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www.repleteequities.com Your Trading Guide! India's best blog for Trading & Investing. Contact :- +91-7229945555 Support id: https://t.me/RepleteEq Email: hello@repleteequities.com
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Channel Posts
📍Mid-Day Execution Journal | 12:45 PM
One of the biggest misconceptions in options trading is that a good strategy should start making money immediately.
Markets don't work that way.
On 14th July, we shared a bearish Bank Nifty option strategy with our community based on the data available at that time.
Over the next few sessions, Bank Nifty continued moving higher and even rallied close to 58,600.
Many traders would have exited the position simply because the market moved against their initial view.
We didn't.
Why?
Because our decision wasn't based on price alone.
It was based on a structured framework that combined market context, option positioning and predefined risk.
Instead of reacting to every move, we continued to monitor the data, followed our execution plan, and managed the position with patience.
Today, as Bank Nifty has moved lower, the same strategy is running with more than ₹50,000 in unrealised profit.
This isn't a lesson about making ₹50,000.
It's a lesson about Trade Management.
A strategy should never be judged by what happens on Day 1.
It should be judged by whether:
• The original market thesis is still valid.
• Risk remains within predefined limits.
• The data continues to support the position.
• Appropriate Trade Adjustments are made when required.
This is where most traders struggle.
They spend years searching for better entries but very little time learning how professionals manage positions after the trade is live.
At Replete Equities, we believe consistency comes from following a structured process:
Data → Decision → Execution
Not
Opinion → Prediction → Hope
This performance is from a strategy shared with our learning community and is being discussed to explain the decision-making process—not to highlight returns.
Reply FOUNDATION if you'd like to learn how we analyse markets, build option strategies, and apply structured Trade Management and Trade Adjustments.
or visit at: https://www.repleteequities.com/foundation-program
| 2 | No text... | 14 |
| 3 | Intraday Trend Analysis and Trading Plan for July 23, 2026
Detailed analysis here: https://www.repleteequities.com/blog/sensex-today | 17 |
| 4 | 📊 Pre-Market Analysis | Thursday, 23 July 2026
Good Morning!
After yesterday's broad-based selling, today's session will be important as Nifty approaches a major support zone while Sensex heads into its weekly expiry.
Here's what the data suggests before the opening bell.
🔹 Market Structure
Nifty has closed at a two-week low and is now testing the 23,800–24,000 support zone. This area coincides with a long-term rising trendline that has acted as support over the past four years.
As long as Nifty holds this zone, the possibility of a technical rebound remains open. However, a sustained bullish view should only be considered after the index closes above 24,200.
Until then, it remains a wait-and-watch market rather than an aggressive buying opportunity.
Bank Nifty has also slipped below its 200-DMA for the second time this month. Interestingly, during the previous breakdown, the index recovered within two trading sessions. It is now approaching its 100-day rising trendline near the 57,000 zone, making this an important level to monitor for any signs of reversal.
With Sensex weekly expiry today and the weekly chart closing tomorrow, intraday volatility is likely to remain elevated.
🔹 Derivatives View
• FII Index Futures positioning continues to remain bearish.
• FIIs added nearly 23,000 fresh short contracts in the previous session.
• Their net short position now stands close to 2.5 lakh contracts.
Option Open Interest suggests:
• 23,800 remains the immediate support.
• 24,500 continues to be the major resistance.
The derivatives data still favours caution until we see evidence of buyers returning.
🔹 Institutional Activity
Cash Market (Previous Session)
• FII: -₹819 Crore
• DII: -₹418 Crore
Month-to-Date
• FII: -₹4,836 Crore
• DII: +₹21,310 Crore
Although domestic institutions continue to provide support on a monthly basis, yesterday both FIIs and DIIs were net sellers.
🔹 Stocks in Focus
• Eternal – Margins remain stable, while management expects competitive intensity to ease. AI initiatives and Bistro continue to be long-term growth drivers.
• IndusInd Bank – Reported better-than-expected earnings with improving margins, sequential credit growth and lower operating expenses.
• Dr. Reddy's – Weak quarterly results with significant pressure on profitability. The stock may remain under pressure in the near term.
• Nippon Life India AMC – Strong earnings backed by healthy AUM growth and resilient equity inflows.
🔍 Interesting Observation
One interesting intermarket relationship worth tracking is the performance of the CRB Commodity Index versus the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT).
Historically, these two asset classes have maintained a negative correlation.
When long-duration US Treasury Bonds continue to weaken, it often reflects rising yields and improving risk appetite, creating a favourable environment for commodities.
