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📊 Tariff-related inflation risks support gold Gold (XAU) rose by over 0.35% on Wednesday. 👉 Possible effects for traders Markets remain focused on tariff demand letters from U.S. President Donald Trump, with Brazil the latest country to face steep duties on copper and other imports. The tariffs have fuelled concerns about broader trade disruptions and potential impacts on global supply chains. Meanwhile, minutes from the Federal Reserve's (Fed) June meeting revealed disagreements among officials about the timing and extent of potential interest rate cuts. While most anticipated some easing later this year, views ranged from supporting a reduction as early as July to favouring no cuts until year-end. The Fed maintained a cautious, data-driven stance amid mixed economic signals. Officials highlighted tariff-related inflation risks, slowing consumer spending, and a still-strong labour market as key factors shaping their policy outlook in the months ahead. Gold rose to around $3,320 during today's Asian and early European trading sessions. XAUUSD extended gains from the previous session as investors monitored trade developments and digested the latest FOMC Minutes. A weaker U.S. dollar also supports the precious metal, attracting safe-haven flows amid ongoing market uncertainty. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

AUDUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart 👉General outlook AUDUSD has been under buying pressure within the last couple of hours. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 0.65520. Set your stop loss at 0.65310 below the previous low ($2.10 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 0.65730 ($2.10 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. @octa_analytics

USDJPY, 30-minute timeframe chart 👉Level explanation USDJPY has been trading in a bullish trend for the last couple of hours. Now, the price displays a bearish Hammer pattern. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 146.310. Set your stop loss at 146.660 above the previous high ($2.74 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 145.910 ($2.74 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. @octa_analytics

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📊 Fed's caution tempers gold investors' enthusiasm Gold (XAU) declined by over 1% on Tuesday as a restrained dovish tone from the Federal Reserve (Fed) tempered investor enthusiasm. Although concerns over trade tensions persist, the market is reassessing the near-term outlook for precious metals amid shifting monetary policy expectations. 👉 Possible effects for traders U.S. President Donald Trump confirmed there would be no extensions to the 1 August deadline, escalating trade tensions. The new tariffs include 50% on copper imports, up to 200% on pharmaceuticals, and 10% on goods from BRICS nations. These measures are likely to heighten global trade clashes and could impact supply chains across multiple sectors. At the same time, market expectations for a July rate cut by the Fed have decreased following a stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report last week, which eased concerns about a significant economic slowdown. The labour market's resilience suggests that the Fed may maintain a more cautious approach, reducing the likelihood of aggressive easing in the near term. Gold stabilised around $3,300 during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Investors are now focused on June's FOMC Meeting Minutes today at 6:00 p.m. UTC. The minutes could offer deeper insight into the central bank's policy stance against a complex backdrop of inflationary pressures and trade policy uncertainty. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 EU may secure exemptions from U.S. trade tariffs The euro (EUR) rose by 0.14% on Tuesday as markets assessed the latest escalation in U.S. trade policy. 👉 Possible effects for traders U.S. President Donald Trump confirmed that the newly announced tariffs on 14 countries would take effect as planned on 1 August. According to EU officials, the European Union appears to have secured exemptions from the baseline 10% tariff rate. This should provide some relief to transatlantic trade flows and help reduce immediate market volatility in the euro. Further tightening the trade measures, Trump announced a 50% tariff on copper imports and signalled that additional sector-specific levies could be introduced. Particularly striking was his announcement of potential tariffs of up to 200% on pharmaceutical imports. However, these would be delayed by 12–18 months, giving the industry time to adjust supply chains and pricing strategies. EURUSD fell during today's Asian and early European sessions. Investors are now focusing on June's FOMC Meeting Minutes today at 6:00 p.m. UTC. The minutes could provide clearer signals on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy trajectory, which will be crucial in shaping the U.S. dollar's path. Key levels to watch for EURUSD are support at 1.11690 and resistance at 1.17500. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 RBA interest rate decision supports AUD The Australian dollar (AUD) gained 0.61% on Tuesday after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) surprised markets by leaving interest rates unchanged at 3.85%. The decision diverged from expectations of a potential cut, highlighting the RBA's cautious stance amid a complex global and domestic economic backdrop. 👉 Possible effects for traders The RBA's decision reflected its preference to wait for clearer signs of slowing inflation before adjusting policy further. RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasised that inflation risks remain persistent, driven by high labour costs and weak productivity growth. These factors could keep inflation above current forecasts and require a longer period of restrictive policy. Adding to the cautious tone, RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser highlighted that the central bank monitors the global environment, specifically citing heightened uncertainty linked to U.S. tariff developments. The bank's attention to external risks underscores its sensitivity to global economic headwinds that could impact growth and trade dynamics. In the latest trade developments, U.S. President Donald Trump ruled out extending tariff deadlines beyond 1 August. He also announced new duties: 50% on copper imports, a potential 200% on pharmaceuticals, and 10% on goods from BRICS countries. These actions are expected to heighten global trade tensions, potentially impacting commodity flows and global inflation, factors that the RBA and markets will continue to monitor closely. The Australian dollar held steady around 0.65300 during the Asian and early European sessions. Market participants remain focused on today's release of the FOMC Meeting Minutes at 6:00 p.m. UTC. The release could provide further insight into the Fed's stance on monetary policy. Hawkish rhetoric will likely put bearish pressure on AUDUSD, while a dovish tone will support the current bullish trend. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

