IT Tech Crypto
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Bitcoin, on-chain analysis, alerts, sentiment, and technical analysis. ๐ง Free of charge. โ ๐จ Opinions are my own and do not constitute financial advice.
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2 514
Big money bought Bitcoin at $75K this week.
By Sunday, they were already pulling back at $78K.
That's not bearish. That's just how informed players operate in a range - buy the dip, reduce at resistance.
The question is what happens next time price tests $76K.
Full breakdown in this week's report: https://ittechpl.substack.com/p/bitcoin-and-crypto-market-report-176
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https://x.com/it_tech_pl/status/2048349359993991250?s=52
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$BTC high leverage liquidations map.
๐ข Longs cluster 76.8K -> 77.4K
๐ด Shorts 77.7K -> 78.4K
Which side will be rekt first? ๐ค
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2048046834380341365
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โ ๏ธ $BTC has rejected 78K twice since the 74.8K sweep. SuperTrend is still green at 77.7K.
Short liqs at 78.5K -> 79K are sitting untouched. Two S flips right at that level - both got sold hard.
- 74.8K sweep launched the rally, but 78K red dashed resistance stopped it cold
- Each rejection printed a lower high: 78.3K then 78K - range tightening
- Fresh B flip at 77.7K is the last line before structure breaks
Price needs to reclaim 78K with conviction or this tightens into a flush toward 77K.
Support: 77.7K -> 77K -> 75.5K
Resistance: 78K -> 78.5K -> 79K
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2047661416463949995
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Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2047375214271730076
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Retail transfer volume is near 5-year lows. But the moment $BTC bounced, demand ticked back.
Market conditions change. Retail psychology doesn't.
- Retail Demand 30D Change: -11.6% at the 66-67K lows - darkest reading since 2022 bear
- Recovery to -1.4% as price hit 78K - retail activated within weeks of the bounce
- Transfer volume ($0-10K): 344M/day vs 600M+ at 2021 peak - structurally lower base, same behavioral pattern
Every cycle bottom looks the same on this metric. Retail exits or goes quiet. Price bottoms. They re-enter chasing green.
โ ๏ธ Low retail participation at lows is not a contrarian buy confirmation - it's just what happens. The risk is when they pile back in near highs and this reading flips to +10%+.
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2047351545055084603
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Repost from Alphractal - Crypto Research
๐ฅ Big accounts are SHORT. Small accounts are LONG.
Live on $BTC right now:
โข Top Traders L/S (by position size): 0.94 โ SHORT dominant
โข Top Traders L/S (by account count): 1.13 โ LONG dominant
Read this carefully: ACCOUNTS are long, but POSITIONS (actual dollars) are short.
Translation: lots of small accounts adding long leverage while whales are positioned for downside.
This is exactly the setup Whale vs Retail Delta was built to flag. Last 5 times this divergence hit, the larger side won 4/5.
W vs R Delta dashboard โ https://alphractal.com/?utm_source=telegram
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โ ๏ธ $BTC swept 74K, flipped SuperTrend bullish, and is now pressing into the short liquidation cluster at 79K-80K.
That's 4 SuperTrend flips since April 18 - each one printed a higher low. Structure is stacking up.
- Base built between 75K-77.6K - footprint volume concentrated there
- Red dashed resistance at 78K flipped to support after reclaim
- Short liqs stacked heavy at 79K-80K - that's the next magnet
If price can't push through 79K, expect a pullback to retest 75K-76K where long liqs are clustered.
Support: 77.6K โ 76K โ 75K
Resistance: 79K โ 80K
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2046899359678439869
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$BTC hit the same resistance wall twice in 3 days and couldn't close above it. SuperTrend flipped S both times at 77K.
- Rally from 74K to 77K cleared in one session - no breakout, just a wick
- SuperTrend: B -> S at 77K, matching the 04-18 rejection exactly
- Volume nodes above 77K remain untouched - no absorption, no follow-through
๐ด Resistance: 77K -> 78K (dense, never touched)
๐ข Support: 75K -> 74K -> 74K low
Until 77K flips to support, every bounce is bait. Losing 75K opens the 74K retest fast.
