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Bullion Update
Bullion prices slide easing from prior session gains as strong US jobs data reduced expectations of near-term Fed rate cuts. Higher Treasury yields and a resilient labor market pressured prices, with traders now eyeing July for easing. Investors await upcoming US CPI data for policy clues.
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*Dollar Update*
The dollar index fell to 96.8 despite strong US jobs data, as a rallying yen and fiscal optimism in Japan offset higher Treasury yields, with markets now pricing a Fed rate cut in July.
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Global Update
* The Dollar Index hovers near 96.8, under pressure despite strong US jobs data that reduced expectations of near-term Fed rate cuts.
* US payrolls increased by 130,000 in January, the biggest rise in over a year, while unemployment fell to 4.3%, signaling labor market resilience.
* Strong data lifted Treasury yields and reinforced the Fed’s pause stance, with markets now pricing a potential rate cut in July instead of June.
* US CPI data due Friday is projected to show 2.5% YoY growth in both headline and core inflation for January.
* President Trump seeks a deal with Tehran after talks with Israel’s PM, though concerns over possible military tensions and supply risks remain.
* The IEA’s monthly report is expected to indicate a global oil surplus.
* Japanese equities hit record highs, supported by stimulus expectations and favorable currency trends.
NATURALGAS prices moved up by +4% from its day low now the resistance may look around 293
US Crude Oil Inventories
Actual : 8.5M
Forecast: -0.2M
Prev.: -3.5M
Impact : Negative for Crude Oil
US Distillate Inventories
Actual : -2.7M
Forecast: -2.0M
Prev.: -5.6M
Impact : Positive for Crude Oil
US Gasoline Inventories
Actual : 1.2M
Forecast: 0.8M
Prev.: 0.7M
Impact : Negative for Crude Oil
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Stopped Out @ 314...Buy in Commodity ALUMINIUM|27FEB26 @ 314.95 SL 314 TGT 316.85
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Update on Book Part Profit : Exit at cost in CRUDEOIL|17FEB26 CE 5900.00
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk:Buy ALUMINIUM|27FEB26 in Commodity @ 314.95 SL 314 TGT 316.85
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Update on Book Part Profit : Exit at cost in ZINC|27FEB26
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Book Part Profit @ 327.3...Sell in Commodity ZINC|27FEB26 @ 328.05 SL 328.9 TGT 326.35
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk:Sell ZINC|27FEB26 in Commodity @ 328.05 SL 328.9 TGT 326.35
US Average Hourly Earnings m/m
Actual : 0.4%
Forecast : 0.3%
Prev.: 0.3%
Impact : Negative for Bullion
US Non-Farm Employment Change
Actual : 130K
Forecast: 66K
Prev.: 50K
Impact : Negative for Bullion
Unemployment Rate
Actual : 4.3%
Forecast : 4.4%
Prev.: 4.4%
Impact : Negative for Bullion
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Book Part Profit @ 181.2...Buy in Commodity CRUDEOIL|17FEB26 CE 5900.00 @ 163.7 SL 140 TGT 211.10
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Stopped Out @ 327.55...Buy in Commodity ZINCMINI|27FEB26 @ 330.35 SL 327.9 TGT 335.25
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Exit @ 189.95...Buy in Commodity LEAD|27FEB26 @ 189.7 SL 188.9 TGT 191.30
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Target Achieved @ 6120...Buy in Commodity GOLDM|26FEB26 CE 156000.00 @ 5362 SL 4990 TGT 6106.00
Sumeet Bagadia's Desk : Commodity Momentum Pick Update:
ALUMINIUM - Jan, CMP 316, Approx. profit of Rs. 19,500 in today's session
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Book Part Profit @ 316...Buy in Commodity ALUMINIUM|27FEB26 @ 312.1 SL 306.9 TGT 322.5
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk:Buy CRUDEOIL|17FEB26 CE 5900.00 in Commodity @ 163.7 SL 140 TGT 211.10
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