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+2
🏉 NRL - STORM V FINS 🏉
🤞🏻 1u tips each attached - Herbie and Storm -11.5
🤞🏻 Sua First Try Scorer (0.3u) & Sua 2+ tries (0.55u) are both unofficial and non tracked plays
🙏 Long shot attached - (1) - 0.25u 🙏
🙏 Alec MacDonald ATS - 0.15u 🙏
The Storm head up to Suncorp on Friday to take on the Dolphins in what’s been a pretty one-sided matchup historically.
Melbourne have won all three previous matches, and they’ve done it convincingly enough to have also covered the line in each game, even with the Dolphins being underdogs in all of them.
There’s a fair bit to unpack from a try scoring angle as the Storm have shown some clear tendencies this season, conceding five tries which is 29 percent of their total to left centres, making Herbie Farnworth a good play in my eyes
Storm have found success going down their right wing, with Sua Fa’alogo scoring five tries this season and he’s been in hot form so I like the odds here incase he goes offs
Wouldn’t be shocked with an upset but expecting Storm to win and win well here. They are simply too good
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🏉 NRL - SOUTHS V DOGGIES 🏉
I CANT WAIT FOR THIS GAME!
The Bulldogs come into this one as double-digit favs as the team w the best D in the comp. But Souths have won 6/7 overall and historically, the Rabbitohs have had the edge at Accor Stadium winning 9 of the past 12 clashes there.
Canterbury have also covered the line in 3 of their 4 games as favourites this season, so they’ve been doing their job when expected to win and I think they most likely get it done in a close one but I want to stay away from any outrights
The Rabbitohs’ left winger has scored 5 tries this season, and the Bulldogs have leaked 6 tries to that left side over half their total tries conceded, which is the most of any team in the competition. Campbell Graham also has a strong record with 5 tries against Canterbury.
Big game expected! 70,000 people and the superstars are in! Can’t wait for this one
Bets based off research and my overall feel for this game and initial thoughts
Multi is live on my feed at 6.70 odds (0.35u) and the bets in the photos are getting 1u each as per usual
🙏 Long shot live on my dabble profile - (1) - 0.25u 🙏
LETS GET THEM TICKS BABY!
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+2
🥶 FRIDAY NIGHT AFL CARD 🥶
Alright gang we have two games on in both codes so here are my favourite one unit plays for each of the games tonight in the footy
As always, I’ve got a quarter unit on each of the picks as a straight play and the long shot is me just trying to take advantage of the Dabble promotion and for the guys who always ask me for some fun multis
As always with my style of betting, I have one unit on each and a sprinkle on the multi altogether which can be found on my Sportsbet feed if you just search up my user name ‘Slipsntips’
Had a monster day yesterday so let’s keep it going!!
As always as well, my best bets are in my premium group and they are live for each game. Link in IG bio!
NRL/NBA coming up next
AFL - ROOS V CARLTON
📱 1u Tips attached - (2) 📱
Multi:
https://share.sportsbet.com.au/hL2A5mnz
🙏 Long shot attached - (1) 🙏
AFL - ESSENDON V EAGLES
📱 1u Tips attached - (3) 📱
Multi:
https://share.sportsbet.com.au/sLEhkhp4
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⚾️ MLB ⚾️
My MLB tips been nothing but ass. I owe you guys a big bounce back. Without NBA I can lab MLB more and I love these threes plays
For starters Carroll’s been super reliable against right-handed pitchers this season, hitting this line in 9 of 12 games and 8/9. He’s smashed this same pitcher (Cabrera) before too, with a strong track record in their matchups. Cabrera, on the other hand, hasn’t been great especially against left-handed hitters like Carroll and tends to struggle more in day games. The types of pitches Cabrera throws also line up well for Carroll, who’s been smashing those pitch types lately
Also love Lorenzen to go over 15.5 outs here. Basically, we’re backing him to pitch deep into the game, at least into the 6th inning. He’s been pretty solid lately, and the Royals’ bullpen (their backup pitchers) is gassed with their best arms likely not available. So I’m trusting Lorenzen to be efficient and stay on the mound longer than usual. I’d take it up to 16.5 if needed
Sanchez has major major upside, this line should be one higher so if it bumps fade it. This is a great spot for him and I would
Be shocked if he goes under
1u on each and 0.35u on the mutli all together at 7x live on my feed
https://share.sportsbet.com.au/PzVmIkr3
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+1
📱 SNT TIPS - NRL 📱
0.25u on the long shot and 0.45u on Brooks ATS both unofficial.
