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Since the beginning of the war, more than 2000 civilians have been killed by Russian missiles, according to official data. Help us protect Ukrainians from missiles - provide max military assisstance to Ukraine #Ukraine. #StandWithUkraine
📣 Stock Market Is Near Capitulation As Market Rotation Out From This Sector Market rotation out from this defensive sector could signal the start of stock market capitulation based on the analogue comparison of the global financial crisis in 2008. Many traders and investors speculated about a potential market bottom or at least a meaningful rally could be around the corner as S&P 500 rallied from the oversold condition below 3900 to almost 4100 just within 4 days. The rally was expected to be short-lived as explained in the video at the bottom of the post using multiple scenarios focusing on the characteristics of the price action in order to differentiate a bull trap from a market bottom. This was further supported by the bearish reversal off the resistance at 4100 on 18 May 2022 for S&P 500. Follow & share 👉
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📣 Snap’s warning of a weaker outlook sends ripples through tech stocks More bad news ahead? Snap could be the canary in the coal mine for the broader internet sector. An unexpected warning about the deteriorating economy by Snap Inc. Chief Executive Evan Spiegel rippled through internet and social-media stocks late Monday, potentially ruining the market’s comeback attempt from earlier in the day. After the market closed with strong gains Monday, Spiegel spoke at a JP Morgan technology conference, and the company stated in a regulatory filing that its second-quarter earnings would come in below its prior estimates. At the conference, Spiegel said the economy has ”definitely deteriorated further and faster” than Snap SNAP, -3.40% had expected when it gave its forecast during its earnings call last month. He added that the Snapchat parent is slowing its hiring pace for the year and looking for ways to cut costs. Follow & share 👉
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📣 CFTC Chairman Confirms Bitcoin, Ethereum Are Commodities The chairman of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) says he is certain bitcoin and ether are commodities. He outlined how his agency is working with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to regulate the crypto sector, noting that “there are no customer protections right now in the crypto market.” CFTC chairman said: "Well, I can say for sure bitcoin … is a commodity. Ether as well." Follow & share 👉
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📣 The World Economic Forum Is Worried About Safety in the Metaverse The World Economic Forum (WEF), one of the most influential international institutions, has expressed its worries about the safety of metaverse dwellers, especially younger ones. The group has raised a number of concerns regarding the anonymity and safety of young individuals in this upcoming alternate world, and has given a number of recommendations to preserve them. Children are in front of more games across more devices for longer – partly because of the pandemic. They are witnessing wide-ranging behaviour (including abuse, if they are not monitored). And monitoring itself is becoming so much more of a challenge. Follow & share 👉
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📣 The S&P 500 narrowly averts a bear market. How long do they last once they arrive? The S&P 500 averted a bear market Friday, trimming losses to finish flat after trading solidly below a key threshold. But history shows that when a bear arrives, it tends to stick around awhile. The large-cap U.S. benchmark SPX, +0.01% ended the session with a gain of less than a point at 3,901.36 after trading as low as 3,810.32. A close below 3,837.25 would mark a 20% pullback from the S&P 500’s Jan. 3 record finish, meeting the traditional definition of a bear market, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.03% erased a 617 point loss to end the day at 31,261.90. A finish below 29,439.72 would put the blue-chip gauge into a bear market. Follow & share 👉
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📣 G7 Finance Leaders Call for Swift and Comprehensive Crypto Regulation The G7 finance ministers and central bank governors have called for a swift and comprehensive regulation of crypto assets. The G7 decision followed the recent crypto market turmoil, including the collapse of cryptocurrencies LUNA and UST. “The G7 supports work by the Financial Stability Board (FSB) to monitor and address financial stability risks arising from all forms of crypto-assets, and welcomes increasing global cooperation to address regulatory issues associated with the use of crypto-assets, including in cross-border payments,” according to the communique summarizing the finance leaders. In light of the recent turmoil in the crypto-asset market, the G7 urges the FSB … to advance the swift development and implementation of consistent and comprehensive regulation of crypto-asset issuers and service providers.
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📣 Best Computer Hardware Stocks To Buy In May HP and Western Digital are trading at attractive levels. Key Insights 🔹 Worries about PC demand have failed to put pressure on HP and Western Digital in recent weeks. 🔹 Earnings estimates for HP remained stable despite China’s decision to push foreign PCs out of government agencies and state firms. 🔹 Western Digital stock has recently received a boost from activist investor Elliott Management. While many traders were worried about declining PC demand after the end of the acute phase of the coronavirus pandemic, some computer hardware stocks managed to show strength despite general market weakness. Importantly, these stocks continue to trade at attractive valuation levels.
