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Live global market updates. TRADING Views. TECHNICAL studies, #charts. INTRADAY / positional trading views on Indian stock market. Equity CASH/ Derivatives. NIFTY/Banknifty
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🌍 Global Cues — TDT-2
US #Bond Yields 📉
30Y: 5.184% (-0.21%)
10Y: 4.633% (-0.43%)
2Y: 4.162% (-0.42%)
#Yields have cooled, but remain elevated.
#Dollar ⚠️
#DXY 98.75
Further weakness + potential breakdown and could trigger another leg lower.
#CrudeOil 🛢️
#Brent $91.91 — near weekly high
#WTI $84.51
#Crude remains near the upper band. Some correction looks likely, though geopolitical risk remains the key trigger.
#Markets #Nifty #Gold #Silver #Dollar #Bonds #CrudeOil #Iran #USMarkets
🌍 Global Cues — TDT-1
Geopolitics ⚠️
🇺🇸 US steps up economic pressure on 🇮🇷 Iran with harsher sanctions. No active negotiations at present.
🇺🇦 Ukraine calls for a wartime election.
Economy 💰
🇺🇸 US debt crosses $40T.
Treasury doubles long-end bond buybacks to support liquidity and ease pressure on yields.
📌 FOMC minutes maintain a relatively hawkish tone, keeping rate uncertainty alive.
Overall: Some positive developments to calm markets, but risks remain.
🇺🇸 MARKET SIGNAL
#DowFut +0.54%
#SP500Fut +0.56%
#NasdaqFut +0.53%
🟡 #Gold +1.74%
⚪ #Silver +1.59%
Equities are holding firm while precious metals surge.
👉 This suggests markets are currently more focused on rising US borrowing costs & yields than the #USIran conflict.
#Markets #BondYields #Gold #Silver
📉 #Dollar weakness deepens
#DXY 99.05 (-0.50%) — supportive for metals.
🟡 #Gold $4476 (+1.27%)
↳ Recovered 2%+ from lows
⚪ #Silver $64.89 (+1.33%)
↳ Also up 2%+ from lows
🟠 #Copper -0.56%
↳ Near key supports — bounce likely 📈
💥 Dollar weakness + cooling yields = strong setup for metals recovery
#Commodities #Gold #Silver #Copper
🇺🇸 US BOND YIELDS — SOME RELIEF
Long-term Treasury yields cooling off after the recent surge. 📉
🔹 30-Y: 5.20%
🔹 10-Y: 4.640% (-1.40%)
A welcome move for bond markets & risk assets.
Still, long-term yields remain elevated and need to cool further for a meaningful easing in financial conditions.
#USTreasuries #BondYields #Markets #Gold
🇺🇸 US TREASURY — IMPORTANT
Treasury is doubling the size of liquidity-support buybacks for longer-dated nominal coupon securities.
🔹 Buyback size: $2B → $4B+ per operation
🔹 Focus: 10–20Y & 20–30Y Treasuries
🔹 Effective: Sept 9
📉 Potentially supportive for long-end bonds
📉 Could ease elevated US yields at the margin
⚠️ Not QE — but an important liquidity-support measure.
#USTreasuries #BondYields #Gold #Markets
📊 #INDICES | KEY LEVELS
🔵 #NIFTY
Supports: 24000–24050
Resistances: 24268 | 24380–24422
🚀 Trend reversal: 24530+
🟢 #BANKNIFTY
Holding ground well
Supports: 56900–57200
Resistances: 57580 | 57850–58050
🚀 Trend reversal: 58600+
🔵 #NIFTYIT
Buying zone: 29600–30400
Resistances: 30900 | 31400 | 31880
🚀 Trend reversal: 32200+
📌 Overall: Divergence visible — broader market remains relatively strong while indices stay subdued.
🐂 Bulls need to fight back & reclaim lost ground.
🌍 GLOBAL CUES → TDT-3
⚠️ Risk-off returns as geopolitical uncertainty + rising borrowing costs pressure equities.
🇺🇸 US Close
🔴 #DowJones -0.22%
🔴 #Nasdaq -1.33% — #AI/#Tech hit hard
Futures: Dow -0.09% | Nasdaq -0.16%
🌏 Asia mostly lower
🔴 #Nikkei -2.46% | #Shanghai -1.95%
🔴 #Kospi -5.56% | #PSEi -2.05%
🔴 #IDXComposite -0.47%
🟢 #HangSeng +0.11%
🇮🇩 Indonesia & 🇭🇰 Hong Kong relatively resilient.
📌 Bottom line: Global markets at MAKE-OR-BREAK levels.
Medium-term charts remain constructive, but positive triggers are needed now.
