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π AFL MULTI π
This cash back promo is too good, most of these have been missing by 1 which is brutal but I know you guys love them and want to take advantage of the promo also
All actually likely in my head and ticks a lot of the boxes especially stats wise
Kick off in 25 mins
https://click.dabble.com.au/gnUM/ns3oz1lb
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+3
π AFL SUNDAY CARD π
Full AFL Sunday card here
As always these are all 1u plays, went with mini 2 legger multis instead of some straight picks as i really liked all of these lines but they were individually juiced. Usually a straight bettor but thats what the 2u best bets are for today I guess as these are more leans/likes that combine into a 2x play
0.35u on the hopeful sweep, all is live on my SB feed. Labbing NRL now so donβt have time to do a full write-up, but if you want any reasons for any of these players send me a message
Letβs get them ticks!!!
https://share.sportsbet.com.au/7wV1G55z
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π SNT 1U PLAYS - #6 π
WHOS AWAKE?!
Run it back from the other day! But this time only for a unit
So much upside here and this is a good series for him. With Jimmy and keen to see how he goes so thatβs why I only want to throw a unit on him this time around
Shooting % is super high but watching the film back he is getting soooo many good open looks. I donβt think that changes and warriors happily will let him be the main scorer as they focus on double sengun and giving green trouble
11.5 points is next best pivot
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π SNT 1U PLAYS - #4 π
Love this spot
For starters he already has a low rebound conversion rate this season at just 54 percent, and itβs even worse against the Cavs at 50 percent.
With Jovic back getting bench minutes and Davion now starting, Highsmithβs role has shrunk dropping from 31 minutes in Game 1 to 26 in Game 2. If you cap his minutes between 22 and 32, heβs only hit in 25/36 games, and between 22 and 28 minutes heβs hit just 17/23.
He spent Game 1 guarding Evan Mobley, but didnβt even match up with him in Game 2, which saw his defensive rebound chances fall from 7 to just 1. Miamiβs defensive scheme is also forcing Highsmith to stay aggressive at the point of attack to protect Herro, which drags him out of rebounding position even more.
Not expecting a good rebounding game from him and these are all similar reasons and things that I looked for with Pritchard today and we also saw how sharp that read was
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π SNT 1U PLAYS - #5 π
Looks like a sharp play, Iβm feeling it for a unit so why notβ¦ letβs see if the read is right
For starters his stayed under this line in 17/22 games when playing 25 minutes or less this season, and he hasnβt cracked that mark yet in this seriesβ¦.
With Caruso going off last game and Wallace not even playing in the Game 1 blowout, his minutes should stay limited again. Heβs only had 3 potential assists in each game, making less than 21 passes a night, and a lot of his assists have come off turnovers, short rolls, or outlet passes rather than real offense.
When it comes to Rebs, heβs had just 2, 5, and 6 chances across the three games with low defensive rebounding numbers and a conversion rate of just 47 percent, even worse at 36 percent offensively.
OKC relies on defense and transition, not Wallace cleaning the glass or playmaking, so happy to fade him here for a unit
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+2
π NBA π
Cavs game is super early didnβt realise. More to come letβs roll with these some new plays too after Iβm back home after that shit show from the Giants in the second halfβ¦.. Disgusting
I gotta bounce back in the NBA after yesterday also Iβm loving all these plays.
Will have more action soon
-
#nba #slipsntips
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+1
π AFL π
AFL - DOGS V GWS
π SNT 1U TIPS - (3) - Official/Tracked π
π 10x Long Shot multi - 0.2u - not tracked/unofficial π
Will try do a write up later but probably wonβt get to it as Iβm about to play some tennis for the next couple of hours. Hoping to come back and see some ticks everywhere ππ»
loving this game way more betting wise then the Port one
As always if you want reasons or any adjustments send me a message. I would stay away from a winner here as I expect a close one, GWS better team on paper but Dogs have the history over them. Lean the over on points more then an outright result. The players all have elite match ups and HR ofc looking for best highest likely options for us as always
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+2
π NRL π
π SNT 1U Tips attached - (2) π
π SNT Long shot multi attached - 0.25u - unofficial/not tracked π
π Alamoti FTS - 0.2u - unofficial/not tracked π
π Somerton ATS/FTS (0.4u/0.05u) - unofficial/not tracked π
No time for a write up need to lab AFL. If you want reasons send me a msg
Letβs get them ticks baby!!