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📣 Stock Bulls Remain Optimistic As Data Indicates a Slowdown in Manufacturing Inflation Sentiment has been mostly falling since the start of the year but consumer spending has not shown any signs of pullback. Stock bulls remain extremely cautious but a bit more optimistic as data indicates a slowdown in manufacturing inflation. The Producer Price Index rose +11% year-over-year in April, higher than expected but a meaningful pullback from March’s +11.5%. Producer prices lead consumer prices, so the report is a good sign overall, though investors, as well as the Fed, will need to see a couple more months of declines before declaring that inflation is indeed cooling. Economists also warn that goods inflation may be coming down because consumer demand is shifting more to services, meaning high prices could simply be moving from one part of the economy to another. The latest data shows services prices are rising at the fastest rate in three decades with airfare leading the way.
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📣 US Economy Is Probably in Recession That Could Last 18 Months — Elon Musk Warns It 'Will Get Worse' Tesla and Spacex CEO Elon Musk says that the U.S. economy is probably in a recession and it could be “tough going” for 12 to 18 months. He added: “The honest reason for inflation is that the government printed a zillion more money than it had.” We probably are in a recession and that recession will get worse but these things pass and then there will be boom times again … It’ll probably be some tough going for, I don’t know, a year, maybe 12-18 months. The honest reason for inflation is that the government printed a zillion more money than it had … This is not like, you know, super complicated. Follow & share 👉
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📣 G7 to continue economic pressure on Russia, tackle 'Economic War’
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📣 The beginning of the end of the stock market’s correction could be near Here’s what market-timing investors are looking for to turn optimistic. The end of the U.S. stock market’s correction is looking a lot closer. That’s the conclusion of a contrarian analysis of market timer sentiment. It’s encouraging, from a contrarian perspective, that the market timer community in recent days has become extremely pessimistic — as pessimistic, in fact, as it has been at prior market bottoms. It will be crucial in coming days for the timers to remain this pessimistic in the face of any market rallies. If so, then expect a contrarian buy signal.Stubbornly-held pessimism has been largely absent up to this point, as I pointed out one month ago. That’s when I concluded my contrarian analysis of market timer sentiment by declaring that, because “the point of maximum pessimism… hasn’t been reached,” U.S. stocks “very likely will retest their early-March low and maybe even fail that test.” 👉
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📣 Twitter stock dives after Elon Musk tweet that buyout deal is ‘temporarily on hold’ Tesla chief Elon Musk’s deal with social media giant Twitter to take over the company has been put on hold. “Twitter deal temporarily on hold pending details supporting calculation that spam/fake accounts do indeed represent less than 5% of users,” Musk wrote on the social media platform around 09:45 UTC on Friday. The tweet linked to a Reuters article that referred to a filing from Twitter on Monday where the company estimated that less than 5% of its “monetizable daily active users” are false or spam accounts. Elon Musk has previously said that one of his main priorities with Twitter would be to remove "spam bots" from the platform. Follow & share 👉
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📣 The ugly truth: tech companies are tracking and misusing our data, and there’s little we can do As survey results pile, it’s becoming clear most users are sceptical about how their online data is tracked and used. But one question worth asking is: are our fears founded? The short answer is: YES Lately, a common pattern has emerged every time malpractice is exposed. The company involved will provide an “opt-out” mechanism for users, or a dashboard to see what personal data is being collected (for example, Google Privacy Checkup), along with an apology. Also, it’s almost impossible to know if user data is being misused within company bounds or in business-to-business interactions. Earlier this year, both Amazon and Apple were reported to be using human annotators to listen to personal conversations, recorded via their respective digital assistants Alexa and Siri. To be blunt, we don’t know. And as end users there’s not much we can do about it, anyway.
