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Channel Posts
• GIFT Nifty: ഏകദേശം 24,260 zone-ൽ; muted/slightly positive opening indication.
• Nifty 50: Yesterday close 24,090.85 (-0.48%). 24,000 major support. ഇത് break ചെയ്താൽ 23,900–23,800 വരെ weakness വരാം. Upside 24,200–24,300 resistance, major hurdle 24,400.
• Bank Nifty: Close 57,510. Support 57,100–57,000; resistance 57,900–58,000. 58,000 breakout വന്നാൽ മാത്രമേ stronger bullish move confirm ചെയ്യൂ.
• 🇺🇸 US Market Positive: Nasdaq +1.57%, S&P 500 +0.72%, Dow +0.20%. Nvidia strong results/guidance കാരണം stock ഏകദേശം +8.7% rally ചെയ്തു. Screenshot-ലെ “9% surge” broadly correct.
• 🛢️ Crude Oil: Brent ഏകദേശം $89/barrel. പക്ഷേ പ്രധാന correction: ഇന്ന് crude “spiking” അല്ല; ~0.6% lower ആണ്, week-to-date ഏകദേശം 5.3% down. അതിനാൽ Indiaയ്ക്ക് short-term relief, എന്നാൽ $89 എന്ന level ഇപ്പോഴും elevated ആണ്.
• 🏦 Banking Concern: Banking-system surplus liquidity വലിയതാണ്. Incremental CRR (iCRR) ഒരു possibility മാത്രമാണ് — RBI ഇതുവരെ പ്രഖ്യാപിച്ചിട്ടില്ല. അതിനാൽ screenshot-ൽ ഇത് confirmed RBI action പോലെ പറയരുത്.
• 🏦 HDFC Bank: CEO Sashidhar Jagdishan-ന്റെ tenure/reappointment uncertainty + US legal issues stock sentiment-നെ pressure ചെയ്യുന്നു. ഈ point valid ആണ്.
• 🇺🇸 Jackson Hole: Fed officials hawkish tone കാണിച്ചിട്ടുണ്ട്; ഇന്ന് Fed Chair Kevin Warsh speech വലിയ global trigger ആണ്. Market അതിനാൽ cautious ആയിരിക്കും.
• 💰 FII/DII: Aug 27-ന് FII -₹298 Cr, എന്നാൽ DII +₹4,977 Cr — domestic buying strong support നൽകുന്നു.
• ⚠️ Sensex CAS: Yesterday closing auction-ൽ Sensex-ിൽ 2,000+ point intra-auction swing ഉണ്ടായി. ഇത് expiry/CAS mechanism-related volatility ആയിരുന്നു; അതിനെ normal fundamental selling ആയി interpret ചെയ്യരുത്.
🎯 TODAY’S VIEW
Bias: Neutral → Slightly Positive Opening, but “Sell-on-Rise / Cautious” structure until Nifty decisively crosses 24,300–24,400.
NIFTY: 🔴 24,000 Support | 🟢 24,300 Resistance | 24,400 = Trend Change Level
BANK NIFTY: 🔴 57,000 Support | 🟢 58,000 Major Resistance
Major Positive: Nvidia + US Tech Rally + Softer Crude
Major Negative: Banking concerns + High crude level + Hawkish Fed risk
| 2 | Traders_Conclave_Brochure_IMP.pdf | 1 117 |
| 3 |  https://rzp.io/rzp/TC2026sunil25k | 1 781 |
| 4 |  https://livelongwealth.in/live-traders-connect-kozhikode-2026/traders-connect-2026.html | 2 289 |
| 5 | https://youtube.com/live/DLEcYljBr_Q?feature=share | 286 |
| 6 | https://youtube.com/live/DLEcYljBr_Q?feature=share | 2 161 |
| 7 | Voice message | 1 579 |
| 8 | Weekly YouTube live today 6pm stay tune | 1 629 |
| 9 | GIFT Nifty ~24,202 → ഏകദേശം 100+ പോയിന്റ് Gap-up opening signal.
US Markets: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq ഏകദേശം +0.2%; 3 weak sessions ശേഷം recovery.
US Bond Yields: 10Y yield ~15 bps, 30Y ~20 bps താഴ്ന്നത് equities-ന് positive.
Infosys ADR / Wipro ADR: ഏകദേശം +2% → IT stocks-ന് positive opening bias.
FII Cash Buying: ~₹400 Cr; DII Buying: ~₹4,000 Cr → രണ്ടാമത്തെ consecutive session-ലും net buying.
പക്ഷേ domestic risks ശക്തമാണ്. RBI MPC minutes hawkish ആണ്; inflation FY27 Q3-ൽ 5.9% വരെ പോകാമെന്ന ആശങ്ക ഉള്ളതിനാൽ rate-sensitive sectors ആയ Banks/NBFC, Auto, Realty എന്നിവയിൽ pressure വരാം.