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+2
π AFL π
Close game here and I can kind of smell an upset. Plenty of disposal attempts this game so loved those markets and saved the big goal scorers for the long shotβ¦. Fading a result here as I donβt know how much I fully trust the lions in this one
1u on each and 0.45u on the multi @ 3.40 live on my SB feed (SlipsNTips) as always
Wanganeen-Mileraβs gone 25+ in four straight games at Marvel and is averaging 25.1 disposals across his last 10. Heβs cleared this line in 6 of those 7 and looks locked into a high halfback role again 1u official/worthy as it might be sharp but his more then capable of smashing this line in a competitive game
Bailey has scored multiple goals on multiple goals and clearly has had a role change this season as he is being way more agressive and sending it any chance he gets inside the 50. His an X factor for the lions and needs to have some action on him
Wilmot has covered this in 23/24 and is very smooth and always doing his job for his team out of the defence. Super reliable and can see him linking up all game with the middles
Windhager red hot too ignore. Has had 18 or more Ds over his last 6 straight games. Donβt see any changes for him here in this match up
1u plays each and 0.25u on the 10x multi taking advantage of the Dabble promo
More to come
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π SNT NBA TIPS π
3x Multi - official/tracked - 1u
Siakam - official/tracked - 1u
19x sweep multi - unofficial/not tracked - 0.15u
At this stage these are my last plays unless some really good value presents itself
All bets live on my SB feed βSlipsNTipsβ
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π NBA SNT 1U TIPS - #5 π
I have this priced at 1.55
He burned us the other day but STILLL had 9 potential assists in Game 2 (despite ending in 0)
Twolves at home should be able to hit more shots so I want to run it back for a unit.
Lakers still loaded up to him a bunch and will have to again tonight as he is still HIM. Especially at home.
RA pivot is okay if this is juiced
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+2
π NBA π
Write ups later just posting these now
Lakers β
Rockets β
bucks β¦. Next system play lets run it back. They will be desperate
Pritchard struggling for boards this series. No need for him to be grabbing 4 or more and match up isnβt there for it
Reaves hit rate been terrible but volume is there and should continue to be there. Actually love him on the road too
More to come
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+1
π NRL π
Gross game betting wise. Not expecting a lot here but these guys are looking good and even though ford isnβt a multi play I like him atleast for a tiny sprinkle. 11/14 meetings have gone under and I think it happens again tonight.
π Marzhew ATS & U44.5 Points - 1u each - official π
π Ford ATS & Marzhew FTS - 0.2u - unofficial/not tracked π
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+2
π NRL π
π Smith and Sloan ATS - 1u each π
π Sloan FTS - 0.2u - unofficial/not tracked π
π Gutho MOTM - 0.4u - unofficial and not tracked π
π LONG SHOTS π
Long shot mutli - 0.25u on dabble
Sweep multi in hopes for all the straight free plays to hit - 0.1u
Love this game, praying for a fk ton of points and will be shocked if there isnβt
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π AFL π
AFL - PIES V BOMBERS
π 1u Free plays attached - (3) π
Anzac game which is going to be a special one. Pies should win but ie expect bombers to turn up so I want to fade away form any type of results. Was tempted to run the wire to wire play as both teams could have a lead here
Daicos just so happens to be running out as his first game as captain where there is a potential metal involved β¦ I know itβs the easy pick but I just canβt see any other player winning the award besides him so the odds are decent and Iβll make it a one unit play because I expect him to get a lot of touches and play with a lot of passion.
