Momentum Trades

Move the stop, move your discipline🎯

Price approaches your stop, and something inside says "just a bit more, it'll bounce." You nudge the stop a few points further. It worked once - and now it's become a habit.

This isn't risk management, it's the absence of it. Every time you move your stop, you're trading the plan for an emotion. You're not breaking a level. You're breaking a contract with yourself. Momentum Trades | ArbSpread

📊 As the news feed braces for a crash, "smart money" is increasing its positions: what they bought this week. 📜 Assets worth $244 billion moved through tracked on-chain wallets over the week: $123 billion left exchanges while $121 billion flowed in, resulting in a net outflow of $1.27 billion. Despite the massive trading volumes, the imbalance is minor; the market shows no signs of one-sided accumulation but is instead redistributing positions, with buyers currently holding a slight edge. The intensity of fund movements is 2.3 times the daily average, and the volume of asset withdrawals exceeds levels recorded in 97% of instances over the past month. There is a clear trend of funds moving from exchanges to cold wallets, although the flow remains moderate for now. 🐳 Now for the most interesting part: the "strong wallets." These are the addresses with the best trading performance in our sample—entities that bought at the lows and sold at the highs, while everyone else did the exact opposite. Over the course of the week, they realized a net profit across all eight assets they traded—without a single losing trade. Bitcoin led the pack with a gain of +$487 million (accounting for nearly 90% of total purchase volume); it is the asset where they primarily and unhesitatingly allocate capital. Ether (ETH) took a solid second place with a gain of +$32.5 million. The remaining assets in the portfolio represent a smaller share, but their performance is highly telling: ARB +$9 million, BNB +$6.3 million, DOGE +$5 million, LTC +$1.9 million, DASH +$1.2 million, and OP +$308,000. This is neither hype nor panic-driven activity, but rather the calm, methodical accumulation of assets by players who typically make the right moves. 🔷There are two arguments in favor of Ether, which still retains upside potential. First, it ranks second on the "strong wallets'" shopping list: after Bitcoin, capital flows specifically into Ether, rather than into meme coins or trendy networks. Second, they are buying not only Ether itself but also Layer 2 solutions—ARB and OP; these networks operate on top of Ethereum and pay fees to the main network for every transaction. When investors accumulate both the native coin and assets within its ecosystem, it signals a long-term strategy rather than a short-term bet. Momentum Trades | ArbSpread

Greed: how you turn profit into a loss🤑

Price hits your TP, you see momentum continuing, so you move the take-profit further out. 10 minutes later the market reverses - a profit in the green turns into a breakeven close or a loss.

This isn't "letting the trade breathe." This is greed - you already won, but it wasn't enough. The market doesn't owe you more than what you planned for. You're not blowing the trade - you're blowing your discipline. Momentum Trades | ArbSpread

$ARB We closed it! How it was? Good trade☄️ ⬛ Trading on ByBit Momentum Trades | ArbSpread

Top 3 news for today, September 19, 2026 ⚖️The CFTC submitted a crypto regulation package to the White House, choosing to act without Congress - the Clarity Act remains stuck in the Senate. 🤝S&P Global agreed to acquire blockchain auditor OpenZeppelin - strengthening its on-chain security and smart contract audit business. 🏛Trump's $1.4 billion in crypto earnings are hitting the industry again - critics call it the main obstacle to getting crypto legislation through Congress. #news

Good morning! Bitcoin played out according to our scenario. Today we'll go over a lot of positions that gave profit✅

📊 It's like deja vu all over again on the BTC daily chart I’ve placed the 2022–2023 and 2025–2026 periods side-by-side. The market reversal is playing out with the exact same signature, phase by phase: 📍First bottom. June 2022 — $17.6k following the Terra and 3AC collapse. February 2026 — $60k. A rebound of roughly 40%: to $25k in August 2022, and to $82–83k in May 2026. Both times, it looked like the start of a rally; both times, it fizzled out. 📍Second bottom, slightly lower than the first. November 2022 — $15.5k during the FTX crash. June 2026 — $58k. This was followed by two months of dreary consolidation below the previous cycle's ATH—back then, below $20k; now, below the $64–69k range. This is precisely when market sentiment is at its gloomiest. 📍 An impulse that pushes the price back above the old ATH: January 2023 — nearly +40% in two weeks; August 2026 — +30%. Consolidation above the reclaimed level: $21.5–25k in February 2023, and $76–82k now. The time elapsed from the first bottom to the impulse was 6.7 months back then, compared to 6.3 months now. What happened next in 2023: five weeks of sideways movement, a false breakdown to $19.5k in March due to banking panic—and only after that did we see $25k, $30k, and eventually $44k by year-end. The best buys that year weren't made during the initial test, but during that scary retest. 🚀 🔥 Place the two charts side-by-side and spot the similarities. There are hardly any differences: a bottom, a rebound, another lower bottom, a base, an impulse—phase after phase, playing out exactly like a carbon copy of 2022. Markets love to rhyme their reversals, and in this instance, the rhyme holds true across every line. Back then, that pattern was followed by a rally to a new high. Right now, most indicators point to the same outcome.🙌

$HBAR LONG Entry (limit order): 0.07571 TP: 0.08683 SL: 0.07375 Planned RR: 5.67

$ZEC We've covered this asset more than once, but now it's time to give a clear direction on it☄️

Right now I'm expecting a return to the gray POI - followed by a markdown.

Longs can already be built up on a move into the FVG. ⬛ Trading on ByBit Momentum Trades | ArbSpread

Comparing yourself to others: someone else's profit steals your focus🪞

You see a screenshot of someone's +40% for the week - and suddenly your steady +5% feels like garbage. What's off-screen: their stops, their leverage, and the deposits they blew before that screenshot.

You're comparing your full picture to someone else's highlight reel. That's not motivation - it's tilt on a payment plan🗓 Only compare yourself to yesterday's you. Someone else's profit is not your benchmark. Momentum Trades | ArbSpread

$ARB Watching this asset right now and expecting it to break out of the range🙂 Targets: $0.22939, $0.23059 ⬛ Trading on ByBit Momentum Trades | ArbSpread

📊 $85 million across three transactions. What does this tell us? Top 10 wallets by 7-day return (minimum entry: $100k; all networks). Figures account for unrealized profit/loss and open positions. Last week, ten wallets executed transactions totaling $240 million. Their combined profit was $9.45 million (less than 4%). This wasn't just a "decent week"—it was a period of position accumulation.At the top of the list, we see a +48.42% return for a wallet on the Arbitrum network. Don't let that figure mislead you: that wallet acquired the asset at a price one-third lower a week ago. If you buy now, you become the liquidity that allows them to exit their position. It is better to focus on the lower entries: +0.86%, +1.17%, and +1.66%. These wallets hold capital ranging from $8 million to $12 million; they have just finished building their positions and are sitting at the entry price level. By buying there, you pay the same price they did.The number of buy transactions reveals whether a "window of opportunity" is open. Three purchases totaling $85 million indicate a one-off decision—the trade is already closed. Twenty-four purchases totaling $58.8 million suggest ongoing accumulation—an opportunity to join in. What are they investing in? ETH. Seven out of the ten wallets—including all the largest ones—chose this specific asset. Buy in increments during pullbacks, ignore sharp price spikes, and avoid using leverage. They are accumulating assets, not selling them. When the situation changes, you will see it in the blockchain data before it is reflected on the price chart. Momentum Trades | ArbSpread

Top 3 news for today - September 18, 2026 🏦S&P Global has agreed to acquire OpenZeppelin - the largest smart contract auditor, whose code secures over $37 trillion in on-chain transfers. A ratings agency is officially moving into blockchain security. ⚖️Following the SEC, the CFTC has introduced a no-action relief for developers of non-custodial crypto wallets and trading software - they will no longer be treated as brokers or required to register. 📉Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $746 million in outflows over 48 hours - BlackRock's IBIT leading the exodus. The pressure is tied to the CLARITY Act's failure in the Senate and Fed rate expectations. Momentum Trades | ArbSpread

GM ☀️ Your next crypto app might be your bank 🏦 Coinbase and Stablecore are bringing crypto trading, custody and stablecoin payments into the banking platforms customers already use. The partnership is already underway with institutions including Amarillo National Bank in Texas. Stablecore's existing integrations give it a potential reach of 3,000+ US banks and credit unions. Stablecore connects the banking systems; Coinbase supplies custody and exchange infrastructure. Local banks keep their brand and customer relationships without rebuilding their tech stack. The interesting part: crypto adoption can arrive as a new feature in a familiar banking app, without asking everyone to move to an exchange. Inside the partnership Momentum Trades | ArbSpread

WHAT EXCHANGES ARE DOING: 3 MONTHS, NO SINGLE TREND 📜 The selling/accumulation index is sitting right in neutral territory — 51 out of 100. Over the past three months, $720B left exchanges and $696B came in: a gap of just $24B on nearly $1.4T in total flow. On the surface, the market looks frozen. Exchange by exchange, it's a different story. 🏦 Bitfinex — +$9B in deposits, almost a quarter of it from a single $2B transfer (USDT and ETH) 🏦 OKX — +$6.61B, also mostly client deposits 🏦 Coinbase — +$1.04B, mixed flows 🏦 Binance — −$4.67B net, despite mixed direction 🏦 Coinbase Prime — −$18.6M, clients leaning toward withdrawals ➡️ Bottom line: a near-zero net balance is the sum of opposing moves, not a quiet market. Bitfinex and OKX are building up deposits, while Binance and Coinbase Prime are seeing net outflows. This looks more like capital rotating between platforms than the market making one collective call — sell or hold. If you're tracking flows, don't just watch the headline index — watch which exchange is actually pulling money in or losing it. That's usually where the real story is.

Full position close ✔️✔️✔️ ⬛️ Trading on ByBit Momentum Trades | ArbSpread