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1 655
+2
🌐 SNT 1U PICKS - #1 - #3 🌐
Running with 3 picks for now! As always 1u each
Starting with the Clippers -6.5 at home - Denver shot 52% from deep last game which is really hard to do again. If that happens again on the road I’ll be shocked. Denver hit a bunch of tough, contested looks and I’m happy to bank on some natural shooting regression here. With the Clips facing elimination, I expect a big response and a more locked-in effort defensively. Should be a close game so only one unit on the line
I’m also on Michael Porter Jr under 20.5 PRA. He’s been carrying a shoulder issue since Game 2 and hasn’t looked the same posting 14, 23, and 17 PRAs in the last three…. He’s been hesitant on the glass, not getting downhill, and mostly just floating around the perimeter. Even then, his 3-point line is juiced heavily to the under, so the books clearly expect a drop-off. With Jokic expected to play huge minutes and Westbrook back in the mix, his usage and role are trending down. I wouldn’t be shocked if he barely plays 30 minutes, especially if the Clips target him defensively.
Lastly, I like Aaron Gordon to go over 13.5 points even tho it goes against the clipps money line. I just think he has a good game and MPJ a bad one. He’s cleared this in 9/10 games, averaging 18.3 points across that span. He’s playing with confidence, attacking mismatches, and getting downhill off Jokic handoffs and cuts. With MPJ less involved (hopefully) AG should find his spots again.
More to come
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🙏 NBA MULTI 🙏
0.4u - Unofficial and not tracked
I love the Lakers to cover with their backs against the wall and coming off multiple days rest. Love Reaves at home too his way way more confident there shooting wise. He needs to step up
Love the Rockets to win also as this team is still elite and have more to offer in this series.
The rest are leans or likes so thought why not chuck it in a multi… Go light as it’s not worth hammering, but still some great spots, especially the lakers spread if you want an additional 1u play, they should show up
Live on my sb feed ‘SlipsNTips’
https://share.sportsbet.com.au/hIrtp9Os
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🌐 SNT 1U PLAY - #5 🌐
Love what I saw from him last game. Should only give him more confidence.
He saw 63 passes last game and continues to be the guy Houston leans on to push pace and organise half-court sets. Jalen Green has been brutal missing bad shots, killing possessions, and basically being a negative every time he touches the ball. Rockets fans are screaming for him to get fewer minutes, and the coach limits him, that only boosts FVV usage.
I was worried some of Fred’s assists last game came off flukey long outlets, but the highlights showed he was in control handling the ball in transition, running pick and roll, and usually making the right read.
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+2
🌐 SNT 1U PICKS - #1 - #4 🌐
So close to a sweep today but let’s run it back and this time I had to go over to dabble as b365 restricted me and SB don’t have these markets
For post and Adams their line bumps by 1 should be okay but anything past that pivot to rebounds line.
For the total over on points this is still available everywhere but if 210 is all you can get that should be okay
For Donte 17.5 would be a lower unit play like 0.75 imo
Lines are sharp but as always these guys have major upside and we are very far into the series enough to know the type of role and minutes that they should be getting
More coming later and more best bets in SNT+ but rolling with these for now
https://click.dabble.com.au/gnUM/iotlhxlb
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🇫🇷 UCL 🏴
1.5u play - available everywhere
Ahhhh sometimes it’s just so simple and we can’t over think it.
It’s a UCL game and both teams are stacked and red hot!
Nah but in all seriousness Arsenal missing Gabriel is huge and they have a missing defensive mid in Thomas Partey also which will hurt them.
PSG have let on 9 goals in their last 5 games so they are elite defensively either right now, arsenal are so stacked up the front.
I’m simply expecting a fast and aggressive press from both sides, whenever I am researching football and see two teams that play a high and fast aggressive press I always lean it over and the more I looked into this the more it felt right
Not over thinking it. Let’s run it and hopefully wake up to a nice and easy tick
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+1
🌐 SNT 1U PLAY - #5 🌐
Let’s fkn sweep this thing AND hit the mutli. I’m greeeeedy
Write up later for OG. Elite spot and I have this at 17.5 and this line should be in the 1.50-1.60 range imo
https://share.sportsbet.com.au/FHMhmPQA
Live on feed also
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🌐 SNT 1U PICKS - #4 🌐
Would never of thought I’d be on Hali rebounds and Giannis assists in the same game 🥴 research is there and reasons are there and that’s playoffs I guess, gotta think differently
For Giannis he sees a +2.82 assist boost per 100 possessions when Dame’s off the floor this season! Main attraction here and it makes sense as he has the ball In his hands nearly every possession and they send doubles.
In games where he plays 30+ minutes without Dame, he’s cleared this line 64% of the time. Even in the blowouts this series, he’s still logging 32+ minutes and at that mark, he’s gone over in 75% while averaging 9 assists.
The Pacers aren’t exactly a dream assist matchup, but I highly doubt they just sit back and let Giannis do it all himself as it’s still an important play off game where the other bucks need to step up and make their shots
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🙏 NBA MULTI 🙏
Dabble promo! You know what means and the rules!
