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Ibn Riad

Ibn Riad

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[Thank you as usual to Praxis Redacted for the amazing work transcribing this from my Twitter thread! 💛 Go follow them on Telegram, they do amazing work!]

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THE IRANIAN RETALIATION PART 3 Indeed, the non-response of the enemy was fully baked into the attack, the manner it was conducted, what it revealed, and the position it put the enemy in. The fact that even the 1st wave of missiles hit, the fact that enemy air defenses were depleted... The strike was just limited enough that it gave the US — who absolutely does not want a regional war — just enough room to force the entity to swallow it up and not respond. The enemy is thus once more in the same place as the past year, except even more intensely: zugzwang 'Zugzwang' (from German 'compulsion to move') is a situation found in chess and other turn-based games wherein one player is put at a disadvantage because of their obligation to make a move; a player is said to be "in zugzwang" when any legal move will worsen their position. Part of the intent of alarmist reports from the US over past weeks was to raise the ceiling of expectations, to make it impossible for Iran to act without seeming either (a.) underwhelming or (b.) unreasonably aggressive; and therefore at fault for any escalation. The Iranians turned this on its head and caught the world off-guard. The attack was massive in scope — much bigger than what the US actually expected, despite their words — and though the actual sites hit were limited in quantity, they were qualitatively of incredible significance. In particular, the heavy-hitting Khayber-Shekan ballistic missiles were aimed at the IOF airbase from which the attack on the consulate was launched and out of which raids on Gaza are launched — a highly symbolic goal, a show of power, and meaningful retaliation. By combining this with the literal biggest drone attack in history, setting up hours of looming dread for the hysterical settlers, setting off red alerts across the entity, the attack was anything but underwhelming while still avoiding an irresponsible escalation. A master-stroke. The occupation comes out more vulnerable, weak and helpless than they have ever been in history, and all the more so if they are forced — by US pressure, but above all by Iranian design — to refrain from responding. Escalating brings the Zionist entity destruction; deescalating brings them implosion. And as for the hordes of settlers, imperialists, sectarians and normalizers barking at the tops of their little canine lungs... The louder they bark, the more you realize just how bad the events of last night have been for them. •••
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THE IRANIAN RETALIATION PART 2 Indeed, in addition to trying to salvage the reputation of western military technology and doctrine while also reassuring disillusioned, terrified settlers; a major goal of downplaying the Iranian success may well be the intention to avoid further escalation. The drawn-out build-up to this response served the purpose of extending the state of hysteria among settlers in the entity, but it also may have been intentional in allowing the US and the occupation to prepare all the air defenses they could muster. Rania Khalek: THE KEY TAKEAWAY FROM THE IRANIAN RETALIATION ON ISRAEL: This is a deterrence win for Iran. Had Israel been taken by surprise and not had the days long preparation to mitigate the impact of an Iranian attack this large, the damage would have been huge. There is no way Israel could have intercepted hundreds of Iranian missiles without a week of its allies putting defenses in place and Iran intentionally taking its time. A real war would NOT be telegraphed in advance so Israel can prepare with a symphony of air defenses from its allies. Biden understands the risks posed by further escalation, especially to US forces, which is why he told Netanyahu he will not back an Israeli counterstrike. The equation in the region has changed and Iran did it masterfully and responsibly without igniting the big war. The goals for this would be threefold: 1️⃣As Rania Khalek says above, it allowed for a huge strike without igniting a full war. Thus, it remains a message, saying: "in case of real war, you will not have this amount of notice" — leaving the results of that to their imagination. 2️⃣This message is then made all the more powerful when we see that, even with all their preparation, their full extent of air defenses were overwhelmed. This would be the second goal of the delay: it allowed Iran to go up against the full extent of air defenses amd beat them. 3️⃣It allowed Iran to test the full defensive capabilities of the US and occupation, to their greatest extent. The data recorded last night will be invaluable for any wider war, without Iran having revealed anything of its own. Strategically, yesterday signalled a new paradigm amongst the entire Axis of Resistance: All members are now actively, directly involved against the entity. The floodgates that cannot be closed. The bind that the occupation has been in for months becomes still tighter: Amal Saad: The region is entering