GBPUSD, 30-minute timeframe chart 👉General outlook GBPUSD has been under buying pressure within the last couple of hours. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 1.35980. Set your stop loss at 1.35590 below the previous low ($3.90 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.36370 ($3.90 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. @octa_analytics

GBPJPY, 15-minute timeframe chart 👉 General outlook GBPJPY has been under buying pressure within the last couple of hours. 👉 Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 199.730. Set your stop loss at 199.290 below the previous low ($2.99 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 200.170 ($2.99 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. @octa_analytics

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#economic_calendar These events may affect the market on 9 July. 🔥 Don't forget to get a 100% deposit bonus!

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📊 GBP weakens due to the U.K.'s fiscal worries The British pound (GBP) decreased by 0.33% on Monday as investors awaited clearer signals on the fiscal path as the U.K. budget planning process advanced towards the autumn statement. 👉 Possible effects for traders Labour's recent retreat on proposed welfare reforms, aimed at avoiding internal party rebellion, further compounded fiscal worries. Chancellor Rachel Reeves acknowledged there were 'costs to those concessions'. She highlighted the strain on public finances as the government maintains support measures while delaying tougher structural changes. On the monetary policy front, markets continue to price in a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Bank of England (BoE) in September, with inflation showing signs of easing but remaining above target. Policymakers face a delicate balancing act as softening economic data collides with concerns about a potential fiscal squeeze later this year. The prospect of tax rises could further dampen consumer spending, adding complexity to the BoE's rate trajectory in the coming months. Adding to the pound's weakness, renewed global trade tensions have weighed on broader market sentiment after U.S. President Donald Trump said that reciprocal tariffs will take effect on 11 August for countries without trade deals. Meanwhile, Trump warned of an additional 10% tariff on countries supporting the 'anti-American policies of BRICS'. These developments have heightened risk aversion in global markets, weighing on sterling as investors seek safer assets amid uncertainty. GBPUSD rebounded towards 1.36400 during the Asian and early European sessions as concerns deepened over the U.K.'s fiscal outlook. Reeves signalled that tax rises could be on the table in the autumn budget to address a widening public finance gap, telling The Guardian she 'wouldn't rule them out' amid mounting pressure to stabilise debt levels. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 Euro declines as chances of Fed rate cuts decrease The euro (EUR) fell by 0.6% on Monday due to worries about trade tensions and reduced expectations of near-term interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). 👉 Possible effects for traders On Monday, U.S. President Donald Trump announced new tariff rates targeting 14 countries that have yet to secure trade deals with Washington. The announcement triggered caution in currency markets, as investors considered the potential impact on global trade flows and the broader economic outlook if the measures take effect next month. Major exporters such as Japan and South Korea are among the countries on the list. Both countries will face 25% levies on a range of goods if new trade agreements aren't reached. Trump also threatened an additional 10% tariff on nations aligning with what he described as the 'anti-American policies of BRICS', as the bloc gathered for a summit in Brazil this week. The president's remarks reflect Washington's increasingly aggressive stance towards trade partners as it seeks to reduce budget deficits ahead of the upcoming election cycle. EURUSD started to rise during today's Asian and early European sessions. Today's economic calendar is relatively uneventful, so volatility is likely to be low. However, investors should monitor potential shifts in U.S. trade policy closely. These developments could significantly impact the market. Key levels to watch are support at 1.11700 and resistance at 1.17500. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 Gold pressured by trade tariffs On Monday, U.S. President Donald Trump posted letters on Truth Social addressed to the leaders of 14 countries. He threatened to impose tariffs ranging from 25% to 40% on imports unless countries address trade imbalances. The letters targeted China, Germany, Japan, Mexico, and India, escalating global trade tensions just weeks ahead of the Republican National Convention. Preliminary estimates suggest the tariffs could affect over $1.2 trillion in goods, raising concerns among multinational exporters and supply chain operators. 👉 Possible effects for traders However, market fears eased somewhat after Trump signed an executive order late on Monday delaying the implementation of tariffs from 9 July to 1 August, granting over three additional weeks for negotiations. The delay also applies to the sweeping 'reciprocal tariffs' plan targeting most U.S. trade partners. Trump stated this would 'allow allies to come to the table' while maintaining pressure for new bilateral deals. Adding further pressure on gold, a robust U.S. jobs report released on Friday showed nonfarm payrolls rose by 147,000 in June, significantly above the 110,000 expected. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate fell towards 4.1%. The data have alleviated concerns of a slowing U.S. economy, prompting traders to scale back expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut in July. The CME FedWatch Tool shows the probability of a rate cut this month has fallen below 6%, down from 42% just a week ago. Expectations of a less dovish monetary policy are pushing Treasury yields higher and weighing on demand for non-yielding assets such as gold (XAU). Gold prices fell towards $3,330 during the Asian and early European trading sessions, sliding from the recent high of $3,410. The decline happened amid optimism that potential trade deals before August could reduce geopolitical risks and the demand for the metal. Analysts at Citi noted that if a last-minute trade deal is reached with China, gold could test support near $3,250 in the coming weeks, while continued uncertainty may trigger a quick rebound towards $3,400. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