The latest chart shows TLT continuing to trade under pressure while the Commodity Index is strengthening, suggesting that the commodity complex may continue to outperform if this relationship persists.
Intermarket analysis doesn't generate trading signals by itself, but it helps us understand the broader macro environment that influences markets.
At Replete Equities, we don't build trading plans based on opinions.
We build them using Data → Decision → Execution.
Have a disciplined trading session.
Reply "FOUNDATION" if you'd like to learn our structured framework for Market Analysis, Option Strategies, Risk Management, Trade Management, and Trade Adjustments. | 15 |
| 5 | No text... | 15 |
| 6 | 📊 Market Close | Execution System Journal
Today's market remained under selling pressure, with Nifty, Bank Nifty and Sensex spending most of the session below VWAP. The data continued to support a bearish intraday bias, and the market largely respected that view throughout the day.
Our Execution System followed its predefined rules without any discretionary intervention.
Today's Execution System Performance:
• Max MTM: +₹9,235
• Current MTM (Close): -₹6,730
• Max Drawdown: ₹22,600
One interesting takeaway from today's session is that the system was in profit during the morning but gave back the gains as the market evolved.
This is exactly why evaluating an execution system based on a single day's P&L can be misleading.
Some days the market rewards early entries.
Some days it rewards patience.
Some days it reverses enough to take back open profits.
The objective isn't to maximise profit every single day.
The objective is to execute the strategy consistently, manage risk effectively, and allow the edge to play out over a series of trades.
That's why we place so much emphasis on Trade Management and Trade Adjustments. Long-term consistency comes from disciplined execution—not from trying to predict every market move.
This performance is from our Execution System and is shared to explain the execution process, not to highlight a single day's outcome.
Tomorrow is another trading day. We review the data, refine the execution where required, and continue to follow the process.
— Sachin
Replete Equities
Reply BASKET to learn more about our Intraday Option Selling Execution System. | 22 |
| 7 | No text... | 20 |
| 8 | 📍Mid-Day Market Journal | 12:45 PM
The market has largely respected the view we discussed in the morning.
Selling pressure has remained dominant across all three major indices, with Nifty, Bank Nifty and Sensex continuing to trade below VWAP. The intraday structure remains bearish, and buyers have not shown enough strength to reverse the trend.
Here's what the charts are telling us:
• Nifty, Bank Nifty and Sensex are all trading below VWAP, keeping the intraday bias firmly bearish.
• After the sharp opening decline, every minor pullback has faced fresh selling, resulting in lower highs and lower lows across the indices.
• The MACD remains in negative territory, indicating that bearish momentum is still intact.
• Relative Volume has remained average, suggesting that the trend is being driven by consistent selling rather than panic-driven moves.
One important lesson from today's market:
Having a bearish view doesn't mean selling at every opportunity.
Once the market confirms your bias, the focus should shift from finding new entries to effective Trade Management. Chasing trades after a large move often increases risk without improving the reward.
Professional traders spend less time predicting the next move and more time managing the positions they already have.
Our Execution System has remained in auto mode throughout today's session, executing predefined rules with discipline instead of emotions. We'll share the execution summary after market close along with the thought process behind the outcome.
Data → Decision → Execution
Keep tracking the data. Let the market guide your decisions—not your opinions. | 26 |
| 9 | No text... | 21 |
| 10 | Market open update.
Selling pressure came in early today. Nifty, BankNifty, Sensex all trading below VWAP within the first hour. That's not a coincidence, that's a signal.
PCR sitting at 0.7 and VIX up 3.3% to 13. The PCR alone tells you the mood. People aren't buying puts for fun.
On the OI side, 4.83 crore calls shorted against 1.83 crore puts. That's a heavily skewed ratio. The intraday bias is clearly bearish based on this data.
Nifty support at 23,800, resistance at 24,300. BankNifty support at 56,500, resistance at 58,000.
Today I'd avoid building fresh longs without clear confirmation. Let the data lead, not your view.
Here's the thing though. Nifty and Sensex are showing more volatility than BankNifty on the charts right now. If you're looking to deploy a strategy today, those two give you more range to work with. BankNifty is comparatively calmer at this point.
Our execution basket is running on auto today. Will share results once the trades play out.
Watch the levels. Watch the VIX. Don't force trades in a trending bearish environment, especially early in the session.
If days like this confuse you, if you're not sure which strategy fits which condition or how to read OI data before placing a trade, that's exactly what Options Trading Foundations covers.
Built for traders who want a proper framework, not guesswork. Message me FOUNDATION if you want to know more.
Or visit: https://www.repleteequities.com/foundation-program | 26 |
| 11 | No text... | 20 |
| 12 | You can access it at www.diagnostic.repleteequities.com | 25 |
| 13 | Good Morning all.
