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XAUUSD 4407 TO 4417 ( 10 POINT
LOTSIZE :- 0.10
PROFIT :- 100 DOLLORS
• Gold prices fell to approximately $4,390 an ounce amid low trading volumes on a US holiday.
• This decline followed a stronger-than-expected US jobs report, which raised bond yields and heightened expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike.
• In August, US nonfarm payrolls increased by 162,000, surpassing the anticipated 56,000 gain, while the unemployment rate remained at 4.1%.
• Traders now estimate a nearly 60% probability of a rate hike at the Fed's upcoming policy meeting, a rise from about 50% prior to the jobs data release.@globalforex_india
• Investors are looking forward to PPI and CPI data due later in the week for insights into the Fed's policy direction.
• Inflation concerns are high, spurred by crude oil prices nearing a three-month peak following US-Iran tensions over shipping.
• China's gold-buying streak extended to 22 months as of August, increasing its reserves to 76.73 million fine troy ounces.
• **Highest Volatility Events**:
- **US CPI**: Very high impact on USD and Gold.
- **ECB Interest Rate Decision**.
- **ECB Press Conference**.
- **US PPI**.
- **US Jobless Claims**.
• **Expected Market Impact**:
- **USD Pairs**: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CAD.
- **Gold (XAU/USD)**: Anticipated high volatility during US CPI, US PPI, and ECB announcements.
- **Silver (XAG/USD)**: Expected to move in line with Gold during inflation releases.
• **Main Focus for the Week**: U.S. inflation (PPI and CPI) and the ECB's policy decision, which may significantly impact central bank expectations and cause major movements in Forex and precious metals.
Repost from GLOBAL FOREX TRADING ACADEMY 🖥💻📒📗🖊
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• Major money managers are increasing gold holdings after price drops, anticipating long-term value despite Fed's inflation stance.
• Amundi SA predicts gold could reach $5,000 an ounce by year-end, with other firms like Pictet and Fidelity also adding to their positions.
• Gold is viewed as a cheap, liquid hedge by asset managers; however, clearer Fed interest-rate guidance is needed for further purchases.
• Higher Treasury yields and potential Fed rate hikes challenge gold prices, traditionally less favored when borrowing costs rise.
• Investors remained confident in gold's appeal as a portfolio hedge, with it becoming a standard asset according to industry representatives.@globalforex_india
• Following a peak near $5,600 in January, gold retreated to around $4,000 by June, prompting renewed interest from funds.
• Central bank purchases significantly increased in Q2, indicating strong official demand for gold.
• A diminishing correlation between gold and risk assets suggests a return to fundamentals in gold valuation.
XAGUUSD (SILVER ) BUY@67.140
SL 66.310
TARGET 67.810
TRY LOTSIZE : 0.10