uncharted territory where the previous strategic paradigm and rules of engagement no longer apply. From now on, any Israeli action will be met with a direct and collective response by the Axis. Regardless of what Israel does next, there is no going back to the status quo ante. This is no longer the Iran that just supports resistance movements with weapons and training. This is the Iran that directly engages in strikes against Israel. This is a new proactive phase of the Resistance Axis' "offensive defense" strategy, which was officially launched on October 8 when Hizbullah and later other Resistance Axis allies directly intervened in the conflict against Israel. The US and other Western and Arab allies have also taken the unprecedented step of directly defending Israel. Yesterday night proved that Israel's self-sufficiency in security and defense matters is limited. Israel will not be fighting any of its future wars independently. Iran's masterful performance puts the enemy in yet another impossible bind. Iran demonstrated some of their capabilities, showing the enemy that it cannot stop even a long-telegraphed, limited attack — never mind an extensive surprise attack. Ben Amer, Yemeni Armed Forces: Biden asked Netanyahu not to respond to Iran. In fact, the Israelis will not be able to swallow the blow and act as if nothing had happened because what happened will affect Israel’s status and dominance in the region and the world. As for Iran, this strike moved it to the stage of direct confrontation, and this has its importance in the future conflict. CONTINUED ⤵️
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🧵🇮🇷 THE IRANIAN RETALIATION PART 1 The Iranian retaliation to the occupation's flagrant, illegal aggression against the Iranian consulate in Damascus came last night, and it was resoundingly successful across multiple layers, not only militarily but also strategically. This success is evident across multiple sectors, as we will explore. All the noise trying to deny this success is manufactured damage-control by the US, the entity and Arab/Gulf normalizers. The attack was layered, not just functionally, but also in its aims & goals: 🔻Military: The first real-world trial of Iran's new ballistic paradigm 🔻Popular: Iran & Axis of Resistance as champions of Arab-Muslim world 🔻Economic: Immense cost to enemy 🔻Strategic: New direct phase, zugzwang Militarily, the most sophisticated and concentrated air defenses — not only of the entity but also its US master throughout the entire region — abjectly failed to deal with what was ultimately a limited attack, relative to Iran's fullest capabilities. Middle East Observer: The Iranian attack was huge and successful. Their target was the airbase that struck the embassy. It required 300+ projectiles because Israel has the most protected airspace in the world: 🔻It's own air defense layers 🔻It's own airforce which participated to hunt missiles & drones manually 🔻US airforce 🔻Jordanian airforce 🔻UK Royal Aircorce 🔻Jordanian air defenses 🔻American air defenses 🔻American radars in the entire region 🔻American navy The vulnerability of the entity has been exposed. For the second time since October 7th — and for all the myths of IOF 'military might' — it is painfully obvious they are unable to defend themselves alone, and even unable to defend themselves with full US support: Scott Ritter: Eye for an eye. Iran struck Nevatim air base with at least seven of its new hypersonic missiles. Nevatim is home to the F-35 fighters that attacked the Iranian consulate in Damascus. Not a single Iranian missile [that was intended* to make impact] was intercepted. Let that sink in. Israel is defenseless. [*As opposed to the decoy drones and missiles meant to distract the Iron Dome while the ballistic missiles hit their targets] For all the screams from both US/Occupation as well as Gulf/Normalizer voices, the Iranian attack not only was successful, but exceeded all expectations: Long-standing IOF/US doctrine is to deny all losses unless indubitably exposed. The resistance records operations because it's the only way the IOF admit their losses, so it's no surprise that they claimed "no losses" through the gritted teeth of their military censorship. It's been said that 'you can tell a lie from its enormity', and their claim of a ludicrous 99% success rate in interceptions tells you they are lying through their teeth, as does the endless footage we have of failed interceptions and direct hits. The fact that they had to resort to manual fighter jet shootdowns is another huge point of failure: in the case of a full-blown open war, this is not a feasible nor sustainable way to conduct defense. CONTINUED ⤵️
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We're at point of great uncertainty, a constant stream of rumors and analyses. We must be mindful and accept that we have no idea which direction things will go. We can only wait and see, and hold fast onto our faith that God-willing, we will have victory, however it may come. If the resistance forces a ceasefire & negotiations on their terms, Gaza has won a historical victory, and liberation is closer than ever. And if the great war is imminent, then it will, by God's will, be the war of liberation: a war of great sacrifice, but also final victory.
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Today we have seen: - A multitude of Yemeni operations against ships in the Red Sea - Sirens in "Eilat" - A partial IOF withdrawal from Gaza (just one brigade remains) - Immediate rocket fire from the areas the IOF withdrew from. - Intense rocket fire from Lebanon. And still we await the Iranian response 🔥
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Within the ethos of the Resistance Axis, and particularly when preparing to respond to a Zionist crime, the response is not just about the military action itself: The punishment is drawn out through extended expectation, putting the settlers in a fragile psychological state. This is already evident in the hysteria overtaking the occupation awaiting the Iranian military response to the criminal aggression against their embassy — but can also be seen in the Lebanese resistance’s actions on the border today. The destruction of a segment of the border wall, the strike against the IOF drone jamming site, the downing of the IOF Hermes drone (which they rely on for intel after the destruction of their spy infrastructure on the border)… These are all actions pregnant with possibility. All of this, combined with the looming Iranian retaliatory response — and with the Sayyid’s speech announcing readiness for all-out war — paints a picture of potent initiative and utmost readiness from the Axis of Resistance, leaving the occupation is in a state of psychological destitution. This is further translated into reality by the IOF’s growing reliance on artillery, their fighter jets sequestered to not be sitting ducks for missiles: Without a single shot fired, the IOF’s most destructive tool of murder has been paralyzed. The punishment has already begun. Thank you to Praxis Redacted for the formatting - their TG channel is amazing, go check it out!
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The “AI killed civilians in Gaza” article has the sole purpose of absolving the IOF of their crimes by reframing it as a question of “AI morality” . Murdering civilians is part and parcel of Zionist doctrine, and was so in 2014, 2012, 2009 and prior. "AI" has changed nothing. The IOF has a full blown doctrine revolving around the murder of civilians to “punish” the guerilla groups it cannot defeat militarily, and this doctrine has been unleashed on Gaza time and again over past last decades. None of this is about AI In the wake of Oct 7th this policy of extermination has been worse than ever before, because the fragile, colonial ethnosupremacist psyche of their settler-colonists received a mortal blow: a blow they have tried to rectify through mass murder, in a desperate attempt to re-establish the necessary deterrence for them to maintain their occupation, and to re-establish the requisite illusion of superiority in the mind of their settler-colonists. The attempt to reframe this as a question of AI morality is duplicitous and insidious, and intends to convince you that these civilian deaths are the result of incompetence- which is miles better than the reality of murderous, malicious, genocidal intent. See also Louis Allday's thoughts on the matter here.
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Meanwhile, the US, hilariously uncomfortable with Iran's silent planning, releases an endless tirade of "ok they're gonna hit now!" - "they're going to do this... or that!". Psychologically speaking, this speaks to a desperate ploy to convince themselves they are in control, but the initiative is no longer theirs.
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Indeed, stance set out by Sayyed Hassan today is a reiteration of the same deadlock the occupation entity and US have been in since Oct 7th, with exponentially higher stakes: they can respond to the Iranian attack and risk annihilation, or stand down and risk internal collapse.
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🧵Brief Analysis of Sayyid Hassan’s Quds Day Speech: It seems there is a very real possibility for escalation based on the outcome of the Iranian response to the Zionist crime against the Iranian embassy in Damascus. It’s not a certainty, but it's certainly a possibility. Sayyid Hassan characterised the Zionist attack as an act of stupidity, which indicates strongly that the stage it will allow for is greatly to our advantage. He also spoke of this coming stage as a chance to decisively end this war. The resistance in Lebanon is ready. Sayyid Hassan reiterated the fact that the weapons they have used so far have been the most basic at their disposal, and that it’s been part-time fighters engaging the enemy - not the elite special forces. Thus, we await Iran’s response, and we await to see what further idiocy the Zionist entity will bring upon itself - right now, it’s impossible to discount the possibility of a pending war of liberation (but also important to remember it is still just that: a possibility). Sayyid Hassan said it very openly and clearly: we must all prepare and take precautions for all outcomes. And he ended the speech with a Quranic quote that I have posted many times over the course of the last six months: “Is the morning not near?” 🔥🔥🔥
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Good luck trying to keep the world convinced Iran is the villain when people start to see its role as one of the few nations in the world standing up against the bloodshed and butchery that the occupation has conducted for the last 6 months. Good luck keeping people convinced the armed resistance are “terrorists” after six months of watching them boldly and bravely stand up to the bloodiest stretch of state terrorism humanity has witnessed. Good luck keeping the word convinced the US and its cronies are the heroes, when the world has seen their shameless, heartless, soulless support for half a year of abject crimes against humanity.
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As others have observed, the hysteria overtaking the occupation entity is in and of itself a part of the Iranian response: the fragile settlers of this flimsy occupation cannot bear even the thought of taking a fraction of the violence they regularly and cheerfully inflict on others. Their colonial society is easily paralysed at the mere thought. On the other hand, there's also potentially an element of deception in the very dramatic public measures the occupation entity is taking (such as opening shelters across the occupied territories) - it could well be intended to make any lower-calibre/highly strategic Iranian response seem underwhelming, even if it is painful, measured and fitting.