Nifty is holding in a sideways range. Immediate support sits at 23,800. Cash market volumes are down 8 to 9%, which tells you fresh participation is thin. Sector rotation is what's keeping the index afloat despite the geopolitical noise. Except realty, most sectors have moved less than 1%. Broader market participation is also weakening.
Crude is near $92 to $92.5 per barrel. If it holds at these levels, there's a real possibility Nifty retests 23,700. That's the risk worth watching today.
FII/DII Cash Market (22nd July):
FII: +₹1,650 crore
DII: -₹656 crore
WTD: FII +₹994 crore, DII +₹656 crore
MTD: FII -₹4,017 crore, DII +₹21,729 crore
So FIIs are buying on a daily basis but are still net sellers for the month. DIIs have been the backbone of this market through July.
On index futures, FIIs added 9,000 short contracts in the previous session. Their net short position is now at 2.27 lakh contracts. Neutral-to-bearish stance from large institutional money.
On the options side, 23,800 is the support strike with heavy writing. 24,500 is the resistance. Intraday range is likely to stay compressed, especially with BSE Sensex weekly expiry tomorrow.
Bank Nifty ended slightly soft, down over 100 points after giving up early gains. But the structure isn't broken. Fresh buyers can look at the 57,400 to 57,650 zone on spot. The broader range of 57,200 to 58,500 from last week appears to have been worked through, and the setup still points toward 60,000 on the upside if you're holding positional longs. Buy on dip structure stays intact.
On Nifty, the positional view remains bullish. July seasonality supports upside bias. Target on Nifty futures stays at 24,600., -
Stock-Wise:
Bandhan Bank had a weak Q1, higher staff and operating costs hurt. Management cut ROA guidance to 1.2% from the earlier range of 1.6 to 1.8%. Stock could correct 10 to 15% from current levels.
Paytm had nothing particularly positive from the concall. Payment margins are still under pressure. Revenue growth held up, but margins didn't. Bonus issue rejection and a likely block deal are the near-term overhangs. Long-term view stays okay, but near term is soft.
Bajaj Auto delivered a solid quarter. EBITDA beat expectations even though revenue was broadly in line. New launches and strong demand support the growth case. Revenue and EBITDA CAGRs are expected at 15% and 17% respectively over the next two years.
TVS Motor was even stronger. Revenue grew 38%, EBITDA beat. Management is guiding for double-digit growth in FY27, backed by festive launches and market share gains. Revenue CAGR expected at 16%, EBITDA CAGR at 21% over two years., -
Interesting Observation: Crude hitting a wall.
Crude has been volatile over the past 5 to 6 months, driven by US-Iran tensions in the Middle East. What's worth noting now is where prices have reached.
The current level is a zone that previously acted as a strong breakdown point. In technical terms, change of polarity can kick in here, where old support becomes new resistance.
What makes this area particularly important is the confluence. Crude has retraced roughly 38% of the previous decline. It has also filled a gap from mid-June. Multiple technical factors converging at the same point is something I take seriously.
Think about it. When you have a polarity flip zone, a Fibonacci retracement, and a gap fill all lining up, the probability of a reversal or at least a pause goes up meaningfully. This isn't a prediction. It's a zone where sellers historically stepped in, and the setup gives them a reason to again.
If crude fails here and starts reversing downward, that's actually a relief for Nifty. The 23,700 retest risk I mentioned earlier diminishes. Worth keeping on your radar today., -
If you're trading with experience but still finding it hard to build consistency, the Replete Traders Diagnostic is a good place to start. It helps you identify where you actually are in your trading journey, what's working, what isn't, and what the most practical next step looks like. | 26 |
| 14 | Photo from Replete Equities | 20 |
| 15 | 🧠 𝗘𝘃𝗲𝗻𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗟𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗼𝗻 | 𝗧𝘂𝗲𝘀𝗱𝗮𝘆, 𝟮𝟭 𝗝𝘂𝗹𝘆 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲
Today's session was a reminder that not every trading day rewards prediction.
Some days reward 𝗽𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗲𝗻𝗰𝗲 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝘀𝘁𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗴𝘆 𝘀𝗲𝗹𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻.
Going into the session, the market wasn't offering a high-conviction directional setup.
The data pointed towards a balanced environment:
• Price was trading below VWAP.
• Open Interest positioning was largely balanced.
• There was no confirmation for an aggressive bullish or bearish view.
In situations like these, the question isn't:
"𝘞𝘩𝘦𝘳𝘦 𝘸𝘪𝘭𝘭 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘮𝘢𝘳𝘬𝘦𝘵 𝘨𝘰?"