USDJPY, 15-minute timeframe chart 👉General outlook USDJPY has been trading in a sideways market within the last day. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 146.070. Set your stop loss at 145.760 below the previous low ($2.12 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 146.380 ($2.12 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

AUDUSD, 30-minute timeframe chart 👉General outlook AUDUSD has been under buying pressure within the last couple of hours. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 0.65420. Set your stop loss at 0.65630 above the previous high ($2.10 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 0.65210 ($2.10 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

Last week's market performance recap A breakdown of key gains and losses across major instruments: 🚀 Top performers 🔹 XAUUSD +1.94% — Gold outshone the market as a weaker dollar boosted demand 🔹 EURUSD +0.50% — The euro gained as traders shied away from the greenback 🔹 AUDUSD +0.31% — Aussie dollar saw modest gains in a cautious risk environment ❌ Top losers 🔹 USDZAR –1.29% — South African rand strengthened sharply amid dollar weakness 🔹 USDMXN –1.16% — Mexican peso rallied as global sentiment turned against the USD 🔹 USDCHF –0.63% — Swiss franc saw gains against the softening dollar 📉 Despite stronger-than-expected U.S. payroll data, fiscal concerns surrounding U.S. deficits pressured the dollar throughout the week, giving precious metals like gold a solid lift. Follow @octa_analytics to stay in touch with all trading news

📊 Japan's real wage data pressures JPY The Japanese yen (JPY) weakened towards 145.000 on Monday, losing its gains from the previous session as weaker-than-expected wage data reduced market expectations for more Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hikes. Nominal wages in May rose by just 1% year-on-year, falling short of market forecasts of 2.4% and marking the third consecutive month of slowing wage growth. 👉 Possible effects for traders Real wages—an indicator of consumer purchasing power—declined by 2.9%, the sharpest drop in nearly two years, extending their streak of monthly declines to five. The broader wage data have yet to capture the record pay increases negotiated during this year's spring labour talks, as many smaller, non-unionised firms have been slow to implement the higher wages. Adding to the pressure on JPY, Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba stated on Sunday that he would not 'easily compromise' during trade negotiations with Washington, as Japan seeks to avoid U.S. tariffs of up to 35% on its exports. This firm stance in trade discussions has added to investor caution, weighing further on the yen against the U.S. dollar (USD). 'Market volatility appears inevitable when the pause officially ends and new tariff levels are announced', James Kniveton, a senior corporate FX dealer at Convera, wrote in a note. At the same time, 'the impact may prove more muted this time', he said. 'Unlike previous announcements where tariff levels exceeded expectations, current proposals are largely anticipated. Moreover, markets appear to be pricing in continued deadline extensions.' 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH