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Team Shots, SOT & Corners (model: gpt) Good data discipline here: the match is not finished and is not live, so this is a pre-match forecast only. TEAM SHOTS & CORNERS FORECAST Home expected shots: 13.8 Home likely range: 10–17 Away expected shots: 12. Away likely range: 8–16 Expected match shots: 25.8 Match likely range: 20–32 Home expected SOT: 4.7 Away expected SOT: 3.6 Expected match SOT: 8.3 Home expected corners: 4.8 Away expected corners: 4.4 Expected match corners: 9.2 Team Shots Selection (Home): NO STRONG EDGE Team Shots Selection (Away): Over 9.5 Shots on Target Selection: Over 5.5 match SOT Match Shots Selection: Over 16.5 Match Corners Selection: Over 7.5 Confidence: 61% Sample size: Home: unavailable from season_stats Away: 2 Reasoning: match.is_finished is false and match_stage_note says the match has not started, so no final-score reporting is required and all outputs above are forecasts, not observed match statistics. In OBSERVED season_stats, Crystal Palace have no supplied games_played, shots average, SOT average, or corners average, while Middlesbrough have 2 games used, 18.5 shots per game, 11 shots on target total, 7. corners per game, and low_sample_warning=true, so confidence is reduced. DERIVED from Middlesbrough season_stats, their SOT rate is 11 / 37 = 29.7%, while Crystal Palace’s season SOT rate is unavailable because their season shot and SOT averages are null. The matchup adjustment uses supplied shot_pressure and match facts: Crystal Palace recent shot pressure is moderate at 11.8 shots for and 10.2 conceded, while Middlesbrough show higher recent shot volume at 17.1 shots for but face a home side the market expects to control the shot count. Cross-matchup: Crystal Palace attack versus Middlesbrough defense supports a home total near the 13.5 line but not clearly above it, while Middlesbrough attack versus Crystal Palace defense still clears the low 9.5 away-shot line despite uncertainty. Corners are supported by supplied recent corner pressure, with Palace at 4.2 corners won and Middlesbrough at 5.9, making the 7.5 match-corner line look reachable, but the 9.5–10.5 bookmaker corner lines are closer to the forecast and therefore not strong edges.

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Team Shots & Corners (model: gpt) Good data set for these markets — but the key warning is that the actual 2026/27 season sample is still very small. Team Shots Selection (Home): Newcastle United Over 10.5 Team Shots Selection (Away): AFC Bournemouth Over 9.5 Team Shots on Target Selection (Home): Newcastle United Under 3.5 Team Shots on Target Selection (Away): AFC Bournemouth Over 3.5 Match Corners Selection: Over 9.5 Confidence: 58% Sample size note: Newcastle’s season_stats are based on 2 games played, and low_sample_warning is true. Bournemouth’s season_stats are also based on 2 games played, and low_sample_warning is true, so these averages are noisy and should not be treated as stable long-run rates. Reasoning: Newcastle average 12. shots per game, but only 6 shots on target from 24 total shots, so their shot volume is decent while accuracy is modest; that supports a shots over at a low line but makes their SOT over less attractive. Bournemouth average 11. shots and 4.5 shots on target per game, a much stronger on-target conversion profile, so their SOT over 3.5 is the cleaner side if the line is available. Corners lean higher because the two-team season baseline is 11. corners per game, Bournemouth alone average 6.5, and the supplied corner odds also imply the market expects something around 10–11 corners, with Over 9.5 priced short. The tactical matchup is two 4-2-3-1 shapes, so there is no clear formation-based reason to suppress wide attacks/corners; the steelman against the over is simply sample noise, plus Newcastle’s own corner rate is only 4.5, so this is a weak/moderate lean rather than a strong edge.