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Main channel where I post summaries and important info for the Premium Group.
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A few of you might have been charged for July already, unfortunately the system wonāt let me pause all subscriptions at once so I have to manually take care of everything.
You will be refunded since July will also be a free month. Sorry for the inconvenience herešš¼
Also, to prevent a lot of duplicate bets, I will just advise everyone to follow my bets in the free bets channel: t.me/SimonFreeBets or on X: https://x.com/simonjbets
I will not post any more bets in the private Bet365 group as there really is no point in that now. So just remember to follow me there instead to keep up!
On an absolute insane run at the moment with the Club World cup bets. June is currently at:
š68 bets
āļø AvgStake 1.08u
š ROI% 142.3 (!!)
š°+21.91u
In literally under a week. 5 days total of bets including the first Serie A bets.
Thereās a few of you who have used the bot to sign up to the group, Iāve been so busy that I forgot to close it since I am posting all my bets for free in the free bets channel/X.
Dont worry, I will take care of the subs and everything will rollover to August when the groups return for the major leagues.
I will post more info soon on how to join the August list as returning customers will always get ahead of the queue. If you know you are interested in continuing, you can already messsage me and Iāll put you on the list. But, more info coming and I will also post the results of my models after every tweak Iāve done to perfect it. NEXT SEASON WILL BE HUGE.
Repost from Simon - Free bets/Info
Friday bets(!!):
ā
Chelsea Under 13.5 Shots
ā
Chelsea Under 5.5 SOT
ā
Under 28.5 Total Shots
ā
Bayern Munich Under 20.5 Shots
āļøBoca Juniors Over 7.5 Shots
ā
Under 10.5 Total SOT
ā
Bayern Munich Under 7.5 SOT
š ROI% 170.2 (š„š„)
š°+5.09u
Total results so far:
23 bets
š ROI% 154.2
š°+12.07u
IN THE LAST 2 DAYS!!! If you followed my bets last summer, these tournaments can bring so much value.
Todayās bets coming in a little bitš
Repost from Simon - Free bets/Info
Todayās free bets:
ā
Under 26.5 Total Shots
ā
Porto Under 15.5 Shots
ā
Inter Miami Over 3.5 SOT
āļøUnder 24.5 Total Shots
ā
Seattle Sounders Over 8.5 Shots
ā
AtlƩtico Madrid Under 16.5 Shots
ā
Seattle Sounders Over 2.5 SOT
āļøAtlĆ©tico Madrid Under 6.5 SOT
ā
Paris Saint-Germain Under 19.5 Shots
āļøBotafogo Over 7.5 Shots
ā
Under 11.5 Total SOT
ā
Paris Saint-Germain Under 8.5 SOT
12 bets
š ROI% 146.5
š°+6.98u
** Even good results with the updated lines that came after the first odds drop:
12 bets
š ROI% 129.5
š°+3.32u
Crazy good day, really happy with the results. Bets for today coming in a little bit(!!). Iāll post some bets for updated lines closer to kick off as well, so you can still get value even though odds dropped.
Models are now finished, and simulations are done too:
Nr Bets: 33
Profit/Loss: +13.5
ROI%: 130.8
Great results initially but with low volume. Iāll have bets for tomorrow posted in the group shortly!!
Models almost done, working on testing all the played games and see how they perform. Should maybe have some bets for Thursday if I get everything working, just takes a bit time to build everything but also good to not take any risks in the beginning;) Still a ton more games to go!
Will be using the first few games of the CWC to test out the models and see the lineups/stats after the games. Should have bets ready after that! Iāll update though.
Today:
Total Summary:
11 bets
š ROI% 129.1
š°+3.86u
Fantastic first day of Brazileriaoš„š„š„ Felt like forever without bets with the international break, but we do great today!! Winners on all heavy bets tooš¤
One thing I did not see and think about, is that the Brazil league is also taking a break with the Club world cup incoming. I will have more info about bets soon for the tournament as I have no idea what to expect from the teams, but that will be the next potential bets.
More info coming soon, but I think I can call this early and say that June will be a free month. If you get charged, dont worry I will pause all subs and everything will rollover to August when big leagues are back.
Finally back with some Brazil serie A games on Thursday, expect bets coming overnight tomorrow!!
Just finished the Brasileirao models, everything is now up and running so we are ready for the next games. Not used to the Brazil time zone, so barely didnāt make it in time.
But, did some simulations of the last few gameweeeks that are available:
Nr Bets 49
Profit 19.7
ROI% 121.3
Not a lot of volume of course, but promising start. Have taken a lot of the things I learned from the previous models into this, so feel more confident here.
Might have a few international bets meanwhile, will see whatās available this week!
Almost done with the Brasil Serie A model, finishing up some last adjustments then I will run some simulations.
If everything is good and ready, I might have a couple of bets for Botafogo v Ceara tomorrow, so just a quick heads up there might be bets coming overnight today!
I will be developing the Brasil Serie A prop model this week, Iāve collected the data and will run a couple of simulations to test how the models have done the last few gameweeks as we have prop lines for all games which is fantastic.
We have international break coming too, so Iāll update more next week when the next bets will be.
Now we got very exciting times ahead. As mentioned to those earlier in the season, this was a testing season to see how I could do with bets from the automated models. Itās been a long learning process, and slowly throughout the season, thereās been new tweaks, new updates, more additions etc etc. Stability has improved over the season, but what I can do now is finally start the full analysis of the models, see what it was good at this season and what is what not.
Iāve already started the analysis from some of the leagues, and I have a clear picture where it needs to be improved now. I will post more pictures of the results of the models after Iāve made tons of changes, and I think each model can EASILY reach +150u PER LEAGUE for the season.
Throughout the summer I will also work on the player props models, it became clear that the results were sort of unstable and averaged around ROI% 108. I think that can be improved a lot more. I got a lot of time now to prepare these models and run tons of simulations, so this will just add great volume and profit.
For the next season my goal will be to have fully improved:
- Prop models for all top leagues
- Player prop models for all top leagues.
Regarding cards/corners projects, I will figure out what to do over the summer after Iāve finished the other prop projects. I think the volume for just Team/Player props will be around 500-600 bets a month, which should be plenty already.
May summary:
š306 bets
ā
Wins 127 | āļø Loss 107
āļø AvgStake 0.99u
š ROI% 100.5
š°+1.17u
Small profit this month, with a little bit lower than average volume. We had one terrible weekend, but besides that we weāre profitable most days, without that one weekend, we would have been at around +25u profit, which is a bit annoying but alright.
Info:
The last match we have for the month is CL on Saturday, should there be any bets then those will be posted overnight on Friday.
Regarding June:
I will continue to post bets throughout the summer as mentioned, Iām working on getting the Brasil Serie A models going since all those games have props. Will also work on getting a model for the Club World cup, but we really have to see the lineups first before the bets.
If the volume is too low this month, Iāll call the month free and your sub will just rollover to August. Either that or I will just include June/July together. Mentioned this in the previous post, but just repeating this so thereās no confusion hereš
Sunday(!):
Total Summary:
27 bets
š ROI% 122.6
š°+6.49u
Fantastic last day of the big leaguesš Empoli bets lose by only one, same with Lecce shots, so close to being a crazy day. But very happy overall. We finish the weekend very strong with:
Full Weekend summary:
51 bets
š ROI% 121.5 (š„š„)
š°+10.63u
Beautiful. Now we got a couple of days left before we round off the month. Not expecting any bets today.
Not home currently, will post summary when I get back later today. But looks like we had another profitable dayšš¼