🌍 GLOBAL CUES → TDT-2
⚠️ Rising bond yields = key market risk
Despite softer Fed-hike fears & a weaker #Dollar, global borrowing costs remain elevated.
🇺🇸 US Yields
🔺 30Y: 5.286% — 19-year high
🔺 10Y: 4.694% — near 2-year high
💵 #DXY: 99.47 (-0.08%)
🇯🇵 Japan
🔺 30Y JGB: 4.14%
🔺 10Y JGB: ~2.92% — 30-year high
💴 #USDJPY: 159.39
📌 Bottom line: Global borrowing costs are rising sharply — a major headwind for risk assets. Any postive trigger from US may trigger cool-off and support riskier assets.
🌍 GLOBAL CUES → TDT-1
⚠️ Geopolitics shifting fast
🇺🇸🇮🇷 US–Iran: Standoff likely to prolong as both sides use pressure tactics to secure a favourable deal.
🇺🇸🇰🇵 North Korea: Trump softens stance; plans meeting with Kim Jong Un during November Asia trip.
🇺🇸🇨🇦 Canada: 50% tariff postponed — creating room for trade negotiations.
🇷🇺🇺🇦 Russia–Ukraine: Escalation continues, with growing damage to infrastructure & civilian lives.
🔎 Overall: Geopolitical risks remain elevated, but no alarming trigger as of now.
📊 #NIFTY / #BANKNIFTY — KEY LEVELS
#NIFTY
🟢 Support: 24180–24260
🔴 Hurdles: 24355 / 24422
🚀 Breakout: 24530+
#BANKNIFTY
🟢 Support: 56900–57200
🔴 Hurdles: 57880–58200
🚀 Breakout: 58600+
#NIFTYIT
🟢 Support: 29600–30400
🔴 Hurdles: 31100 / 31880 / 32000
🚀 Breakout: 32200+
Overall: #Banknifty looks comparatively stronger; indices remain in consolidation. #VIX <12.
💵 #USDINR 95.72 — Rupee remains weak but range-bound.
⚡ Weekly #NIFTY option expiry today. Expect a major move.
👀 Watch Bond Yields + Geopolitics
🇺🇸🇮🇷 US-Iran | 🇷🇺🇺🇦 Russia-Ukraine
Rising US yields and crude are currently key risks for Indian equities.
🌍 GLOBAL CUES — TDT-3
⚠️ Higher #BondYields pressuring #Metals
🥇 #Gold $4452 🔻0.48%
«1% off day’s high | Trend BULLISH
🚀 Breakout: $4530 | Support: $4355–4380»
🥈 #Silver $65.37 🔻1.29%
«2% off day’s high | Bullish & outperformer
🚀 Breakout: $67.40 | Support: $63.80–64.50»
🔶 #Copper -0.70%
LME $14,085 | Consolidating before fresh highs
🚀 Breakout: $14,700 | Range: $13,880–14,700
🛢️ #WTI $84.25 | Range $76–88
Bottom line: Metals remain caught between a weaker Dollar ↔ higher Bond Yields, but the overall trend remains BULLISH.
🌍 GLOBAL CUES — TDT-2
🇺🇸 US: Wall Street slipped; #AI/#tech saw profit booking after a strong start.
Dow -0.51% | S&P -0.52% | Nasdaq -0.32%
📉 Futures: Dow Fut 0.00% | Nasdaq Fut -0.65%
🌏 ASIA — MIXED/WEAK #AI and related shares down.
🇯🇵 #Nikkei -1.86% 🔻 (At day's low)
🇰🇷 #Kospi -0.88% (Down over 3% from day's high)
🇹🇼 #TAIEX -0.82% (At day's low)
🇭🇰 #HangSeng -0.67% (#profit booking after strong gains of Yesterday)
🇮🇩 #IDXComposite +1.23% (strong market after deadly #earthquake)
🇵🇭 #PSEiComposite -0.56%
🇮🇳 #GIFTNifty → indicates GAP-DOWN opening
⚠️ #Oil + US #yields + weak Asian tech = key pressure points for Indian #markets.
🌍 GLOBAL CUES — TDT-1
🇺🇸🇮🇷 US-Iran 60-day ceasefire/MoU has expired without a permanent deal. Negotiation efforts continue, while Iran’s rhetoric turns more aggressive.
🛢️ #Brent $91.33 🔺3%+
⚠️ BIGGEST CONCERN: US #BOND #YIELDS
30Y 5.321% — highest since 2007
10Y 4.725% — near 1Y highs
2Y 4.186% — relatively lower
💵 #DXY 99.48 — steady
🇯🇵 #USDJPY 159.49 — #Yen stable
#Oil + long-term #yields = key risk for global #markets.