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📣 The S&P 500’s charts are pointing to more stock-market losses This past week, the S&P 500 IDX plunged to new relative lows. It is now trading at prices last seen in March 2021. This latest move downward violated support at 4100-4200 and prompted a swift move down toward possible support at 3900. The next support area below that is 3700 – the lows of February and March 2021. The S&P SPX, 0.34% is quite oversold, although as readers know, oversold does not mean buy. Even so, oversold rallies accompany bear markets. They usually top out at about the level of the declining 20-day moving average or perhaps slightly above that. The bulls have tried to engineer a couple of oversold rallies of late, but they turned out to be one-day affairs that – while looking spectacular for one day – had no staying power. Those occurred on end of April. Currently, the 20-day moving average is at 4240 and dropping rapidly. Above that, those two one-day rallies topped out near 4300, so that general area represents resistance
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📣 Coinbase CEO says company has ‘No Risk of Bankruptcy’ That’s from Brian Armstrong, chief executive and co-founder of cryptocurrency exchange platform Coinbase COIN, 8.38%. In a series of tweets Tuesday afternoon, Armstrong addressed a recent Coinbase 10-Q document filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission that used language detailing risk factors with retail investors’ crypto assets in the event that Coinbase files for bankruptcy — to be clear, Armstrong reiterated that bankruptcy is not likely. “Because custodially held crypto assets may be considered to be the property of a bankruptcy estate, in the event of a bankruptcy, the crypto assets we hold in custody on behalf of our customers could be subject to bankruptcy proceedings and such customers could be treated as our general unsecured creditors." Follow & share 👉
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📣 S&P 500, Dow up after inflation data, Nasdaq down on rate hike worries U.S. stock index futures rose on Wednesday ahead of monthly inflation data, which is likely to offer investors clues on how aggressively the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates. The S&P 500 and the Dow rose in choppy trading on Wednesday as banks and energy shares gained, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq came under pressure after inflation data cemented expectations of aggressive interest rate hikes. Ten of the 11 major S&P sectors advanced in morning trade. Energy gained 3.4% as oil prices jumped over 4% buoyed by supply concerns. Financials added 1.1% and banks climbed 1.5%, tracking the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield which climbed back above 3%. The Nasdaq held near an 18-month low hit earlier this week as investors dumped megacap growth stocks amid worries that rising rates will future cash flows. Follow & share 👉
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📣 Morgan Stanley’s done better than most forecasting markets during this turbulent year. Here’s what it says is coming next. Wall Street analysts are the types who get to the airport with hours to spare. Year-ahead previews come in before Thanksgiving, so it can’t be too huge a surprise that Morgan Stanley has released its mid-year outlook just 11 days into May. Not that anyone has seen what 2022 had in store — the worst bond market performance in decades, a surge in commodities, a war in Ukraine — but Morgan Stanley’s outlook was closer to the mark than most, certainly better than the other Wall Street firm with Morgan in its name. It came into the year flagging mid-to-late cycle challenges, warning about high valuations, tightening policy and inflation higher than most are used to. All of that sounds about right. Follow & share 👉
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📣 Inflation Hasn’t Peaked. ‘The Fed Needs to Be Even More Hawkish.’ Wednesday was supposed to be the day investors got confirmation that inflation peaked last month, as many economists and strategists across Wall Street have been long predicting. At first glance, the “peak inflation” narrative might look to have been vindicated: for the first time in eight months, headline CPI decelerated on a year-over-year basis to a 8.3% pace from an 8.5% clip in March. That is a good thing, even if the slowdown was simply about math as we lap particularly high readings from a year ago that are starting to fall out of the year-over-year calculation. But it’s not enough, nor is it the right number on which to focus. First, the slowdown in overall inflation fell short of expectations. Consider that gasoline prices hit a record high on Tuesday, with the national average price rising to $4.37 a gallon, according to AAA. Moreover, part of that slowdown was due to lower energy prices. 👉
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📣 Dow erases 500-point rise as stock-market bounce gives way A sharp bounce for U.S. stocks after three days of heavy losses was erased Tuesday, with major indexes turning lower on the eve of a key inflation reading. On Monday, the Dow fell 654 points, or 2%, while the S&P 500 declined 3.2%, to close below the 4,000 threshold and at its lowest since March 31, 2021. The Nasdaq Composite plummeted 4.3% to its lowest finish since November 2020. Over the past three days, the S&P 500 has dropped 7.2% — the biggest three-day decline since March 20, 2020, when the world was confronted with the coronavirus pandemic. The early rise may have given traders hope that a so-called Turnaround Tuesday may materialize. But those hopes were soon dashed, with indexes unable to hold on to early gains. Follow & share 👉
