Pointer to Eternity with Dr. Georgy
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Hormuz is a weapon that can only be fired once
No one should expect a quick resolution to the current crisis, but across the next decade, even the next 3-5 years, the choke point of Hormuz will be massively substituted for
The Gulf Arab states are all very rich, with high per capita GDP - the best single measure of relative state capacity - easy access to global markets, especially financial, and have the favorable backing of the US
Everyone has known about the Hormuz vulnerability for decades. The Iranians have continually hinted around closing it, but never did. Now they have, but Hormuz is a gun that cannot be reloaded.
Deterrents work only up to the point of use. Once used, they have failed. The purpose of a deterrent is to *not* be used
Many analysts have made this basic mistake. They think that Iran is now in a position of strength, having exercised its Hormuz option. But the opposite is true. A state is weakest after it has used its deterrent. The cost of that deterrence is now priced in. The worst having been done, the targets of the deterrent are now free to make other arrangements. Before, they were reluctant to do so because of the switching costs. Now, they have no choice; they will not allow themselves to be controlled in this way again
Hormuz may never reopen. But the importance of this is a depreciating asset.
(The Mind Scourge)
A second (unverified) source adds: "Today, the 29th of Esfand (March 20), at around 11 a.m. Iran time, Mojtaba’s ventilator was turned off. In the past few days, the ventilator tubes had been filling with blood, meaning his lungs had completely failed. The earlier news of his death was correct, and today the machine was turned off."
A third (verified) source adds: "On the 9th of Esfand, when Mojtaba was severely injured, he underwent surgery at Sina Hospital (one of his legs was amputated; his condition was critical, with brain edema, and he was intubated with a Glasgow Coma Scale score of at most 5). After the operation, he was transferred to Baqiyatollah Hospital. Until the following Monday, his level of consciousness was around 9, and he was still intubated.
That means for up to ten days after the injury, he remained in critical condition: unconscious, breathing with a ventilator, and hospitalized in the ICU. So this patient didn’t only have bleeding or limb amputation; he had also suffered brain injury, and his condition was not stable. I don’t know how severe the head injury was, but even if he was alive, his state wouldn’t have been good.
The amputation is certain.
But the rest of his body was not unharmed either, and he had other injuries. If the drop in consciousness had been only due to blood loss, then within a day or two, with surgery, care, and hemodynamic stabilization, he should have improved. However, even after 10 days (19 Esfand), his level of consciousness remained low. That’s why it should be suspected he also had brain injury and was likely in a coma.
There have been multiple reports about where he was taken, making it unclear. He might have died in the coma.
Footage of an Iranian ballistic missile fragment hitting the old city of Jerusalem, falling roughly 400 yards from the Western Wall and Al-Aqsa.
President Trump:
“Without the U.S.A., NATO IS A PAPER TIGER! They didn’t want to join the fight to stop a Nuclear Powered Iran. Now that fight is Militarily WON, with very little danger for them, they complain about the high oil prices they are forced to pay, but don’t want to help open the Strait of Hormuz, a simple military maneuver that is the single reason for the high oil prices. So easy for them to do, with so little risk. COWARDS, and we will REMEMBER! President DONALD J. TRUMP”
+2
The Air Israeli Force recently carried out an attack in the Yazd area in Iran (central part of the country).
The images from there raise suspicions about the possibility of a hazardous materials event. Did Israel destroy a stockpile of chemical weapons?
A fragment of an Iranian missile fell near the "Al-Astashari" hospital in Ramallah.
Parts of an Iranian missile fell near the western wall in the Jewish quarter of the old city of Jerusalem. A short distance from Islam’s 3rd holiest site.
+2
Not a good night for some of the Islamic Republic’s generals. They are all no more.
Brigadier General Esmail Ahmadi Moghaddam, a senior intelligence official who served as head of intelligence for Iran’s Basij paramilitary organization and as deputy to its commander, has been confirmed killed.
The IRGC-affiliated Tasnim News Agency described him as “one of the most important pillars of the Basij organization,” underscoring his central role in managing the force’s key security operations.
President of Turkey, Erdoğan, in his “greetings and well-wishes” for Eid al-Fitr:
“The Middle East is boiling right now, and as is known, Zionist Israel has killed hundreds of thousands of people.
With God’s help, it will pay the price for that. I have no doubt about it.”
Blaming Israel while Iran is actively striking Arab countries across the region only exposes the depth of his hatred - and his detachment from reality.
Tulsi Gabbard said this on Mojtaba Khamenei:
He was seriously injured in one of the Israeli attacks, so it is unclear who in the Iranian leadership is now making the decisions.
Iranian opposition channels are appealing to Israel on social media in the past hour:
“Israel, pay attention!!!! The tunnel from the city of Ilam to the city of Eyvan is full of missile launchers!!! The tunnel route has been closed, and communication between the cities is now taking place via a side road.”
+2
Received images described as showing flames from the attack on the port of Bandar Lengeh
Qatar Gas CEO :
We incurred a $20 billion loss at the facility we built for $26 billion two years ago.
Several news outlets reported the deployment, citing unidentified U.S. officials. It remains unclear whether the Tripoli’s two escort ships will continue on to the Middle East.
The Tripoli will join the USS Gerald R. Ford and USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike groups, which have been involved in U.S. attacks on Iran. The Ford is being sent to Souda Bay, Crete, for repairs after a fire broke out in a laundry room on March 12.
Although it resembles an aircraft carrier, the Tripoli is an amphibious assault ship capable of carrying dozens of aircraft, including:
• F-35 fighter jets
• MV-22 Osprey tilt-rotor aircraft
• MH-60S Seahawk helicopters
The Tripoli is about 844 feet long. By comparison, the USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN-78), the largest warship in the world, is about 1,106 feet long.
(USA Today)
Satellite images show the USS Tripoli taking Marines to Iran
At least one U.S. Navy warship carrying more than 2,000 Marines is on its way to the Middle East, signaling an additional military buildup in the region and fueling speculation about a potential deployment of American ground forces in Iran.
At least one U.S. Navy warship carrying more than 2,000 Marines is heading to the Middle East, signaling an additional military buildup in the region and fueling speculation about the possible deployment of American ground forces in Iran.
The USS Tripoli is carrying personnel from the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU), a rapid-response force of about 2,200 Marines and Navy sailors based in Okinawa, Japan. The MEU includes both ground and air combat units.
After initial public rejection to help, Japan, Britain, France, Germany, Italy, and the Netherlands have just PLEDGED SUPPORT to secure the Strait of Hormuz shipping lanes!
Netanyahu: We have warned for decades that Iran would launch missiles at all the countries around it. Just imagine what would happen if they had nuclear warheads. Israel and the United States are protecting the world, not just the Middle East.
+2
Mahdi Farhadi, an Iranian hacker linked to scam operations and wanted by the FBI, was eliminated in an Israeli strike near his home in Tehran.
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