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🇺🇸 Fed To Adopt Gradual Rate Cuts
The Federal Reserve highlighted uncertainties in economic data and policy direction, particularly concerning the neutral interest rate, minutes from November 6-7 meeting showed.
Officials noted that monetary policy decisions are contingent on economic trends and cautioned against making premature rate cuts.
The volatility in recent data and uncertainty about the neutral interest rate's impact on economic activity made policymaking particularly challenging.
Some participants suggested keeping rates at restrictive levels if inflation persisted, while others advocated for accelerated cuts if labor markets weakened.
Concerns about the appropriate level of policy restraint led to gradual adjustments, with the benchmark rate raised to 4.50%-4.75%.
The meeting avoided addressing the economic implications of Donald Trump’s recent presidential election victory.
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🇺🇸USD
Minutes of the Fed's November meeting:
Some participants said the Fed could stop easing and keep the policy rate at a limited level if inflation rises.
Some participants said that policy easing could accelerate if the labor market weakens or economic activity weakens.
Many participants at the Federal Reserve's November meeting said that uncertainty about the neutral interest rate level would make a gradual easing of policy constraints appropriate.
#USD
Forex updates
DATE AND TIME
10:50 am UTC
Tue Nov 26th
CURRENCY PRICE
Gold
2629.74
0.70%
DXY
106.821
0.00
Crude OiI
69.647
1.02%
EURUSD
1.05125
0.17%
GBPUSD
1.25798
0.09%
Bitcoin
92942
-0.09%
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Forex updates
Monday November 25th
10:40 am UTC
CURRENCY PRICE
Gold
2673.62
-1.55%
DXY
106.950
-0.53%
Crude oil , WTI
70.887
-0.50%
EURUSD
1.04874
0.67%
GBPUSD
1.25779
0.36%
Bitcoin
98319
0.55%
Forex updates
Thursday November 21
CURRENCY
PRICE
Gold
2661.26
0.34%
DXY
106.575
-0.03%
Crude Oil WTI
69.101
0.51%
EURUSD
1.05460
0.00%
GBPUSD
1.26522
-0.02%
Bitcoin
97064
3.09%
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Forex updates
Monday November 18
6:30 am UTC
CURRENCY
PRICE
Gold
2585.11
0.88%
DXY
106.646
-0.02%
Crude Oil OIL WTI
67.004
-0.02%
EURUSD
1.05420
0.03%
GBPUSD
1.26338
0.14%
Bitcoin
90951
1.44%
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✨ What's about to hit the world economy?
Economist Magazine
November 16th 2024
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🇺🇸Federal Reserve Chairman Powell:
The economy is not sending signals that the US central bank should rush to cut interest rates.
The movement of politics over time towards the path of neutral politics is not predetermined.
✅ I expect that inflation will continue to decrease towards the 2% target, in a sometimes uneven path.
The Federal Reserve is committed to finishing the job on inflation.
The Federal Reserve expects these rates to continue to fluctuate within recent ranges, we will monitor closely to ensure that these rates do fluctuate.
Economic strength gives the Federal Reserve the ability to approach its decisions carefully.
✅ The labor market is strong, inflation is on a stable path towards 2%.
✅ The price index of total crushing of personal consumption probably increased by 2.3% in October compared to the previous year. (compared to 2.1 percent in September). Core PCE likely rose 2.8% (vs. 2.7% in September).
The recent economic performance of the United States is remarkably good.
#USD #Economy #Forex #Gold
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell:
The economy is not sending signals that the US central bank should rush to cut interest rates.
#USD
🇺🇸 US Inflation Rate Picks Up
The annual inflation rate in the US accelerated to 2.6% in October 2024, up from 2.4% in September which was the lowest rate since February 2021, and in line with market expectations.
It marks the first increase in inflation in seven months. On a monthly basis, CPI rose by 0.2%, consistent with the previous three months, also matching forecasts. The index for shelter rose 0.4%, accounting for over half of the monthly all items increase.