GLOBAL CUES 🌍--- TDT-2
🌏 ASIAN MARKETS | MIXED, POSITIVE BIAS
🇯🇵 #Nikkei +0.01% — range-bound as markets digest weaker-than-expected growth data.
🇹🇼 #TAIEX +0.28%
🇭🇰 #HangSeng +1.63% — strong rebound from last week’s correction.
🇵🇭 #PSEi +0.07%
🇰🇷 #KOSPI — closed higher.
🇮🇳 #GiftNifty — indicating a flat opening.
Net-Net:
Japan 🇯🇵 / Taiwan 🇹🇼 / South Korea 🇰🇷 remain in an uptrend, while underperformers — India 🇮🇳, Indonesia 🇮🇩, Philippines 🇵🇭 & Hong Kong 🇭🇰 — look set to resume their recent uptrend.
📈 Bias: Positive | Buy-on-dips remains the theme.
GLOBAL CUES 🌍--- TDT-1
🇺🇸 US #Bonds: Mixed
2Y: 4.159%
10Y: 4.684% — elevated near multi-month highs.
💵 #DXY: 99.43
Breakdown below key support could mean further #Dollar weakness.
📈 US #Equities: Still in good shape, ~1–2% below ATH
#Dow Futures: -0.14%
#Nasdaq Futures: +0.28%
Overall: #Risk appetite intact, but #geopolitics + elevated long-term #yields remain key risks.
🌍 GLOBAL CUES — TDT-3
🇮🇳 Indian Markets: Divergence remains visible
Broader markets & stock-specific trades continue attracting investors, while #Nifty / #BankNifty remain stuck in a tight range with #VIX below 12.
📌 #Nifty — 24,366
100-DEMA + crucial 24,260 support remains intact.
🔼 Strong breakout needed above 24,530–24,774 for momentum.
🔻 Weakness only below 100-DEMA around 24,100.
🏦 #BankNifty — 57,491
Support: 56,900–57,400
Likely to attempt an upside move, but 58,600 breakout needed for much higher levels.
💻 #NiftyIT — 31,358
Testing 31,880–32,000 resistance around the 200-DEMA.
After several sessions of consolidation, overbought indicators are cooling toward neutral — a healthy setup that could favour the BULLS. 📈
Net-Net: Consolidation continues, but structure remains constructive.
📊 #Indices >> Pause Before Next Rally?
Markets lower today as inflation hits a multi-month high and #AI trades regain momentum.
Overall, this looks like a pause/consolidation — rally likely to resume soon. 📈
🇮🇳 #Nifty 24,330 (-0.44%)
• Support: 24,130–24,260
• Buying zone: 24,260–24,330
• Resistance: 24,440–24,530
• Breakout: >24,530
➡️ Overall: Bullish 🟢
🏦 #BankNifty 57,572 (-0.55%)
• Support: 56,900–57,400
• Buying zone: 57,400–57,600
• Resistance: 57,850–58,150
• Breakout: >58,200
➡️ Overall: Bullish 🟢
💻 #NiftyIT 31,290
• Near crucial resistance
• Further profit booking possible
• Buying zone: ~30,400
➡️ Overall: Sideways 🟡
View: Buy dips, stay bullish on the broader trend. 🚀
📊 Global Cues >> TDT-3
#Metals remain in a strong uptrend.
Slightly lower today as traders book some profits.
🥇 #Gold $4,466
Off day’s high of $4,500+
➡️ Trend strong — Buy on dips 📈
🥈 #Silver $65.61
Holding firmly above $65
➡️ Positive setup — Buy on dips
🟠 #Copper -0.65%
Back near support / buying zone
➡️ Could outperform today
#LME Copper $14,086
⚠️ Weak below $13,880
🎯 Resistance: $14,450 / $14,700
Overall: Metals trend remains firmly bullish. 🚀
🌎 Global Cues >> TDT-2
🇺🇸 US markets: Subdued over the last few sessions, but #Tech / #AI trades are making a comeback. AI stocks led Wednesday’s gains.
Dow Fut: -0.07%
Nasdaq Fut: +0.09%
🌏 Asia: Same pattern — AI/Tech shares lead
🇯🇵 #Nikkei +1.79% 🔥
➡️ Back in uptrend
🇰🇷 #Kospi +4.13% 🚀
➡️ Strong comeback; rally likely to continue
🇭🇰 #HangSeng -0.04%
🇮🇩 #IDXComposite -1.25%
🇵🇭 #PSEiComposite -0.99%
These markets remain in uptrend — looks more like a pause/consolidation before the next leg higher.
🇮🇳 #GiftNifty: Slightly negative
Overall: Risk appetite improving as AI/Tech leads the Asian rebound. 📈
