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🏦 Markets are focused on the Federal Reserve, with a pause expected, but uncertainty continuing to grow. Many institutions now believe the Fed may opt for an early hike. The FedWatch Tool indicates that there is a 30% chance of a rate hike, significantly higher than the previous weeks. 🛢️ Crude oil rose 4% after renewed Middle East tensions increased concerns over inflation and global supply disruptions. This adds further pressure on the Federal Reserve to act earlier rather than later. 🚀 The US said it intercepted missiles overnight at multiple bases in the Middle East, while Jordan reported that Iran fired five missiles toward its territory. Reports also indicate that the US and Saudi Arabia are conducting joint operations against Iranian-backed militant groups in Iraq. 🥇 Gold found some support from strong physical demand in China, despite record outflows from Chinese gold ETFs. However, Gold prices are likely to depend on the Fed’s rate decision. 💻 After the market closes, Microsoft and Meta are expected to report higher revenue and earnings, driven by AI growth. However, economists say the companies must significantly beat expectations, not show negative free cashflow, and avoid raising concerns over AI-related borrowing in order for stocks to see a spike in demand. 📊 Global indices are witnessing mixed price movement across all exchanges. The S&P 500 is the best-performing index of the day, while the Nikkei 225 is the worst. 🇦🇺 The Australian Dollar came under pressure from inflation figures falling below expectations. The inflation rate fell from 4.00% to 3.8%, whereas analysts were expecting inflation to remain unchanged. 💵 The best-performing currencies of the day are the Japanese Yen and Euro, but the US Dollar is likely to witness volatility later this evening. Full Article 👉 https://www.hfm.com/int/en/analysis/fed-decision-oil-surge-big-tech-earnings

Join us live as we break down how the Federal Reserve and its latest policy direction are impacting Gold, the US Dollar, and wider market sentiment. 📊 With changing expectations around interest rates, traders are closely watching how Fed developments could shape volatility across key markets. 📈 HFM’s analyst will combine fundamental and technical analysis to explore how Gold and the US Dollar are reacting, where momentum may be building, and which scenarios traders should keep on their radar. 🚀 💡 We’ll analyse key trends, price action, macroeconomic updates, and potential bullish and bearish market playouts in real time. Watch the full analysis live with HFM.

Global Indices decline with the NASDAQ witnessing the largest decline 📊 In this video, we break down the NASDAQ market structure, key support and resistance zones, and technical indicators to see what price action is really telling us. 📈🚀 ▶️ What’s driving the current move? ▶️ Where are momentum and trend pointing next? ▶️ Which levels matter most right now?

📉 The NASDAQ has fallen for five consecutive sessions, reaching its lowest level since May as the global stock sell-off accelerates. 🤖 Concerns over AI spending, elevated valuations, and widening credit spreads are weighing heavily on technology stocks and investor sentiment. ⚡ All global indices are trading in the red on Tuesday, with some stock exchanges even temporarily halting sell orders. The KOSPI (Korean Stock Index) stopped trading on two occasions during the Asian session and has so far fallen 10%.  💻 Big Tech earnings from Microsoft, Meta, Apple, and Amazon could determine whether the sell-off deepens or a market rebound begins. 🏦 Markets are increasingly pricing in the possibility of a surprise Federal Reserve rate hike, adding further pressure to equities. 👀 Citadel Securities believes the Federal Reserve could surprise markets with a 25-basis-point rate hike this week. Meanwhile, the FedWatch Tool shows the probability of a July rate hike has increased from 26% to 38%, reflecting growing expectations of a more hawkish Fed. 💱 The worst-performing currencies of the day were the Australian Dollar and the US Dollar. The best-performing so far are the British Pound and the Japanese Yen.  🪙 All global metals continue to decline after a short-lived attempted correction on Monday. Silver is experiencing the largest decline, which is also a negative signal for Gold. Metals are under pressure from an expensive Dollar and interest rate risks.  🛢️ Oil prices continue to decline as President Trump advised that the pause in hostilities is a good opportunity to form a deal with Iran.  Full Article 👉 https://www.hfm.com/int/en/analysis/nasdaq-sell-off-why-stocks-are-falling-what-happens-next

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🛢️ Crude oil dropped nearly 7% after signs of de-escalation between the US and Iran ease supply disruption concerns. The US paused strikes against Iran for a second night, after 13 straight nights of strikes aimed at degrading Iran’s ability to attack commercial shipping. 💵 The US Dollar weakens as easing Middle East tensions reduce safe-haven demand ahead of key central bank decisions. Investors continue to expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged. 📊 According to the Chicago Exchange, only 11% of the market believes the Federal Reserve will not hike rates in 2026. 🥇 Gold remains above $4,000, supported by a weaker US Dollar and strong physical demand, particularly from China. China was seen as active in the Gold market due to lower Gold prices and a strong Yuan. Chinese gold imports rose to a two-year high in June, to about 173 tonnes, according to the latest customs data. 📈 All indices rebound on Monday due to lower oil prices and higher risk appetite. The best-performing index so far this morning is the NASDAQ, which is trading 1.54% higher followed by the DAX. 💱 The best-performing currencies of the day so far are the Swiss Franc, Australian Dollar and the Euro. The worst-performing currencies are the US Dollar and Canadian Dollar which are under pressure from lower oil prices. 💻 Tech stocks to see increased volatility on Wednesday and Thursday as Microsoft, Meta, Amazon and Apple are set to release their earnings reports.