Wanted to have some action on him as I think this is a good game for him to go over as he has scored 7 tries v the Dragons, the most against any opposition and the Dragons have let in 2 tries (13%) to left half (left 5/8) this season so he should get a good look
https://click.dabble.com.au/gnUM/l8slzs4c
1u on Sloan and the multi flip
https://share.sportsbet.com.au/65RckYry
Manly should get the job done here at home
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+2
📱 SNT TIPS - AFL 📱
Business as usual team
0.25 on the multi (unofficial)
https://click.dabble.com.au/gnUM/xotyrclk
1u on the straight plays and 2x SGM
0.35u on the multi all tougher below and live on my sb feed
https://share.sportsbet.com.au/AVLX6uq6
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+1
🙏 SNT NRL ROUND 7 MULTIS 🙏
Couple of Hail Mary’s here but all in good fun and gambling responsibly of course!
These aren’t just random players and lines that I’m throwing out there. All are genuinely how I see the games going and the players are some of my favourite try scorers for the weekend thanks to some elite match ups and/or history or other factors. Basing a lot of this from team list Tuesday and injuries/rotations that have all come out in the last 48 hours also, all are research backed and I’m happy to explain any of them to anyone who DMs me if they want more info
I will always say this because I genuinely believe it - but this is not a smart way to punt and it’s only for fun so please gamble responsibly and go light whenever you see anyone posting tips like these even if it’s not my page.
I’ve only got 0.2u on each and 0.1u on the full multi combining EVERYTHING which is at 321x odds.
Predicting the NRL so far this year has been nearly an impossible job, so if one of these get off I’ll be super happy!
Let’s get them ticks baby 🤞🏻
Full multi -
https://share.sportsbet.com.au/958EFmge
Try scorer multi -
https://share.sportsbet.com.au/cowT002k
Results multi -
https://share.sportsbet.com.au/KzOupBgG
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+1
📱 SNT NBA TIPS #4 + Dabble Multi 📱
We were 2 draymond threes from cashing our long shot this morning. Got that cash back and ready to roll it into this which is already my fav bets posted in one parlay. I figured if Dallas were to steal a win here all of these four legs go hand-in-hand 🤷♂️ and if not hopefully we get the cash back again
For PJ he is a one unit tracked play. He has had a few niggles late in the season but looks good to go now, and I reckon this is a great spot for him.
He’s dangerous as a spot-up shooter and just as solid attacking closeouts, which suits this matchup perfectly. He dropped 28 on the Kings earlier this year and with his size and defensive ability, he’s likely seeing big minutes again and I wouldn’t be surprised if he pushes 36+ here, especially since he’ll be needed on the DeRozan/LaVine assignments.
Offensively, he’ll probably get DeRozan on him, and let’s be honest, DeMar’s not exactly a lockdown defender. PJ’s cleared this points line in 19/30 games when taking 8 or more shots. With Anthony Davis likely seeing double teams, I doubt they’re rotating off Klay or Dinwiddie to help, meaning PJ could be the one left open.
He’s been in plenty of big spots before so I like him for a unit
Dabble mutli -
https://click.dabble.com.au/gnUM/8honyspg
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📱 SNT NBA TIPS #4 📱
Lmao Davion wearing some SNT merch has to be some good luck for us 🤣 I’m late to the party but ima start playing with the photos more in an AI sense (unless I get in trouble from insta 👀)
1u play - this line is everywhere and still at these odds
Loving him for 10+ here as he is simply going to see a fk ton of minutes as one of the Heats best defensive guard
His been copping a serious workload lately, especially when Tyler Herro’s in. Over his last 12 with Herro, his hit 10+ points in 11 of them and played 30+ mins in 11. He also chucked up 8+ field goal attempts in 9 of those so I love the expected volume here
Last week against these same Bulls, he dropped 17 points and now he gets ’em again in a must-win game
The Bulls have been hopeless at defending point guards giving up the most points to them over the last 15 games and leaking badly on above-the-break threes.
They’ve struggled against slashers all year too, and that’s Mitchell’s bread and butter, especially when he’s in pick n roll sets with guys like Ware or Bam.
