short-term bearish trend. Based on the daily chart, the intraday trading strategy for gold is to sell at resistance levels. Key resistance is at $4814, while key support is whether the Asian session low of $4736 can hold.
Gold Analysis:
4-hour chart resistance: 4830, support: 4700.
1-hour chart resistance: 4814, support: 4740.
From the weekly chart, last week saw a rise supported by the Bollinger Band middle line. The TRIX trend indicator showed a death cross, and the MACD indicator's downward momentum bars continued to expand, indicating a relatively bearish weekly trend. Today, gold opened lower, falling to $4737 before rebounding, and is currently trading around $4796. The KDJ indicator showed a death cross, and the daily trend leans towards bearish.
On the hourly chart, gold rebounded after testing the lows, reaching around $4814 before falling back. The KDJ indicator turned into a death cross after being overbought. The MACD indicator's fast and slow lines are running above the zero line, but the crossover is pointing downwards, and the downward momentum bars are expanding, indicating a short-term bearish trend. Based on the daily chart, the intraday trading strategy for gold is to sell at resistance levels. Key resistance is at $4814, while key support is whether the Asian session low of $4736 can hold.
Trading Strategy:
SELL: $4815~$4830, SL: $4835, TP: $4780-$4760
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