Q2 2026 earnings season continues with another major week of corporate results! 🚀 Leading names from technology, payments, consumer goods, aviation and energy are preparing to report, potentially driving fresh market reactions.⚡️📈 💡 Stay informed, follow the latest earnings releases and watch how the markets respond. Check the Earnings Calendar and plan your next move.

🏛️ Trump's new 10%-12.5% tariffs have increased trade uncertainty and inflation concerns, creating mixed signals for gold as safe-haven demand competes with a stronger dollar. 🥇 Gold rebounded on Friday after Thursday’s 1.95% drop, supported by safe-haven demand following Trump's new tariffs. 💵 A stronger US dollar and higher Treasury yields continue to pressure gold as investors expect interest rates to stay higher for longer. 📉 Chinese gold ETF demand weakened sharply, with record outflows as investors shifted toward equities and higher-yielding assets. 🏦 The Federal Reserve meeting on 29 July is the key event to watch, with any hawkish guidance likely to weigh on gold prices. 🛢️ Oil prices rose to their highest since 11 June due to rising tensions in the Middle East. President Trump advised that the US is considering a large attack to push Iran towards negotiations. Oil prices retraced during this morning’s session. 📊 The ‘Magnificent 7’ witnessed its biggest one-day drop since April last year. Alphabet also came under pressure from earnings reports. Alphabet shares fell 6.89% during yesterday’s session. ☁️ Alphabet beat expectations, reporting $119.8 billion in revenue (+24% YoY), driven by strong growth across Search, YouTube, and Google Cloud. Google Cloud revenue surged 82%, but the stock fell as investors worried about Alphabet’s sharply higher AI spending, with 2026 capital expenditure guidance raised to $195 billion-205 billion. 📈 Global indices fell throughout the week, except European indices, which have seen a strong rebound due to the ECB pausing again. US indices are trading slightly higher on Friday, but European indices are the day's best performers, particularly the German DAX. 🇦🇺 The Australian Dollar and New Zealand Dollar are the best-performing currencies of the day. Australian employment data beat expectations, adding more than 76,000 employed individuals.

Join us live as we analyse the latest ECB interest rate decision and what it could mean for the markets. 📊 With inflation risks returning amid higher oil prices, markets are watching closely to see whether the European Central Bank may signal further tightening. The decision, press conference, and policy tone could drive volatility across EURUSD, Gold, Oil, and major stock markets. 📈 💡 We’ll break down the announcement in real time, assess the market reaction, and highlight the key levels and scenarios traders should watch as the session unfolds. Is a rate hike coming? 🔔 Watch the full analysis live with HFM.

🚨 Oil Prices Near $100: What It Means for Markets 🛢 Brent crude is approaching the key $100 level after renewed Middle East tensions raised concerns over potential disruptions to global oil supply. Higher energy prices are also reviving inflation fears and could influence central bank decisions in the weeks ahead. 🤖 AI remains a key market theme. Strong earnings from Alphabet helped boost confidence in continued AI investment, supporting gains in Asian technology stocks, particularly semiconductor companies such as Samsung and SK Hynix. 📈 Asian markets traded higher, but investors remain cautious ahead of earnings from Microsoft, Meta, Amazon and Intel, which are expected to provide further insight into whether AI spending is translating into sustainable growth. 💵 Markets are now balancing two major forces: optimism around AI-driven growth and concerns that rising oil prices could keep interest rates higher for longer, supporting the US Dollar while weighing on broader risk sentiment. 👀 Key events to watch: • Brent crude's move toward $100 • Middle East geopolitical developments • Big Tech earnings • The ECB and Federal Reserve policy outlook 🔗 Read the full market analysis: https://www.hfm.com/int/en/analysis/oil-prices-near-100-ai-earnings-asian-stocks

https://www.hfm.com/int/en/analysis/big-tech-earnings-oil-prices-market-outlook Can Big Tech Earnings Keep Markets Climbing? Global markets are balancing strong expectations for Big Tech earnings against renewed inflation concerns driven by rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions. The outcome could shape the near-term outlook for equities, commodities, and major currency markets, with volatility expected to remain elevated across key assets.

📈 Big Tech in Focus Markets are waiting for earnings from Alphabet and Tesla, with investors looking beyond headline results to AI spending guidance. Strong outlooks could support the Nasdaq, while disappointment may trigger renewed volatility. 🛢 Oil Extends Rally Brent crude has climbed above $92 per barrel as Middle East tensions continue to fuel supply concerns. Higher oil prices are also bringing inflation back into focus. 🥇 Gold Hits Two-Week High Gold has surged back above $4,100/oz, benefiting from safe-haven demand despite higher Treasury yields. Geopolitical uncertainty continues to support bullion. 💵 Yen Under Pressure The Japanese yen weakened beyond ¥163 per US dollar, its lowest level since 1986. Japanese officials have warned they are prepared to intervene if market moves become excessive. 📊 Bond Yields Rise US Treasury yields remain near two-month highs as traders reassess the possibility of higher interest rates if rising energy prices keep inflation elevated. 👀 What Traders Should Watch Today • Alphabet & Tesla earnings after the US close • AI sector guidance and market sentiment • Oil price developments and Middle East headlines • Gold's reaction to geopolitical risks • USD/JPY amid intervention speculation ⚠️ Expect elevated volatility across indices, commodities and FX as earnings and geopolitics continue to shape market sentiment.