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537
A classic technical pattern, the Symmetrical Triangle, is forming on the Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) chart.
Current status:
The price is in the middle of the triangle, near the key 59.30% level. This is an uncertainty zone.
An UPWARD breakout would mean:
Capital is fleeing altcoins en masse to Bitcoin. The "risk-off" phase is beginning, with BTC growing at the expense of altcoins.
A DOWNWARD breakout would mean:
"Altcoin season" is beginning. Investors are actively selling BTC and shifting to riskier altcoins.
While BTC.D is in a bullish triangle and preparing for an upward breakout, altcoins are a higher-risk asset.
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A move to $97,000-$98,000 appears the most likely scenario, but the path there will be challenging for the bulls due to a combination of technical and psychological factors.
The key now is to monitor volume. If the rise to these levels occurs on high and increasing volume, this is a sign of real bullish strength. If volume is low, a strong rebound and correction is highly likely.
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What's important today
- US GDP - will it confirm economic growth in Q3?
- PCE Index - the Fed's main inflation indicator
- Oil inventories - energy sector volatility
- UK Budget - impact on the pound and European stocks
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📅 ECONOMIC CALENDAR | WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 26, 2025
MSK (Moscow) | UZT (Tashkent) | EST (New York)
---
### 🕘 15:30 MSK | 17:30 UZT | 07:30 EST
🇬🇧 Autumn Budget Forecast (UK)
*• Important for the pound (GBP) and European markets*
### 🕘 16:30 MSK | 18:30 UZT | 8:30 AM EST
🇺🇸 Durable Goods Orders (September)
🇺🇸 GDP — Preliminary Data (Q3)
🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims
*• Key US economic data point*
### 🕘 6:00 PM MSK | 8:00 PM UZT | 10:00 AM EST
🇺🇸 Core PCE Price Index (September)
*• The Fed's leading inflation indicator*
### 🕘 6:30 PM MSK | 8:30 PM UZT | 10:30 AM EST
🇺🇸 Crude Oil Inventories
*• Impact on Brent and WTI prices*
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In 2021, there were about 4,000 active crypto projects, and now there are about 10,000, with roughly the same market capitalization.
What does this mean?
Liquidity is being spread across a larger number of projects. The average project now receives less capital than before, and new projects are taking capital from older ones.
Consequently, growth is becoming slower and weaker.
When there are few projects, almost everything is successful, but when there are many, attention is focused mainly on strong projects. Consequently, average projects stagnate, and weak ones quickly die. As a result, growth is unevenly distributed, and this trend will only intensify in the future. It will be like the stock market, which serves as a good leading indicator for the crypto market.
What to do?
That's what the investment declaration is for, which implies:
1. Don't dive into a bunch of altcoins, as the likelihood of finding gems there is decreasing every year.
2. Don't throw large amounts of capital into hype and trends, as these things fizzle out very quickly and it's easy to get stuck.
3. Buy top projects with real business and real value, strictly following the rules.
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The market is falling in parts.
While the S&P 500 is near its highs (±5%), the crypto basket and tech stocks have been declining steadily for 2-3 months:
• MSTR (MicroStrategy): -36% or more – following Bitcoin as its "exchange-traded fund"
COIN (Coinbase): -4.42% per session – falling trading volumes in the crypto market
CIFR (Cipher Mining): -7% – miners under pressure
META, NVDA, HOOD, ORCL – also in correction
What's the catch?
Large funds are rotating their capital:
They are gradually exiting overheated risky assets (crypto, tech stocks).
At the same time, they are supporting the S&P 500 index by buying defensive sectors and blue chips.
They are maintaining a general impression of stability in order to sell their positions at a premium.
The market doesn't fall evenly. At first, "smart money" quietly exits speculative assets, and only then can a broad sell-off begin.
When the "canaries in the coalmine" (crypto, risky stocks) are already showing weakness, this is an important signal for the rest of the market.
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Рынок падает по частям.
В то время как индекс S&P 500 находится вблизи своих максимумов (±5%), криптокорзина и акции технологических компаний неуклонно снижаются уже 2-3 месяца:
• MSTR (MicroStrategy): -36% и более – вслед за биткоином, выступающим в роли «биржевого инвестиционного фонда»
COIN (Coinbase): -4,42% за сессию – падение объёмов торгов на рынке криптовалют
CIFR (Cipher Mining): -7% – майнеры под давлением
META, NVDA, HOOD, ORCL – также в коррекции
В чём подвох?
Крупные фонды ротируют свой капитал:
Они постепенно выходят из перегретых рисковых активов (криптовалюты, акции технологических компаний).
Одновременно они поддерживают индекс S&P 500, покупая акции защитных секторов и «голубых фишек».
Они поддерживают общую атмосферу стабильности, чтобы продать свои позиции с премией.
Рынок падает неравномерно. Сначала «умные деньги» тихонько выходят из спекулятивных активов, и только затем может начаться массовая распродажа.
Когда «канарейки в шахте» (криптовалюты, рисковые акции) уже демонстрируют слабость, это важный сигнал для остального рынка.
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NVDA — an important moment on the chart
After a local decline, NVIDIA's price has reached the upper boundary of the wedge and is currently retesting the broken trendline.
This is a key zone from which the market usually indicates direction:
If buyers hold the retest, a new upward momentum and a return to local highs are possible.
If the price is pushed below the trendline, a deeper correction will begin. Nearest support levels:
— $156 (MA),
— $130,
— $95–100 (strong medium-term zone).
The situation is tense — the market is choosing a direction.
Let's watch the current candlestick close.
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#STRK PEOPLE SCAMMING AND SCAMMING
We're likely seeing a well-honed pattern:
Market makers drive up the price
FOMO traders join in
A sharp drop follows
Regular users are left with losses
Don't be fooled by sudden movements in low-liquidity tokens. Without a clear fundamental and clear benefit, it's not an investment, but a lottery where the odds are stacked against you.
Always check what you're investing in. Your money is worth it.
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Key support levels:**
• $2,750-2,790 — main spot liquidity zone
• $2,740-2,750 — maximum futures concentration
• $2,000-2,500 — medium-term accumulation levels
• $1,500 and below — long-term orders for a deep correction
The ETH market is exhibiting a structure similar to BTC — a concentration of limit orders at key psychological levels.
#Ethereum
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+1
Largest ETH Buy Levels in Order Books**
*Price and Volume Data*
Binance Spot:
• $2,500 - 4,222 ETH
• $2,600 - 2,792 ETH
• $2,700 - 4,673 ETH
• $2,750 - 9,394 ETH
• $2,790 - 3,063 ETH
Deep Buy Levels:
• $2,000 - 4,502 ETH
• $1,800 - 2,178 ETH
• $1,500 - 3,497 ETH
• $1,000 - 610 ETH
• $385 - 522 ETH
Binance Futures:
• $2,750 - 2,426 ETH
• $2,740 - 3,960 ETH
• $2,710 - 4,208 ETH
• $2,765 - 2,343 ETH
• $2,760 - 2,189 ETH
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Key support levels:
• $80,000 — maximum liquidity in spot markets
• $75,000 — largest cluster in futures
• $70,000 and $50,000 — long-term orders for a deep correction
The market is forming an accumulation zone in the $75,000-80,000 range.
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