ഏറ്റവും വലിയ negative factor Crude Oil ആണ്. Brent ~$91.5, WTI ~$86. Oil $90-ന് മുകളിൽ തുടരുന്നത് India-യ്ക്ക് inflation, current-account, rupee എന്നീ മേഖലകളിൽ negative ആണ്. US–Iran / Strait of Hormuz uncertainty തീർന്നിട്ടില്ല.
Derivatives data mixed ആണ്: Call OI +27.5% vs Put OI +15.3%, PCR 0.90 → 0.81 താഴ്ന്നു. അതായത് upside-ൽ resistance build-up കാണുന്നു. FII options positioning മെച്ചപ്പെടുന്നുണ്ടെങ്കിലും FII Index Futures Short ~90.5% എന്നത് ഇപ്പോഴും വലിയ caution point ആണ്.
ഇന്ന് ശ്രദ്ധിക്കേണ്ടത്
Gap-up കണ്ടതുകൊണ്ട് ഉടനെ bullish chase ചെയ്യരുത്. Opening കഴിഞ്ഞ് ആദ്യ 15–30 minutes market gap sustain ചെയ്യുന്നുണ്ടോ, Bank Nifty support ചെയ്യുന്നുണ്ടോ, crude reaction എങ്ങനെയാണോ എന്നിവ നോക്കുന്നത് പ്രധാനമാണ്.
Overall Bias: 🟢 Opening Positive → 🟡 Intraday Cautious
Key theme: “Global cues positive, but crude + RBI hawkishness could cap the upside.” | 2 893 |
| 10 | India GDP Growth 6.8% 🚀 | Ind-Ra Raises FY27 Forecast | ഇന്ത്യൻ Economy Strong ആകുമോ?
https://youtube.com/shorts/w4f1LY6-ilc?feature=share | 2 710 |
| 11 | Can You Show Your Trading as a Business? 💼📈
https://youtube.com/shorts/diVftEZjxjk?feature=share | 2 689 |
| 12 | 📈 TRADE TALKS PREMIUM
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| 13 | Voice message | 2 028 |
| 14 | https://youtube.com/shorts/Xe-tPOU6q00?si=DDZhpMU78NgQcuYB | 2 053 |
| 15 | 📈 TRADE TALKS PREMIUM
Everything You Need. One Premium Community.
Trading, investing, portfolio guidance — from research to execution, we bring it all together under one roof.
✅ Curated Swing Trade Opportunities
✅ Portfolio Review & Management Support
✅ Daily Market Insights
✅ AI-Based Fundamental Analysis
✅ Advanced Algo Setups
✅ Risk & Position Management
✅ Weekly Trade & Portfolio Reviews
✅ Direct Mentor Support
One platform. One team. Complete market support.
Built for serious traders & investors with ₹5 Lakhs+ capital who want to grow their wealth with a structured approach.
🔗 Apply Now: https://forms.gle/tpkiwTAxPSWNKEMR8
📞 +91 9072722258
Don’t just trade the market. Build your strategy around it.
— Trade Talks Premium | 2 078 |
| 16 | Aug 17: Japan GDP/Industrial Production, China Retail Sales & Industrial Production → Asian markets-നെ ബാധിക്കാം. UltraTech Cement AGM.
Aug 18: US Industrial Production, Housing data, Import Price Index + UK unemployment data → Dollar, US yields, global equities-ൽ volatility വരാം.
Aug 19: UK CPI inflation പ്രധാനമാണ്. കൂടാതെ Avenue Supermarts, Indus Towers, Yes Bank AGM.
Aug 20: US Jobless Claims + China Prime Loan Rate decision → China-linked metals/commodities sentiment ശ്രദ്ധിക്കുക. Eicher Motors, IndiGo, Power Grid AGM.
Aug 21: ഈ ആഴ്ചയിലെ പ്രധാന ദിവസം. India HSBC Manufacturing, Services & Composite PMI, US S&P Global PMI, UK PMI/Retail Sales. Federal Bank, Grasim, ICICI Bank AGM.
ഇന്ത്യൻ മാർക്കറ്റിന് ഏറ്റവും പ്രധാനപ്പെട്ടത്
1. Aug 21 India PMI – Manufacturing/Services growth strength മനസ്സിലാകും.
2. Aug 20 China Loan Rate – Metals, commodities, China-sensitive sectors.
3. Aug 18–21 US data – Fed rate-cut expectations → FII flow, USD/INR, Nifty sentiment.
4. Federal Bank & ICICI Bank AGM – Aug 21 – Management commentary banking stocks-ിന് relevant ആയേക്കാം. | 1 549 |
| 17 | Voice message | 1 592 |
| 18 | https://youtube.com/shorts/ASyBLDCx99s?si=JPUOlQ1Y_nsiRgpQ | 2 495 |
| 19 | https://youtube.com/live/U93ENXd16Tk | 389 |
| 20 | Weekly live today 6 PM | 2 352 |