Can take any alt versions of these if you want to water down
Dabble link
https://click.dabble.com.au/gnUM/0fw90va0
Sportsbet version attached also
https://share.sportsbet.com.au/3CwZFwX4
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🏀 NBA 🏀
1u on Clippers outright
0.35u 1-10 margin
0.15u 1-4 margin
Clippers on the road is scary but I can’t help myself with this one as I expect a big bounce back spot after that crazy buzzer beater loss. These two teams are nearly identical now and trade bucket for bucket especially down the stretch. If clippers were at home I feel they would 1.60 as Kawhi is red hot right now and I’m expecting another big performance from him.
Clipps are yet to lose by more then 2 points this series and they havnt lost back to back games in their last 5! March 2nd and March 4th was how long ago it was
I think it could come down to a bucket again but overall my confident 1u play is them outright and nice odds over on Dabble. If you want me to discuss it more send me a message, it’s a close pick em game and ofcourse the nuggets can win at home (the spread is only 1.5) I’m just happy with my radar these playoffs so am sticking to it as my mind went to tipping clippers here as soon as I saw the matchups.
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+1
🏀 NBA 🏀
🌐 SNT - HALI LADDER 🌐
1u on 5+
0.45u on 6+
0.2u on 7+
Read it perfectly last game, let’s run it back as these lines feel disrespectful considering how dominant he’s been on the glass against the Bucks.
He’s hit 5+ boards in 100% of his last 5 games vs the Bucks, 6+ in 80%, and 7+ in 60% and that’s with consistent volume. He’s had 8+ rebound chances in 4/5 games, and when he gets at least 8 chances, he’s cleared 5+ in 9/10.
Lopez continues to get played off the court, Giannis and Portis have been splitting the 5 spot, forcing Turner and Siakam out to the perimeter. That’s left the paint wide open for Haliburton to swoop in and clean up the boards.
Turner and Siakam have gone under 5.5 rebounds in both of the last two games as a result. Hali’s also led the Pacers in defensive rebounds in back-to-back games, and that role shouldn’t change in Game 5 I don’t think
Ladder is fun and has merit
🌐 SNT - DUNN - 1u 🌐
For Dunn he will be a 1u play here - his minutes is the main attraction and I’ve been keeping an eye on him this series and his doing very very well so I think he can cover this and rebounding upside is huge. 3 and D guy.
More to come!
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🌐 SNT 1U PICKS - #5 🌐
🚀 Rockets Handicap - 1u - Official/Tracked
🚀🚀 Rockets Outright Win - 0.3u - Unoffical/Not Tracked
First of all good morning everyone 🙋♂️ let’s have ourselves a day here, very very very nice CLV across all bets in SNT and SNT+ so that feels like a win in itself
Second, I literally have not stopped thinking about this since yesterday afternoon, “slept on it” and I still think Rockets should cause an upset here
If the spread is at 3.5 on the spread then that’s okay btw
Rockets need this game here and I think they'll get it, we will be backing the most desperate team who don’t want it but need it.
Also Butler is back but at what percentage? If he lands awkwardly or struggles with movement, he might not be as big of a help to this team and would be taken off quickly. I think he will see limited minutes aswell
Curry went crazy last game, but that's not a given with what all the guys the Rockets can throw at him and if he doesn't have an amazing game scoring wise then who else can really go nuclear for this side and drop a 30+ bomb? Unlikely…
If we see some offense from all of their guys and they'll be in position to win, and this is a big reason why I like this play, I have looked at every line for every rockets play and love nearly all overs for the big 4 main starters, usually a good sign there is points in them and usually a good sign they can turn up
Not risking more units but have to go with my gut feeling from yesterday and see if I’m right, if you’re on the warriors today then a simple fade is no biggy
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+2
🧐 SNT 1U TIPS - #3 - #4 🧐
🧐 Green - 1u 🧐
🧐 Brooks - 1u 🧐
🙏 Combined Multi - 0.2u 🙏
Will have to try do write ups later for these guys as I’m cooking up a long shot and want to get these out asap before any line changes.
Brooks treating it a like a straight bet as it usually goes hand in hand together. His been great to us and I don’t see much changing
Green expecting to have a good game but been up and down this series so not a smash spot but perfect for a 1u play. Am liking the rockets this game even though they are on the road. Expecting some points from these guys as there is so much upside
Live on my feed
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+1
🏀 NBA 🏀
First two 1u plays! Let’s keep cooking
1u on U13.5 RA - 12.5 playable if that’s all you can get.
For starters his gone under in all 3 games this series and hasn’t had more than 17 rebound + assist chances in any of them. Even outside this matchup, this number is just too high with Jarrett Allen and Isaac Okoro active, Mobley’s gone under in 9/14. The few times he cleared it were against soft teams like Phoenix and San Antonio, not a side like Miami. I noticed after watching film that In this series, Mobley’s been dragged out to the perimeter guarding ball-handlers and contesting threes, which completely kills his rebounding chances!!
