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此频道每周发布刘仲敬最新访谈文稿。 获取访谈、讲座、问答视频和提问机会，请加入刘仲敬Youtube频道会员 https://www.youtube.com/@liuzhongjing 由刘仲敬文稿整理小组运营。
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Channel Posts
int413 20261014 论科利奥兰纳斯，论都铎宪法及其在美国的发展，论政体的选择
摘要：[00:00:00]《科利奥兰纳斯》剧本是罗马贵族与平民斗争的抽象——[00:11:42]剧本的人物刻画图解化，体现了剧本创作时代的风俗习惯——[00:21:15]都铎宪法在英国——[00:39:12]美国宪法是都铎宪法的地方化和民主化——[00:47:46]政体没法选择，而是演化的产物
（本期字数不足 15000，发布全文。）
| 2 | +1 int413 20261014 论科利奥兰纳斯，论都铎宪法及其在美国的发展，论政体的选择
摘要：[00:00:00]《科利奥兰纳斯》剧本是罗马贵族与平民斗争的抽象——[00:11:42]剧本的人物刻画图解化，体现了剧本创作时代的风俗习惯——[00:21:15]都铎宪法在英国——[00:39:12]美国宪法是都铎宪法的地方化和民主化——[00:47:46]政体没法选择，而是演化的产物
（本期字数不足 15000，发布全文。） | 1 |
| 3 | +1 int411 20260929 论如果共产党干部加入诸夏博弈，论中国爱国主义
摘要：[00:00:00]红色干部的不同来源：黄俄干部、南下干部、贫下中农干部——[00:13:14]共产党干部的出身：边缘知识分子、军阀豪强、士大夫、贫下中农——[00:27:07]边缘知识分子不要用，技术人员控制使用，豪强崛起无法排除——[00:44:35]制造演化环境最重要，根据不同的德性选择处理方式，根据自己的资源极限试探和制定规范——[00:55:03]爱国者的原意是维护地方利益，爱中国就是爱帝国。不需要改造中国爱国主义，它会导致它的载体非常不利 | 1 712 |
| 4 | +1 int410 20260922 论美洲岛计划，论习近平的接班布局
摘要：[00:00:00]川普正在缓慢去全球化——[00:20:34]美国收缩的三个版本：保留欧亚大陆驻军、保留海外岛屿、撤回美洲岛——[00:39:59]习近平在上层布局私人班底，向地方豪强妥协 | 2 214 |
| 5 | +1 int409 20260914 论清末诸夏独立建国的机会
摘要：[00:00:00]东亚对欧洲的了解远不如土耳其和印度——[00:09:24]李鸿章坐失良机，没有抓住英国对清国友好的机会——[00:29:09]李鸿章没有做好清国内部外交——[00:40:42]甲午战争李鸿章失势，清国蒙受国耻——[00:49:36]清国总督未能效法近东，利用列强保证总督不被朝廷撤换——[01:01:04]俄国解体之后，军阀才会为了物资供应介入东亚 | 2 217 |
| 6 | +1 int408 20260908 论修改国防动员法
摘要：[00:00:00]法条修订不改变实际动员能力——[00:05:14]传统动员机器失效，战争军阀化国际化——[00:15:59]现在的解放军主要在海空军——[00:24:56]解决福利国家危机只能靠再封建化——[00:49:48]解放军只有少数替补军——[00:57:13]军改后的解放军像明末军队——[01:08:52]沦陷区大多数地区没有可用士兵 | 1 826 |
| 7 | +1 int406 20260825 论美国的AI技术封锁，论朱镕基改革的遗产
摘要：[00:00:00]技术封锁不能阻止技术流动，最多推迟五到十年——[00:12:28]中国可以利用低人权优势开发出不同的AI技术路线，造成一定冲击——[00:31:14]改革开放起源于村镇集体经济和体制外地下工厂——[00:49:17]红区党恐惧亡党亡国，因此朱镕基得以推行改革——[00:58:54]改革产生新的社会结构，军事动员能力低下 | 2 022 |
| 8 | +1 int407 20260902 论李承晚模式，论全球化华人的未来，论欧洲右转
摘要：[00:00:00]美国不承认任何韩国流亡政府，选举中亲美派与亲日派联合——[00:14:06]西方八九成移民无法立足，沦陷区八九成人口陷入军阀经济，幸存者依附海外军阀和沦陷区豪强——[00:39:56]勒庞不会胜选，欧洲各国回到独立外交，建制派将不可避免接受民粹主义要求 | 2 753 |
| 9 | +1 int405 20260819 论「改革只能靠中共」，论如何造法和输出秩序，论被征服者和斯德哥尔摩综合征，论韬光养晦与朱镕基改革
摘要：[00:00:10]梁启超撰写清国大臣报告是学术包工头，不能说明双方政治合作——[00:10:42]确实改革只能靠中共，而不搞改革搞排华可以摆脱负资产——[00:18:52]根据实际需要造法，而不是意识形态——[00:31:38]人质是主动服从还是被胁迫服从绑匪，在马基雅维利意义上难以区分——[00:54:28]朱镕基和改开干部既要解构国企社会基础，又不忠于西方帝国主义，有水快流毫无远见 | 2 099 |
| 10 | +1 int404 20260816 论台湾地方选举和美国中期选举，论陪审制 | 2 182 |
| 11 | +1 int403 20260805 论流亡组织的资源渠道，论法轮功的发展经验，论中国出入境管理新规定，论共和党2028候选人
摘要：[00:00:00]资源来自自己人、敌人的敌人、一般公众、敌人分化——[00:09:00]宗教相对于知识分子的优越性，李洪志抓住了信仰真空的窗口期——[00:28:32]收紧美元，向地方豪强让步——[00:35:14]普通人民已经离不开豪强保护，没有无领主的土地——[00:57:37]众小诸侯的破碎性的竞选 | 2 464 |
| 12 | +1 int402 20260729 论河朔藩镇的兴衰 | 2 136 |
| 13 | +1 int401 20260720 论海外兵团，论排华是政治团体的机遇，论美国的民主社会主义势力，论美以特殊的同盟关系
摘要：[00:00:00]军事团体产生之后很难解散——[00:24:05]海外兵团应该提升能力、获取物资、情报调查——[00:34:04]排华是普通人的倒霉，政治团体的机遇——[00:48:12]美国的民主社会主义势力还有待发展——[00:57:21]美以特殊的同盟关系：专业机构、资深政治家、民众情绪 | 2 420 |
| 14 | +1 int400 20260714 论美国的出生公民权 | 2 134 |
| 15 | +1 摘要：[00:00:00]西方的司法国与立法国——[00:16:29]欧洲之外建立行政国家——[00:30:27]法院判决不影响美国政府行使行政权——[00:34:10]吉卜赛人是族群而不是民族——[00:41:29]伊斯兰国向抵抗力弱的地方发展——[00:52:27]同化政策反而会激发民族意识 | 2 397 |
| 16 | +1 int398 20260630 论美伊和平协议 | 2 300 |
| 17 | +1 int397 20260623 论欧美的反移民政策
摘要：[00:00:00]英国的殖民地移民传统——[00:13:46]英国移民融合度高，美洲种族问题敏感——[00:28:52]全球化移民来自新自由主义，新自由主义源于福利国家危机——[00:40:19]改革党生存尚待考验——[00:55:12]解决福利国家问题需要再封建化，国家体系之外的体系——[00:58:04]移民犯罪问题是炒作——[01:04:55]收紧新移民，审查前移民，移民归化本地 | 2 655 |
| 18 | +1 int396 20260617 论中美太空竞赛 | 2 201 |
| 19 | +1 int395 20260608 论核武器的扩散 | 2 375 |
| 20 | +1 int394 20260602 论华为“韬定律” & 论赖清德的人口策略 | 2 390 |
