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| 04 September | 0 | |||
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Channel Posts
| 2 | Breakeven 🫡🔥🔥🔽🔽🇲🇻✔️✔️✔️🫶❤️🔥 | 99 |
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SL4453
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📈https://www.tradingview.com/chart/oCgvA4B9/
XAUUSD fell 0.7% on Wednesday, breaking below the $4,300 level and reaching a three-week low. The decline marks the fourth consecutive session of losses, confirming a deterioration in short-term market structure.
Gold remains caught between competing fundamental forces. Geopolitical risks are currently supporting higher oil prices, Treasury yields, and the U.S. dollar, while expectations of tighter monetary policy are adding further pressure to the precious metal. The decisive break below the 200-day moving average has strengthened the bearish technical bias and increased the probability of further downside.
The upcoming U.S. labor-market data will be critical in determining whether gold can stabilize or whether the current bearish impulse extends further. For now, $4,300 has become an important psychological and technical support level.
Key Drivers👀📌⁉️☄️
Downside🔽🔽
Rising Treasury yields and a stronger U.S. dollar
Increasing expectations for a hawkish Federal Reserve
Higher oil prices contributing to inflation concerns
Further geopolitical escalation supporting the dollar and yields
Upside🔼🔼
📊Weaker-than-expected employment data
🔝Falling Treasury yields
⛔️A weaker U.S. dollar
🔝Reduced expectations for tighter monetary policy
Technical🤡⚠️
Following the recent aggressive sell-off, gold may enter a short-term corrective phase before the next directional move.
A sustained close above $4,330 would provide the first indication of a potential recovery, opening the way toward $4,375–$4,396.
However, the $4,375–$4,396 resistance zone remains critical. A short squeeze into this area followed by bearish rejection could provide an opportunity for the next downside leg.
The bearish scenario would target:
$4,330 → $4,328 → $4,230
The key distinction is whether gold can reclaim and hold above $4,330. Failure to do so would keep the broader short-term structure bearish, while a sustained break above the resistance zone would suggest that the current sell-off is transitioning into a deeper correction.🇲🇻👀📌🫡 | 92 |