If Chicago throws doubles at Herro, like Atlanta did to Paolo, someone’s got to benefit and it could be him
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📱 SNT NBA TIPS #1 - #3 📱
Alright full breakdown here for these three plays
Mavs outright - 0.7u (unofficial/not tracked)
Mavs handicap line - 1u (official/tracked)
Over 215.5 points - 1u (official/tracked)
All reports suggest AD is IN! His yet to be 100% confirmed but based off of the information I found after scouring the Internet and looking at all of my usual resources he should be suiting up. The line also suggests that he is playing because if he wasn’t we would be seeing a -8.5 or more spread I think. He is the difference maker and they brought him for the postseason and even though they are missing Kyrie they are still the better team in my opinion and I don’t mind Dinwiddie running point guard with shooters like Klay and PJ who all have very nice play-off experience
Kings missing Monk hurts then but I have to admit Saboner has had the better match up against AD and LeVine/DeRozan are flying lately, fully aware this is the main reason why they are the favourites but I still think Dallas will want and need this more considering all the shit that they have gone through and they do have the best player on the court in AD so they are a legit chance at causing an upset here
Kings at home have actually been terrible defensively this season, but the offence is there so I like the over and thought the line would be at 219.5ish instead. Both teams have regressed defensively this season and on the road this year Mavs are second in the league to giving up the over, and with their size and everything I have to lean the over based on how Mavs and Kings have been playing. There are good defenders everywhere, but I doubt we see much of that that tomorrow
Mavs have the size to deal with Saboner too in Lively and those guys (even tho they are banged up) so again I can see some value in the underdogs here. This will be hopefully be a entertaining game to watch and I think I still have hope for the Mavericks at least to get past this stage
If you want to parlay be my guest but ima stick with this and more plays are coming
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⚽️ 🏴 UCL 🇩🇪🇮🇹
Alright boys let’s run it back. Nice and simple as we should see some desperate teams step up for leg 2
1.35u play here as I’m expecting some goals in both games and want to avoid any results based bets as anything can happen. Lowkey would be shocked if Arsenal win or draw they are flying right now and inter are so impressive but Bayern know how
To pile up points up front and have so many offensive weapons
Should be some entertaining games with a lot of goals so hopefully this is a no sweat winner like this morning again
If anybody wants more information on these games or the reasons why I’m taking these send me a DM and I’m happy to talk to you about these games further
https://share.sportsbet.com.au/VPp8Y5iU
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+2
⚾️🏀 MLB AND NBA 🏀⚾️
1u each!
For the MLB I had a quick scan of the board and I think these are 2 great plays at near 2x for Schwellenbach (It’s also on b365 at 1.90) and a high line for Verlander
Just 2 high lines that I want to fade
Verlander has failed to pitch 6 complete innings in all 3 starts and his given up 5+ hits in each start and 8 combined earned runs in the last 2
The Giants left Verlander out there for the 6th inning last game vs the Reds. EH completely imploded walking multiple batters and giving up multiple runs… I don’t expect them to make that same mistake
For Schwellenbach I expect the line to move or odds to drop, his under this in 8/10 games dating back to last season and I think this is an overreaction based off last game where he had 7 in a win, I’m projecting 3-5 max so 5.5 feels like a steal at these odds
Dray is too juicy to ignore at these odds. Expecting a lot of hand offs and a fast paced game here to erupt so curry could go nuclear or Jimmy. Either way dray should have the ball in his hands nearly every play and the match up is too good.
All 1u each. Let’s go 3-0 on these 👌🏻
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+3
🏀 NBA 🏀
Couple of plays here I’m loving!
Will have more action for the 2 games on this morning but running these up now!
First one is a 1u play for tomorrow for Edey, if you can get this line then perhaps fade as it’s sharp and any higher I don’t like it tbh.
Edey -
He has seen a massive minutes bump since Taylor Jenkins got the sack, and no one’s really put into perspective how big the change is. Before the coaching change, Edey had only cracked 28+ minutes in 2 of 47 games, averaging just 20.6 minutes a night.
But since then he has hit 28+ in 6/8, with the average jumping to 27.9 minutes. In April, he’s putting up 9.3 points, 15.7 boards, and 1.5 dimes for 27.5 points + rebounds + assists across just over 30 minutes per game.
That included a season-high 32 minutes and 13 defensive rebounds against the Warriors both highs at the time.
And Golden State simply has no answer for his size, on either end. 1u looks good. Don’t like it if it bumps. Posted this early this arvo for the VIPs
Miami multi - 0.55u
Mavs outright - 0.7u
Bucks series winner - 1u play
The multis and out rights are just how I see the games going, sometimes it’s as simple as backing the best player and better team and considering the odds we are getting too it’s worth a little sprinkle. I can live the results of these under dogs lose or if Huerter and Trae have bad games which I don’t expect at all. I just think we are getting good odds here and If anyone wants more reasons why pls DM as I’m happy to further explain myself and these plays.
Looking for another play for the games on today!
⸻
📊 SNT Free NBA Tips: 364-283 (56.27%)
📊 SNT+ NBA POTD Tips: 470-345 (57.67%)
📊 Total NBA record: 834-628 so far this season (57.05%)
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🏴🇫🇷 UCL 🇩🇪⚽️
Just a nice and easy UCL flip for me for the upcoming games.