Bam Adebayo’s taken 17 threes across the 3 games and Mobley’s been the one chasing him out there, ranking 6th in contested 3-pointers during the playoffs. Instead of grabbing boards, Mobley’s been focused on locking down shooters while Allen, Hunter and Mitchell clean up the rebounds.
Add in the fact that Mobley’s only averaging 2.5 potential assists a game and hasn’t cracked 4 assists vs Miami in over 700 days, I’m happy to fade
In regards to the point spread it’s on Picklebet but 210 is playable if that’s all you can get. The line just feels really short to me considering how many points both of these teams are putting up. Even in the games that have gone under this it was mainly due to the superstars all having a combined bad night which I don’t think is likely to happen again. Just feels super low to me
More to come! Subscribe to SNT+ if you want early access and my best bets which are always 2u plays instead of these on SNT which are always 1u plays
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🙏 NBA LONG SHOT 🙏
Unofficial long shot play. There is a bet promo special live on B365 also if you wanted to take advantage there of this one. I’ve just been restricted there (again for the millionth time) so currently don’t have the promos available to me but this defs meets it and is there at same odds
Simple play to break down even though it’s a long shot and there is a lot going on
The Magic switching a lot, not helping off the 3 point line at all, and they are trusting their guys in 1 on 1 defense. They already gave up the fewest 3s and fewest AST on the season, but they held the Celtics just 27 three point attempts in Game 3, 21 below their season long average so these guys should step up if the others go cold (SNT+ members you know who I’m referring too as his our POTD play 👀)
Tatum had just 7 potential assists and Jaylen Brown had just 4 potential assists in Game 3… I wanted to take their assists line under as a 1u play each but figured I’d post this instead as I know you guys love them
Live on my sb feed
https://share.sportsbet.com.au/7V9OYgpv
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🌐 SNT 1U PICKS - #3 🌐
Only 1u play as he was sick in game 3 … also playing this becuase he was sick in game 3 and ended on 17 points… that was now 2 days ago so I expect to see some fast recovery especially as they have the best doctors and medics in the world drugging him up
Twolves will Continue to play him 1v1 and not send doubles as they can live with the result. He rarely plays 2 bad games and if he is sick I can live with it being a 1u play and not a 2u POTD play
Stats are off the charts and you guys already know how good he is… If you want a more technical explanation in regards to his scoring then message me - happy to discuss.
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🏴 EPL 🏴
Honestly boys after looking into these games for the last 30 mins I think both underdogs are getting major disrespect here. I can see an upset in atleast of these games and for the Spurs 3 goals should be plenty as it’s something they havnt lost by this season only 3 or more times in all competitions. Neither teams are red hot here and both are quite sloppy for their standards. Liverpool havnt beaten anyone by 3 or more goals in their last 14 games in a row so I don’t see that changing here
Other than that players and corner markets weren’t appealing either tbh so keeping it simple and loading up 1.65u on this. Live on my sb feed but b365 better odds
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🌐 SNT 1U PICKS - #1 🌐
Alright footy is over. Back to the lab
Love this play for a unit as his cleared this in both full games, dropping 18 PRA in 25 minutes in Game 1 and 19 PRA in 31 minutes in Game 3, and only missed in Game 2 because of foul trouble where he barely played the 2nd and 4th quarters.
He’s earned trust too, getting crunch time minutes last game, and he’s doing all this while shooting terribly, just 9/26 from the field and 3/15 from three.
If he cleans that up even a little with the home crowd behind him, it’s a bonus…. His rebounding and assists have been steady with 9 in both full games, and with the minutes locked in again, this is a great spot where I liked all his lines so PRA looks like a good way to go about it
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+2
🏉 NRL 🏉
🌐 1u Nikora ATS and 2 leg SGM 🌐
🙏 0.2u on Nikora FTS - unofficial 🙏
🙏 0.1u on the 30x long shot - unofficial 🙏
🙏 Twal 150th game - 0.1u ATS and 0.05u on FTS simply due being the milestone man 🙏
Sharks should win here but Tigers have done a great job of covering the line and sharks have done a terrible job of covering their line when they are favourites this season also.. happy to give the Tigers nealry 3 converted tries here and Nikora has a good match up as he has scored 5 tries in his 7 games this year, while the Tigers have conceded 4 tries to right second-row forwards, elite line runner, can see him taking advantage here and finding the strike which he is always looking for
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+2
🌐 NRL - RAIDERS V PHINS 🌐
All the plays for the upcoming game in 30 minutes…. I hate these early games so apologies for everybody who is seeing this late
If you combine all of the bets as well, it’s at 11 X odds which is also on my feed
Expecting a close game, but I do expect some points here as history with state. That’s what we see today between these two teams who are informed and have the exact same win and loss record over the last five games. Respect to both sides here and even though Canberra is my team and the team that I’m tipping to win I expected to be a close contest.
1u on all three bets in the poster
🙏 0.25u on the long shot 🙏
🙏 0.2u on Gilbert who position wise looks primed to strike 🙏
https://share.sportsbet.com.au/XcPTkbd4
