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┝🦀〡grasady
grasady: And outside of BTC im eyeing this SOL short, It's a valid play at CMP however since btc has some added risk (soft stops) I don't want to open 2 shorts at once, so I'll sacrifice a bit of r/r for a safer entry.
So SOL short:
I'll be shorting a breakdown and retest of this leo, stops above the current high, tp's in blue. Ideally we take this all the way into the bullish shark at 89, but well see how far it gets. @Grasady Alerts
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┝⭐〡sherlock
sherlockwhale: $USDT.D UPDATE
$USDT.D as expected had a rejection at 1D 12 EMA over the weekend and impulsively broke below the trendline. I have been saying this in last few updates also that break below trendline remained the most likely scenario. The reason for which was the weak bounces off this trendline and whenever breaks happen, they are usually quite impulsive as we can see here aswell (You never bet against the trendlines + price compression always leads to volatile reactions).
Now, with the trendline entry model, you wait for price to fall back into a higher timeframe support which $USDT.D is nearing and there, you build a long trade meaning a short on Bitcoin. $USDT.D would not give up easy on this support where there are multiple dynamic lines present but still it's not reached the support meaning you can still expect $88.5K shortly and there we can try shorting $BTC.
@Sherlock Alerts
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intraday-plan
lsdinmycoffee: already 15m ema200, taking some off here actually
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┝⭐〡sherlock
sherlockwhale: $USDT.D UPDATE ✅
Breaking above the trendline, you can hardly ever go wrong with trendlines, you see one, you know what's coming. Another interesting update coming next.
@Sherlock Alerts
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market-analysis-pierre
pierre_crypt0: New week incoming, same focuses whether it’s BTC H4/D1, or SPX H4/D1: in both cases, it’s a fight for the D1 200 EMA area, D1 downtrend && LTF trends (to at least continue consolidating/chopfest)
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📑︱sultan
sultan.bardi: 🇺🇸U.S. ECONOMIC DATA THIS WEEK:
• JOLTS JOB OPENINGS (TUES.)
• CPI INFLATION (WED.)
• PPI INFLATION (THURS.)
• JOBLESS CLAIMS (THURS.)
• CONSUMER SENTIMENT (FRI.)
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crypto
Corgil: also 80%+ traders are net short on it
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crypto
Corgil: I think 25-40% squeeze is pending
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┝🐯〡pika
pikacrypto: Bitcoin - analysis 🔖
price is now sitting at a very important area which is the EMA200 on the daily chart.
this means that a decision is coming soon, either a break above or a breakdown.
very simple plan here,
hold EMA200 on the daily and close above = chance for another move up higher.
lose EMA200 on the daily and close below = further downtrend towards 80k region.
need to wait for the closing and see what happens, if we get bullish close then i will look to share some new setups, possibly on alt-coins as-well.
@Pika Alerts
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Only one short was triggered so far
Sadly only a small position is open
I pray for the fake pump, short orders ready between 90-100k, also half of all BTC are sold, 30% of BTC are in sell orders placed between 90-100k, the remaining 20% remain in long term bag. Easy, and simple as that.
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crypto
Corgil: Trendline holding so far so hopium remains as bears struggle to breakdown :corgipray:
If Weekly manages to close somehow above 90k we will have fun next week. I really think we are setting up for a squeeze to 94-96k or maybe even a bit higher
What I’m unsure is if we reclaim above 87-88k or sweep 82-84k first so I will keep an eye
Off for football then barber so back in 3-4h
Longed small amount of BTC at 86k, SOL at 138 and LTC at 104 - stops under 12H lows 🫡
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Jerome Powell indicated that the Federal Reserve will likely keep interest rates unchanged as it waits for more clarity on economic uncertainty driven by Trump administration policies.
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💻︱ken-trades
kencharts: @Ken Updates
BGB
+5% overnight, skimmed some profit.
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$ETH consolidation is similar to the $BTC consolidation phase in 2023
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#BTC_Report
```fix
DAILY REPORT: BITCOIN & MARKET UPDATE
HTF 1D
Bitcoin is trading at $97,610, with 200-day BPRO trend support at $94,000 and 200-day SMA support at $79,861. The RSI is at 47, reflecting neutral momentum, while 50-day momentum stands at 50. The ATR is 3620, and 50-day volatility is 4000.
HTF 12H & MTF 4H
Bearish sentiment persists, with the CTF Trailer in bear mode and stop resistance at $100,304. The HTF Trailer remains in bear mode, with stop resistance at $103,377. Trading ranges are $99.5k-$100.4k for the High Band and $93.5k-$94.2k for the Low Band, suggesting a potential consolidation phase.
FEAR AND GREED INDEX
Currently at 50, signaling neutral market sentiment.
MINING COSTS
Bitcoin mining costs are $89,107, with a mining cost-to-price ratio of 0.91.
FEBRUARY 2025 OUTLOOK
For February, Bitcoin is projected to deliver a +568.55% annualized return, with 71.43% winning trades. The average return is +15.85%, while the median return stands at +15.64%. Max gain recorded is +65.38%, with a max loss of -32.07%. Profitability includes 10 gains (+30.51% average profit) and 4 losses (-13.99% average loss). Total profit is +41,764.23 points, averaging +2,983.16 points per trade.
Q1 OVERVIEW (2025)
From January 1 to March 31, Bitcoin is projected to deliver +149.25% annualized return, with 57.14% winning trades. Average return: +25.01%, median return: +5.16%. Max gain: +582.38%, max loss: -48.94%.
ETF METRICS
BTC Spot ETFs recorded a 24-hour volume of $2.32B. Cumulative spot ETF volumes reached $746.4B as of February 14, 2025, with a market share split of 94.29% for spot ETFs and 5.71% for futures ETFs. ETF net flow is -$156.8M (13.02.2025). The AUM for IBIT Blackrock iShares stands at $55.9B. Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund FBTC holds $26.61B, while GBTC Grayscale Spot ETF is at $19.54B.
SUMMARY
- BTCUSD: $97,610
- 200-day BPRO trend support: $94,000
- 200SMA support: $79,861
- RSI: 47
- 50-day momentum: 50
- ATR: 3620
- 50-day volatility: 4000
- CTF Trailer (bear mode) stop resistance: $100,304
- HTF Trailer (bear mode) stop resistance: $103,377
- High Band: $99.5k-$100.4k
- Low Band: $93.5k-$94.2k
- Fear and Greed Index: 50 (neutral)
- Mining Costs: $89,107 (2025-02-14)
- Mining Costs/Price Ratio: 0.91
- NUPL: 0.55
- MVRV: 2.5 (2025-02-14)
- FEBRUARY 2025 OUTLOOK: 568.55% annualized return, 71.43% winning trades, average return 15.85%, max gain 65.38%, max loss -32.07%.
- Q1 OVERVIEW (2025): 149.25% annualized return, 57.14% winning trades, average return 25.01%, max gain 582.38%, max loss -48.94%.
- BTC Spot ETFs 24h Volume: $2.32B
- Cumulative Spot Bitcoin ETF Volumes: $746.4B (14.02.2025); Spot vs Futures Bitcoin ETF Market Share (Spot ETF Share: 94.29%; Futures ETF Share: 5.71%)
- ETF total net flow: -$156.8M (13.02.2025)
- ETF AUM: IBIT Blackrock iShares ($55.9B); Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund FBTC ($26.61B), overtaking GBTC Grayscale Spot ETF ($19.54B)
Hope it helps. God bless.
```
@everyone
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