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2046594607866393051
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$BTC Whale vs Retail Ratio near zero. Altcoins at multi-year lows. โ ๏ธ
๐นBTC ratio: ~0.0 to +0.1 - whales not adding derivatives exposure at current prices
๐นAvg altcoin ratio: -0.4 - deepest reading since mid-2023
๐นBTC: 84K, down ~22% from ATH
Whales pulled back from altcoin derivatives months ago. Retail kept the exposure. That gap hasn't closed.
Bitcoin positioning is neutral - no accumulation confirmation, no panic. Alts are a different story. Retail is carrying the entire long side with no informed money behind it.
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2046197400713535977
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$BTC Long-term Holders SOPR SMA-30d is at 0.995.
The same level that marked the final bottom in 2019 and 2022-2023.
Whether it holds or compresses further is the most important metric to watch this week. Full analysis in the report. โคต๏ธ
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2046131009834602538
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๐ง Bitcoin and Crypto Market Report - Week 16 #175 is live.
This week's key reads:
- BTC tagged $78,333 intraweek - highest of 2026 - closed at $75K. Upper wick for the third consecutive week
- Coinbase Premium: +30.2 avg, 153 of 154 hours positive - strongest sustained U.S. bid of the bear phase
- BTC ETF inflows: $641.4M - second consecutive positive week
- ETH ETF: $243.9M - strongest two-week streak since Q4 2025
- Combined inflows: $975.8M - largest two-week total since the bear phase began
- STH SOPR crossed 1.0 for the first time this bear phase. 65,000 BTC hit exchanges in one day right after
- LTH SOPR SMA-30d at 0.995 - identical to 2019 and 2022-2023 cycle bottoms
- Bull Score: 5/10. In 2022, it hit 5/10 four times before new lower lows โ ๏ธ
All demand metrics improved this week. The question is whether any of it holds without fresh catalysts.
Full on-chain breakdown in the report.
๐ https://ittechpl.substack.com/p/bitcoin-and-crypto-market-report-175
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2045849660661825804
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๐ช Bitcoin and Crypto Market Report - Week 16 #175 is live.
This week's key reads:
โข BTC tagged $78,333 intraweek - highest of 2026 - then closed at $75K. Upper wick for the third consecutive week
โข Coinbase Premium: +30.2 avg, 153 of 154 hours positive - strongest sustained U.S. bid of the entire bear phase
โข BTC ETF inflows: $641.4M - second consecutive positive week
โข ETH ETF: $243.9M - strongest two-week streak since Q4 2025
โข Combined inflows: $975.8M - largest two-week total since the bear phase began
โข STH SOPR crossed 1.0 for the first time this bear phase. Response: 65,000 BTC hit exchanges in one day
โข LTH SOPR SMA-30d at 0.995 - identical to 2019 and 2022-2023 cycle bottoms
โข Bull Score: 5/10. In 2022, it hit 5/10 four times before new lower lows
Every demand metric improved. The question is whether any of it holds when the catalyst is gone.
The full on-chain breakdown is in the report.
๐ https://ittechpl.substack.com/p/bitcoin-and-crypto-market-report-175
๐ You can claim 7-day free access - enjoy the readings!
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Repost from IT Tech Crypto
๐ช New Crypto Market Analysis Incoming!
Iโm working on the latest cryptocurrency market insights, dropping in just a few hours.
โ๏ธ Subscribe for free now to stay ahead of the trends!
๐ https://ittechpl.substack.com
Stay informed. Stay prepared. ๐๐
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Repost from Wu Blockchain News
ZachXBT Discloses Insider Manipulation of RAVE Token; Offers $25K Bounty for Evidence
ZachXBT tweeted that the "pump and dump" activity for the RAVE token originated from Binance, Bitget, and Gate. ZachXBT noted that insiders control over 90% of RAVE's support, utilizing blatant market manipulation to extract value from retail investors. He called upon Binance co-founder He Yi and Bitget Managing Director Gracy Chen to conduct internal investigations and offboard the responsible actors. Bitget CEO Gracy subsequently responded, stating that an investigation into RAVE had begun. โ link
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