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📣 U.S. profit forecasts weaken as companies assess inflation risks With first-quarter U.S. earnings in the final stretch, corporate growth expectations for the current quarter and 2022 mostly are declining as costs surge for oil and other supplies and interest rates rise. With first-quarter U.S. earnings in the final stretch, corporate growth expectations for the current quarter and 2022 mostly are declining as costs surge for oil and other supplies and interest rates rise. Sky-high oil has boosted forecasts for energy company earnings while feeding into concerns about profit margins for many other S&P 500 industries. Disappointing outlooks from , Netflix and other major players have stood out among recent reports, even as the first quarter’s estimated year-over-year profit growth has risen to 10.4% from 6.4% at the start of April, according to IBES data from Refinitiv. Follow & share 👉
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📣 Dow futures slump over 500 points, signaling rough start to week for equities After a volatile week, Wall Street is bracing for more losses as U.S. stock-index futures fell sharply on Monday. What’s happening ? 💥 Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average YM00, -1.33% fell 516 points, or 1.6%, to 32,293. 💥 S&P 500 futures ES00, -1.73% dropped 78.75 points, or 1.9%, to 4,040.75. 💥 Nasdaq-100 futures NQ00, -2.28% dropped 303.25 points, or 2.4%, to 12,392.50. The Dow DJIA, -0.30% and S&P 500 SPX, -0.57% each slipped 0.2% last week, while the technology-heavy Nasdaq COMP, -1.40% fell 1.5%. The weekly declines came after wild swings for major indexes, surging on Wednesday and falling sharply on Thursday. Cryptocurrencies fell over the weekend as well, with bitcoin BTCUSD, -4.91% dropping below the $35,000 level, down nearly half from its record high set in November. Follow & share 👉
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📣 Stock market selloff in ‘liquidation’ stage. Why it needs to get ‘hotter’ before it burns out. This week’s violent U.S. stock-market turnabout may have left investors feeling shaken, but a liquidation phase that may finally be under way will probably need to “get hotter” before it burns itself out, a top Wall Street chart watcher warned on Friday. A remarkable thing about the market’s wild two-day swing Wednesday and Thursday is that market internals — indicators measuring things related to the number of advancing stocks in an index versus declining stocks — were whipsawed, too even though they tend to be “less fickle” than prices. The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -0.30% plunged over 1,000 points, or 3.1% on Thursday after a rise of more than 900 points on Wednesday, while the Nasdaq Composite COMP, -1.40% dropped 5%, the worst one-day performance for both indexes since 2020. The S&P 500 SPX, -0.57% fell 3.6% Thursday. Stocks ended lower on Friday. 👉
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📣 Euro Crisis 2.0? Debt burdens could return to 2011 levels if rates rise much further, Deutsche Bank strategist warns As the European Central Bank gets ready to embark on a rate-hike campaign — one official now is saying liftoff could come in June — and as Italian bond yields TMBMKIT-10Y, 3.152% are now a full 2 percentage points higher than German bund yields TMBMKDE-10Y, 1.144%, Deutsche Bank strategist Maximilian Uleer decided to compare where the eurozone stood versus a decade ago. Relative and absolute levels have increased since 2011. Even with debt relief, Greece’s debt-to-GDP ratio is lower, because its economy has shrunk. Only Germany and Ireland, where companies have relocated to take advantage of lower taxes, have seen their debt-to-GDP ratios fall. “Debt burdens have come down and the ECB has room to increase rates and stop its buying program. But the ECB’s degrees of freedom are limited. If rates were to rise sharply for longer, we might well be facing Euro Crisis 2.0”
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📣 Investor pessimism mounts as more Fed rate hikes loom Stock market investors are heading into the US Federal Reserve’s rate-setting announcement particularly pessimistic, with fresh milestones for bond yields and worries about rocketing inflation weighing on sentiment as the central bank is expected to hike rates further. The benchmark S&P 500 is down over 12% so far this year after posting its biggest monthly drop in April since the start of the pandemic. Meanwhile, the yield on the US Treasury note hit 3% for the first time in over three years on Monday, doubling since the end of 2021. The higher yields on US government debt, which is viewed as virtually risk free, mean “you probably are starting to lose some of those folks who had maybe crowded into dividend-paying stocks and were maybe having to take a little bit more risk for that income,” said Sameer Samana, senior market strategist at Wells Fargo. "The implication for equities is you start to lose demand for stocks relative to fixed income."