Meanwhile, core inflation remained steady at 3.3% as expected, with monthly core inflation also holding at 0.3%, the same as in September.
Forex updates
Wednesday November 13
8:20 am utc
CURRENCY PRICE
🥇Gold
2603.93
0.19%
🇺🇸DXY
106.134
0.14%
Crude Oil 🛢️ WTI
68.066
-0.08%
🇪🇺EURUSD
1.06040
-0.12%
🇬🇧GBPUSD
1.27358
-0.01%
🟠Bitcoin
87५592
-0.39%
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Week Ahead:
Key Economic Indicators and Events Nov 11th
🌏Asia
In China, a comprehensive set of economic data is expected, including new yuan loans and industrial production figures that will offer insights into the effectiveness of recent monetary stimulus measures[1]. This data will help gauge the impact of Beijing’s substantial debt swap initiative with local governments.
Japan's Q3 GDP estimates are likely to reflect slower growth trends, while India’s economic updates will include rising inflation rates that challenge the Reserve Bank of India's tolerance limits[1][2]. Additionally, Australia will report on its unemployment rate and consumer confidence indices this week.
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Week Ahead:
Key Economic Indicators and Events Nov 11th
🇪🇺 Europe
Across the Atlantic, the UK is set to release crucial indicators such as its unemployment rate, expected to reach 4.1%, alongside wage growth and Q3 GDP figures projected to grow by 0.2% [2][4]. These data points will influence the Bank of England's monetary policy stance as it assesses economic strength against inflationary pressures.
Germany's ZEW Economic Sentiment Index will be another focal point, alongside final inflation data from Germany, France, and Italy. The Eurozone's final Q3 GDP figures will also provide insights into regional economic health[2].
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Week Ahead:
Key Economic Indicators and Events Nov 11th
🇺🇸United States
In the U.S., the spotlight will be on inflation data as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is anticipated to show a slight increase in the annual inflation rate to 2.6%, up from 2.4% in September. The monthly CPI is expected to remain steady at 0.2%, while core CPI measures are projected to hold at 3.3% annually and 0.3% monthly. The Producer Price Index (PPI) is also in focus, with a forecasted increase of 0.2%, raising the annual rate to 2.3% from 1.8%[1].
Retail sales are projected to rise by 0.3%, slightly below September's increase, while industrial production may contract by 0.4%. Other important releases include the NFIB Business Optimism Index, consumer inflation expectations, and import/export prices[1][2].
Investors will closely monitor speeches from Federal Reserve officials, including Chair Jerome Powell, for insights into future monetary policy, especially following the implications of a potential second Trump presidency[1]. This week, earnings reports from major corporations like Home Depot and Walt Disney will also be pivotal.
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As we step into the week of November 11th, 2024, global markets are poised for significant economic data releases and central bank communications that could shape market sentiment and trading strategies. Here’s what to expect across major economies.
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Economic Calendar for Week Ahead November 11th 2024
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🇺🇸 🟠Bitcoin Soars Above $80,000 on Trump Boost
Bitcoin surged past $80,000 Bitcoin surged past $80,000 on Monday, reaching new all-time highs, reaching new all-time highs, as the prospect of a more favorable regulatory environment under a Donald Trump presidency and a Republican-led Congress sent crypto prices soaring.
Trump, a vocal supporter of the crypto industry, has pledged to make the US the “crypto capital of the planet” and build up national reserves of bitcoin.
Elon Musk, a prominent Trump backer in this election, echoed these sentiments, warning that the US risks falling behind if it doesn’t lead innovation in the crypto space.
Additionally, a rapid unwinding of short bitcoin positions further fueled the rally, along with a resurgence of retail investors returning to the market.
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Forex updates
Monday November 11 2024
8:00 am UTC
CURRENCY PRICE
🥇Gold
2670.04
-0.54%
🇺🇸DXY
105.262
0.30%
🛢️Crude Oil WTI
70.304
-0.11%
🇪🇺EURUSD
1.06909
-0.26%
🇬🇧GBPUSD
1.28947
-0.17%
🟠Bitcoin
81191
1.71%
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