Need to do a write up to explain these to you guys which I will later but both are sharp juiced plays so a simple SGM flip looks good to me here for 1.25u
All Write ups will be live when I get back home in a couple of hours but locking this in now!
https://share.sportsbet.com.au/3n5hRxVj
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🙏 NBA LONG SHOT 🙏
Play offs and play in is here so let’s get started with these! Expecting Draymond to have a field day finding Steph in a game where the warriors should win. Edey lives in the paint so a couple of threes also wouldn’t shock
Warriors don’t really have an Answer for JJJ so expecting him to do well also, they have struggled vs power forwards and bigs this year so he shouldn’t have any excuses
Locking it in now with you guys before I post on the main page in one hour
https://click.dabble.com.au/gnUM/j6jhc5bq
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🏴 EPL 🏴
A very quiet day tonight and tomorrow as im only looking at the EPL right now. There are some MLB games on which ill have some action but not going to lie the MLB has not been good so am staking a unit at max
This one is an easy play, after researching this game I think the best bet and most expected outcome will be based around goals and goal scored from both teams. History would suggest that’s what happens and these games that are usually on a slate of their own (Monday night over in UK) usually have goals as well which is a funny trend I’ve noticed over the years.
For this match, Bournemouth are at home, so they have the home ground advantage but the problem with them is that they are struggling defensively and have let in 2 goals at least in 6 of their last 7 games. To make matters worse for them in their last 7 games have scored but have allowed a goal so my mind automatically goes to BTTS here as I think that’s the best play.
Help that for Fulham (in this season) 11 of their last 15 away games both teams have scored and in the first meeting between these sides both teams scored 2 goals
I expect history to repeats itself and I would be shocked a low scoring 1-0 type of game. Bournemouth are favs at home but have lost their last 3 EPL home games when they are favs and whenever Fulham are underdogs lately both teams have scored (their last 10 EPL games when underdogs) Bournemouth also have had 4+ corners in 7 straight games usually getting 6-9 so this feels good. Head-to-head wise they have covered this corners line in 5 straight meetings also
1.3u play
Let’s get them ticks!
https://share.sportsbet.com.au/YhJsnCRm
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🌐 NBA SNT PLAY 🌐
Very easy to explain as no one knows him
His the guy who should be seeing a fk ton of minutes
Any of his lines are nice. Points or Rebs or assists. I think he can crush all of his lines purely basing it off minutes projections and overall what the nets will need from him today.
1u only for me tho and not 2u POTD worthy
I hate to post these plays so late especially as the games are on early but all of the information and everything is only coming out right now so I kind of don’t have a choice so apologies everyone don’t hate me ….
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+1
🌐 NBA SNT PLAY 🌐
I’m on a couple of Scottie Barnes lines today that I reckon have some sneaky upside.
Throwing 0.5 units each on his over 5.5 rebounds and over 3.5 assists, both sitting at solid 2x odds. He’s coming off a game where he logged 31 minutes in a tight 7-man Raptors rotation, racked up 22 rebound chances (season high), and had 11 potential assists.
With Mogbo as the lone big, Barnes is going to have to crash the glass a lot more than usual, and against a Spurs team that’s been trapping star players more lately, there’s a good chance the ball finds him to facilitate.
Also having a bit of fun with a 0.2 unit longshot same game multi, Barnes to go 7+ boards and 7+ dimes at 17.00 odds which is nice.
Bit of a cheeky sprinkle, but the volume could be there again if he gets the run.
Let’s see what happens. Weird slate = weird bets
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+3
🏴🏀 EPL - NBA 🏀🏴
Running 1.2u on Chelsea as I expect them to dominate, can also run half time/full time for them. This is a big game
1u on the Liverpool SGM as hit rates are all insane and through the roof and overall how I expect this game to go
1.1u on the Wolves/United multi as both legs look good but juiced so combining together. with man Utd new manager they havnt lost by 2 goals in 4/5 prem away games. Should be good enough to cover and I simply don’t agree with Wovles being favs, they are ass at home so it’s not even a bit home ground advantage. Miss price but I don’t trust spurs outright so draw factor is nice
0.35u on the mutli. Live on my SB feed
Back to labbing NBA… first 2 picks are live here, more to come but am running a unit on jWill and 0.25u on his triple double chance. Expecting him to run the show. Harden also facing a tough play off type of type of game here. Warriors need it badley so they will throwing everything they have got defensively here, his under in 2/3 v the warriors and Kawhi Wasn’t even playing in those games. Fading this sharp line which should be at 21.5 or even 20.5 imo.
More NBA to come
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🏉 AFL 🏉
Last game of the footy weekend! Can sit back and watch the games after this as the work is done and we just gotta enjoy the units invested pour back in
🌐 Nash 15+ Ds / JHF 1+ Goal / Watson 1+ Goal - 1u 🌐
🌐 Hawthorn -13.5 - 1u 🌐
Multi combined for both 0.5u @ 3.55 live on my SB feed
LETS GET THEM TICKS BABY