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And here's a fantastic short thread powerfully showcasing how blatant of a lie the “Palestinians hate Shia” psyop narrative is: https://x.com/KavkazHussaini/status/1775124562776142144?s=20
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Further examples of the social media sectarianism psyop in action - it doesn't get more obvious than this:
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Further examples of the social media sectarianism psyop in action
Further examples of the social media sectarianism psyop in action
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🧵 The Dangers of Sectarianism PART 2 This goes for both sides: we are brothers and sisters, in peace and war, and our prosperity and liberation and victory comes only through unity and the empowerment that comes from it. We all lose if we allow ourselves to be divided. We all win if we insist on fostering unity. Do not fall prey to these discourses and narratives, do not participate in them, do not encourage them - or else you serve our enemies: Indeed, you serve them our heads on a platter. This goes for those who spread hatred, and those who see it and then say "See! They do hate us!" We must treat unity as a moral, religious and national duty incumbent upon us, and we must strive with all that we can to foster it. Its fruit will be a blessing for all of us. Whoever you are, and whichever 'side' you are from — and 'sides' is an idea we must overcome — you are failing yourself as well as your brothers and sisters when you fall prey to the sectarian narrative and when you spread it. You are being divided and conquered, in real time. Do not allow yourself to be divided. Do not allow yourself to be conquered. Resist — resist, unite and liberate, inshaAllah. [Many thanks to Praxis Redacted (https://t.me/PraxisRedacted) for transcribing this from my Twitter thread💛]
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This goes for both sides: We are brothers and sisters, in peace and war, and our prosperity and liberation and victory comes only through unity and the empowerment that comes from it. We all lose if we allow ourselves to be divided. (Continued ⤵️)
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🧵 The Dangers of Sectarianism PART 1 The growing unity across the Arab and Islamic world is a popular manifestation of the Unity of the Fields between resistance groups of all backgrounds, stood together as brothers at arms. Most crucial within this is the beautiful, growing unity we witness between Shia and Sunna. The sectarian divide we have been afflicted by over the past decades is the direct result of the billions of dollars invested by the US (and its Gulf tributaries) into sowing division and discord: It is the same Divide and Conquer strategy they pursue across the globe. This has manifested in many different ways since the early 2000’s, though most notably — and unfortunately, most successfully — as a result of their War on Syria and the media which, under their control, falsely painted that imperialist aggression as a sectarian 'civil war'. [For some historical context to this, see here: https://t.me/IbnRiadTG/171] But what is significant today, is that these wounds are healing through brotherhood on the battlefield: something that has long existed, but which is becoming more apparent in the general public imagination. The resistance fighters in Gaza — the single most heroic, admired and adored group of people across our nations — dedicate their mortar rounds and rocket volleys to their brothers in Lebanon, Iraq and Yemen, who have offered amazing deeds and great sacrifices in defense of Gaza. In turn, the flags of the resistance in Lebanon, Iraq and Yemen fly among those of Palestine and the Palestinian resistance; they fly in the streets of the Arab and Islamic world, and their names rise into the chants of the people. I cannot say how long I have longed for this day: alhamdulila. Gradually, an undeniable clarity emerges — one many of us have understood for years — which has finally become too self-evident to be obscured beneath hateful slogans; it now spreads into the mainstream. This is one of the fruits of Al-Aqsa Flood. It is such that those, who still cling onto sectarianism, even in light of this, are now exposed as irredeemably hateful and wilfully ignorant, such that their opinions slowly come to hold no real significance — or, just as likely, they are agents, serving a purpose. It should therefore hardly be surprising to see the uptick of the old sectarian narrative on social media, at the same time that we see it dissolving in the streets of our capitals: The usual agents are being activated in a desperate bid to keep sectarian division alive. It is important to be aware of the fact that this is an artificially manipulated narrative, intended to overturn the growing unity across our people. It should be accepted not as an organic reflection of reality. Rather: reality is what it is seeking to override. From within this, it should be painfully obvious that anyone peddling sectarian hate-speech is an agent of US imperialism and Zionism, whether they themselves are aware of it or not: Those who divided us in the first place are the only ones who profit from us remaining divided. As often goes with social media psy-ops, we see almost identical narratives being regurgitated, over and again, across all participating 'voices'. One that I have seen with highly suspicious frequency is the idea that "all Palestinians hate Shia". Please beware: this is an op. And it is patently untrue: Look at the streets of Ramallah where Hizbullah's flag flies alongside Hamas'. Look at the resistance in Gaza, whose spokesmen and fighters speak with glowing brotherly love of their brothers-in-arms in Lebanon, Iraq and Yemen. There is only unity and solidarity. The very fact that they are having to resort to activating these online agents speaks to the success we have enjoyed in mending these artificial divides, but we must retain clarity of vision and not allow this to be undone, but instead encourage it to flourish further still.
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