Crypto Tech & Signals

#BTC | Update (4H) This move to the downside doesn't look finished just yet. We are currently trading below the weekly open. For continuation to the downside, it's important that we reject the weekly open on a revisit if we get one. On the other hand, reclaiming the weekly open would be another confirmation that a higher low is likely in place. Right now, we are ranging around the previous weekly low after sweeping it. These types of ranges at a major low/high usually suggest that momentum hasn't fully exhausted yet, as these ranges are formed when we fail to get enough momentum needed for price to reverse. Therefore, as long as we remain below the weekly open, continuation to the downside remains the higher probability scenario heading into the monthly close.

#BTC We're seeing price continue above the marked resistance at $63.7k. For bearish thesis to play out, we need to stay below the trendline support. We are expecting price to extend slightly higher toward my short entry around $64.7k. Right now, we need to break back below 64,250 for continuation towards the downside. The longer we hold above this level, the higher the chances are that we see acceptance back inside the bear flag. That would open room for a deeper retest of the 65.7k region. If we break above it, then 67k-68k will be the next area of interest.

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#BTC We have reclaimed 65950, which brings the red scenario back into play. Ideally, we want to see a sweep of the previous day’s high followed by a rejection back towards the downside. However, an extension towards 68.2k is not out of the picture. Given the amount of liquidity sitting around that area, a push higher remains a valid possibility. However, if we get rejection and the breakout fails again, market will likely remain weak below this area and may continue further to the downside. The Weekly Bearish Continuation Level at 65,750 is the key area to watch on the revisit. If the market breaks out to the upside with strong confirmation, we could see a bullish recovery move from here.

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#BTC This move looks fragile While price bounced off the 60k level, open interest declined, indicating that this move is being driven more by short covering rather than aggressive perp buying. At the same time, spot CVD is up, supporting the move, but not enough for a sustainable recovery. Overall, this rally isn’t backed by aggressive buying on either side of the market and is unlikely to last long.

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