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┝🐯〡pika pikacrypto: Bitcoin - analysis 🔖 looking at the higher time-frame, price is starting to show some signs of reversal specially on the 4h chart. few good signs - 1. price is trading above 50EMA and trying to break above the 200EMA as-well. 2. price has broken out of this range which was full of choppy movements. now the only thing we need is a break above 98k region, if we get that then there is a good possibility to tag 100-102k next which will result in alt-coins running higher. summary : price action is looking good for a further run higher, break above 98k and we will see 100-102 next, if we lose 97k region then 93-95k will be next again. @Pika Alerts

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┝🐐〡arshmeister arshmeister: LTC UPDATE After TP 1, we recompounded our entry at DCA. Current running average is 115.97. Up 3% currently. New TP for this entry comes at 126 @Arshmeister Alerts

🕵〡sherlock sherlockwhale: $BTC UPDATE ✅ This is the 4th time we are getting rejected at 1D 12 EMA in a row. But the best part is that the trendline formation has been confirmed. Now, it's only a matter of time that we see a breakout. @Sherlock Signals

🐐〡neil neilarora:

lomas-2024-journal loma: mention Solana - H4 Long Entry: $196-206 [average will be $199 if fully filled] Size: $3M Stop Loss: H4 close below $194 Portfolio Size: $3M Target: $217-220 Details: We're just looking for an H4 consolidation here and bidding the retest of $200ish; we're wrong if we lose this level and close back under the breakout area (approx $197 -- the $194 area is the leeway for price to go against us). Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/x/964AWN8E/

The Realized Cap (which shows how much money is actually flowing into Bitcoin) tells an interesting story about market maturity. In Bitcoin's early days (2011-2015), this value grew an incredible 122x as people were just discovering Bitcoin. Each cycle since then has shown smaller growth - a natural pattern as the market gets bigger and more established. Currently, the Realized Cap has grown 2.1x in this cycle, less than the previous cycle's 5.7x peak but similar to what we saw in 2015-2018. While we haven't yet seen the dramatic uptick in capital flow that typically marks the most exciting phase of a bull market, this could suggest room for growth if demand picks up.

The release of DeepSeek AI has caused some panic in global markets, as their model threatens large US tech stocks, primarily due to its efficiency. DeepSeek AI consumes less energy and is less reliant on GPUs, which, combined with hedging and off-risk positions before the FOMC, has contributed to market volatility. At this moment, we do not recommend any switch to our bias on Bitcoin, as we believe this sentiment will be short-lived. Additionally, it's worth noting that several large US tech companies have earnings calls this week. Positive earnings could result in prices heading up again, which should help push the crypto markets back up. At the moment , yellow ball is still active

📑︱sultan sultan.bardi: 🇺🇸U.S. ECONOMIC DATA THIS WEEK: • PPI INFLATION (TUES.) • CPI INFLATION (WED.) • NY FED MANUFACTURING INDEX (WED.) • RETAIL SALES (THURS.) • JOBLESS CLAIMS (THURS.) •PHILLY FED MANUFACTURING INDEX (THURS.) •BUILDING PERMITS (FRI.) •HOUSING STARTS (FRI.)

Retail investors appear to have been significantly shaken out and, in my opinion, are no longer the major drivers of market trends as they were during earlier bull runs, such as in 2017 and 2021. This shift is largely due to prolonged bear markets and substantial losses. In the current cycle, institutions have taken the lead, leveraging tools like futures and ETFs to shape prices and dominate market activity. While retail participation may resurface during future bull runs, the market has clearly shifted toward professional players and higher-stakes trading. Bitcoin’s evolution reflects a maturing market now led by institutions, though retail investors may still play a meaningful role during speculative cycles.

This market is becoming harder to profit from — since 2023, much of the liquidity has been drained from alts and funneled into memes. However, most memes and *shitty* tokens on pumpfun are currently leaving retail investors rekt. If you're taking high risks, make sure to play smart and stay cautious. The narrative will shift soon, and utility-driven projects will take the lead. That will be our cycle.

ALTS ARE GOING THROUGH A MID- CYCLE CORRECTION SOMETHING SIMILAR HAPPENED IN JAN 2021 RIGHT BEFORE ALTSEASON STARTED IMO, THE ALTS COULD GIVE ONE LAST DIP BEFORE ENTERING THE BULL MODE 🚀

$YNE is up over 200% from entry. Closing half here.

Message id=7021 Working Thesis: Institutional Influence on Bitcoin Price Suppression and Market Liquidity We propose that the recent downturn in Bitcoin prices can be attributed to institutional traders and banks manipulating the market to attract liquidity, given the current low exchange reserves. The theory suggests that if significant entities—such as large institutions or government bodies—are interested in acquiring substantial amounts of Bitcoin, the existing liquidity at current prices is insufficient to accommodate such purchases without causing a massive short-term price increase. In times of price decline, participants are typically more inclined to sell. Therefore, we believe this correction aims to generate the necessary liquidity. The extent of the downturn before a reversal remains uncertain. However, it is nearly certain that Bitcoin will achieve new all-time highs in the future. At present, we maintain our "redball" signal a technical standpoint, noting that our stance has historically been overwhelmingly bullish on Bitcoin. Currently, prices are trading slightly beneath our redball signal, and we can anticipate strong support around $85,000. Regarding the potential sale by the Department of Justice (DOJ) of $6.5 billion worth of Bitcoin, this development aligns with our thesis. The liquidity required for the proposed acquisition of 200,000 BTC per year over five years (1 million BTC total) by the US Treasury is currently unavailable without causing a massive price increase. This transaction could be internally transferred within government branches, assuming necessary approvals, or conducted on the open market as well. Should this thesis prove accurate, Bitcoin is poised for a significant valuation increase during this macro bull cycle, potentially reaching $200,000 or more. Achieving half of gold's market capitalization would position Bitcoin at approximately $400,000 per coin

🕵〡sherlock sherlockwhale: https://x.com/TheBTCTherapist/status/1876671741092839424 This is some interesting development. Yesterday, Trump talked about interest rates being too high in his speech while we know during the last FOMC meeting in December, Powell hinted at slowing down the rate cuts. Central Bank obviously operates independently (really?) but these two gentlemen have some history too when back in 2017, Trump pushed Powell to cut rates aggressively and now that we have next FOMC meeting in 21 days, soon after the inauguration on January 20th, will be interesting to see how this affects future rate cuts especially when Powell said that they would 2 cuts instead of 4 and market dumped because of that back in December immediately after FOMC and crypto bros were asking why market is red despite the rate cut. Also, remember that Powell will be in office till 2026. So, if he does something similar to saying no aggressive rate cuts like last time, we are doomed and alternatively if Trumps weird remarks like always are successfully able to push him into making a statement about more rate cuts, we are set for a bullish Q1 2025. @Sherlock Signals

intraday-plan lsdinmycoffee: ok jobs openings data 30 mins ago was really good, market crashing on the signs the economy the economy is stronger than expected (ie: looks like no rates cuts next FOMC, not good for bubble markets that thrive on liquidity) i guess tomorrow with two releases of job data before NY Open we'll have another strong reaction, bad data = run it back turbo, good job data = likely no rate cut on Jan 29th

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14% up with NO leverage! ✅ market price right now -$2.09