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My candy!👆👆
Big public dog in the next match with Prochazka. Largest public dog of the night.
Tiny, tiny sharp buy hit the OVER 2.5 (+140), but that's about it and it's really stretching the look to report.
Alright, I have to take at least some candy money on Kattar +165. If he loses, so be it, but if he wins then I won't be as annoyed as if I didn't bet anything.
Zero money on Kattar which is what I hoped to see hit late. Maybe I am wrong on this one. I'll pass here.
Easy money! Inside the distance +105
Alright, dialed in...let's see what I can find now. LOL
Still no rated action in UFC for me.
Oh and as stated, I prefer to try Harrison inside the distance at that +105 I laid out above to give her a big win that will fire people up. Much less risky than laying 450.
For rated action, I have my eye on...
Kattar, Brundage, Tsarukyan and Hill based on current action...but waiting to see what the late money does.
Late sharp money coming in on Harrison -450.
Very chalky and not for the weak. Reality is UFC is giving Harrison a big name that they likely feel she can beat. They are brining here over from PFL and this is her first UFC match. I imagine they had to give a sweet deal so they don't want to see her lose here...but still...it's chalky!
UFC
As I posted on Twitter (t.me/tsptwitter), I saw some sharp money taking Kayla Harrison +105 to "Win Inside The Distance".
I think she has a better chance of winning by submission than KO, but I like the Inside the Distance bet to cover both.
No GFAW (or TSP Live) action on this one, but likely have something tonight. Let's see how the sharp money does here and then I can wade further into the water.
Good luck!
While I wait for UFC coverage to develop, just a little tidbit for the newer gamblers.
Go Fast and Win Portfolio (GoFastandWin.com) was on a 17-4 run, then went 4-10-1 and now is 6-1 the L7 after today's win on the DRAW +194.
Gambling is just a series of positive and negative runs. You have to accept and handle the negative runs or you will just be a frustrated, highly emotional bettor with no real chance of success.
Three for three on Masters round matchups, cashing Morikawa over Homa today! Let's see what we can get tomorrow.
In terms of the content tonight, if it comes from anywhere it will likely come from UFC.
Given what has already started there really isn't a whole lot out there. Obviously that can change, but MLB and NHL are dead quiet. There is no NBA today. We do have a little MLS reported earlier in TSP Live and then that leaves UFC.
The UFC markets are getting very strong volume, with some sharp nibbling. So, let's see what develops.
Part of me thought I would do a manual override when the White Sox popped up as today's Algorithm Selection. Instead I thought, nah...that's the play...the Algorithm Selections have ben strong...I will let it ride. Lesson learned!
Sorry Sox fans, they are pretty awful this year! The DRAW for GFAW at least offsets and leaves a little profit on the day.
Let's cash the golf and add ot that profit. There is a good chance for evening action in TSP Live. Stay tuned!🍀
It is common when books take a rush of action on a golf matchup that they will take it down. If some of those books no longer have it, move to the others. It is always good to have access to multiple domestic and offshore books, especially for golf given the dynamics.
If you can’t get it, don’t sweat it, it’s hardly a major wager.🍀
An alert "**TSP Live Alert**" has been posted. Subscribers can view at https://tsp.live/2024/04/13/tsp-live-alert-76/
TSP Live Dashboard: https://TSP.Live/tsp-live-alerts/
Analytics & Selection Tables: https://TSP.Live/nf-slim/
🏇💻Keeneland TSP Power Ratings...
R1: 1/3/5-4-10-11/6-9-7-2-8-12
R2: 2-3/6-4-8/7-1-5
R3: 1/12-6-4/3-8-7/2-5-11-10-9
R4: 9/3-10-7-1/6/2-5-8-4
R5: 2-12-1/5-10-4-8-3-13-14-16-11-6-9-7-15
R6: 2/3-1-6/7-5-4
R7: 8/11-4/1-2-6-9-5-12-3-10-7-13
R8: 3-1-2-7/4-6-1A-5
R9: 2-3-9-7-6/8-10-1-5-4
R10: 5/2/8-10-9/4-1-3-6-7
R11: 9/11/5-4-13-16/8-10-7-2-14-12-6-3-15-1
https://thesharpplays.com/tsp-horse-racing/ 🍀
Telegram Sports Update
Good morning!
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TSP Live Algorithms Selections moved to 6-2 for +4.0 units F5 Innings and 6-2 for +4.0 units for the full game thanks to Seattle -120. The Degenerate Portfolio picked up +0.64 units thanks to a straight bet and a parlay!
The Go Fast and Win Score Prediction table went 1-0 and cashed with St. Louis +110 units for +0.11 units! The GFAW Portfolio also picked up +0.1 units on Fleetwood in Round 1 and +0.20 units on Clark in Round 2! Solid day overall for the portfolios picking up +0.64 in TSP Live and +0.41 units in the GFAW Portfolio!
Last month there were a couple whiners about how is it possible that the Go Fast and Win Portfolio, because it is free content, could outperform the TSP Live Portfolio in a given month…because TSP Live is paid content and thereby should ALWAYS outperform. The lunacy of such a statement does not need to be addressed. As I said though, some months the Degenerate Portfolio would outperform, other months the GFAW Portfolio would outperform….and some months both would win and other months both would lose. If you bet both consistently, you should grind a nice profit between the two at the end of the year.
In April, the TSP Live Portfolio is +1.55 units and the GFAW Portfolio is +0.25 units. Instead of bitching, just ride them.
In March, the TSP Live Portfolio was -0.58 units and the GFAW Portfolio was +1.35 units.
Looks like two winning months to me between both portfolios. Don’t bitch about how the profits come each month, be happy you have profits…98% of bettors do not. March was in the green for the portfolios despite one of the greatest public successes in a Men’s NCAA Tournament in recent memory.
Early sharp buying…
Juventus/Torino DRAW +194 (Italy Serie A)
Buffalo +180 (NHL)
Boston -124 (NHL)
Edmonton -140 (NHL)
Go Fast and Win analytics tables are updated at GoFastAndWin.com…click “Portfolio” to access.
Good luck!!
An alert "**TSP Live Alert – Morning Update**" has been posted. Subscribers can view at https://tsp.live/2024/04/13/tsp-live-alert-morning-update-43/
TSP Live Dashboard: https://TSP.Live/tsp-live-alerts/
Analytics & Selection Tables: https://TSP.Live/nf-slim/
For those looking for the matchup, I am told that FanDuel (thanks to the person who passed it along) has a "Bet Request" feature within the app where you can ask for a Round 2 matchup, name the players and if accepted they will post a line for you.
BetMGM has a three ball option, which has some good prices on it.
💵This week's Go Fast and Win podcast is up now on your favorite podcast provider, GoFastandWin.com and in the video above.
Don't miss another WINNING bonus selection!👆👆🍀