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📣 China Faces COVID Troubles as the EU Nears Embargo on Russian Oil China is the world’s second-largest consumer and the world’s top importer of crude oil. In the face of adversity, is its economy likely to slow down? Crude oil prices ended slightly higher yesterday after a volatile session, caught between weakening demand in China and the prospect, closer than ever, of a European embargo on Russian oil imports. Meanwhile, the thirteen members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) are going to meet to make any adjustments to their production. The market does not expect much from this meeting, as the current target of 400k barrels per day should be sustained. It’s despite the cartel’s struggling to pump such volumes, notably given the current political crisis in Libya – the producing country endowed with the most abundant reserves in Africa – which has seen its oil infrastructure blocked, where oil operations have been stopped since mid-April. 👉
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📣 Tesla Loses $126 Billion Amid Musk Twitter Deal During the Musk-Twitter deal Tesla lost $126 billion due to a difficult atmosphere shared by many technology-related stocks. Tesla Inc lost $126 billion in value on Tuesday as investors feared that CEO Elon Musk would have to sell shares to fund his $21 billion equity contribution to Twitter Inc’s $44 billion takeover. Concerns over Musk’s forthcoming stock sales, as well as the prospect that he is becoming distracted by Twitter, impacted on Tesla shares, according to Wedbush Securities analyst Daniel Ives. He said, “This (is) causing a bear festival on the name.” Follow & share 👉
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📣 How The Big-Tech Giants Make Their Billions? In 2021, the Big Five tech giants - Apple, Amazon, Google (Alphabet), Meta, and Microsoft - generated a combined $1.4 trillion in revenue. As the giant tech companies prepare to report earnings this week, it is useful to understand just what are the sources of this revenue, and how does it breakdown? Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon fall into the first category—like most traditional businesses, these companies offer customers a physical (or digital) product in exchange for money. More than half of Apple’s revenue comes from iPhone sales, Azure cloud services generate almost a third of Microsoft’s total, and Amazon’s online stores account for nearly 50% of the company’s revenue. On the other hand, Meta and Alphabet do things a bit differently. Rather than selling an actual product, these two tech giants make most of their money by selling their audience’s attention. Nearly 98% of Meta’s revenue comes from Facebook ads, and 81% of Google’s revenue comes from ads.
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📣 The Race for the Future of Money The future of money belongs to Digital Financial Market Infrastructure (DFMI) - but Central Banks, Private Sector companies and the scions of Decentralised Finance are all fighting for the same ground. As cryptocurrencies and stable coins have become meteorically more popular across the globe, the world’s central banks have realized that they need to provide an alternative or let the future of money pass them by. Currently, 87 countries (representing over 90 percent of global GDP) are exploring a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC), while 9 countries have now fully launched a digital currency. In other words, the race for the future of money is well underway. Follow & share 👉
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📣 The Fed may turn investors into stock haters just in time for the next upturn. Boomers may lead the revolt, says this strategist A powerful, tech-led stock surge may be on the cards for Thursday, with Facebook parent Meta Platforms in the driver’s seat after less disastrous than feared results. With earnings, inflation, a COVID-19 resurgence and war all in the balance, any equity gains could easily disappear in another sell-the-rip move. Wariness abounds as gross domestic product data loom, along with Amazon and Apple results due later. “The Fed’s communicated policy trajectory was intended to weaken equities — equities and the dollar are the Fed’s main conduits to impact the economy and, in turn, inflation,” said the economist, in a recent note. “An acceleration of current market weakness adds to our expected near-term downswing in spending and, more critically, threatens to embed a much weaker outlook for spending heading into next year.” Follow & share 👉
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📣 Former Chinese Central Bank Governor: US Dollar Will Remain Global Reserve Currency, Says It 'Has Great Inertia' In remarks that appear to pour cold water on assertions that digital currencies will topple the U.S. dollar anytime soon, a former governor of the Chinese central bank, Zhou Xiaochuan, insisted the greenback will remain in its position as the global reserve currency. Xiaochuan said the dollar still “has great inertia.” For example, if we rely too much on the dollar system to impose financial sanctions, of course, if you impose sanctions, people will hide from you, and your role in payment and reserves will inevitably decline. Follow & share 👉
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Last updated: 18.05.22
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