Sidebottom/Martin based off my projections spreadsheet + form and match up looks good
More to come
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π NBA SNT MULTI π
Posting this for the free SNT community, big on the Clippers at home for game three and loved what I saw from them in game 2 where they just got it done. The line has been 2.5 and 1.5 and now we are a 6 point spread so even the bookies agree with me that they should get the win at home here. If Denver want to split the series then so be it, I think that might be in game 4 but not this one
Porter Jr might be out for this one and I love all three off these Clippers to cover these lines, hopefully in no sweat fashion
0.5u unofficial and not tracked towards the record. Dabble Cash back promo is live for this one
https://click.dabble.com.au/gnUM/2iopw187
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π SNT 1U PICKS - #1 - #3 π
NBA continues to carry as the footy is becoming more and more unpredictable
KAT -
Playing this based off the biggest adjustment the Knicks need to make in Game 3 which is getting Towns more involved on offense. He only had 11 shot attempts in Game 2, even though he was often matched up with Tobias Harris thatβs nowhere near enough. When the starters are healthy and playing 30+ minutes, this play hits at a 60% clip so I like the hit rate also. This is a must-win spot so unless thereβs foul trouble or a blowout, Towns should be out there for 35+ mins I rkn
Dunn -
Playable at 12.5 if thatβs all you can get. This is on Neds/Ladbrokes. He has gone over this line in both games this series with 14 and 13 PRAs. Heβs averaging 14.7 PRAs in his last 15 games w Harden, Kawhi, and Powell when attempting 4+ shots hitting the over in 11 of them. He should get some nice looks again tonight as Denver focuses on Kawhi and Harden, and heβs been solid at home, shooting 36% from deep
SGA -
This is scary as he is Mr aura but it makes sense here with everyone healthy. Memphis has guarded him well, and the Thunder arenβt running the offense through him early as Jalen Williams and even Wallace have brought the ball up more. In Games 1 and 2, he averaged 6 field goal attempts and 6 points in the first quarter, with half his shots being threes. When Chet is active, SGA has stayed under 11 points in 14/14 road 1Qs this season, and heβs cleared this number in just 1 of 25 career playoff games.
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π LONG SHOT MULTIS π
You guys know the deal. 0.25u on each taking advantage of the Dabble promo and these are always elite plays that look good but I just didnβt want to send a unit on or run as a POTD due to some minor concerns
https://click.dabble.com.au/gnUM/juruf7px
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π AFL - NRL π
THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTY
4 picks - all 1u each
Will come back at try do a write up for these but itβs quite late so sorry for the late posts.
Long shots on Dabble coming up next!
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+4
π NBA π
Apologies for the late post everyone, I hate to be that guy and plug my premium all the time but these plays were posted there first and more π€·ββοΈ
Either way I can smell a sweep here and 10x would be a LOVELY way to kick start our weekend.
Very quick reasons why for these
Jrue -
Tatum most likely OUT. He benefits great from this and Magic have elite defenders on the other guys so I love his chances. Historically this is a great game for him too
Rockets -
System play I been running for 10 years in play offs. Home teams down 1-0 are always desperate and we saw it today with the lakers π€·ββοΈ run it back
Hunter -
They are really over reacting with his line it was 11.5 in game one β¦ goes out and does see much action and the books decide to reduce it to this? Have to play it atleast for a unit
Garland -
BLOW THE DUST OFF THIS ONE! Letβs run it back for old times saike eehhhh
We have been riding Garland 3+ threes all season at home and heβs been elite! cashing it in 19/29. He torched the Heat in Game 1 with 5 threes and got a bunch of clean looks thanks to poor pick n roll defense.
Miamiβs weak against above-the-break shooters and ball-handlers in pick n roll, which is exactly where Garland thrives
Cavs just have too many weapons for the Heat to deal with so he should get some good looks
Letβs have ourselves a sweep πͺπΌππ»π€π»
https://share.sportsbet.com.au/RyXi5BHA