It's:
"𝗪𝗵𝗶𝗰𝗵 𝘀𝘁𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗴𝘆 𝗶𝘀 𝗯𝗲𝘀𝘁 𝘀𝘂𝗶𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗲𝘅𝗶𝘀𝘁𝘀 𝘁𝗼𝗱𝗮𝘆?"
This is a subtle shift, but it separates structured traders from reactive traders.
Over the years, I've noticed that most traders spend their time searching for better entries or the next "winning" strategy.
Far fewer invest time in learning:
• How to read market context.
• How to choose the appropriate strategy.
• How to apply effective 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲 𝗠𝗮𝗻𝗮𝗴𝗲𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁.
• How to make 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲 𝗔𝗱𝗷𝘂𝘀𝘁𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁𝘀 when conditions change.
• How to protect capital when the market doesn't follow the initial plan.
In my experience, long-term consistency doesn't come from predicting every move.
It comes from following a structured process:
𝗗𝗮𝘁𝗮 → 𝗗𝗲𝗰𝗶𝘀𝗶𝗼𝗻 → 𝗘𝘅𝗲𝗰𝘂𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻
That's the philosophy we follow at Replete Equities.
Because in options trading, knowing 𝗵𝗼𝘄 𝘁𝗼 𝗺𝗮𝗻𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗮 𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲 is often more valuable than knowing 𝗵𝗼𝘄 𝘁𝗼 𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝗼𝗻𝗲.
If you're looking to build a structured approach to market analysis, option strategies, risk management, Trade Management, and Trade Adjustments, our 𝗢𝗽𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗙𝗼𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀 program is designed for exactly that.
𝗥𝗲𝗽𝗹𝘆 "𝗙𝗢𝗨𝗡𝗗𝗔𝗧𝗜𝗢𝗡" 𝘁𝗼 𝗹𝗲𝗮𝗿𝗻 𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗲.
— Sachin
Replete Equities | 33 |
| 16 | 📊 End of Day | 21 July 2026
Today's expiry session was another reminder that disciplined execution beats prediction.
In the morning, our outlook was simple:
• Range-bound market
• Price below VWAP
• OI didn't support aggressive directional trades
• Avoid forcing trades
We followed the data, not our opinions.
📈 Today's Basket Performance
✅ Current MTM: ₹45,090
📈 Max MTM: ₹48,735
📉 Maximum Drawdown: ₹18,785
This performance is from our execution system using a defined-risk options strategy.
The most important number isn't just the profit.
It's how the strategy behaved throughout the day.
Notice that the maximum drawdown remained controlled while the basket continued to execute according to the plan. That's exactly what structured trading is designed to achieve.
Anyone can post a profitable day.
Very few explain the process behind it.
At Replete, our focus isn't predicting every market move. It's building strategies with predefined risk, disciplined execution, and clear adjustment rules.
Over time, that's what creates consistency.
If you're looking for a structured approach to intraday option selling—with ready-to-deploy algo files, execution support, and a defined-risk framework—reply BASKET.
If your goal is to understand the concepts behind these strategies and become a better options trader, reply FOUNDATION.
— Sachin
Replete Equities | 25 |
| 17 | No text... | 19 |
| 18 | 📈 Trade Management Journal | 11:30 AM
This morning, we discussed why today wasn't a day to force directional trades.
Price was below VWAP, OI positioning suggested a cautious market, and with weekly expiry, there wasn't enough data to justify an aggressive bullish or bearish view.
Instead of predicting the next move, we followed the data.
Price, VWAP, and OI were all pointing towards a range-bound market. Rather than forcing an opinion, we selected a strategy that was designed to benefit from exactly that environment.
Today's execution was a defined-risk Put Credit Spread:
• Sold 24150 PE
• Bought 24050 PE as a hedge
The position is currently in profit, but that's not today's takeaway.
The bigger lesson is that we knew our maximum risk before entering the trade. If the market surprises us, the downside is already defined.
This is where many traders go wrong. They spend all their energy trying to predict direction, when the real edge often comes from matching the right strategy to the market conditions.
Today's market didn't reward predictions.
It rewarded patience, discipline, and following the data.
Rule before opinion. Structure before prediction.
If you want to understand how to read OI, interpret VWAP, select the right options strategy for different market conditions, and build defined-risk trades instead of taking directional bets, that's exactly what we cover in our Options Trading Foundations program.
Reply FOUNDATION or send me a DM, and I'll share the details.
Or visit here: https://www.repleteequities.com/foundation-program | 28 |
| 19 | No text... | 24 |
| 20 | This is what I was pointing out 👆 | 28 |
